Tigers righty Justin Verlander unanimously won the American League Cy Young award, announced the Baseball Writers Association of America. Verlander posted a 2.40 ERA with 250 strikeouts and 24 wins in 251 regular season innings this year, leading the league in all four categories. The Tigers have him under contract through 2014.
Also receiving votes: Jered Weaver, James Shields, C.C. Sabathia, Jose Valverde, C.J. Wilson, Dan Haren, Mariano Rivera, Josh Beckett, Ricky Romero, and David Robertson. Mark Feinsand of the New York Daily News provided the lone vote for Robertson, rating him the league's best reliever.
Shields gets a $500K increase in his 2012 salary with the top five finish, tweets Marc Topkin of the St. Petersburg Times.
MB923
John Lackey was robbed!
Redsoxn8tion
That’s awesome. Congrats to Verlander.
MB923
A Big congrats, well earned for him.
start_wearing_purple
You’re thinking of the ESPN CY Yuk award.
Shane
The Red Sox were robbed. By John Lackey. lmao.
LMTShawn
John Lackey didn’t make them sign him.
whatever
the lmao literally made me LOL
Shane
The Red Sox were robbed. By John Lackey. lmao.
NYBravosFan10
{gasp} shocker!!!! Congrats Verlander!!!
East Coast Bias
…and the world is round.
monkeydung
when does NL get announced?
Phillies_Aces35
Thursday.
MB923
I thought NL is tomorrow and MVP is Thursday?
Also when is Manager of the year announced?
threeeds
Manager of the Year is tomorrow, they announced that at the end of the AL Cy Young broadcast.
MB923
Thanks. Are MVP’s then announced next week? Blaa I hate all these delays.
MB923
Thanks. Are MVP’s then announced next week? Blaa I hate all these delays.
Mac
is that some sort of a sick joke? David [profanity] Robertson?! The fact he was even mentioned in a Cy Young article is embarrassing. The Yankee writer who cast that vote should be banned from the process effective immediately.
Liam_Ho
Have you seen what he’s done this year. Its laughable Valverde is 5th, even getting a 2nd place vote.
Alan Hanson S. Mafra
And the most undervalued pitcher to get voted is Dan Haren. Hell, which SP would have pitched a game in relief in April between his scheduled starts? He has hot a heart, m’boy!
Motor_City_Bombshell
Oh, so Valverde’s 49 for 49 in saves didn’t warrant a fifth place finish? Yeah, not impressive at all.
Liam_Ho
Considering he’s not even the best relief pitcher in the AL this year, no he shouldn’t be fifth. Try looking at his numbers other than saves.
mistermonkey
Saves is the only stat that matters for a closer. I’ll take a closer with a 9 ERA as long as he gets the save every single time — and Valverde’s ERA was a hell of a lot better than 9. Ask Jordan Walden, if you don’t believe me.
Liam_Ho
Considering he’s not even the best relief pitcher in the AL this year, no he shouldn’t be fifth. Try looking at his numbers other than saves.
verlander
Personally, I think Austin Jackson deserves credit for at least two of Valverde’s saves (the game saving catch in LA and nailing Fukudome at the plate for the final out).
Ryan Drury
robertson had better season than both mo and valverde, he just did his in the 8th instead of the 9th
YanksFanSince78
amazing how you take issue with 1 5th place “honorary” vote that means nothing in the overall scheme of things but say nothing about Velvarde getting 4 3nd/3rd votes.
pastlives
in that one writer’s defense, robertson was really awesome
threeeds
For sure. I was surprised that his name was mentioned, but he definitely deserved at least some consideration.
BiffCanyon
Really, the fact that anyone would find his name being mentioned a “sick joke” is laughable. Every single one of his stats (aside from saves, which are pretty much just a representation of the larger body of work (but only for pitchers who pitch the 9th inning)) was better than Valverde’s.
Picture, if you will, a pitcher with Valverde’s saves total/record and Robertson’s other stats. I give you David Robertson in a few years when Rivera retires. So yes. He deserves the minutia of recognition he got from the Cy Young voters.
MetsMagic
I remember Mariano came in like 3rd for Cy voting when he was Wetteland’s setup man. Robertson didn’t deserve serious consideration, but recognition was deserved for being a complete stud.
es0terik
Wow Romero actually got some votes? Am I hallucinating?
Jose_Bautista
He was pretty darn good. He would have had 20 wins if his could just make couple of runs in his starts.
Not that wins is an judge of the type of pitcher Romero is.
Pete 12
Stop talking about wins. Only teams can win. One player cannot win. This is a team game.
Pete 12
Stop talking about wins. Only teams can win. One player cannot win. This is a team game.
