Around nine teams have been in contact with the Padres to express interest in Dylan Cease, writes Jon Heyman of The New York Post. Heyman lists the Cubs, Mets and all five AL East teams among that group. The remaining two clubs are unknown, though The Athletic reported in January that the Twins had shown interest.
A pre-Opening Day trade still seems highly unlikely. Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune wrote earlier this week that the Padres were only willing to entertain trading their top starter if they received a significant offensive upgrade in the return package. They’d almost certainly want a controllable starting pitcher who could immediately replace Cease in the rotation as well. That’s a difficult asking price for another team to meet, especially without impactful hitters remaining in free agency to backfill the lineup.
Cease was traded midway through last year’s Spring Training. That was a different situation, as the White Sox were in full rebuild mode when they dealt him to the Padres. San Diego expects to compete for a playoff spot despite budget limitations that kept them from doing much of significance until they added Nick Pivetta on a backloaded four-year deal. Cease worked 189 1/3 innings of 3.47 ERA ball during his first season in San Diego. He struck out 29.4% of opponents and fanned 224 hitters overall — his fourth consecutive season above the 200 mark.
The Padres and Cease agreed to a $13.75MM salary for his final arbitration season. He’d be a lock for a qualifying offer when he hits free agency next winter unless the Friars deal him midseason, which would make him ineligible to receive the QO. Cease will be heading into his age-30 season and could command a contract above $200MM. While the Padres don’t seem optimistic about their chances of re-signing him, they’d obviously take a major downgrade to this year’s rotation if they trade him.
Ken Rosenthal and Patrick Mooney of The Athletic reported earlier this week that the Orioles and Cubs were monitoring the rotation market. Baltimore will begin the season without Grayson Rodriguez. Chicago’s rotation hasn’t taken any huge injury hits, though they’ll be without Javier Assad for a few weeks. They’re reportedly in talks with free agent Lance Lynn, who’d be a much less costly but far lower-upside addition at the back of the rotation.
The Mets (Frankie Montas, Sean Manaea) and Yankees (Gerrit Cole, Luis Gil) have each lost multiple starters to injuries this spring. It has been particularly rough in the Bronx. Gil will likely miss the first half of the season with a lat strain. Cole will be out into the middle of 2026 after undergoing Tommy John surgery. Nevertheless, respective baseball operations leaders David Stearns and Brian Cashman have indicated the New York teams are content with their internal options to weather those losses.
Boston already parted with two top prospects to add an impact starter in the Garrett Crochet deal. Toronto and Tampa Bay have rotations that arguably each run six deep. The Jays are likely to use Yariel RodrÃguez in long relief. The Rays could consider trading one of their starters to settle on a five-man group. That could theoretically position Toronto or Tampa Bay to include a controllable starter in a Cease package, though there’s nothing to suggest the Padres are in anything more than due diligence mode with Opening Day two weeks off.
No way!!! Teams want Dylan Cease??? I would’ve never guessed!
If he were to get traded I’d think Baltimore gets him
God, I hope so!
Basallo and McDermott
I think Basallo is untouchable. Jackson might actually be more attainable. But unlikely too. I think Mayo and definitely Kjerstad are on the table at this point. McDermott can go. I think he’s an RP.
Basallo is the price though. Preller has no problem rolling out with Cease at the helm of the Pads’ rotation.
Basallo not getting moved, understandable ask. Mayo if any as the return I’d imagine.
McDermott lightly injured ATM.
Actually Preller asked for more than that. He wanted either Mayo or Basallo plus Povich and McDermott.
O’s and Padres do not match up well. Padres would want a pitcher and/or a clear possible upgrade (mlb ready) for left field.
The Padres and Cubs would actually match up perfectly but as a Cub fan, I don’t want to see Hoyer deal any more prospects in his desperate (and pathetic) attempt to save his job and if he is so ignorant, deal for Alcantara because they have the bullets to do so.
Agreed. Samuel is too high of a price. Kjerstad probably has more value than Mayo, but the O’s could afford to lose either one of those guys. Add McDermott as the pitcher and I like that trade from Baltimore’s perspective and is as good as SD can expect for someone in the final year of their contract (discounting a QO, of course.)
