Harrison Bader has covered all three outfield positions in his career, but the vast majority of his playing time has come in center field. That shouldn’t come as any surprise. Bader’s bat is poor, to say the least; he has a career .698 OPS and 90 wRC+. However, most teams can stomach sub-par offense at a premier defensive position like center field, and Bader isn’t just any defender. With 50 Defensive Runs Saved (DRS) and 76 Outs Above Average (OAA) in his eight-year MLB tenure, Bader is one of the best outfielders the game has to offer. Since his debut in 2017, only four active outfielders have accumulated more DRS, and none has more OAA. That’s the kind of player almost any team would want in center field.
“Almost” is the key word in that sentence. Of those four active outfielders with more DRS than Bader over the last eight years, one is Byron Buxton. Buxton also ranks second to Bader in OAA, and on a per-game basis, Buxton far outpaces Bader in both metrics. On top of that, Buxton is the superior hitter, with an .844 OPS and 129 wRC+ over the past six seasons. And, of course, Buxton just so happens to be the starting center fielder (and the longest-tenured player) on the Twins – the same team with whom Bader signed a one-year, $6.25MM contract earlier this month.
When the Twins signed Bader, one might have thought his primary role would be as a backup for the oft-injured Buxton. Bader is rather injury-prone himself, and both players might benefit from splitting time at the demanding defensive position. Yet, it seems as if that won’t be Bader’s only job. On Monday, Betsy Helfand of the St. Paul Pioneer Press reported that the righty-batting Bader is expected to take over for either Trevor Larnach or Matt Wallner in a corner spot when the Twins are facing a southpaw starter. To that point, manager Rocco Baldelli told Helfand that Bader was more likely to play left field than right, given the outfield dimensions at Target Field.
Earlier today, Dan Hayes of The Athletic provided further details about Bader’s role in Minnesota. Hayes writes that the Twins will have the 30-year-old play left field “regularly,” and he will see “a significant amount of playing time” at the position.
Perhaps the Twins are hoping that Bader’s bat will play up if he has the platoon advantage more often. After all, his career 109 wRC+ against left-handed pitching would look perfectly acceptable in a corner spot. Then again, his offense has dropped off in recent years; his 95 wRC+ against lefties from 2022-24 might be more representative of the kind of hitter the Twins will get in 2025. Thus, the best way for Bader to contribute as a left fielder is to do what he does best: provide top-tier defense. Considering his strong track record in center field, one would think Bader could thrive at an easier defensive position. Indeed, it might take him a bit of time to adjust to the new role (he’s only played 13 MLB games in left) but his elite range and strong arm should play anywhere in the outfield. What’s more, his declining sprint speed – it has dropped in each of the past three years, going from the 97th percentile to the 74th – should be less of a concern in left. All told, left field still isn’t the best place for a player of Bader’s skill set, but if the Twins are concerned about starting Larnach (career 60 wRC+ in 187 PA vs LHP) and Wallner (career 44 wRC+ in 108 PA vs LHP) against lefties, it’s not the worst idea to prioritize defense in left field instead.
With all that said, Bader could still end up playing most of his games in center field. After all, Buxton has not started more than 87 games in center in a single season since 2017. So, there is little doubt the Twins signed Bader to be an insurance policy for Buxton. Yet, it seems as if that wasn’t the only reason, and Bader is going to be more than just a well-compensated backup in Minnesota. When Buxton needs a day off, the Twins will hardly lose a step (defensively) in center. Meanwhile, on days when Buxton and Bader are both patrolling the grass, this team will have one of the best defensive outfields in baseball, regardless of who’s standing in right.
lol wut
I suspect that the Twins mean Bader will see some time in LF until it’s time for Buxton to make any number of his regular visits to the IL. At which time Bader will then become the CF of the moment.
I think that was implied the minute he signed. The only question has ever been what’ll he do while he’s waiting.
I think it means he will be in use on days they put Buxton at DH. Especially when going up against a leftie.
Are Larnach’s and Wallner’s defense that bad to give up so much offense with Bader? I don’t watch the Twins so asking Twins fans.
Their gloves are meh, but they’ve got bad platoon splits. Both Walner (.953 vs .611 OPS against lefties last year) and Larnach (.784 vs .579) have significant weaknesses and even Bader can beat that while offering excellent glovework.
It’s crazy that Alex Kirilloff retired already
Take away of Bader’s value by moving him to a corner? Sounds about right
It’s not a bad platoon while waiting for Buxton to get hurt.