BooJays33
Ricky deserved more than just 1 4th place vote. sub 3 ERA in the AL EAST, im biased because i probably watched atleast 25 of his starts but he was amazing this year. verlander, weaver, sabathia, shields, romero.
Duane
you can add Hellickson to that list too. He was really good this year.
BooJays33
no doubt, his peripherals weren’t stunning but there’s no denying the kid can pitch. hard to give the 3rd best pitcher on his own team a vote for mvp. worthy of the roy tho.
Duane
you can add Hellickson to that list too. He was really good this year.
BooJays33
Ricky deserved more than just 1 4th place vote. sub 3 ERA in the AL EAST, im biased because i probably watched atleast 25 of his starts but he was amazing this year. verlander, weaver, sabathia, shields, romero.
Guest 6130
It’s because the writers like his wife. And the rest of the Blue Jays staff makes him look good.
BeenThereDoneIt
Its the fact that Ricky was pretty much top 5 or so in every single significant pitching category that makes him look good. Dont let the facts blind you though…
Guest 6126
Those are the facts that were blinding me. 6th in ERA, 12th in K’s, 12th in WHIP and 10th in W. I like him and think he’s decent, but he wasn’t top 5 any category.
James Kong
now rays will consider trading Shields.
Usman
We all knew this since mid-season.
Rick Garcia
Well this isn’t surprising. Congrats nonetheless.
dtowntigers43
didnt see that coming…
MrBaseball29
3 Yankees no big deal
Michael Mulligan
Too bad that doesn’t mean anything
MB923
Okay?
dtowntigers43
2 tigers in the top 5 no big deal
MrBaseball29
When I’s 2 better than 3? Of course it’s a big deal when have you seen a set up man get cy young votes
pastlives
when one of the 2 is the winner by far? durrr
threeeds
A setup man that had an ERA of 1.08 in 66 2/3 innings. He also had 100 strikeouts in those 66 2/3 innings, good for a 13.5 K/9. He was fantastic this year.
expos94
the yanks could have swept the votes and it still wouldn’t make a difference, it just means that they have the best players but still can’t win
MB923
Says the Expos/Nationals? fan
expos94
not a nationals fan just support canadian baseball and the 94 expos were a hell of a team
expos94
the yanks could have swept the votes and it still wouldn’t make a difference, it just means that they have the best players but still can’t win
EvanMK
“66 2/3 innings.”
threeeds
A setup man that had an ERA of 1.08 in 66 2/3 innings. He also had 100 strikeouts in those 66 2/3 innings, good for a 13.5 K/9. He was fantastic this year.
rfffr
the real question is will he win MVP?
jubeininja69
he should get the AL MVP.
MB923
“Yes, one writer considered Robertson the fifth most valuable pitcher in the American League this year.”
Just to note, voting pitchers for MVP or on an MVP ballot, is not the same as voting pitchers for the Cy Young Award. The Cy Young award specifically goes to the best overall pitcher. In all likelihood, a pitcher who wins an MVP wins a Cy Young Award, but I’m referring to later parts in the ballot.
For instance, in 2010, David Price finished 2nd in the Cy Young voting. CC Sabathia finished 3rd.
CC Sabathia was on 7 ballots for MVP, David Price was on Zero ballots. So as you can see, it does not mean they think Robertson was the 5th Most Valuable pitcher, they just feel, for whatever the heck reason, he was the 5th best pitcher.
martinfv2
That’s fair, I’ll change the words “most valuable” to “best.”
not_brooks
I could have seen Robertson getting votes if it hadn’t been for that walk rate that was pretty close to five per nine.
Aside from that walk rate, he was unbelievable this year.
Hermie13
Unfortunately though he did have a horrific walk rate. The fact that robertson got a vote over Justin Masterson is sad….almost as bad as him making the all-star game over him. Not surprised though, but still pretty bad
nathanalext
Not trying to be melodramatic, but, was there even any other choice? Was there anyone else even in the running? Judging by the result, well.. there.. Wasn’t.
MB923
Nope, that’s why it was unanimous. I think a better Prediction would have been, who finished 3rd and lower. Weaver was nearly a definite #2 choice also.
Jay 30
Yes, Weaver is #2, has been since he came into the league.
Jay 30
Yes, Weaver is #2, has been since he came into the league.
IHateJoeBuck
I’d take Haren over Weaver, but we’re splitting hairs at that point.
Phillies_Aces35
Well deserved. Looking forward to seeing if he can build on this performance next year.
MeowMeow
Glad to finally get that out of the way so we can look forward to the MVP showdown.
RiverKKiller999
Bruce Chen didn’t even get a vote. *pity*
IHateJoeBuck
They didn’t want him to win the Cy Young AND the MVP.
