The Giants freed up some payroll space yesterday, trading left-hander Taylor Rogers to the Reds. They sent $6MM to Cincinnati in the deal but also freed up $6MM, with Rogers set to make $12MM this year. Since the Giants have been connected to some of the big names remaining in free agency, such as Pete Alonso and Jack Flaherty, some fans might have fairly wondered if the extra cash could be redirected to a new roster addition.
However, in the aftermath of the deal, president of baseball operations Buster Posey downplayed that possibility. “We’ll keep looking,” Posey said to Andrew Baggarly of The Athletic. “I will say, we feel pretty set with the roster the way it is right now.”
This is Posey’s first offseason in his current job, as he was just hired at the end of September. Unlike other baseball operations leaders, there’s no real track record to go off of, making it hard to gauge how the Giants would behave this winter. There were perhaps some clues, as Posey was apparently instrumental in the Matt Chapman negotiations, even before getting the POBO job. Then at his introductory press conference, he spoke of getting the Giants back into the “memory-making business.” He also spoke fondly of valuing runs batted in as a statistic, despite that measure falling out of favor over time.
That led to some hope that he would come in as an old-fashioned gunslinger type, though it’s been a fairly modest offseason on the whole. They did make a big strike with the Willy Adames signing, the largest contract in franchise history, but have been fairly quiet apart from that. Their most notable moves aside from Adames have been to sign Justin Verlander to a one-year deal and send out Rogers in what seems like a salary dump move.
It’s possible that this is a bluff from Posey, since it wouldn’t help with negotiations for him to come out and say he’s desperate to make further additions. But if he’s being truthful that the club is fairly content, then they will be mostly relying on internal improvements.
The Giants have finished with a win total in the 79-81 range in three straight years now. Adames is a nice boost but the Giants also lost Blake Snell, Michael Conforto and Mark Canha to free agency at the end of last year and have now taken Rogers out of the bullpen mix. Verlander could also help, but there are no guarantees of that after he posted a 5.48 earned run average last year. Injuries may have played a part in those struggles but health woes can pop up for any pitcher and Verlander is perhaps even more susceptible since he’ll turn 42 before the season starts.
The internal improvements could come from a few places. Jung Hoo Lee only got to play 37 games last year before requiring labrum surgery, so a full and productive season from him would be great. Wilmer Flores, Robbie Ray and Jordan Hicks were also held back by health issues to varying extents and could perhaps provide more in 2025 than last year. Tyler Fitzgerald and Heliot Ramos had midseason breakouts in 2024, so carrying those forward into a full season could lead to some extra wins. A bounceback from Camilo Doval after a rough 2024 would certainly be welcome. Young guys like Luis Matos and Marco Luciano could perhaps break out after their progress has lagged a bit in recent years.
If Posey’s stance is posturing, it’s possible there’s some financial wiggle room, at least relative to last year. Per Cot’s Baseball Contracts, the club started 2024 with a $208MM payroll and they eventually went on to pay the competitive balance tax. RosterResource currently projects them for just a $176MM payroll this year, $32MM south of last year. Their $217MM CBT projection is $24MM below this year’s $241MM base threshold.
It’s still possible for the club to sign someone like Flaherty or Alonso and stay under the tax and last year’s payroll. Alonso might end up making a salary near $24MM this year but the Giants could offset that somewhat by trading LaMonte Wade Jr. and the $5MM he’s owed. However, Baggarly has reported previously this winter that the Giants are planning to reduce payroll, so perhaps they have already made their most significant moves.
ATinz
lol!
NYCityRiddler
Wow, Posey is even dumber than Zaidi. Ahahahahaha!
oldgfan
But not as dumb as your jokes.
Redwolves3
Don’t forget Zaidi acquired La Stella, Pollock & Walton
SF6sparky
Based off of what? You must be really smart if you think he should tell everyone what his actual plans and thoughts are! Great poker player too??
DarkSide830
4th in the West!
Datashark
sometimes you gotta know your limitations and when to fold em.
