The 2024 season came to a painful end both metaphorically and literally for Yordan Alvarez and the Astros, as the star slugger was hampered by a right knee sprain in the final week of regular-season action. Alvarez missed Houston’s last six games of the schedule but was able to return for the team’s brief playoff run as a designated hitter, going 2-for-7 with a double and a walk in the Tigers’ two-game sweep of the Astros during the Wild Card Series.
The knee sprain was a little more serious than appeared at the time, as Alvarez told Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle through an interpreter that “there was a lot of damage” and “at the time of the injury, there was a lot of doubts” about whether or not a surgical procedure would be required.
“But the last three or four weeks, it’s been feeling great, so everything is good to go….Apparently, it wasn’t enough damage to have surgery, [because] the body’s been recovering good and I feel good to go,” Alvarez said.
Alvarez’s mention of that 3-4 week timeline is somewhat eyebrow-raising, as it would somewhat indicate that surgery remained on the table until pretty recently. However, Alvarez declared himself ready for the start of Spring Training, and said he didn’t expect to have any limitations on his ability to play in left field. “I’ve been running, training, and I haven’t had any setbacks, and it’s good,” Alvarez said.
This isn’t the first time knee problems have hampered Alvarez, since arthroscopic surgeries on both knees limited Alvarez to only two games during the 2020 campaign. Alvarez has mostly been utilized as a DH during his career, but he has made 190 appearances as a left fielder over the last four years, giving the Astros a bit of extra flexibility in juggling their lineups.
A change to even this limited outfield usage could be coming, since manager Joe Espada told Kawahara and other reporters during the Winter Meetings that “I would like to kind of cut back on the amount of reps that [Alvarez] gets in left field.” While this isn’t a huge surprise given Alvarez’s most recent knee issue and his subpar defense, it is noteworthy considering the Astros’ lack of outfield depth. With former right Kyle Tucker now traded to the Cubs, Houston’s Opening Day starting outfield looks like some combination of Chas McCormick, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell, and utilityman Mauricio Dubon, with Shay Whitcomb as further depth and top prospect Jacob Melton expected to make his MLB debut at some point in 2025.
It isn’t the most inspiring outfield mix on paper, which is why the Astros were linked to such free agents and trade targets as Jurickson Profar, Cody Bellinger, and Alex Verdugo at various points this offseason. Verdugo remains unsigned, and he would fulfill the Astros’ particular stated goal of adding a left-handed hitter to their predominantly right-handed lineup. Beyond external additions, however, Houston is also at least considering a more creative answer of moving Jose Altuve to left field, if Alex Bregman is re-signed to play third base and Isaac Paredes is moved into Altuve’s old second base spot.
Christian Walker will help some of the offensive void left by Walker’s departure, but if Bregman also heads elsewhere, a healthy and productive Alvarez will be more critical than ever to Houston’s lineup. Since Alvarez made his MLB debut in 2019, his 166 wRC+ is second only to Aaron Judge (180) among all big league hitters, with Alvarez hitting .298/.390/.583 with 164 home runs over his 2688 career plate appearances. The slugger has also hit .294/.393/.551 with 12 homers across 252 career PA in the postseason, including ALCS MVP honors in 2021.
SODOMOJO
You guys keeping healthy Yordan or Lindor? 2 keeper league no draft pick penalty. Skenes I gotta hang on to but I’m struggling big time choosing between Yordan or Lindor
runbailey
Lindor, because of position scarcity. Alvarez has a well documented injury profile. I don’t have a lot of confidence in him staying healthy.
davengmusic
Yordan. Gotta risk it for the biscuit.
RunDMC
IMHO, I’d go with Lindor b/c he impacts all offensive cats (AVG, not as much), while a healthy Alvarez won’t be running (SB). ’24 seems to be his ceiling, but who knows if he’s getting protection from Soto now. Lindor most likely will get you a 30/30 season, which would be better than almost every other SS than Witt and possibly Mookie. Throw in 100 runs/90+ RBI and that’s impressive.
There’s more depth in OF later on that you can fill many (not all) of Yordan’s needs, even if you have to settle on Rooker/Wallner/Kerry Carpenter parts to piece meal it together.
SODOMOJO
That is my normal strategy for sure: find outfielders in the late rounds and off the waiver wire as the season progresses. I ended up with a late round pick last year and staring at Yordan, he’s a safe pick back there because he has a consistent floor and the possibility that he has a true “breakout” 40 HR year. I don’t think any of us doubt that he’s capable of that. So he was a fine pick back there with the combined floor/upside.
I’m leaning Lindor for sure at this point. I appreciate the good input fellas
good vibes only
Outside of the combo meal of 30hr/30sb for Lindor vs 40hr for Yordan I think the R/RBI will also be better for Lindor. Keep in mind that Tucker & Bregman both might be out of that lineup. If Altuve misses time Yordan could be looking like Julio does in the M’s lineup.. completely unprotected and with few RBI opportunities.
But for me that’s not even the biggest thing. Yordan just told us with his own words that 3-4 weeks ago he was worried he might need surgery. He has never once approached 600AB in a season. Way too much risk to put in Yordan if he’s not 100% when you have an excellent, safe (and equally high upside) alternative in Lindor.
Good problem to have man. Good luck!
orbitsbrother
Julio has a career OPS+ of 130. Yordan has never had a season below Julio’s average. Julio’s best season is still well below Yordan’s average season. Offensively they are not comparable.
SODOMOJO
Interesting take on a very harmless comparison that was used to advance a discussion. Nobody is trying to say that Julio is on Yordan’s level offensively.
NOW. You want to get into it? Julio has more defense in his pinky than Yordan has in his whole body. And, has proven to be quite capable at the dish.
Yordan BWAR 2022-2024: 16.8
Julio BWAR 2022-2024: 15.9
Within 1.0 BWAR makes them quite comparable if you ask me. Regardless of Yordan’s offensive prowess. So, it’s strange that you view the comparison to be so foreign (even if only offensively).
ReyDay
@Orbit
What your missing in that factor that people have pointed out was that was with Correa, Springer, Tucker and Bregman. He’s going to have none of those big hitters table setting or protecting for him anymore.
Walker is a nice addition but could very well turn into an Abreu type hitter entering his age 34 season, and Altuve entering his age 35 season.
ReyDay
Lindor, he’s a 30/30 guy and just added Soto to the lineup either infront or in back. Yordan always banged up and just lost Tucker and possibly Bregman
tom brunanskys black sock
Lindor because he always tips 20%
gcg27
Walker can’t help with Walker departure. He just arrived. Let’s do better
Irbias
Exactly. SMH
❤️ MuteButton
I really wish MLB trade rumors would stop with the nonsense talk of re-signing Bregman and moving Altuve to left field. It really lowers their credibility
thedappergent
Right? I’m surprised they haven’t floated the idea of Bryan Abreu training to pitch left-handed to “get another” late-inning setup arm. …
RotiniRick
I don’t know what kind of deal he’s looking for but Randal Grichuk would work in Houston from a roster personnel standpoint.
johncoltrane
If healthy 100%
Yordan is top 5 hitter
Maybe top 3
thedappergent
This might be controversial, but it would be good to keep getting the big man some reps in the outfield because when he plays there: .325/..409/.633 with 61 HR in 199 games. I’d be fine with him playing like a statue in front of the Crawford boxes.
As DH, not bad: .286./381./.558 and 102 homers in 418 games. I’m sure managers everywhere are saying “thank you.”
JScottG
He scares me every year of fantasy ball as an injury prone star hitter. We raise auction salaries +$5 every year so it’s a gamble as the years pile up.
Seems like it’s something leg involved every year.