Over the weekend, it was reported that the Astros circled back to Cardinals third baseman Nolan Arenado in trade talks after longtime third baseman Alex Bregman officially departed the club to sign with the Red Sox. Those renewed conversations surrounding Arenado don’t appear likely to result in a deal as things stand, but they do demonstrate a clear desire on the part of Astros brass to improve upon an offense that lost both Bregman and star outfielder Kyle Tucker this winter.
It’s not hard to see why Houston would like to upgrade their lineup. Among hitters with at least 100 plate appearances for the club last year, Tucker led the way with a sensational 181 wRC+ while Bregman ranked fourth with a figure of 118. As important as both players were, it’s fair to point out the club has a number of successful hitters still in the fold: Yordan Alvarez (168 wRC+) and Jose Altuve (127 wRC+) put up excellent numbers last year, and the catcher position remains strong with Yainer Diaz (117 wRC+) and Victor Caratini (113 wRC+).
Still, the combination of Alvarez, Altuve, Diaz, and Caratini cover just three spots in the lineup. The quartet do not figure to be in the same lineup very often this year, particularly now that Altuve is slated to play left field on at least a semi-frequent basis in order to keep Alvarez at DH, thereby stopping manager Joe Espada from penciling Diaz or Caratini in at DH on days when the other catching. Offseason additions of Isaac Paredes (117 wRC+) and Christian Walker (119 wRC+) should help to keep things afloat, with Paredes in particular projecting to serve as a near perfect replacement for Bregman with the bat despite his shortcomings on defense.
The Astros have a solid offensive nucleus, but their lineup figures to include several below-average hitters this year and sorely miss the offensive contributions Tucker has offered throughout his career. Without Tucker, the club’s entire projected outfield mix is questionable. Center fielder Jake Meyers is a career .228/.292/.371 (87 wRC+) hitter whose 2024 numbers were right in line with that production. Ben Gamel posted a 115 wRC+ last year, but that came in just 99 plate appearances and was his first above average offensive season since 2018. Chas McCormick has shown some solid potential with the bat in the past, but he’s coming off a career-worst campaign where he hit just .211/.271/.306 (66 wRC+). He’s also struggled to produce against right-handed pitching even in his more successful seasons.
The introduction of Altuve to the club’s left field mix should help to add some pop to the outfield, but the leading candidates to take over for him at second base are Mauricio Dubon and Brendan Rodgers. Both have six seasons in the majors, and neither has posted an above-average offensive season. What’s more, the departure of Tucker and Jon Singleton’s move to the bench leaves Alvarez as the club’s only lefty swinging regular, unless the club turns to Gamel for everyday reps. It seems clear that the Astros would benefit from adding another hitter to the mix — ideally a lefty.
The problem, however, is that very few options remain available in free agency, and even fewer of them are left-handed. Alex Verdugo has plenty of experience in left field and is perhaps the best left-handed bat still available, but he’s coming off a career-worst season. David Peralta is coming off a solid season in a part-time role with the Padres last year but is headed into his age-37 campaign. In terms of potential infielders, part-time players like Jose Iglesias and Whit Merrifield are not only right-handed, but also provide little over internal options like Dubon and Rodgers.
Perhaps there’s a trade to be worked out, even as swinging a deal for Arenado remains unlikely. The Twins have been rumored to be getting calls on utility man Willi Castro this winter, and a switch-hitter capable of playing both the infield and outfield seems like an ideal fit. Meanwhile, Tigers infielder Zach McKinstry and Mets infielder Brett Baty are two lefty bats currently on the bubble of their club’s 26-man roster.
In the case of a Castro trade or even a signing like Verdugo, money might also be a complicating factor. Reports have generally described the Astros’ budget as close to maxed out, with high-dollar moves like signing Bregman or trading for Arenado likely to require a greenlight from ownership. While it’s unclear exactly how much wiggle room Houston’s front office has, it appeared telling that GM Dana Brown indicated earlier this month that he sees an external addition of note as unlikely. With limited options still available and a seemingly limited budget to work with, perhaps the Astros will simply enter the season with their current roster unless a veteran opting out of a minor league deal or a player placed on the waiver wire in the run-up to Opening Day creates an opportunity.
Do MLBTR readers think the Astros will address their offense further before the season begins, or enter the 2025 season with what they have? Have your say in the poll below!
No, they’ll enter the season with their internal group on offense.
Thats simply not true. Did you hear the new rumor?!?!? “Cardinals and Astros are discussing Arenado Trade”.
Update!!! “The Cardinals and Astros are still discussing a trade involving Arenado”. Finger crossed!
Another update! “Cardinals and Astros are discussing what they discussed about Arenado regarding a trade”. Heating up!!
You do realize that this trade actually has a decent chance to happen right? Would hate to check back in with you if/when it does happen.
No. No it doesn’t and it won’t. But please check back in on the next update! Talk soon.
It’s too bad that there is almost no fit for J.D. Martinez with Houston as it would be fun to see him get a chance to finish where it all started
Really good comment, you’re right about that with JD.