Posey realizes they have little chance other than 4th place
MLB Top 100 Commenter
Feeling “pretty set” is not the same as feeling “pretty good”.
Like the difference between “one of the tattoo artists of the city” and “one of the best tattoo artists in the city”.
LOL
Nap Lajoie
Wow. Lots of giant haters here.
The year that diamondbacks went to the World Series they were picked fourth.
Giants could very easily squeeze into a wildcard spot .
oldgfan
Dude, you have no idea.
The SFG haters run hard.
Makes me sad for them at times.
El Kabong
@Nap Lajoie
This is off-topic, but Nap Lajoie was my mémère’s (French for grandmother) cousin. They were all from Canada and settled mainly in the New England cities of Worcester, Mass., and Woonsocket, R.I. Mémère lived with us for several years; unfortunately, I didn’t get any good Nap stories from her. All she knew was “he was always playing that baseball,” which wasn’t considered a respectable way of making a living then. I told her he was in the Hall of Fame, but she wasn’t impressed.
Texas Trev
Great family story – thanks for sharing!
El Kabong
The Diamondbacks were 52-110 two years earlier. The World Series champion Rangers were coming off 110 and 94-loss seasons.
MLB Top 100 Commenter
Nap
I don’t hate the Giants.
I like the city, San Francisco is beautiful except for a couple bad pockets, which every big city has.
I respect their accomplishments in 2010, 2012 and 2014.
I just evaluate the talent as I see it.
The Dodgers have the best 2025 team on paper that I have seen this generation. They may crash and burn in the playoffs, especially if rotation injuries impact the postseason, but they will win the division in the 2025 regular season.
The Padres have very solid core, some of those contracts may age poorly but they still look very good in 2025.
The Snakes have a very solid team.
The Phillies and Atlanta both look very good to me.
Position for position, the Giants don’t match up. Especially the rotation. In 2025. IMHO
MLB Top 100 Commenter
I like Ramos. But the outfield and DH mix includes McCray, Yaz and Encarnacion.
Fitzgerald strikes out a lot so I see a little regression in his stats.
Nothing indicates to me that the Giants – mnus Snell and plus Adames – will be better than they were in 2024. Look at the second half of 2024 for how Harrison, Hicks, and Birdsong did. Webb is a stud, Ray might bounce back a little, Verlander looked awful in 2024.
Jean Matrac
I think don’t think you have much consideration for the progress for young players. And, like a lot of fans, you just assume a player in one season defines who that player is.
Take Hicks. You seem to think who he was in the 2nd half is who he is. He went from a reliever to a starter, and it wasn’t until he got into uncharted waters in terms of innings pitched, that he tailed off after a dominating 1st half. Do you assume he isn’t stretched out more, and not better prepared for next season?
And it was only 1/2 season of Snell. Even though they aren’t comparable, but since you grouped them, a full season of Adames, along with the return of Lee should offset the lost 1/2 season of Snell.
A further season of development gives hope that Harrison can live up to his high prospect ranking. And coming back healthy from a lost season is Tristan Beck, who’s been good when healthy.
Birdsong had a bad Aug. (5 GS), not a bad 2nd half. In his 5 Sept. starts, he had a 3.91 ERA, with a .631 OPS against. Not bad for a guy that only turned 23 at the end of Aug.
Maybe they don’t contend in 2025, but short of bad injury luck, they will be better than they were in 2024.
belowme29
willthethrill22
I think Posey is posturing and still has one or two trucks up his sleeve. I guess time will tell.
BlueSkies_LA
Ouch!
Pete'sView
Thems gotta be pretty big sleeves.
oldgfan
Not really any FA difference makers left that would fit in with the current mix. They will need to replace Yaz by next year though. In a perfect world Luciano takes that spot. They could also still go hard after Robert at the deadline if Marco still looks iffy. I really don’t see the doom that others do, and think SFG could sneak into playoff contention. By 2026 for sure. Not far off with some young talent developing.
