Alex Bregman is headed to Boston on a three-year deal that comes with a massive $40MM average annual value (albeit with deferrals). The two-time All-Star was also known to have multiple six-year offers on the table, one of which was from the Astros.
The Tigers also proposed a six-year offer, as first reported by Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free-Press. Petzold initially reported that Detroit’s offer was for narrowly above $170MM and included an opt-out clause after the second season. It had some amount of deferred money. USA Today’s Bob Nightengale specified it as a $171.5MM offer.
Detroit’s offer came with an approximate $28.58MM average annual value, before accounting for deferrals. Bregman obviously fared much better on an annual basis on the agreement with Boston. It seems as if Detroit offered the highest overall guarantee. The Astros had a six-year, $156MM offer on the table for most of the winter. While they reportedly bumped that towards the end of the process, they didn’t seem optimistic about getting a deal done.
Indeed, it doesn’t seem that Houston was even in the running by the end. Nightengale reports that the Cubs, Tigers and Red Sox were the finalists. As with Boston, Chicago only seemed interested on a short-term deal. However, they weren’t willing to match the Sox’s offer on an annual basis. Nightengale reports that the Cubs proposed a four-year, $120MM deal. According to MLB.com’s Mark Feinsand, that would have included opt-outs after the second and third seasons.
The Tigers and Cubs would each have kept Bregman at his traditional third base position. They’re likely to turn the hot corner to young players with top prospect pedigree but little to no MLB experience (Jace Jung and Matt Shaw, respectively). Bregman is ticketed for second base work in Boston, where Rafael Devers will stick at the hot corner.
Boston can have him at that amount. No thanks.
F for Detroit for offering him that unless it wasn’t official then A for bidding him up.
Same for Cubs.
Houston D but then they never pulled it so F for just letting it hang around.
Yeah, this is one of the first time I’m actually grateful for Hoyer’s stingy wallet.
His AAV means literally nothing in baseball.
It means something to him and it means something to Boras. It also hamstrings the budget of the sucker team that agreed to pay it.
“His AAV means literally nothing”…It does mean something to snake oil salesman Scott Boras. How else is he to explain falling TENS of MILLIONS of dollars short(again)in his promises to clients?
We all know Pete Alonso and Bregman were expecting $150M+ long-term deals and instead settled for short term, opt out laden deals.
Isn’t this just what Jordon Montgomery was talking about when he publicly said that Scott Boras blew his free agency chances just last year?
@MLB Uet another attack on Boras derived from once political affiliation. Nothing more laughable then someone giving up free will and free thinking in the name of politics.
“”Nothing more laughable”…In actuality having no real points related to what I said and then to bring up politics and “political affiliation” as an excuse for ignorance is as weak as it gets.
That is actually much “more laughable” than what you said, if the truth be told.
@mlb
Maybe you missed it. He had a standing offer from the Astros for the $156 mil, AND he had an even better offer from the Tigers for 6/$170 mil that bested the previous higher offer by $14 mil. Boras can’t force teams to offer more but what he did successfully was create a market for him where he had the option to prioritize comfortability (Houston), most money (Tigers) and maybe a compromise of the two (Boston).
Literally anyone would rather take 3/120 over 6/170
I would’ve expected 30 Aav for bregmans 3 year contract not 40
I figured the Cubs wouldn’t budge at 4/$120 and glad they didn’t.
It’ll be interesting to find out how much of the Boston $s are deferred.
Sad – Let’s wait and see how much is deferred.
My hope is he opts out after this season.
Is it really that bad when he can give you Devers production or better and play better defense? Bregman has a higher career OPS+ than Devers.
Bregman’s best days at the plate are behind him, so comparing career OPS+ isn’t accurate. Sounds like he’s gonna play 2B and Devers stays at 3B anyway.
Looking at past production is how you get DJL Stanton Ellsberry.
The last season Bregman was better with the bat than Devers was 2020
Or Aaron Judge, Juan Soto, or Gerritt Cole taking a team to the World Series. See how that works? Bregman’s juiced-ball peak days might be behind him but his peripheral stats don’t indicate that he can’t play at an All-Star level.
Ann All Star level earning $40/ year? Clearly that’s an over pay
Judge Soto Cole have data to go with their stats. See how that works? Of course you don’t you’re looking at stats!!!!!
Bregman’s 2021/2024 numbers:
BA – .262 …. xBA – 260
wOBA – 345 ….. xwOBA – 339
SLG – 444 ….. xSLG – 420
BABIP has has been low for him (.268), but his has always been low, his BB% cratered this past season ….. not sure what peripherals we’re supposed to be looking at?
Within the context of a large market team which had traded for Crochet and is vying for contention and remains under the CBT line, it’s not that big of a stretch.
@YourDream Well crystal balls have had supply chain issues. So past production is one of many tools utilized by front offices and scouting departments.
