Corbin Burnes’ six-year, $210MM contract with the Diamondbacks stands out as perhaps the most surprising move of the 2024-25 offseason, as Arizona wasn’t viewed as a prime contender to either spend that much money, or even make a move for a frontline pitcher given the depth already present in the Snakes’ rotation.
As revealed today during Burnes’ introductory press conference, the concept of Burnes joining the D’Backs also seemed unlikely to all parties involved at the start of the offseason. Past reports suggested that it was Burnes and his agent Scott Boras who reached out to the D’Backs to ignite talks in late December and a deal was reached in fairly short order, and this version of events was largely supported in comments to media (including the Arizona Republic’s Nick Piecoro, Sports Illustrated’s Tom Verducci, and MLB.com’s Steve Gilbert) today.
Burnes and his family live in Scottsdale, and there was obvious appeal in playing so close to home, especially after Burnes’ wife Brooke gave birth to twin girls this past June. While Burnes had interest in playing for the Diamondbacks, there wasn’t much or any contact between the two sides until Boras contacted owner Ken Kendrick in December about the possibility of a signing. Boras and Kendrick seemingly handled this initial set of negotiations directly, as D’Backs GM Mike Hazen and assistant GM Amiel Sawdaye were both out of country on family vacations.
The result was the priciest contract in Diamondbacks franchise history, and a payroll that now sits at roughly $193.6MM, as per RosterResource’s estimates. Kendrick admitted that the D’Backs were “stretching the budget” to make the Burnes deal work, but he pointed to such new revenue streams as a sponsored jersey patch, a ballpark sportsbook, and more concerts at Chase Field, plus the more traditional extra funds generated by increased attendance.
“All of those things drive the train, and then what do we do? Every dollar that comes in we’re going to reinvest it in ballplayers and not in the ownership, and we will always do that,” Kendrick said.
Burnes wasn’t entirely off the Diamondbacks’ radar at the start of the offseason, as Sawdaye said in an appearance on the Baseball Isn’t Boring podcast today that the front office had “heard through intermediaries, and other players” that Burnes had interest in playing close to home. Internally, Sawdaye said “we had some discussion and it seemed financially it wasn’t going to be able to work or make sense.”
However, with Kendrick and CEO Derrick Hall pushing things and Burnes remaining unsigned, Sawdaye said the front office essentially asked ” ’well, what’s the price going to be?’ We’d be doing ourselves a disservice to a player who wants to come here, and obviously we should find out what that’s going to cost.”
As hefty as Burnes’ contract is, Boras said there was “no question” the right-hander turned down larger offers from other teams. Past reports indicated that the Blue Jays and possibly the Orioles were willing to top Arizona’s offer, though Burnes said today that he’d only received concrete offers from the Jays and Giants, plus “some verbal stuff with Baltimore and Boston, but nothing I had seen in writing.”
Verducci’s piece includes a longer breakdown of how Burnes’ free agent trip developed, with Toronto, Boston, and the Yankees all expressing interest right at the start of free agency. Various discussions took place with all parties over the next several weeks, with Corbin and Brooke Burnes prioritizing how signing with each prospective suitor would impact their young family’s day-to-day routine. The Yankees and Red Sox seemed to fall back in the chase after the teams had respectively landed Max Fried and Garrett Crochet to address their pitching needs, which helped clear the way for the D’Backs to emerge with a late bid.
Hey man good for him he gets to stay close to home for a little less scratch. Hopefully the D’Backs can turn it back around this year.
Hey how you doing?
Taco – Agreed. And it’s so nice to see a team that doesn’t manipulate the fan base with leaked stories about bogus free agent pursuits. There wasn’t anything mentioned about Arizona’s interest in Burnes, as it should be. Hazen is a classy guy, a man of integrity. As is Kendrick.
The Front Office and manager is another reason I like the Diamondbacks. The Angels could take some lessons.
I mean, Kendrick publicly disparages his players on the local sport’s radio outlet. He makes character insinuations when they aren’t playing well. I don’t think he warrants the compliment the way Hazen might.
Wagner – Fair point, he definitely crossed the line with Monty. Has he done it to other players though?
Some other teams, such as mine, do it via leaks. At least Kendrick doesn’t hide behind the media etc.
Justin Upton; he publicly disparaged Upton and the DBacks settled for pennies on the dollar when trading him to the Braves.
He did it back in the day with Justin Upton and Stephen Drew.
