Outfielder Jurickson Profar landed with the Braves this week on a three-year, $42MM deal. Prior to that signing, he had interest from several clubs. On The Baseball Insiders podcast, Robert Murray lists the Blue Jays, Astros, Royals, Padres and Mets as teams that were in Profar’s market. Those first four club were connected to Profar in previous rumors but the Mets’ interest is new.
The Mets have already made a few tweaks to their outfield mix this winter. One of them was the massive Juan Soto deal, though they also acquired Jose Siri from the Rays. As of now, the group feels a bit crowded. Siri and Tyrone Taylor could share center field and fourth outfield duties while Soto and Brandon Nimmo are clear regulars in the corners. Starling Marte and Jesse Winker are also on the roster and perhaps profile best as designated hitters but both are still capable of playing the outfield somewhat.
Back in December, the Mets reportedly offered Teoscar Hernández a two-year deal, indicating a willingness to add to the outfield. However, that was before Winker was re-signed. The fact that they apparently hung around the Profar market even with Winker on the roster suggests a willingness to continue adding.
Given that the group is already a bit crowded, that would likely have to come with subtraction. Marte has been in trade rumors this winter with the Mets reportedly willing to pay down part of his salary. He is set to make $19.5MM this year in the final season of his four-year contract. No club is going to take on all of that. Marte is now 36 years old and has battled injuries in each of the past two seasons, which has led to declining defensive metrics. His offense was rough in 2023 but bounced back to roughly league average last year.
With Nimmo and Soto set to be in the corners, perhaps the idea was to have Profar be the designated hitter fairly regularly while occasionally taking the field to give Nimmo or Soto a break. Profar’s defensive metrics in left field aren’t strong, with -9 Defensive Runs Saved and -24 Outs Above Average in his career, so perhaps that would have been a good deployment of his bat. Hernández is also not a great defender, so perhaps the thinking was the same there. Nimmo has played lots of center field in his career but his marks up the middle have been declining and he’s about to turn 32, so it seems unlikely that was a strong consideration.
It’s also possible that Profar could have seen some time at first base. That hasn’t been his primary position but he does have 466 career innings there, spread out across various seasons. As has been well documented by now, the Mets and Pete Alonso have been in a staredown of sorts this winter and he remains unsigned.
The Mets seem to have some hesitancy about committing long-term to Alonso when they also want to have opportunities available for guys like Mark Vientos, Brett Baty, Ronny Mauricio and Luisangel Acuña. Adding Profar was perhaps a bit of a better fit in that regard, since his ability to play the outfield would make him a slightly more versatile part of the roster compared to Alonso.
If the Mets have interest in other outfielders, there isn’t anyone of Profar’s caliber left in free agency. Soto, Profar, Hernández, Anthony Santander, Tyler O’Neill and others have come off the board this winter. Most of the remaining free agents are role players like Harrison Bader, Randal Grichuk or Mark Canha. If the Mets just want a bat, reuniting with Alonso is one straightforward path, though guys like J.D. Martinez and Justin Turner are out there. Guys like Luis Arráez, LaMonte Wade Jr. and Rhys Hoskins could potentially be available on the trade market.
RosterResource projects the club for a $297MM payroll and $293MM competitive balance tax number. Last year, they got those numbers to $336MM and $346MM respectively, so the club could still have some powder dry for a late strike if they are willing to get to similar levels.
mlbnyyfan
Mets can have DJL for 6 baseballs
Smacky
Funny that Soto’s contract is worth more than the contracts of Atlanta’s starting lineup.
carlos15
Not in AAV and not close.
Sid Bream Speed Demon
Of course not in AAV, he’s one dude. But total contractual obligations.
SportsFan0000
Mets are foolish to give Soto 700M+.
Soso is below average defense.
His arm is weak for RF
He did not carry the NYY to the World Series Championship.
“Waiting for walks with men on many bases”
and not driving in runs in critical situations?!
Watching fastballs go by right down the middle of the plate!?
Sat behind home plate more than a few times
watching Soto hit ( or should I say wait for walks?!)
up close.