Joseph Golden
Voters got it right. Congrats Verlander.
Glen Brightest Day Smith
If Verlander won unanimously then how did any other pitchers receive a vote?
start_wearing_purple
It’s a vote weighted on ranking. Verlander was unanimously chosen first.
Glen Brightest Day Smith
Thanks for clearing that up
Tom_McAllister
To further clear that up, Verlander received all of the first place votes, which is what made it unanimous. The rest of the pitchers received 2nd through 5th place votes.
levendis
“Yes, one writer considered Robertson the fifth most valuable pitcher in the American League this year.”
Haters are gonna hate.
But in all seriousness he didn’t deserve a vote, but that doesn’t reflect what an amazing year he had. He solidified what would have been a shaky bullpen.
joeybw
Going by the fact that he had zero chance of winning, I think 3rd place deserves some congrats. Good job, James and what a come back from 2010.
Now please keep him, we need a big 4 of Shields, Price, Hellickson and Moore. My pick for 5th would be Davis but with those 4, you can have my dog be the #5 for all I care.
UncleCharles
I don’t think a top 4 of Shields, Price, Hellickson, and Moore can be called a Big 4. Both Hellickson and Moore are young and probably be great pitchers in the near future but I can’t see a pitcher with 3 regular season games be in any ones big 4.
Liam_Ho
He most likely meant potential, which is certainly a possibility. However, its gonna be hard for the Rays to keep them all in the next few years.
verlander
Awesome.
Pete 12
Its funny how leading the AL in both FIP and xFIP amongst all pitchers with over 100 IP gets you 4th place.
CC Sabathia: 7.1 WAR 3.00 ERA 2.88 FIP 3.02 xFIP
Verlander: 7.0 WAR 2.40 ERA 2.99 FIP 3.12 xFIP
Yeah, Sabathia was actually better than Verlander, albeit not by much. If Verlander had to pitch in Yankee Stadium half the time, or had a worse defense behind him, his ERA wouldn’t be that shiny, and he wouldn’t have won.
MB923
Sorry, Sabathia was not better, and I’m a Yankee fan.
Pete 12
I’m not a Yankees fan, and I’m saying he was, and the numbers support me. FIP and xFIP are simply better gagues of player performance than ERA.
MB923
If you say so.
Pete 12
I don’t say so. Statistics do.
MB923
The only statistic that says that is FIP. There are no facts on to what is better, but Verlander beats Sabathia in nearly every stat but your beloved FIP.
I’m sorry but better FIP does not mean better pitcher.
Pete 12
Stats are NOT opinions!!!! OH MY GOD
MB923
I didn’t say stats are opinions. I said what you find as a Better stat is your opinion. Learn to read.
MB923
I didn’t say stats are opinions. I said what you find as a Better stat is your opinion. Learn to read.
Tou
You’re right. Stats are not opinions. But “FIP and xFIP are simply better gagues of player performance than ERA.” is an opinion.
MB923
^ This
Pete 12
True but ERA is reliant on so many other factors and other players that are not the pitcher at hand, only a person who didn’t abide by the rules of logic would use it over FIP.
Dylan Zane
For what it’s worth, it didn’t matter what the stats said other than wins and era. These voters do not look at advanced stats often. I’m sure for most voters, they saw 24 wins and that was enough.
MB923
But none saw 250 strikeouts and a 2.40 ERA either right?
BeenThereDoneIt
Also the fact that he had a no-hitter and took like 4 more into the 7th at least. Oha and no hits over 16 innings in one stretch. The guy was simply rediculous this year
Tou
You’re right. Stats are not opinions. But “FIP and xFIP are simply better gagues of player performance than ERA.” is an opinion.
TheHotCorner 2
I would argue to a degree that stats are indeed opinions. I can take a data set and give you two different sets of results depending on the methodology I decide to use.
If you look at the history of developing “defense-independent” pitching statistics you will find that it has not an exact science. For example, xFIP uses an expected HR Rate based on the league average HR:FB ratio. Some argue that some pitchers do seem to have some ability to affect their HR:FB ratio as their ratios have been better then the league average each year of their career. So it is not as simple as 1 + 1 = 2.
mmwatkin
And yet…in the real world, Verlander was better. Step away from the computer and watch a ballgame.
Using sabermetrics to gauge future performance is great. Using it to disprove past performances is asinine.
Pete 12
Did you ever watch Sabathia? He was all kinds of awesome this year. I hate the Yankees as much as the average person does but if Verlander was so “far and away the best” then why don’t the numbers support it?