Upton should’ve been a franchise lifer. He was always a quiet guy who had just finished building a home in AZ. He wanted to settle down.
Same with Goldschmidt.
The team will never build an entrenched fan base unless they have some excellent, borderline HOF players who play the majority of their careers in AZ.
Totally forgot about the Drew remarks; granted, he never really was quite the same after that injury, so you couldn’t really point only at Kendrick at a lack of value.
Having to settle for Martin Prado+ for Upton hurt something fierce, though. You would’ve thought KK would’ve learned from that one lol
wagner – Thanks, I wasn’t aware.
Okay I withdraw my compliment of him!
While that may be true,. I can think of 20+ other team fans who would love to see their owner make this kind of statement:
“All of those things drive the train, and then what do we do? Every dollar that comes in we’re going to reinvest it in ballplayers and not in the ownership, and we will always do that,” Kendrick said.
Pois – They had a $30M profit in 2022 and a $33M profit in 2023.
Actions speak louder than words.
Listen as a diehard dbacks fan I am so excited and a little nervous. For teams Like Arizona if this doesn’t work out then we end up giving up for a few years to get back to budget. That’s why other dodgers drive me crazy cause all those years of not winning and still spending. But I am proud of Arizona for trying. His velocity is a little down but I hope he is being more of a pitcher now. Need to get those cutters. Rather 6 ks and 7 innings of 2 runs then 10 k 5 2/3 of 4 runs.
I’m listening.
His velocity isn’t down, where do you get that information. Check stat savvy sites such as FanGraphs.
@Lets
I think he meant his strikeouts. His velocity is still good, but his k/9 and k% have declined 5 years in a row.
Knicks – Actually only 4 years in a row. But check out his BB/9 and BB% they have both gone way down during the same period. That’s because he’s painting more and challenging with heat less. It’s a good sign.
He’s pitching more I mean. He isn’t trying to blow people away like he used to. He can still throw 98 but he isn’t using it all the time every time. He has to learn to pitch like Greinke did
As an Os fan I just watched him take the mound and compete every 5 days for the entire season. He had one mediocre stretch of 3 starts and every other start was dominant. This is a great signing
As a Brewers fan, Burnes pitches well throughout the year but is not to be trusted when it counts. He has a history of losing big games.
Spahn, can you cite some examples?
Burnes’ career post-season ERA is 2.33 in 9 games, with a 0.852 WHIP. and 25K in 27 IP!
So that’s not really a “history of losing big games”, it’s a history of “team didn’t score any runs for him”
“Some verbal stuff”… Like Verbal Kent? Like og Kiser Soza?!
…and just like that…he was gone.
Yeah you know. Like oral stuff.
A ballpark sport book? How far we’ve fallen.
This statement coming from a username of Jizzrael
Really just come full circle.
The Brooklyn Grays were founded by a casino owner who had a drinking hall back in the 1880s. A half dozen names later they are the Dodgers.
Half the Negro League was owned by guys operating numbers games.
Gambling has always been around baseball. We just don’t want players and managers gambling because that leads to thrown games.
Gambling nearly killed baseball multiple times which is why they became so against it. Baseball should stay away from gambling. Chesterton’s Fence and all of that.
“… Every dollar that comes in we’re going to reinvest it in ballplayers and not in the ownership, and we will always do that…” Kendrick said. Interesting concept…
Let’s see the financials on that. So they’re basically operating as a not for profit? Seems unlikely.
Non profits generally don’t increase in value, certainly not like a ML team.
Taco – The Yankees basically broke even in 2023. Not every team is fixated on making huge profits every year like my team is.
And apparently none into the stadium.
Boras finds another owner sucker to overpay for a pitcher
He ain’t worth 35 million a year
There’s a rumour floating around out there that if you cry more, she’s gonna come back.
Boras got the dbacks owner on Montgomery and Kendrick still okayed $200 million for Burnes? Scotty must be really convincing
“I think that just shows you that Scott does a good job of individualizing his clients and knowing that he’s got to continue to have a relationship with these owners and these GMs,” Burnes says.
I mean the guy reps most of the better players so they have to have some kind of relationship of they don’t want to be frozen out of the fa market for the foreseeable future
Nothing I Had Seen In Writing should be the title of this era of Red Sox history.
$$$$$$
You’ll never get time back and your kids are only little once. Not that he’s a hero for taking “only” $210 million but at least he has his priorities straight.
Agree 100%. As someone who’s crept into middle age, you realize time is not unlimited. Make the most of the time you have and don’t chase money that won’t make a difference.