That’s one way to look at it. Another way to look at it is how difficult it will be for hitters to drop in a hit with both elite centerfielders in the outfield. Pitchers will love having both of them in the outfield.
Will he make 4 diving plays per game to make up for his 0-4?
Is there someone out there going 4 for 4 at the plate every game?
Not unexpected, given Buxton is on the team.
Well, not to be a jerk but Bader will move back to CF once the inevitable Buxton injury happens…
this tracks, the twins aren’t spending $6m for a 4th of
Bold move Cotton.
You’ll hear about how some guys when slumping will still “run into a few” and get hits … Bader is the opposite.
When he’s mired in a slump his at bats are forlorn and there’s really no plan or approach, it looks like he’s there to get himself out.
Also his defense is interesting because just via eye test he looks like he gets great reads, takes great routes, is fast and has good hands but his defensive metrics arent nearly as impressive as he looks on the field.
I really only watched him in 2024 but he was a weird one to watch everyday.
Kudos, I believe you’re the first person I’ve ever seen use the word forlorn in text or spoken. Underrated word
I watched him during his Cardinal years. He saved many a run and some games with his defense. Interestingly enough, he had hits to continue a rally and even had a couple of walkoffs.
Can I ask for an article about Joe buck returning to calling baseball
Is that true? Hmmm Joe Buck is an okay broadcaster in my opinion. Certainly beats Bob Costas, he was incredibly dull during the past playoff games he called. Ron Darling had to deal with that…
No. It’s a one-off anyway. Please stay with the NFL, Joe.
Yeah, Joe Buck can stay with Football. I certainly don’t miss him calling the World Series…
I didn’t like Joe calling regular season games like golf where home runs are like pars
But his 2011 David freese call was great
Joe’s dad was a very funny and entertaining broadcaster. Joe is incredibly boring.
Joe Buck and Bob Costas are both incredibly boring. The equivalent of watching paint dry…
Costas used to be pretty good. He’s slipped a lot with age. I don’t mind him for the Olympics though.
His OAA are gonna be really high though you’d assume given what an average left fielder plays like.
Right field basically can basically man a first baseman if they need. Not serious but sorta my point.
His OAA at the plate are also gonna be really high.
So, they’re going to give 500 AB’s to a guy who can’t hit and isn’t good enough defensively to justify playing every day. Bold strategy.
Twins are going to be a solid 4th place finisher in the AL Central.
You certainly read that article differently than I did.
I thought it was proactive move to increase defense and offense.
don’t worry bader has never had 500 at-bats in a season he’s another injury waiting to happen
Let Buxton & Bader both play CF, one right center and one left center and go two-man outfield. Boom! Problem solved.
Matt Wallner has 97 career MLB ABs vs lefties. I don’t think it has been proven that he can’t hit them. It doesn’t make sense to bench him for Bader, who we know can’t hit. Yes, better defense but the Twins offense needs power.
Every little bit helps Detroit
I knew this the minute the trade was reported.
It’s easy to forget how much talent Buxton had, but he seriously could have been an all-time great. For example, take a look at his 2021 season, when he was 27. The dude played 61 games and racked up more than 4 WAR. There was nothing that guy could not do on a baseball field except stay on it.
It’s just depressing when he goes down. I believe he could have been as good as Trout or some of the others great CF. Maybe there is still tile to put together a Hall career.
Isn’t it great to seean intelligent approach to baseball verbalized instead of some generic response.
Bader as a former Cardinal has me following him now so long as he fulfills the role laid out for him.
if the twins are lucky buxton and bader will play 100 games combined
Always a gamer – why he gets hurt. Teammates like him so I assume he is good clubhouse guy. Rooting for him
In other words, the Twins gave up on 2025 already.
Buxton needs to either embrace a full-time DH role or move to a corner like Trout has finally figured out to do. Seems very unlikely to get even three quarters of a season out of him playing CF
Who plays CF when both Buxton,and Bader are on the IL?
Trade for Tommy Pham.
Castro, Martin or Rodriguez. Castro and Martin aren’t great CF, but are probably the first two choices.
If it’s a long term thing, Rodriguez may be the one they call if he’s healthy and doing well in AAA.
Just my guess..
Talking about the Twins. Would I be shocked if they make the playoffs or win the World Series. BEFOre Carlos Correa got hurt last year, he was hitting by far better than anybody in baseball. He was on a huge heater. TOTALLY EN FUEGO. He was hitting bombs out of Safeco. Their pitching is slightly underrated. He could carry this team on his back, especially if Buxton and Lewis are healthy. A team of. “ifs” , but they have the talent to represent the AL in the 20025 World Series.