I thought after Greinke saying he tried to keep his FIP down, and then winning the Cy, all this crap about pitcher W-L and ERA were finally being retired for the illogical dinosaus they are, sigh.
start_wearing_purple
If we’re going off the “did you ever watch” argument then it might as well be backed up by stats. Take a look at their splits when they played teams with a record above .500.
Sabathia turned into simply an above average pitcher. Verlander on the other hand was better against those teams.
Pete 12
small sample scale and whatever..
start_wearing_purple
And unless we were to replicated every variable for every pitcher we’ll never see eye to eye. Even with a smaller sample size the sample size is sufficient to make a judgement.
start_wearing_purple
And unless we were to replicated every variable for every pitcher we’ll never see eye to eye. Even with a smaller sample size the sample size is sufficient to make a judgement.
notsureifsrs
the problem with small samples is that they aren’t very predictive. he isn’t predicting anything though, so there is no problem
Pete 12
small sample scale and whatever..
MB923
“but if Verlander was so “far and away the best” then why don’t the numbers support it?”
The numbers do support it, as do the votes. When a player wins an award unanimously, that should tell you there was no question, he was #1.
Pete 12
Voters routinely make terrible, illogical mistakes.
MB923
As I said, when a players wins an award unanimously, there is no mistake.
You’re just bitter that voters and other people don’t use FIP.
Pete 12
Well that I agree with!
mistermonkey
Greinke led the NL (and the majors) in xFIP this season, and Brandon McCarthy had a better FIP than either Sabathia or Verlander. Solid years for both Greinke and McCarthy but come on — I don’t know how to disprove the importance of FIP and xFIP any better than that. Solid stats, but they don’t tell the whole story. But everyone in the world except Pete seems to know that.
BeenThereDoneIt
Not to mention, it’s not like Sabathia even got second place. He was in 4th. So the question isn’t was he better than Verlander, its an answer, no he was not! Good yes, great yes, best, hell no
MB923
As I said, when a players wins an award unanimously, there is no mistake.
You’re just bitter that voters and other people don’t use FIP.
Pete 12
Voters routinely make terrible, illogical mistakes.
MB923
“but if Verlander was so “far and away the best” then why don’t the numbers support it?”
The numbers do support it, as do the votes. When a player wins an award unanimously, that should tell you there was no question, he was #1.
toneighty
I’m guessing you didn’t watch verlander pitch this year.
Pete 12
I did, he was fantastic…he was as good as Sabathia.
Shu13
better to project FUTURE performance NOT past performance…GET IT RIGHT
Pete 12
What you say makes no sense.
MB923
What you say makes no sense.
Pete 12
Hey, make CC somehow NOT lead the AL in FIP and I’ll jump on the “Verlander is clearly the best” train.
But…
MB923
Oh how i forgot that only Ks BBs and HR allowed are a pitchers responsibility. You do realize BBs and Ks are a matter of luck too dont you because it all relies on the umpires eyes
MB923
What you say makes no sense.
threeeds
Actually, it does. Verlander outperformed his FIP and xFIP this year. We know that. With that, it’s easy to see that he’s not as likely to perform at the same level next year as Sabathia is. However, when looking at awards voting, you have to look at what actually happened, not what ‘should’ have happened, or what may happen in the next season. FIP and xFIP are predictors of future results.
This same argument can be used for Hellickson winning ROY over Nova. Nova’s FIP and xFIP were better, but his actual ERA was over 0.7 higher than Hellickson’s. Hellickson grossly outperformed his FIP this year.
Pete 12
FIP is not a predictor of future results, its to be used the same as ERA:
“Fielding Independent Pitching converts a pitcher’s three true outcomes into an ERA-like number. The formula is (13*HR+3*BB-2*K)/IP, plus a constant (usually around 3.2) to put it on the same scale as ERA.
It was conceived of by both Tom Tango and Clay Dreslough, the latter of who called it Defense-Independent Component ERA. At BP, we are including hit batters in the walks term. The constant we use is both league and season specific – in other words, a pitcher in the American League will have a different FIP constants than a pitcher in the National League. This differs from the presentation of FIP on sites such as Fangraphs, which use one constant for both leagues in each season.”
Pete 12
FIP is not a predictor of future results, its to be used the same as ERA:
“Fielding Independent Pitching converts a pitcher’s three true outcomes into an ERA-like number. The formula is (13*HR+3*BB-2*K)/IP, plus a constant (usually around 3.2) to put it on the same scale as ERA.