Preller asked for Basallo or Mayo, Povich, and McDermott. Please tell me they have decided to go ahead with that trade.
That might be the ask, and he’s free to ask for whatever he wants, but it’s more likely that the offer is more like:
Mayo
Povich or McDermott
A couple lottery picks
Organizational depth
Of course, if Preller decides to trade closer to the deadline then the package will be more loaded with prospects and the price will be higher.
Price goes down at the deadline. Fewer innings to pitch and no QO to recoup a pick in FA.
Orioles are right to say no to this type of framework anyways as it is WAY more than they gave up for Burnes last year and is arguably more than the Red Sox gave up to get 2 years for Crochet.
DH – Actually, prices for top SP don’t change all that much at the Deadline. The reason is pretty clear. In a 2-3 game series, having an Ace can be the difference between winning the series and moving on, and losing the series and going home.
cease is not an ace,more like a 2.that being said all teams on this list could use him.
Perspective is everything. Cease would be an “ace” for Orioles right now given the uncertainty of GrayRod’s injury.
C/1B Sam Basallo
AND.
EITHER
RHSP. Chayce McDermott
OR. LHP Cade Povich
Will get it done.
LOL… Of course that will get it done. The Orioles are paying about 2X what Cease is worth.
Than it’ll remain un-done….
Cross the Cubs off the list. “Shallow pockets” Ricketts and that genius Hoyer are going to sign another mediocre pitcher in Lance Lynn.
Step right up, for the low low price of your top two prospects he can be yours today(for just one season)
They don’t want prospects. They want something similar to what the Brewers got for Burnes: a controllable major league starter and a controllable major league position player.
Ortiz and Hall were essentially still prospects when the Os traded them for Burnes. Close to ML level but barely any ML experience.
They want a hell of a lot more
than the brewers got
It will take far, far more than just prospects. Preller has been consistent in asking for a top 25-30 overall prospect that is MLB ready, 2 SP that are MLB ready, plus a MLB player.
Red Sox – Mayer, Fitts, Gonzalez, Abreu.
Cubs – Shaw, Brown, Assad, Aliendo
Mets – Sproat, Megill, Mauricio, Parada
Orioles – Basallo or Mayo, Povich, McDermott, and a player that would depend on whether it was Basallo or Mayo headlining the deal.
Preller has been asking all offseason for a massive deal that would immediately make the Padres a better team. He has no reason to trade Cease if it doesn’t. Yes, I know it’s for one year of Cease but Preller has all the leverage, so he doesn’t have to settle for less.
No way Sproat or Mauricio for a rental. Megill Parada NcNeil Nimmo Taylor Marte $.
And that’s why no deal has gotten done or will get done. No GM should be eager to give up more than the Orioles gave up last year for one year of Burnes or the Red Sox did for 2 years of Crochet for one year of Dylan Cease.
One MLB ready top 100 prospect type and one controllable role player would be a fair offer (e.g. Cubs offer of Wicks + one of Triantos/Horton/Alcantara; Mets offer of Sproat + Marte (paid down); Orioles offer of Povich + Hjerstad) for one year of Cease.
Preller leverage will slip once the season starts due to QO offer out the window.
It won’t slip because he just won’t trade him. People act like they need to trade him. They are trying to win just like everyone else.
With Profar leaving without any real plan in place and lots of smoke about trading their best reliever among others. I think their wanting to win it all mode is for next year at the very least.
That’s insane. Cubs aren’t giving up that much for a rental. No way. That said, I think Brown is going to either be a backend starter with upside or a high leverage reliever (more likely).
If he gets traded will there be anything else to talk about?
Sandy Alcantara’s ears will start ringing. Considering how he’s looked in ST and more club control (2/34.6M with a 21M team option), I’d be more interested in him. Think about that. You get 3 years of Sandy Alcantara for 4.6M more than 1 year of Soto.
HURPES!
He will start the season in San Diego…
…so he’s getting traded to the Rangers?!?!
Will these rumors never Cease?
They will never be Dylan
So the Dodgers are the only team that can afford to give up what the Padres want?