MLB Top 100 Commenter
I was thinking Matos or Luciano would replace Yaz, but I have not seen Luciano’s defense in OF
oldgfan
No one really has.
He needs to play there more before any decision can be made. Probably his best shot at making the roster though.
MLB Top 100 Commenter
His best shot making the roster is to hit really well and get at-bats at DH. Same for Encarnacion. Matos plays decent defense but his bat needs to jump to the next level.
oldgfan
I suspect Marco will not crack the roster this year at all. Really has not proven he can hit at the big league level, and needs to learn to play outfield. Should stay in AAA for that.
Matos might platoon with Yaz this year though. He had a good showing in winter ball.
MLB Top 100 Commenter
I think Luciano and Matos will both start the season in AAA. Yaz is a starter and Encarnacion is a backup on a short leash.
oldgfan
Matos vs Encarnacion will probably be decided in spring training. If they both get hot that would be great too.
Pete'sView
I think Marco is ALREADY ticketed for AAA to hone his OF experience. At least that’s the word out of the Giants FO.
Pete'sView
Or they sign Grichuk.
foppert3
Ha ha. Hopefully those trucks are filled with cash.
oldgfan
Might need it for Tucker next year !
I’m calling that target early.
stymeedone
But the Giants lost Snell, Conforto, and Canha.
I think they mean 1/2 a season of Snell. Canha is no big deal and Conforto was not irreplaceable.
Aaron Sapoznik
The current Giants roster is the envy of the…Colorado Rockies. It’s good enough for a comfortable 4th place finish in the NL West.
Orbitt
Buster Posey = Farhan Zaidi.
bag o ballz
no farhan moved a lot of part around for better or worse to try to improve, buster made a couple moves and not much else. this is more like buster posey = bobby evans
Pete'sView
Orbitt — Where did you learn to hate so early and so often? The two POBOs are nothing alike.
DarrenDreifortsContract
They basically hired Posey because he got along with the current roster lol.
TheBull
No. They hired Posey because he’s a hero with the fans and will be exempt from criticism
Which says a lot about ownership.
Giants ownership fired Zaidi. Did not conduct one interview with a qualified candidate. Then hire an ex MLB catcher with absolutely zero front office experience to run baseball operations
Unbelievable.
And whats sad is dumb gullible Giants fans will do exactly what ownership expects and not criticize Posey because they see Posey the player
while the rest of us see an ex Catcher with zero front office experience, learning on the job with a learning curve that will take 3-4 years with all the bumbling mistakes that go with that!
The San Francisco Giants organizationally are an absolute Mess
Cal2,632
Ageed 100% I’ll say this. Giants fans care about their team but they are total low information fans. I went to school up there and the baseball coverage / media is just awful. No critical analysis whatsoever. So, yes Buster will not be held accountable for anything by bay area writers and these fans will just assume that he’s doing a good job. Which of course is asinine.
Ask yourself this: If there was a GM or POB job available with any of the other 29 teams would Buster Posey even had gotten an interview let alone the JOB ? Hell no
MLB Top 100 Commenter
Bull and Cal
I agree that Posey was hired partly because he is a popular hero.
But I think the Giants fans – like most teams’ fans – are result oriented. Buster will not get a free ride if the Giants are in the 70s for wins the next couple years.I understand that the Dodgers have a dynastic team. But with what the Giants spend, they should be in the wildcard mix and for 2025, they are not.
scruffmcgruff
This feels more like something you say to put pressure on some free agents you had been negotiating with.
BlueSkies_LA
Just more evidence that a team’s PBO is not the person who makes the financial decisions.
Acoss1331
If the Giants had any interest in either Pete Alonso or Jack Flaherty, Posey pretty much gave those free agents a thanks but no thanks.
Pete'sView
And, as a Giants fan, I’m glad he did.
SF6sparky
How do you figure that? You think what he says to the press affects FA decisions?
Niekro floater
Pretty set ? Got holes on that team. Maybe set to finish .500.