It was conceived of by both Tom Tango and Clay Dreslough, the latter of who called it Defense-Independent Component ERA. At BP, we are including hit batters in the walks term. The constant we use is both league and season specific – in other words, a pitcher in the American League will have a different FIP constants than a pitcher in the National League. This differs from the presentation of FIP on sites such as Fangraphs, which use one constant for both leagues in each season.”
threeeds
Actually, it does. Verlander outperformed his FIP and xFIP this year. We know that. With that, it’s easy to see that he’s not as likely to perform at the same level next year as Sabathia is. However, when looking at awards voting, you have to look at what actually happened, not what ‘should’ have happened, or what may happen in the next season. FIP and xFIP are predictors of future results.
This same argument can be used for Hellickson winning ROY over Nova. Nova’s FIP and xFIP were better, but his actual ERA was over 0.7 higher than Hellickson’s. Hellickson grossly outperformed his FIP this year.
Shu13
you not understanding that makes a lot of sense….FIP is better to look at what a pitcher may do in the future….not as accurate at looking what a player actually did for a single year….the ACTUAL on field numbers show a better pic…
Pete 12
You don’t know what FIP is.
MB923
I know wbat it is and how its calculated. It excludes every hit a pitcher allows except HR. Something which shouldnt be excluded which is why we have WHIP and H/9
notsureifsrs
which themselves need to be contextualized by BABIP, batted ball profiles, and defensive performance. none of which ERA does, and none of which were done by the voters here
all of you arguing with pete have come to the right conclusion, but for the wrong reasons
MB923
How is there a “wrong reason”?
notsureifsrs
pete: 2+2=10, because math
you: no, 2+2=4, because i just ate a salad
you’re right about verlander, but ERA is a wrong reason; wins are a wrong reason; rWAR is a wrong reason, WHIP & H/9 are wrong reasons
MB923
How is it a “wrong reason”. You haven’t answered that. It is of one’s opinion whether FIP or ERA is better. Technically it’s not a Fact, but I think real fans know it’s a fact that W-L are overrated.
notsureifsrs
ERA wouldn’t be a wrong reason if you were talking about how a pitcher and his defense performed
but when you say “let us compare two pitchers” and then look at ERA and conclude “this pitcher performed better”, you might end up being right, but you will have used the wrong reason. “this pitcher and his defense performed better” is the most one can say using ERA
if you use ERA in conjunction with BABIP and batted ball data (and preferable FIP & SIERA), then you have a right reason. but then “ERA” isn’t really your reason anymore; all of that information is
notsureifsrs
“not as accurate at looking what a player actually did for a single
year….the ACTUAL on field numbers show a better pic…”
FIP is an actual on-field number; there is nothing theoretical about it. it shouldn’t be used alone, but what stat should?
ERA for the example will give you a “better pic” (more information), but it won’t tell you anything specific about the pitcher’s performance. in a discussion of individual awards, that’s really out of place
MB923
Allow me to say I never use ERA alone
In no specific order I use ERA, K, WHIP, BAA. Verlander ranks – 1, 1, 1 , 1
notsureifsrs
three of those are close to meaningless unless they are used in conjunction with BABIP and batted ball data
MB923
ERA and WHIP are FAR from meaningless. I suppose K/BB is better than total K’s.
notsureifsrs
you are trying to talk about a pitcher’s performance. WHIP, ERA, and BAA are pitcher-and-defense statistics. unless you filter them with BABIP & batted ball data, they are close to meaningless for the purpose of determining pitching-and-not-defensive performance
MB923
Then I guess you should be in agreement with Pete and give Sabathia the Cy Young Award.
notsureifsrs
that’s a crappy guess. if you look at those stats in conjunction with BABIP and batted ball data like i just said, you come to the conclusion that verlander had the better year. same goes for using tERA and SIERA (which – get this – both incorporate batted ball data!)
Pete 12
What you say makes no sense.
dtowntigers43
you honestly stupid the Tigers have one of the worse defenses in the mlb besides Jackson in center. And did you maybe forget about how he 24 games?
mmwatkin
Wow. Just…wow.
FacelessGeneralManager
Shut up, Verlander was clearly better. Stop being a stupid yankee lover.
MB923
He’s a Mets fan.
Pete 12
I’m not a Yankees fan. Im a believer in the truth and Verlander was not better than Sabathia, and the numbers support it.
Hey, tell me that there was a mistake and sabathia actually WASNT leading the AL in FIP & xFIP and I’ll happily agree with you….but whatever, keep believing in an outdated stat that never made sense to begin with. Lets just give the Cy to the guy with the best moustache or something if you want to take it so arbitrarly.
Shu13
FIP and xFIP are great for projection future performance but not actual performance on the field from that year…..that fact that CC actually gave up more h/9 run etc showed that he wasn’t as good in reality…
Pete 12
and the reason why he gave up more is because he plays in a SEVERE hitters park
Shu13
so did he give up more BB b/c that park too?
BTW….