Not sure I’d use the term ‘bat’ to describe McKinstry or Baty.
McKinstry has some value on defense so I’d call him a ‘glove’.
Baty’s only value is whatever potential he still has left, as so far, he’s shown no defense or offense ability at the major league level.
Castro might be the only bat in the group mentioned. I suggest Brandon Lowe of the Rays
Pittsburgh woult be happy unload KeBryan Hayes´salary
Shelton says this is the best Key has looked in 5 years. Rooting big time for Hayes to have bounce back year for Buccos!
Hayes looked good yesterday, watched him closely.
You are in Tampa Bay area? For some reason I thought you were in Hawaii?
Only Pittsburgh would think of that contract as salary. Unload it, and who are they actually paying to play for them?
Baty hasn’t hit at all so far but he is a former 1st round draft pick. I doubt they would dfa him, but I’m sure they’d move him for the right return.
Perhaps the Astros and Cardinals are focusing on the wrong player. If Arenado is staying put, Nolan Gorman has no clear path to regular playing time with the Cardinals. Brendan Donovan will likely get most of the playing time at 2B and the Cards seem to be fast tracking JJ Wetherholt.
For the Astros, Gorman is a lefthanded hitter, could likely play 1B, 2B, or 3B, and offers considerably more offensive ceiling than Rodgers or Dubon. He’s also cheap in terms of salary and possibly in cost to acquire. The Cardinals would be selling low. They would definitely want something in return, but the ask couldn’t be too great with Gorman’s struggles in 2024.
Interesting thought, and an idea…but would be surprised if STL would be open to moving him. However, I do like the outside the box thinking
I’m sure the last thing on Earth Mo wants is to watch yet another player he traded break out with another organization.
But Mo’s poor trade track record shouldn’t handcuff the organization. And it’s no reason to let Gorman wilt on the vine just because the Cardinals don’t know how help him or what to do with him. Trade him for some interesting pieces and let the chips fall. It’s much better than sitting on your hands for the next 6-8 months until Bloom takes over.
Would certainly be a different strategy & change of course. So, it sounds like to me…if Arenado were traded to Houston that you could see him having a bounce back season & “break out with another organization” as you put it?
I think Arenado could have a bounce back season either way. But I was referring to Gorman breaking out with another organization. If he goes to Houston and pops 35+ HR’s, it goes down as another miss for Mo.
Send Nootbaar to Houston too.
Nootbaar
Gorman
Arenado
Cash(75% of Arenado’s remaining salary)
For
Victor Caratini
Isaac Paredes
2 PTNBL
Yes, they do make a move. Arenado comes to Houston. “When there’s smoke, there’s typically a fire.” Katie Woo of The Athletic was just trying to throw some cold water on this as her sources of information within the Cardinals were upset about that Arenado information being leaked to the public. I’ll side with the initial MLB.com reporting consisting of Mark Feinsand & the 2 respected club beat reporters.
Y’know, they’re still paying Jose Abreu anyway…
I think they should add a hitter. Adding another bat really doesn’t do much.
Yes, but a shiny, new 33oz. Louisville Slugger might look nice in the rack!
My friend Shammy Shosa could whittle that stick down to 28 ounces or so… and throw in some bouncy SuperBalls for free!
Crane is cheap so no. For all those out there who give the Astros a hard time about the trashcan banging remember, there’s only one guy left from 2017 now because Jim Crane won’t spend money.
Crane doesn’t seem cheap, just won’t spend lavishly like larger TV markets. McCullers is still there-fwiw-but you probably meant hitters
Houston is the #6 TV market in the nation.
I don’t remember Crane being cheap when he signed Josh Hader for $90 mill. That pushed the team over the CBT I believe.
Perhaps
So if you really love me
Say yes
But if you don’t dear
Confess
And please don’t tell me
Perhaps perhaps perhaps
Quoting Doris Day?
It will be fun to see Altuve attempt to a play at the wall on a deep drive.
Maybe he runs/climbs up wall earlier than most guys on the grass would do-then hold himself up at top of wall with non-glove side
The last time Altuve has been that high off the ground he needed a pilot and a stewardess.
I do think Yainer, Caratini, Altuve and Yordan could all be in the lineup together. They never said they wanted Yordan to stop playing OF altogether, just they would like him to do it less often.
That might happen two times all season. I really don’t see Alvarez playing any outfield. They want to preserve those knees and keep that bat in the lineup as much as possible.
Still would like to see sanchez from miami come in from a trade. I think he’d come closer to his potential outside of Miami
You’re right, he is a good potential option. I’m sure Houston has explored it, but Miami likely has & is asking for too much in terms of prospect capital in return.
I’m betting that Verdugo ends up in HOU. Not sure what his story is at the moment but he’s not getting much more than $5 mill guaranteed. However, his upside is as good as any other OF’er they have, assuming Alvarez gets most of his ab’s at DH.
No, they can lay low for the next decade, which will happen anyway whether you like it or not.
They were extremely good last year without Tucker when they were behind the Mariners by 10 games they made all that up without Tucker so roll with what ya got.