This leak is designed to manipulate the market’s perception of Cease’s value and maximize potential future returns. I’d be cautious as a team trading for him, as BB% don’t really improve with age so him sitting around 20% BB% is not great.
If he had a 20% BB% he wouldn’t be in the majors
@stevie ice
Sorry, typed 2 instead of 1. My point remains.
Dylan Cease career BB% is 10%, still a bit high, but has been even less as a full time SP the past 4 seasons. During that same time span his K% is near 30. He has also offset the walks with stingy H9 and HR9 rates, with the latter number being particularly impressive considering his home ball park in Chicago is a haven for dingers.
Cease is a legitimate power ace whose most impressive feat might be his durability. His 128 starts during that past 4 seasons are unmatched in MLB.
Why would the Padres trade Cease now? I don’t get the logic. They are ready to compete right now. Trade him at the deadline if the wheels come off.
But they might as well go for it. They are unlikely to get better than they are right now at any point in the near future. I think this team can win 90 games with good health. Go Pads!
Padres couldn’t win 90 with Soto, Snell, Hader, etc. They will be 3rd in the division.
They won 93 without any of those players last season, where you been?
And they got bounced in the NLDS. Now they lost Profar, Scott, Kim, Higashoika and more
The Dodgers won 111 games and got bounced in the NLDS and then won 100 and got bounced in the NLDS.
Arraez (torn tendon in thumb), Bogaerts (fractured shoulder), Tatis (Fractured leg), and Machado (elbow surgery) are all healthy to start the season. (2023 injuries in parentheses)
The Padres added Pivetta, Iglesias, Diaz, Joe, Heyward, and the minor league depth filled with former MLB players is the best we have seen in decades,
Profar came to the Padres on a $1 million deal after having a negative WAR in 2023.
Higashioka was a negative WAR player for the Yankees in 2023.
Scott was a Padre for 2 months.
Kim was a below average hitter and overall average player who had a serious injury.
Padres lost Solano and Peralta who were minor league deal signees in April and May.
I know you think it’s cute to be a troll but at least be an educated troll and not a total dunce.
Why can’t we ever get KNOWLEDGEABLE Dodger fans on this forum. Most of ’em we see here are just trolls (with a few notable exceptions). Anyhow …. Go Padres!
Dodgers are gonna have an elite team this year. Let ’em go do Dodger stuff, the Padres will do Padres stuff, and we’ll still beat ’em in more games than they win against the Padres. The playoffs and W.S.? Between two good teams, it depends on player health, maybe hot streaks, as much as anything.
Viva – They lost to the Dodgers, but that series could have gone either way. The Padres might have won a world series last year with one or two more plays against the Dodgers, because they were better than the Yankees. Suggesting they are/were far off isn’t really accurate.
Web – I’m not following your logic here. What does it matter what players like Profar and Higa did before they became Padres? Are you saying they are due to regress and last year was a mirage? Even if it was, the Padres still need to replace their production to have any hope of getting back to the playoffs. Take Pivetta…, he’s crazy undervalued in my opinion and he makes the Padres a lot better, but you could also say he’s just replacing Musgrove in the rotation and doesn’t actually improve the team. That’s the problem I see with the Padres. They haven’t replaced all the lost production from last year. Maybe they do that internally from better play and/or staying healthy, but I’m skeptical they are better than last year’s team right now.
Also, I gotta say that Kim is hardly an average player. The dude has produced 3.5 fWAR annually for the past 3 years, and that’s with missing 1/4 of last year.
Don – The Padres incentive to trade Cease now is (1) he’s in the last year of his deal and they want to add controllable talent to their roster to extend their window, (2) they’ve gotten pretty good at acquiring young talent that immediately performs, (3) pitching is fragile and any significant injury to Cease will pretty much sink their season and ability to trade him (and possibly the QO return they may be banking on), and (4) they have other holes on their team they might be able to fill by trading Cease.