CC gave up 123 h in 120 ip in AWAY parks
Ver gave up 88 h in 130 ip in AWAY parks
CC gave up 102 h in 117 ip in HOME park
Ver gave up 86 h in 117 ip in HOME park
do you have anything else I can prove you wrong on?
CC was NOT better then Verlander this year
Pete 12
Except in terms of FIP, xFIP and WAR. He was. You are right, but so am I.
Shu13
fip/xfip/war are formula’s choosing certain stats and excluding others….there are 2 main sites that have different formulas….the REAL on field stats show a better true performance b/c they are manipulated to reach an out come….FIP and xFIP will show how a player SHOULD produce in the future but that isn’t 100% accurate either….the FACT that the amounts of hits/9-walks/9-ko’s/9- runs etc are a better way to judge how a player ACTUALLY performed for that given season….
notsureifsrs
you have the correct position in this argument (that verlander had a better year), but you are genuinely confused about FIP
FIP shouldn’t be used alone, but ERA/hits is not the remedy. at a minimum, you need batted ball data, BABIP data, and defensive data
pete is wrong to pretend FIP is the end of the conversation, but he’s right that it trumps ERA+wins
IHateJoeBuck
According to bWAR, Verlander (8.6) was higher than CC (6.9),
MB923
He ignores it because BWar factors defensive outs. I don’t see how that’s a problem considering Greg Maddux got a ton of those.
Shu13
so did he give up more BB b/c that park too?
BTW….
CC gave up 123 h in 120 ip in AWAY parks
Ver gave up 88 h in 130 ip in AWAY parks
CC gave up 102 h in 117 ip in HOME park
Ver gave up 86 h in 117 ip in HOME park
do you have anything else I can prove you wrong on?
CC was NOT better then Verlander this year
verlander
Comerica Park and Yankee Stadium’s park factors were actually pretty close.
j6takish
I don’t think verlander could have had a worse defense behind him
start_wearing_purple
Really?
You’re not going to mention that Sabathia had a better offense backing him up (got think that helped him win as well)? Or Verlander’s other periphery stats such as K/9, WHIP, and BB/9 were much better? Sorry, but I’m absolutely convinced the voters got this one right.
And on another note… is there a formula for WAR? I assume Pete got his numbers from fangraphs. But on baseballreference Verlander has a 8.6 WAR and Sabathia has a 6.9.
Pete 12
I don’t care about pitcher W-L. At all. In the slightest.
I did use fangraphs, the argument is that baseball-ref’s WAR is severely flawed, which you can read about if you use the google machine.
start_wearing_purple
” I don’t care about pitcher W-L. At all. In the slightest.”
Neither do I but the way I original read it I thought you implied it. I misunderstood the use of the word “won” in the sentence.
However you are bringing in variables that simply cannot be accounted for. You ask how would it change if Verlander pitched in yankee stadium. Yet one could make the argument that Sabathia pitched better at home thus, in my opinion, rendering the point moot. Also another argument that I brought up elsewhere. Sabathia and Verlander v. teams with an above .500 record, Verlander was clearly a superior pitcher. Even if the evidence is ambiguous otherwise that point alone should give Verlander the clear victory for the award.
Pete 12
Ah, gotcha. Even all that being said, there’s barely a difference between the two. I never said JV was far and away worse than CC, but CC’s performance this year is definitely underrated and (in this thread) disrespected.
Pete 12
Ah, gotcha. Even all that being said, there’s barely a difference between the two. I never said JV was far and away worse than CC, but CC’s performance this year is definitely underrated and (in this thread) disrespected.
IHateJoeBuck
There are inherent flaws to fWAR too. Even Dave Cameron acknowledges that.
Encarnacion's Parrot
fWAR is heavily influenced by FIP, while rWAR isn’t.
Encarnacion's Parrot
fWAR is heavily influenced by FIP, while rWAR isn’t.
threeeds
fWAR is based off of FIP, rWAR for pitchers is more or less based off of ERA, which explains Verlander being that much higher. It also explains why David Robertson was worth nearly 4 rWAR this year in 66 2/3 innings. His ERA+ was 410.
Encarnacion's Parrot
The issue is that the voters are all dependent on dinosaur statistics. Using ERA (unfortunatey) as my argument since that’s the voters argument, Verlander was better on the road than CC was.
Unless the voters open their minds, they got the right pitcher this year.
Pete 12
At least one person understands…thanks.
Encarnacion's Parrot
Well I only agree with you to a point. Verlander was better than Sabathia in a couple key stats:
Verlander SIERA: 2.99
Verlander tERA: 3.09
Sabathia SIERA: 3.14
Sabathia tERA: 3.75
Though we all know that they didn’t vote Verlander in unanimously whilst being intelligent. They got lucky.