It was very frustrating seeing rallies die because Soto’s approach
was to protect his BA, OPS and WAR.
Yankees may have won the World Series if Soto stepped up his game and got more clutch hits.
Talented hitters can hit and place any ball in our out of the strike zone.
MLB has gone “stats crazy”.
Overrated, overpaid,
HARD PASS ON SOTO!
KnicksFanCavsFan
@Sports
I hate the fact that Soto left us, but fam, you’re bugging. Soto has incredible… ICONIC level command of the strike zone. Historically, his 19% walk rate is bested by only Ted Williams, Barry Bonds, and Babe Ruth (and some dude named Max Bishop). He was the perfect guy to hit in front of Judge. Judge drove him in 33x last year. But let’s not act as if Soto didn’t hit 41 homers last year. And while I love Judge, he’s the guy that struggled the entire post- season while Soto had an OPS over 1.000 and had a slugging % well over .600+. Obviously, he’s the wrong guy to point a finger at.
YourDreamGM
He can’t throw and can’t run. But what can he do? Pete? Do I care if it’s a hit or a walk?
KnicksFanCavsFan
@Your
Ahhh… movie reference? nice. I was like, “who’s Pete”, then I got it.
YourDreamGM
It would have been AWFUL for Yankees to sign Soto. There attendance is already maxed out. Toronto Boston Mets have room to grow. I’m sure Stearns knows Soto isn’t actually worth 800m for his baseball. But he probably will put 100k 200k more people in seats. And once they are there they won’t leave without reason. If anything Soto and willingness to spend $ and a good gm will keep them winning, deeper playoff runs, and attendance will continue to grow. Mets had a huge advantage over Yankees.
elgranrojo44
You was NEVER getting pass Dodgers bro… Ya had zero chance… Also let’s not forget that bottom 5th and what JUDGE failed at, not Soto.
Getgone2
Haha damn
johncoltrane
just sign pete 3 yrs 90 mil for f sake
end this stalemate !
can still sign vladdy for 500mil in 9 months
then trade alonso or keep him at DH
ReyDay
You’d be a terrible GM, who’s gonna want to trade for Alonso at 30M aav? He can barely sign a contract this year for much less.
johncoltrane
if it was 30 mil for 8 years then i’d say that sounds crazy
but 3 years (or 2 if they try to trade him after 2024) is totally reasonable.
why is everyone writing him off suddenly??? 3 months ago prediction was $125 mil. now he’s not worth a bucket of sunflower seeds?
MetsSchmets
His value is probably somewhere between 30M and a bucket of sunflower seeds
Ducey
How big is the bucket?
ReyDay
Nobody writing him off he’s just not worth 30MM, look at what Santander just signed it’s nothing even close to 30MM and he’s Pete’s closest comparison.
ManInThePlanet
Every corner power bat this off-season has earned an AAV between $16m — $22m
Teoscar
Santander
Oneil
Walker
….how is Alonso that much better than any of these guys?
RunDMC
add in Jurickson’s 14M AAV
MRSHOWTIME
3 years 70 million a 1 opt out
YourDreamGM
3 years 60 million and 1 dollar. You got $1 more than Walker! Boras sets the market yet again!
MLB Top 100 Commenter
John
Three years at $30 million if there are no opt-outs and Alonso can only block trades to 4-5 teams seems fair. With an opt-out after each year, I would say 25-25-25. On December, I predicted 30-30-30 with an opt out after each year, but I think that ship has sailed. You lose $5 million with the opt-outs but if I were Alonso I would take the less amount and the opt-outs. If he is as washed up as some think, he will still get a decent pay day. If he is good, maybe he can get three years at $30 a year later. He overestimated the market once the Astros, Diamondbacks and Yankees acted, it left Mets, Jays, Angels, and Giants. Mariners and Pirates were never going to consider him.
YourDreamGM
30m a year! For Pete’s sake! He better master the Roger Beshens Football Slider!
pepenas34
1 year 32MM, why 3 years if you want to trade him next year?
Make him bet on himself, take the QO away.
ManInThePlanet
You want the Mets to big against themselves?