I’ve said all offseason that a trade with the Orioles makes the most sense for both teams, with the Rays possibly stepping in to help the Orioles create the perfect trade return. In my mind, the Padres would get a return headlined by either Yandy Diaz or Heston Kjerstad on the position player side and Zach Littell on the pitcher side, thereby filling one of their two holes in the field without seeing too much of a dropoff in pitching talent. Cease pitched a 3.31 xERA last year for 4.8 fWAR, while Littell pitched 4.34 xERA last year for 2.3 fWAR. The Padres get worse on the mound, but better in the field. The Padres do not want an all prospect package because they want to compete this year, and the Orioles aren’t trading Basallo or Mayo for Cease (that’d be a huge overpay even in a 1:1 trade). There may be better deals out there than a return headlined by Diaz or Kjerstad plus Littell, but if the Padres are trading Cease, I’d expect something like that as the return. That said, I won’t be surprised if they just keep Cease. Without Cease, the Padres will really struggle in a 3 game series in the playoffs.
Can we wait until the Padres’ first 3-game losing streak?
I propose Cease and King for Stro and Dom. No, not that Dom. Dominic Dynamite Smith!
Since I know you’re kidding about that offer, I’ll ask this…….do you think the Yanks would offer the Martian and Jones for one of Cease or King? Guessing most Yankee fans would say that’s too much w/the opposite reaction coming from Pads fans. How do you feel about it YBC?
No. $300M+ payroll and all but they took half’ish-measures this offseason by not acquiring a thirdbaseman and a better lefty reliever. I do think they’re trying to exercise future payroll restraint unlike the Dodgers and Mets so selling them off won’t achieve that for one year of Cease.
Yanks are looking at a bridge year
I know you didn’t ask me, but I don’t think they’d give both OFers away in a deal for one arm, Jefe.
Always glad to get your thoughts Gwynning!
Padres would not take that low of a deal. We know what Preller has been asking for and it’s much more than that.
Yankees are really not a good fit for Padres.
What Preller wants – What Yankees have
A top 30 overall MLB prospect – The Martian fits that bill
2 SP that are MLB ready – Warren and ??? (Yankees really don’t have another controllable SP other than Schmidt)
A MLB position player – Cabrera? Pereira??
Web – Agree fully. The Yankees don’t have the Farm system to get a player like Cease from a team like the Padres that is looking to win now (unless they trade Jasson Dominguez, and I doubt they will consider doing that). Maybe the Yankees can stay relevant until the Deadline and land a SP with far off prospects from a rebuilding team. Personally, I think the Yankees are one Aaron Judge injury away from a .500 season, and since Judge didn’t get injured last year, the odds favor him seeing significant time on IL this year.
No Clint Frazier and Gleyber, no deal!!!
But the Padres have to take Ellsbury’s contract XD
Eff it, throw in a Jeter gift basket and we got a deal.
e.e
And Aaron Hick’s $10M this season!
I feel like we’re getting shortchanged here… hey, give me my watch back YBC! And my wallet!
Trade him for Tommy Pham. It’ll be a Phamtastic deal.
Don’t Cease your day job… if you even have one, Crikes.
And yet, here we are…
LFGSD!
We got two days this time
Barely!
It’s like deja vu all over again!
200Mil? Good luck, Dylan. Those days are coming to an end. Any GM would have to be a complete maniac to give ANY pitcher a long-term deal now. They’re all headed for TJ surgery.
lol.
Fried and Burnes just got that
Ok, gang, let’s try to break this down a bit rationally.
Cease was traded from the Pale Hose to the Pads for one Top 100 player in Drew Thorpe (sigh), two Pads top 10 prospects, and a reliever. Drew was no. 85 at the time of the trade, the others didn’t rank in the overall top 100.
The Pads paid this amount for 2 years of Cease. A team trading now will be paying for one year. A trade now should not fetch the same amount/quality of players.
Cease can still fetch the Pads a top 100 prospect and a lower secondary piece, but I’d hold it there. Or maybe 3 non top 100 prospects or a combo with a current MLB player. 2/3 players max depending on quality.
Some of these rumored asks are borderline obscene if true, and you can see why no deal has gone down as of yet.
Am I wrong here?
@Salzilla
If you are wrong about anything in your analysis its the part about what the Pads paid the Chisox for Cease having any bearing on what Preller may negotiate when and if he moves Cease, The market will bear what the market will bear and Preller will try to make the most of it if Cease does get traded. Could be more than the Chisox price, could be less.