Salzilla
I wish these company lines of we feel pretty set wasn’t a thing. They always feel disingenuous.
empirejim
With the Padres going in reverse the Giants need another starter and maybe they challenge for a wild card spot.
I know he’s a villain, and an absolute lightening rod for negative PR, but Trevor Bauer is out there just hoping for a chance to show he still belongs in MLB.
He’d be cheap and has the potential to step in to be a top of the rotation arm. Negative press will fade away eventually if he’s learned anything. One thing for sure, he’d make the Giants interesting to watch. Lots of upside for not much risk…
oldgfan
He’s playing in Japan this year which is also known as LAD minors.
Also, no way it ever happens in the bay.
Pete'sView
I think he’s in Korea, but your comment stands.
oldgfan
Thanks Pete, but it is Japan.
Still amazes me that people think he is still the same pitcher after not being in MLB for years. No stickem no good.
Cal2,632
Challenge for a wild card spot? Can you explain your analysis?
After a team wins the division in the NL Central, The Dodgers, Braves, Phillies , D-Backs Mets and Padres will be competing for the 2 other Division titles and the remaining 3 wild card spots.
So, who in that group do the Giants Bump?? You suggested the Padres. Ok assume they do that, There are still 3 teams ahead of them after the division titles are secure
Explain your reasoning?
Jean Matrac
Cal2,632, Your logic, of why the Giants have no chance at a WC berth, ignores history. That same logic could have been applied to the Tigers and Royals last season. Baseball is unpredictable. It’s a mistake to assume every team that was a contender last season will be again and vice versa.
empirejim
Cal, they dont have to bump all 3, just one. Braves, Phills, and Mets will be trading wins and losses all year, perhaps keeping win totals in an area the Giants could, if everything works right, approach. Padres are in full reverse. D=Backs added a pitcher and lost one of their better hitters. Not saying it’s easy, but I can see a path. Pitching is the path.
Bivouac-Sal
@empire
the Menendez brothers might be available soon.
Jean Matrac
The Giants need another starter? Why? They have Webb, Verlander, Hicks, Ray, and Harrison, with several starters promoted last season in Birdsong, Roupp, Winn, and Black, as well as the now healthy Beck, not to mention emergency starters in Hjelle, and Bivens. I’d say the one area that is least in need to be supplemented is the starting staff.
Pete'sView
Don’t forget Carson Whisenhunt.
Jean Matrac
I didn’t forget him, just not sure what’s going on with him. I know he was injured last season, and although supposedly ready for ST, it had to have set his development back. He isn’t on the 40-man roster, had he been I would have included him. Of course a good ST and he probably will be.
empirejim
Sorry to tell you, but an aging Verlander isnt scary anymore. Hicks and Ray pitched like back-end of the rotation guys last year. The rest are hopefuls, but thw thing with hopefuls is that one, rarely two, work out. You want to pin your hopes on that, it’s your call. After watching the Dodgers last season the one lesson that came through loud and clear was that there is no “enough” pitching. Just on the face of it, in my amateur estimation Bauer would clearly upgrade the rotation. I dont expect it to happen, was just kicking the tires on the idea.
Jean Matrac
Didn’t know you could see into the future to know that Verlander is so much diminished. Maybe he’s not “scary”, but he is only one year removed from a 131 ERA+ season.
Hicks was absolutely lights out until the innings beyond what he was used to piled up. To think that he didn’t learn from the experience, and the Giants haven’t better prepared him, is to assume he and team are stupid.
I agree that not all prospects work out, but when the Giants have the abundance that they do, then some should.
Since the Dodgers won the WS title, apparently they actually did have enough pitching.
Mentioning Bauer is like calls for a salary cap. It’s just beating a dead horse.
Candlestoked
I think you must know the Giants aint going to go there. No way no how.
El Kabong
The Giants cannot do much more now. No remaining free agents would make an impact, and they don’t have anyone who would bring anything significant back in a trade. They have a few good players, including three Top 100 players: Adames, Chapman, and Webb. However, they don’t have a strong identity as a team. This season should be about evaluating what they have while trying to put an entertaining product on the field.