SalaryCapMyth
In three years Soto might need that DH spot. He’s already a pretty terrible fielder.
Bill M
The thing about Turner is that he can still play some 1b.
oldguyG
Last year nobody wanted ProVAR.Good for him
jeffmaz
The Padres wanted him but only for a 1 or 2 year deal. At the end of the season, Profar’s knees were so messed up he couldn’t even walk. I’m pretty sure he didn’t get surgery. Did his knees magically heal?
bhd360
HEY! That’s the Blue Jays schtick, back off!
carlos15
Cohen drove the Soto deal and now Stearns is back to being a Milwaukee GM making minor league deals and missing on everyone he can’t get way below market value.
rct
We don’t know how much actual interest they had in Profar. For starters, Stearns doesn’t leak. But think of it as a chess game with Alonso. Alonso has meetings with the Blue Jays and Angels, Mets counter that they were meeting with Profar and (earlier today) the story that they’re prepping Vientos and Baty to be 1st and 3rd bases. Cat and mouse game.
mlb fan
“We don’t know how much actual interest they had”…Apparently, it wasn’t too much “interest” or otherwise they’d have signed him. “Interest” doesn’t always actually amount to real, honest to God interest.
rct
@mlb fan: Exactly. Kicking the tires doesn’t necessarily mean they actually thought about signing him. And leaking that they had “interest” (when they maybe didn’t) to put pressure on Alonso could be a move.
KnicksFanCavsFan
@rct
My guy, it’s one thing to pass on their offer last year in hopes of a better offer, but as of Jan 24th, it’s close to decision time. If Alonzo hasn’t accepted the Mets offer of 3/$90 then it should be clear that either he harbors resentment towards the team or he had guaranteed offers, maybe more than one, that he is considering. I’m willing to bet he signs for better than $90 mil guaranteed. We can say what we want about Boras, but he’s smart enough to know what they have is what they have.
ReyDay
@Knicks
Just to clarify the 90MM was Alonso offer to the Mets with multiple opt outs. The Mets offer was 3 years around 68-70MM with no opt outs.
KnicksFanCavsFan
@Rey
You’re right but it was reported that his offer was exclusively to the Mets. I interpret that as he wanted to come back and that was the least he would accept. If it was exclusive to them then my guess is he has a better offer from another team. Reasonable?
ReyDay
I just don’t see what team is gonna give him a better offer than 3 years and 70MM at this point unless they include opt outs. Nobody really needs him besides the Mets. If I was him I’d go back at 30MM for 1 year and bet on myself again in a lineup with Soto and Lindor prob your best bet.
foppert3
@knicksfan
Smart enough for sure. I think the question is if he is humble enough to backtrack on the expectation he has given the player. People blame the player for the high expectation without appreciating where that expectation has come from.
MLB Top 100 Commenter
Acuna and Mauricio are both superior to Baty IMHO
MetsSchmets
Carlos that’s glib but either way minimizing risk is exactly what I want in a GM/POBO.
ManInThePlanet
Every owner was driving the Soto deal. A deal of that magnitude has to be approved by ownership group.
3768902
I’ll make sure they get partial credit.
icantstandyous
Notice how many players Mets had interest in this offseason that they didn’t get? Stearns approach is pathetically obvious. Offer every single free agent a low ball deal and maybe some will bite. How pathetic. A team with this many resources. Then you know when they fail miserably and they fired him, he’ll complain that cohen forced Soto on him. Guaranteed. Looks like Soto will be left unprotected unless you view Nimmo as protection.
mlb fan
“Stearns approach is pathetically obvious…Offer every single free agent a low ball deal”….Yes, it’s certainly “pathetic” how Stearns & Cohen lowballed Juan Soto into that “pathetic” $765M deal. I’m surprised they weren’t charged with robbery.
And to top it off, Stearns & Cohen offered Soto “only” one premium luxury suite big enough to fit his whole extended family. That’s practically an insult, all things considered.