@Sal, Right now, I think trading teams won’t fall over backwards for him knowing what the Pads traded for him, though. Otherwise you would have seen it already. Despite injuries all over, no one is desperate just yet. Most teams will see what they have.
Personally I don’t think the Pads should trade him now, anyway because…
1. For the reason above.
2. They’re better with him than without and this team will most definitely contend.
If they’re out by the deadline though all bets are off. And tbh, he may have more value then, because teams will be making that final push to the playoffs.
Desperation only supercedes length when teams can smell championships. Value is weighed differently at that point.
Pretty much nailed it. Think there could be 9 teams if they’re all offering the going rate for a 1 yr rental
Salzilla:
The Padres clearly have no intent to deal Cease or King at this point. However, if they fall out of the race or things start to unravel, they will absolutely sell at the first sign. But that’s not for months from now.
Agreed, Miken.
None of your math matters. Context matters. Like the padres wanting to compete. This being a much tougher pitcher market than last year with many injuries and comparable pitchers getting 200m deals. And Cease coming off a much better season.
The math matters right now, yes it does, otherwise you would have seen a deal already. However like I said above to Sal (the other one), value changes at the Deadline. It’s the only time, I think, the Pads should cash in.
I thought you were the other one. :).
I agree with your take on all this. Unless and until some desperate GM blows the Pads away with a crazy offer now it makes more sense for them to get the most out of Cease while they compete over the next few months. I’m sure the Friars first priority is getting to the postseason.
We’re both the other one to each other. 😉
Get a room you two!
Good analysis, except your assumption that Cease is the same player today, that the Pads traded for last year.. Cease is a proven (or more proven) TOR starter now, with a strong track record behind him.
Second, as some have mentioned, a players value isn’t a finite number (i.e. WAR, etc..). Market circumstances matter. A player’s value is his proven experience and $cost, plus the perceived need another ball club. Do overpays happen? Yep. Why do underpays appear to happen? It’s not all idiotic GM’s having a bad day. A.J. Preller talks about “matching up” all the time, and that’s not just rote chatter to get reporters off his back. Trades happen when teams match up, need for need, perceived value of the ballplayers to the relative teams involved in the trade, as well as other factors.
Yes, AJP is asking for a huge overpay. He’s probably asking more now that the Padres have a rotation set and are maybe 20 days away from the start of the season, then he might have last November. Even the Pads reported financial situation may have improved between last November and now, making Cease a viable option for the season.
If there’s a trade, it’s because both teams match up (or maybe a 3-team trade, with move moving parts, can make a trade no one sees possible at the moment.) My guess is Cease is with the Padres for the season. However, this is AJ Preller we’re talking about here. NOTHING is ever certain, any day of the year with AJP.
The Padres can contend for a Wild Card with Cease, but not without him. Cease will stay at least until July 1.
Agreed. If the Padres are contending, they will keep their team together. If they start to fall apart, they will absolutely sell. Anyone who debates that is in denial.
Hahaha…
“Anyone who debates that is in denial.”
Therealeman – I disagree. Making the playoffs as a wildcard isn’t that hard anymore, and the Padres could have a pretty good offense this year. If they trade Cease for an upgrade at DH or LF, while adding a pitcher that is a solid 3-5 SP, they might be better overall by trading Cease, at least until the playoffs. Pitching really matters in the playoffs, particularly in a 3 game series if they face a team with 2 good starting pitchers.
mlbtraderumors.com loves Dylan Cease trade rumors. Even when there isn’t any. They still love them.
If the Padres trade Cease I don’t see how they don’t get a nice package of prospects. They would be smart and gamble with the injury game. Pitchers have already dropped.
Goose – They don’t want prospects. The Padres want ML ready players and/or upgrades.
They’ll take both
Wow, as a daily follower of this website, this is the first time I’ve heard any team is interested in a Cease trade.
I wonder if the cardinals will try to get out of the Arenado contract, haven’t heard anything about it.
He’s an oriole
Get your Basallo++ package ready and we’ll get back to ya!