Moonlight Graham
It would be a mistake to stand pat with the current roster. The lineup is basically eight deep; they don’t really have that ninth guy to fill the DH role. And then they would be back to cycling through the same Quadruple-A players if anyone gets hurt.
Maybe they’re expecting a leap from Luciano and/or Matos?
Or maybe, in actuality, there’s some room for one more bat, and this is just GM speak.
Baseballisthebest
Posey saying that the Giants are ok with not competing for a Wild Card in 2025.
El Kabong
Where did he say that?
foppert3
I can’t see them spending more cash. They extended themselves on the expense side of things last year and you can only imagine they got burnt on the P&L. I can’t imagine the season they had saw them getting the extra spend back in revenue. It’s what generally happens. You need to correct it.
I’m ok as is. The Dodgers are long gone, so getting behind a young team (plus Verlander) giving it a crack has decent appeal.
Jean Matrac
It’s entire possible this is not posturing by Posey. They need to find out what the have in a bunch of young arms, and position guys like Matos, McCray, and Luciano. And if they surprise people, Posey will have the ability to add payroll at the deadline.
foppert3
That’s where I’m at. They dropped plenty on Papago and development. They need to see what it has returned them.
Pete'sView
I still think they add Grichuck but getting to see more of Matos and McCray makes sense. Luciano is headed to AAA.
Jean Matrac
Yeah, the only thing keeping Luciano from starting the season in Sacramento is if he has a huge ST. So yeah, I think he ‘s ticketed for AAA.
Ezpkns34
I agree with them, doubt the Rockies can knock them out of 4th with this roster
Stan "The Boy" Taylor
200 million dollars to build a .500 club. Great job.
Yankee Clipper
Before Posey can make the team his own he has to work through the roster Zaidi put in place. I think Posey, if given time, will be much better than Zaidi. At the very least, Posey understand what type of on-the-field product it takes to win. Zaidi did not, imho. He was an analytical/value budget guy, or so it seemed. Posey understands the practical side of the business.
JayRyder
Well Said.
scottn59c
Hope that’s true, and yes, Posey deserves a chance to remake the team, which will not happen overnight. Locking up Adames and Chapman is a good foundation. I do understand that a number of the difference-making FAs still on the market are saddled with QOs that would further decimate an already weak farm. The farm is so weak because it graduated so many guys in the last year or two, like Matos, Ramos, Luciano, no to mention all the pitchers. It’s worth taking some time to see what they have there.
Samuel
“He (Buster Posey) also spoke fondly of valuing runs batted in as a statistic, despite that measure falling out of favor over time.”
–
Sure.
A bunch of unathletic people looking at spreadsheets and feeding the DATA (the holy grail, for sure) into query software using code they wrote, have determined after looking at the results that a statistic is now “out of favor”.
This is “journalism” in the USA (and world) today.
What could a former catcher (the most difficult position to play on a baseball team as well as the important player on the team) possibly know just because he was a 7-time All-Star, 3-time WS champion, NL MVP, GG Award Winner, 5-Time Silver Slugger award winner, Batting Champion, team leader on one of the best MLB dynasty’s of the past 40 years, and future Hall-Of-Famer, possibly know about building a winning MLB organization and team compared to some nerds fiddling with their computers 12 hours a day and emailing one another to create a narrative and than taking a shot at the future HOF’er as being out-of-touch pathetic dinosaur.
Long sentence. But deserved.
foppert3
The knowledge isn’t in doubt. It’s whether he has the skills to execute. His first crack at battling agents and executing FA seems ok. We can give him credit for Chapman Adames and Verlander. That’s a pass in my world. Battling other execs in trades I’m not so sure about. Might be a fair learning curve there. The “hyperactive” comment from another exec scared me a
bit but he eventually got a couple on the board. His a smart well put together guy. I’m sure he will get better at the role as time passes.