WAR is more of a stat used for trying to find an MVP.
notsureifsrs
finally
TDKnies
I can’t tell if I feel smarter or not after reading all of this.
Encarnacion's Parrot
Well I only agree with you to a point. Verlander was better than Sabathia in a couple key stats:
Verlander SIERA: 2.99
Verlander tERA: 3.09
Sabathia SIERA: 3.14
Sabathia tERA: 3.75
Though we all know that they didn’t vote Verlander in unanimously whilst being intelligent. They got lucky.
WAR is more of a stat used for trying to find an MVP.
UncleCharles
Not even close Verlander was by far the better pitcher. He was dominant all season long. Voters got this 100% right
Pete 12
“Voters got this 100% right”
Think about all the times this has actually happened throughout history then ask yourself why this case is so special? I’m not saying CC was better than Verlander, they were both comprable to each other. Let Sabathia pitch in Detroit, he’d have a 2.40 ERA too.
MB923
Fangraphs, the site that lists John Lackey as a win and a half better than an AAAA player.
I think it’s time you use Baseball Reference for Pitchers WAR.
Verlander – 8.6 WAR
Sabathia- 6.9 WAR
FrankTheFunkasaurusRex
baseball reference uses RA, which… really doesn’t work, in my opinion.
MB923
At least youre polite enough to say its an opinion unlike pete who thinks the pitcher wit the best FIP is the best pitcher in the league and he is saying those are facts
FrankTheFunkasaurusRex
baseball reference uses RA, which… really doesn’t work, in my opinion.
Pete 12
9 TIMES Lackey threw 6-8 IP and gave up 3 runs or less. Do some research. That’s 9 games he was real good in.
Expanding further, in 17 starts Lackey went 5+ and gave up 4 runs or less, so yeah, he was better than a AAAA player. I’ll stick with FG thanks.
MB923
13 TIMES Lackey allowed 5 or more runs in a game. And he started in 28 games. Sorry but allowing 5 or more runs in nearly half the games you pitch, is not good.
Pete 12
Right, but he was an ok pitcher for 17 games, that’s valuable. Those other 13 games he stunk terribly….you are saying that those 13 games nullified those 17, which is not how baseball works.
MB923
I also excluded the 5 other times he allowed 4 runs. So 18 of 28 allowing 4 runs or more. Im sorry but when you pitch bad in 63% of your starts, you are not better than an AAAA player
MB923
13 TIMES Lackey allowed 5 or more runs in a game. And he started in 28 games. Sorry but allowing 5 or more runs in nearly half the games you pitch, is not good.
funkytime
“9 TIMES Lackey threw 6-8 IP and gave up 3 runs or less. Do some research. That’s 9 games he was real good in.”
So you use runs allowed to measure how well a pitcher has performed, yet ERA is irrelevant to you when determining whether Verlander or Sabathia had a better season …
You can’t even stay consistent in your own logic.
MB923
Burned.
Pete 12
9 TIMES Lackey threw 6-8 IP and gave up 3 runs or less. Do some research. That’s 9 games he was real good in.
Expanding further, in 17 starts Lackey went 5+ and gave up 4 runs or less, so yeah, he was better than a AAAA player. I’ll stick with FG thanks.
JacksTigers
LOL! Sabathia was not even close to what Verlander did. You can’t even argue it. You can’t assume that Verlander would have done worse in Yankees Stadium.
Pete 12
I cant argue it? I just did.
MB923
Except your argument is terrible
funkytime
…
funkytime
When one number tells you that a guy had a slightly better year, and
every other number tells you the other guy had a better year, the
rational person would go with the second guy.
Take off your FIP blinders for a second and look at the whole picture.
Paul
I would rather have Cano/Tex/Jeter/arod behind me then Kelly/peralta/ingebetemit/cabrera.
So you would rather face sabathia over verlander? Ridiculous.
Shu13
as stated MANY times…..FIP and xFIP do a good job at predicting what a pitcher will do going forward but not as good of a job at what he’s done…..WATCH CLUBHOUSE CONFIDENTIAL on MLB Network (7et)….it will give you a better understanding of sabr stats
Roy Munson
“Yes, one writer considered Robertson the fifth-best pitcher in the American League this year.”
And even more writers considered Valverde the 5th best….