Ezpkns34
His pull-rate which has cratered from his career norms. Pitchers are throwing to him down and away far more often while his out-of-the-zone swings have increased. At the same time, his bat speed and hard hit rates haven’t changed much. I’m using data from both Savant and FG. This may suggest a mechanical and plate approach issue rather than a physical decline. I think he will have a good rebound season if he utilizes the Fenway Green Monster.
@Tigers3232 My balls are fantastic. But no doubt there are teams using past production. Only explanation for their decisions.
There is no way in hell he’s going to opt out, no matter what kind of season he has no one is going to offer him $40m, he’ll be another year older and even last year he showed that he’s regressing.
@Gmaytag Depends on deferred $ and what free agency looks like. 4 teams offered him awful contracts is being 1 year older going to stop them? He already got his $ this year so doesn’t need to get the same $. I see a way. Maybe he just makes a bad decision.
If I were the Tigers, I would call up the Angels and see about a Baez for Rendon swap. Perhaps Rendon comes back before the end of the year and gives the Tigers a boost for 2025?
Two of the worst contracts ever. They both just need to be cut loose.
As bad as Baez has been, Rendon may never play again after hip surgery much less return to play this season.
Rendon is one of the worst players in MLB and is always hurt. He doesn’t even like baseball.
Rendon isn’t coming back his career is pretty much over. When he does return he’ll just get hurt again like always
Baez owed 3/73. Rendon owed 2/76. Rendon might be able to swing a bat in September and be ok next year, but even that feels like a stretch. 24M/year in basically dead money is manageable for a team like Detroit and Baez can at least contribute as a decent utility infielder off the bench with pinch running ability. Obviously not living up to his contract but significantly more than Rendon can offer.
Cubs
Agree. Better to use that money on a mid-season pitching acquisition.
Yeah, give Shaw a chance at 3B with a backup plan (Berti, Workman). Still need a decent backup option at 1B for Busch. Canario and Berti just aren’t legit options
They need to start giving Ballesteros more 1B reps in the minors.
Maybe Alcantara or Caissie can take IB reps, too.
Now the tigers can turn to a very much less expensive and short-term deal for either JD Martinez or Justin Turner….
for what they offered Bregman, it would seem they could afford both on a one year deal.
Tork is out if either if these 2 (JD Martinez or Justin Turner) are signed. I say let the kids play to see what we have.
I was kinda hoping Boras wouldn’t win this one either. Bummer. It’s out of control
Detroit dodged a bullet.
So did Houston, Chicago, Toronto, and any mystery team.
Perfect contract fit for Bregman. He’ll play in a stadium that maximizes his potential free agent earnings in the future. Not unreasonable for him to get 5/150 next year.
He’s not gonna want to take a paycut… how can he expect to pay his bills on less than $40/year
Depends significantly on deferrals. But you take 3/120 because of the opt outs not because it’s more than 6/171.
You and I would, sure.
Bregman waited until the beginning of ST to sign in order to secure a new precedent. After locking up $40M per year, you think he’s going to opt out in order to secure an AAV (subject to deferrals) of less than $30M?? I highly doubt it.
5/150 is 30M AAV. If his market (or an extension from Boston) looks like that it reasonably gets him much closer to the 6/200 he was looking for than any other offer out there. Worst case scenario he makes 120M and hits free agency at 34
Yeah, my “less than 30M AAV” comment was off the 6/171 you mentioned above.
I still don’t see any scenario where any team is willing to pay a 32 year old Bregman $150M when only one or two were willing to pay a 31 year old Bregman $150M-$170M this year.
There is precedent for that with Bregman considering Matt Chapman literally just did that. And Bregs goes in with a bigger low-end guarantee of 40M/year he can fall back on. Plus if Boston makes the playoffs, he gets to show once again why competitors should want him.
A lot of ifs… Chapman’s calling card has always been defense (save for one or two seasons early in his career). No doubt Bregman has a solid glove, but I just don’t seen his situation improving a year from now being one year older. If he has a monster year and if Boston makes the playoffs and if Bregman goes off in the playoffs …
Bregman definitely won the stare down. I think the Red Sox will be left holding the bag
Boston doesn’t care that much if it hurts them in the backend of the contract. 3 years is enough to establish their elite group of young hitters within their lineup, and long enough to not owe any of them big money for the next 3 years. Plus have some good expendable and tradeable players now.
Have to pray AJ Preller doesn’t get fired. He might be the only gm stupid enough to not check the splits. Or Bostons gm gets fired and another team is stupid enough to hire him.
What splits? I thought that contract for Pivetta was great. Getting paid like a solid 3/4 in the rotation with potential to pitch like a 2 and a floor still in the rotation.
Whatever splits that made you think I was talking about Pivetta.
Preller was the giveaway.
It’s refreshing to see my Blue Jays miss on a free agent by miles instead of finishing 2nd. This is what it’s come to.