KnicksFanCavsFan
@mlb
That’s absolutely not what he’s inferring. He said, “didn’t get.” Since signing Soto, they’ve been bargain shopping. I could maybe understand playing hard ball or being unwilling to drop $150-$200 mil on Alonzo or Bregman but they’re send to be plenty of other guys that were available for more modest sums and years that they couldn’t nab. True it takes two to tango but I would think teams would love to hit in a lineup with Soto and Lindor. It’s showing a disconnect. Was Soto a flex for Cohen like so many of his Picassos or Rembrandts or was it their philosophy of getting the best player that money can buy? The Mets greatest strength is financial. They have the capacity to take reasonable risks and absorb a bad contract. He’s acting like there’s a hard salary cap. It’s like he wants to prove he can be a great GM on a budget. Unless Cohen has put him on a financial leash, then he’s vomiting a dereliction of his duties by not spending better talent.
MetsSchmets
“but they’re send to be plenty of other guys that were available for more modest sums and years that they couldn’t nab”
Oh jeez, I’m sure he didn’t know about “other guys”.
KnicksFanCavsFan
@Mets
Not sure what that’s supposed to mean. Can you clarify?
MetsSchmets
Johnny Utah
SportsFan0000
Just about every team checks out all available players and some not known to be available.
That is one of the major purposes of the MLB offseason meetings and conventions to set the table and generate interest for present and future deals and do roster construction for the coming baseball year.
Manks/Yets
Leave it alone. Let the youth play; grab Rizzo & Iglesias as discount backups to get the team to the trade deadline if they all play poorly. Live a little!
Salzilla
Surprised they haven’t brought in Soto’s buddy Verdugo. Fits the need of a good left fielder.
ghostofmookiebetts
verdugo is lucky if he can hit 3B on two bounces from left field
KnicksFanCavsFan
@Ghost
Verdugo has a cabin of an arm. It’s his route taking that’s shaky.
ghostofmookiebetts
I don’t think I saw him hit 2B once in the air from RF at Fenway. He’s garbage.
websoulsurfer
And a cannon of an arm. 94th percentile arm strength.
baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/alex-verdugo-…
ghostofmookiebetts
I’ll take the 593 games of my eye test over some numbers geek’s b.s. algorithm created on his third cousin’s Commodore 64 thanks.
websoulsurfer
Of course you would. It’s what everyone that knows absolutely nothing about baseball says.
I bet you believe the radar gun in the stadium though.
Here are the facts.
baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/arm-strength?ty…
You can believe what actually happened or you can believe your eyes. It’s up to you.
ghostofmookiebetts
So, I guess watching the ball bounce and roll into the infield time and time again was just my imagination. I forgot that analytics are perfect…oh wait, they’re not and they’re mainly for people with no life that play fantasy games.
DugoutJester
You must be the fan favorite at Thanksgiving
AL B DAMNED
If the Mets had interest in Profar, then they should have signed him!! Steve Cohen has more money than the other 29 teams combined! Attn Mets fans: Quit whining about Pete Alonzo! Cohen and Stearns don’t want him or they would have already signed him! Money is no object, just the interest is not there! Juan Soto deal was a drop in the bucket for Cohen! Next Mets signee to look out for is Max Scherzer… so they can trade him at the deadline to get more younger prospects…if he is not on the Injured List! They won’t care about the money lost as long as they can add to the farm system!
Chris Sabo Rec Specs
Putting all their chips into signing Vladdy next year. I’d much rather have Pete for 100M than Vlad at $500M.
SportsFan0000
Profar had one great year at the age of what 31?
He may be due for some regression this year.
Wish him well.
But, he has had many, many MLB seasons with average or below stats.
Not convinced that he can replicate it.
Congrats to him on his new deal.
Great retirement nest egg if he invests it well.
YourDreamGM
2025 2026 2027 are the only years that matter. He hit the ball drastically harder in 2024. No stats from any year before that matter because he didn’t have the same swing any other year. 2024 stats don’t matter. Only ? is do you believe he can keep hitting the ball that hard? Atlanta does. And if correct he will be a absolute bargain.
JackStrawb
Profar also had a 3-win year in 2022.