UncleCharles
I am not saying he didn’t deserve it. Cause it’s obvious he was by far the best pitcher in the AL this year. But I lost a lot of respect for him when he threw a temper tantrum after Erik Aybar broke up his no no in Detroit with a bunt. It’s Aybar’s job to get on base and he did just that. Verlander’s job is to hold down the opposing team and he did that but you didn’t see Trumbo yapping at him. I know this will draw some groans from saying that bunting in a no no is unethical but I personally see no problem with it.
dtowntigers43
k cool who care if you respect him or not everyone wants him on their team and you know it…Best Pitcher In The MLB
start_wearing_purple
Sorry. Still gotta go with Halladay… but Verlander has moved to the number 2 spot.
UncleCharles
I don’t deny it at all he is the best pitcher in the AL. I might not respect him but i’d love to have him on my team.
UncleCharles
I don’t deny it at all he is the best pitcher in the AL. I might not respect him but i’d love to have him on my team.
Phillies_Aces35
I’d rather have Halladay. I’d take Verlander over anybody in the AL though except for MAYBE King Felix.
stl_cards16
Wasn’t it like a one run game? If so, I’m fine with bunting. If it was 4 or 5-0, then I can see the complaint.
Patrick OKennedy
You missed a good game, dude. Verlander did NOT throw a tantrum. Weaver did.
UncleCharles
Dude he was screaming at him from the dugout. Weaver snapped too I watched the game. He threatened to throw at him cause Aybar broke up his no no. I’d be upset about losing the no no but it’s baseball the hitters are trying to get on base.
Phillies_Aces35
He yelled “Hey, Hey!” and pointed at his hip. You think that’s a tantrum?
A tantrum is what Weaver had.
Shane
Re: John Lackey
The Red Sox were robbed. lmao.
start_wearing_purple
Just to clarify that sentence: John Lackey robbed the Red Sox.
(Before anyone attacks me for that statement, it’s sarcasm.)
start_wearing_purple
Just to clarify that sentence: John Lackey robbed the Red Sox.
(Before anyone attacks me for that statement, it’s sarcasm.)
Shane
Re: John Lackey
The Red Sox were robbed. lmao.
Patrick OKennedy
ON TO THE MVP!
MB923
Which is way more debatable.
start_wearing_purple
If the argument is contentious now… just you wait. You ain’t seen nuttin’ yet.
MB923
Id go with Ellsbury.
start_wearing_purple
If it turns out to be Ells or Granderson then the thread will be a looooong Red Sox v. yankee thread full of basically childish name calling.
MB923
Dont leave out verlander and the pitchers shouldnt win MVP arguments
start_wearing_purple
I don’t think Verlander will win nor should he. It has nothing to do with being a pitcher but my belief is for a pitcher to win an MVP they need an epic year and frankly this one was not. And by epic I mean up there with the best seasons of guys like Greg Maddux, Randy Johnson, Pedro Martinez, etc. Furthermore I don’t believe he was the “most valuable” overall.
I think he’ll get a bunch of 3rd-5th place votes and a couple of people will scream that the writers are biased.
cards2WS
No Bob Gibson? He had arguably THE most ‘epic’ season.
start_wearing_purple
Sorry I was sticking towards the modern age. And yes, I would agree that the 1968 season by Gibson was arguably the greatest single season by a pitcher. How many pitchers can say the game had to be changed because they were too good.
MB923
Well if anybody pays attention to what the BBWAA has to go by:
There is no clear-cut definition of what Most Valuable means. It is up to the individual voter to decide who was the Most Valuable Player in each league to his team. The MVP need not come from a division winner or other playoff qualifier.The rules of the voting remain the same as they were written on the first ballot in 1931:
1. Actual value of a player to his team, that is, strength of offense and defense.
2. Number of games played.
3. General character, disposition, loyalty and effort.
4. Former winners are eligible.
5. Members of the committee may vote for more than one member of a team.
Wouldn’t 1 and 2 hurt Verlander? lol
BeenThereDoneIt
Ells gets hurt by Gonzalez and Granderson gets hurt by the .260ish average. I’ll go with Bautista :)-
start_wearing_purple
Eh. Mostly people seem to agree that Ells was more valuable to the Sox than Gonzo. I think he’s hurt by the Sox collapse. They aren’t supposed to look at that but face it, the voters look at that.
As for Bautista, well I’m a Sox fan and rooting for Ells and could make a bunch of solid arguments for him. But objectively, I say it should be Bautista.
BeenThereDoneIt
Wow, an objective opinion by a Sox fan… New found respect my friend… New found respect!
verlander
Speaking as someone with Verlander’s face as their avatar/name as their handle, I’d go Bautista too.
MB923
Which is way more debatable.
Patrick OKennedy
ON TO THE MVP!
toneighty
As do people that don’t know what the HELL they are talking about
toneighty
As do people that don’t know what the HELL they are talking about
tycobb
JV is a stud congrates !!
0vercast
Congrats! It seems like half his wins were against the Twins.
JP27
breaking news