OMG! We went at least a full day between BS rumors about other teams being interested in Cease.
OF COURSE THEY ARE. Every team would like to know what it would take to acquire a true ace and workhorse like Cease.
We have known since the Winter Meetings what Preller has been asking for as well. No need to rehash it. If a team has not stepped up and offered the following:
A top 25-30 overall, MLB ready prospect (Mayer, Mayo, Shaw)
2 MLB ready SP prospects (Fitts, Povich, Brown)
An MLB player (Abreu)
then there is no news. Not even a valid rumor.
If Preller asked for Mayer, Fitts, and Abreu for one year of Cease from Boston he would be laughed off the phone that’s ridiculous.
“…despite budget limitations that kept them from” doing nothing they didn’t want to do. They have the 6th largest payroll in baseball. They are over the 2nd CBT threshold.
The Padres have done exactly what they said they would do. They have a team that can compete for a championship, and they have a payroll at the midpoint between 2023 and 2024. It is what they said they would do early in the offseason and its exactly what they have done.
Stop. Just stop with that tired and lame narrative.
lol at lame.
Nah. You just need to harden up and deal with it. It’s not your website, Pads Fan.
Do I hear ten?
Maybe it IS ten. What is “around” nine teams? Like a store saying they’ve been in business “over 12 years”. So…thirteen?
Team’s are coming to AJP to ask for Cease. AJP has long ago stopped offering Cease. They could ask for any ballplayer, and I guarantee AJP would make time for that call. If nothing else, what a team asks for and offers tells Preller what might be possible down the road in the future, maybe even next year. It’s called keeping lines open and scavenging for intel from other teams. Every GM does it.
GM’s can also be pretty sure that what AJP asks for now, won’t change barring unforeseen events (i.e. injury, etc.). So the fact that teams are still calling, means that they are trying to find matchups, i.e. alternative deals acceptable to Preller that will bring them Cease for 2025. They wouldn’t bother calling Preller expecting him to lower his price for Cease.
I’m stating the obvious, but apparently that’s not obvious to all the fans here. But hey, we’re all waiting for baseball to start, and the Padres have lost most of their S.T. games, with a juggled team of NRI’s and prospects to establish the last 4-5 players for the roster. We all do what we do to get buy. 🙂
Go Padres!
Gonna take C /1B Sam Basallo
AND Either
RHSP Chayce McDermott
OR
LHSP Cade Povich
If Orioles want to compete for and make World Series this year, then a Dylan Cease deal
with Padres gives them their best chance this year.
Orioles have a bunch of Draft picks that can replace those players and more.
Otherwise,
I can see other teams bidding on Cease:
Braves, Cubs, Yankees, Mets, Brewers, Astros, Rangers and more.
Padres will still be competitive for the playoffs.
It will just take time for all their New players to gell as a unit.
By the All Star break, they may get hot and not be as amenable to that kind of trade.
There is risk in holding onto Cease, whether it be because of subpar performance or the injury bug. The Padres got stung with this years ago when they insisted on holding onto Tyson Ross. Different time, different circumstances and different team but just saying….
Just about all these teams have shown interest in cease most of the offseason. No trade has been made because of Prellers very high asking price.
This likely means one of two things. Either these rumors are just bs or teams are using their offers.
Catcher at the moment seems like the padres biggest need. With the addition of Jose and Tirso/sheets having big springs they probably feel pretty good about left and DH atm.
It’s pretty difficult to see a deal that makes this team better this season.
To anyone thinking or believing that the O’s would give up Basallo or Kjerstad for a one year rental are truly way off base. The return would start with Mayo, Beavers and a lower ranked pitching prospect, nothing more.
Hence, no deal to date.
@gwynning. I don’t get why people think trades are always fair or uniform. Also if 9 teams called on cease of course the price is going to be high.
Cubs can trade Assad who can step into their rotation once his “minor” injuries are healed. Then also offer a young hitter.
I would probably throw Atlanta in there. Ian Anderson hasn’t looked great this spring. Grant Holmes would be better in the bullpen. Then you also don’t know what you’re going to get from Strider on his return.