He only has to be half as good in each year of his deal with the Braves as he was in 2024 by fWAR, to be worth his contract.
It’s too bad his defense is weak. The deal is far more volatile vs if he was just average.
terry g
Other than curiosity, these types of articles are really useless.
JackStrawb
The Mets don’t give a xxxx about Alonso. Jaysus, get over it.
The Mets interest in bats who can fake LF suggests uncertainty as to how well Nimmo’s going to come back from the injuries in 2024, but they haven’t resolved that unless the backup plan is McNeil in LF and Acuna-Baty-Mauricio at 2B / 3B.
YaGottaBelieveAgain
Only Stearns second year. He has an approach/strategy he is sticking to.
Certain news leaks out after the fact and many rumors before a signing or a trade is humans playing chess or poker. Hard to know what is real and what is a bluff – Some GMs spinning tales and maybe trying to save face with the fans making PR statements.
Signing Soto at almost any cost was Cohen’s call.
I find many NYM post season moves quizzical like being in a hurry to sign Severino last year and Montas and Holmes this year. Was he afraid another team was going to snap them up early for a higher price? Were they irreplaceable pieces to the puzzle? SMH.
I really don’t blame them with the Alonso negotiations but they risk getting a type of reputation that may hurt them in future.
I think a lot changes may come in the next CBA (after 2026 season)
I know they had interest in some top guys.
I can understand staying away from long term contracts 5 years plus but ?
Despite the mysterious strategy IF they get one more B- bat – at 1B, 3B or DH I think they will be fine. I think they really want to see what they have in their young players. Can almost 7 rookies play a significant role in 2025?
They can always make a trade or 2 at ST or mid season if only to free up some roster spots and eliminate some redundancy at some positions.
Curiouser and curiouser.
As the Apple Turns . . .
dave frost nhlpa
Sure they were. In on everyone,got no one.
Notice they have gone Thriftpon since signing Soto.
gcg27
They are saving money for a trade for Vladimir this year or to sign him as a free agent. That’s why they are only offering so much for Alonso
Flyby
There is one thing that everyone seems to be missing on valuation. He has a qualifying offer tied to him so the mets are the ones that can offer him the most without factoring in the cost of said pick So whatever dollar per year you want to throw out those teams are going to want to lower their dollars since it lowers their prospect value and pool money.
Also majority of the big dollar teams have 1st base tied up for atleast a year for them. Unless Alonso has changed his 1b only stance he really reduces his value to many other teams as outside of the Mets who can spend 30M a year on a 1b that actually need one. 25M a year without opt outs and limited trade (especially considering walkers deal) sounds about right. Maybe 22.5 per with opt outs and 20 with opt out and no trade. Then tie in incentives that could bring it to 30 like games played or HR / average. I think that would be a perfectly fair offer to both sides and makes the mets a little more comfortable to sign the deal.
SalaryCapMyth
This is going to be a surprise to you. I had to look it up myself but the Padres did not extend Profar a qualifying offer.
Flyby
What is going to a bigger surprise is that only the team that he played for last are the ones that can offer him the most without factoring the cost of the pick. Last i checked that wasnt the mets 🙂
But you know who did, which the majority of the replies are in here is related to? Pete Alonso whom he did get a qualifying offer from the mets and can sign him without a penalty and was worth it and also played 1b. I know shocker right.
Also no its no surprise at all profar didnt get a qualifying offer from the Padres, i think everyone knew that he wasnt going to get one.
SalaryCapMyth
I thought you were talking about Profar. You were talking about Alonso. Okay.
gcg27
Because they would have been stuck with Profar for an unreal 22 million this year. They weren’t that stupid
SalaryCapMyth
Prices are higher this off-season and will only go up. I don’t think $22 million is as expensive as it has been in the past.
solaris602
Profar was about 2 years late to the party in SD. If he was in this position 2-3 years ago, they would have paid him. Now they could only afford him at that $1M price point which is only a memory. Never been a Profar fan, but I do have to give him props for staying on the field. He has his ups and downs, but he’s almost always available.
Indianfan
Another totally worthless and downright stupid “had an interest” story.