You didn’t miss on Alonso or Bregman. Save your money and lock up Guerrero long term.
This ridiculous contract is mind=blowing for two reasons:
1 – It shows how much say Cora has
2 – If he’s there to play 2B then he won’t help the team if he’s going to push Campbell out of the line-up because Campbell is the better hitter and 2B.
If Devers isn’t moved to DH then the Red Sox are run by Cora and Devers and will win under 90 games due to Devers playing defense.
Bizarre choices never seem to stop since 2019. This is just one more WTF decision that Boston is known for now. No improvement on defense, so pitchers will pay the price and have to work much harder and they are all huge injury risks except maybe Houck and Crawford.
Bizarre decisions. WOW
I’m waiting for the “Blue Jays Shown Interest in Alex Bregman” article.
Wow, that Harris was willing to offer him a 6 year deal is just terrible. The Tigers are so much better off without him and the roster inflexibility they’d be stuck with for years just as the farm boys are just getting started. Vierling is a bonafide everyday starter, and Jung needs to play, too.
Cubs Detroit need to fire gms and get new ones. Thanks for getting us to a good place but after these Bregman offers you aren’t right to take us any further. Unless they knew for certain Bregman wouldn’t say yes and were just bidding him up. Very risky to offer such awful contracts.
Vierling was one of the best players on the team. He needs to be in the lineup most days.
$40 million for a 2nd baseman!!! Ouch! That’s gonna leave a mark!
An aging second baseman at that.
I’m so glad that Toronto didn’t pull the trigger on this. It’s clearly obvious that he didn’t care about winning and all he cared about was money.
Better chance of winning in Boston. Well until they signed Bregman.
Bregman now 5th highest paid player (AAV) in mlb for 2025 – same as Aaron Judge. Wow! Where do Bosox 3 star rookies Anthony, Campbell, Meyer) now fit in that lineup?
This is the thing people fail to realize if MLB chooses to implement a salary cap… players are still gonna want to play in bigger cities. They will take less, just like Bregman.
He didn’t take less
I mean in a way he did, and in a way he didn’t. If he balls out, that’s 40m AAV and he will get another contract to get him closer to his 200m asking price. So in a sense he didn’t take less. But if he were to fall off a cliff production wise, or end up having a serious injury it could end up costing him almost 50m had he just accepted Detroit’s offer. But a player like bregman, I could see him aging well. His power might drop off a little the older he gets, but he should still get on base, hit for a decent average and play great defense, everything needed to get a new contract after his 3 years is up, or if he opts out and can secure a long term contract in the 30-35m range. If everything goes well he definitely has immense earning power left in the bucket.
Lots of “ifs” in your comment. An aging Bregman is now the 5th highest paid position player in MLB, there is no chance he opts out after this season.
@Braves_saints_celts He gets all his $ in 3 years. He gets a huge chunk year 1. He could take that nice 1 year pay and opt out and get a similar offer that was available to him yesterday. Is he going to drop off so bad he can’t get 50m in 3 years dunno. Should get some of it though hopefully. Doesn’t matter as long as he invests his $ he should make that $ up. He could make more $ opting out but has a awesome floor to fall back to. He didn’t take the safest way to make the most $ but probably the best odds to make the most $ and if everything goes up in flames 120m is a great guarantee.
MLB doesn’t need a salary cap, it needs a salary floor. In this day and age of league wide wealth and prosperity there is no reason for some owners (especially those collecting revenue sharing money) to pretend like they don’t have two nickels to rub together. Give every team a set payroll starting number and all 30 teams will have to spend somewhat
Union and the owners would want a salary floor and cap. You either have both or no cap at all.
This report would seem to suggest Bregman would have settled for 6 years at a $30 million annual salary. In other words, he and Boras whiffed on the initial ask for $200 million, then the consolation prize and took a huge AAV (which will be revised downward once the exact amount being deferred is specified), to soothe his ego. That’s an indisputable loss for his camp.
Even if Bregman improves in Boston and produces say, close to 6 wins in value (and I believe there are reasons for optimism), I keep seeing comments from Red Sox fans who would be content with, if not hope for him to opt out after the 2025 season. That speaks volumes about his true value to a franchise.
Don’t kid yourself, his reputation took a beating this offseason.
Wasn’t it Detroit that beat Houston in the playoffs last year? Bregman was probably never going to Detroit no matter what they offered him.
Wonder if Grissom spends some time out in the grass now that Bregman is apparently taking 2B. I also wonder if the talk about Bregman moving to 2B is just to play down the notion that they need to trade Casas or Yoshida, thus hampering any leverage in negotiations
Grissom likely just a guy so doesn’t matter what they do with him. Find a team desperate for 2b and see if they have any interest.
Wow!
That’s a LOT of money.
It’s bad that Detroit offered that much money. Even worse, that other players know about it.