Damn wish he owned the Mariners
“All of those things drive the train, and then what do we do? Every dollar that comes in we’re going to reinvest it in ballplayers and not in the ownership, and we will always do that,” Kendrick said.
Makes a fan just wanna hug an owner. Stanton would put this on his list of “things I’ll never say”. He doesn’t give a rip about out the people that support his club.
There’s an article out there where Stanton said that fans don’t understand how it works and how they have a budget to operate under. They want us to do more but.. Yada Yada. you see this kind of stuff from the DBacks plus the unbeatable ball park pass for $299 and you have one of the best ownership groups who care about the fans. You could easily spend $299 just for 1 game in Seattle. DBacks are what the Ms should be.
“Well, they offered an ungodly sum of money n I was thinking life is better w/tons of money than not, so sure we’ll call Phoenix home. I’m the king of Arizona.”
These decisions are not made by the player alone. We tend to misunderstand that it’s family effort .
Twins? Bless them. That’s a lot of work.
There is a difference between making a verbal offer and making a written one.to a player and his agent. Reporters only get that an offer was made and duly reported it. The player however considered the verbal offer as basically not a real offer..
This was added to my personal GM BS speak dictionary.
There is nothing wrong with Burnes’ pitching ….velocity…etc
The only issue I had was him being able to control the run game…he couldn’t…but he is matched up to a Gold Glove catcher …it should be interesting to see how that works out
Every dollar that comes in we’re going to reinvest it in ballplayers and not in the ownership, and we will always do that
—
Shoot, I think I just became a dbacks fan.
Hitters have figured out how to hit his cutter so it’s up to him to make adjustments with that pitch that and probably needs to throw his change and slider more
3 straight yrs he’s seen drop in velo plus he’s got a ton a miles on that arm n body. He’s bulldog but seems to be on descent n they just mortgaged the farm to bring em in. Big expectations.
Friendly tip: I’d recommend looking a little deeper into the numbers before settling on a narrative
That 3 straight year drop in FB velocity is coincidentally the exact same time frame as when Burnes started shelving his 4S FB (dropped beneath 1% usage in ’22, and hasn’t thrown one in either season since).
His remaining two fastball types (which he almost always throw more anyways) actually just both had the highest average velocity in Corbin’s career. Could it drop? Sure, he’s heading into his 30’s, but it’s not currently dropping.
As far as the “wear and tear” goes, it’s easy to forget, but Burnes started his MLB career in the BP and had a relatively expected progression to his innings load (and it’s not like he had an early start to his MLB career either); this isn’t exactly a Madison Bumgarner situation, where he started as an MLB workhorse from age 20. Normal pitching concerns apply, but I don’t personally see anything to suggest that he’s at risk of breakdown.
Also, the dude averaged 6 IP per start, at 94 pitches per start, and went at least 7 IP 9 times (coincidentally the same number of times he went less than 6 IP; and of those 9 times, he only missed that 6 IP threshold by 1 out on 3 occasions). He’s not throwing pitches by the boatload to get those outs.
And the final point about “mortgag(ing) the farm”: he only costed money and a draft pick. Granted, that draft pick and the associated draft capital was useful, but the DBacks also just got an extra pick when the Astros signed Walker (and the DBacks are not currently subject to Luxury Tax penalties).
Individual perspectives are always appreciated in a place like this (at least I appreciate them), but please dig a bit deeper before speaking with any degree of certainty about topics that you’re not well-versed in.
Well researched. Good job, fellow D-Back fan.
Impressive piece of analysis. Go you !
An outstanding signing for the team. I’d still like to see them find a way to add another bat, maybe Alonso on a short term/opt out/prove it deal (Naylor to DH), or Bregman on a 5 or 6 year deal if his market comes down (move Geno to 1B and Naylor to DH). They scored a lot of runs last year, but they statistically don’t have a lot of “clutch” hitters and they lacked consistency as well. Obviously Alonso doesn’t provide much in the way of consistency the way Bregman would, aside from power, but the ceiling of the offense would certainly go up in both cases. And let’s be honest, if you’re signing Burnes, you’re going for it. And in this division and league, you need all the firepower you can get.
Although I’m a big fan of going all in, Pavin Smith’s lack of options and how well he hit the ball last season (in a small sample, granted) pretty much guarantees him the DH spot.
I’m sure you’ll appreciate this, but here is all of the DBacks players’ platoon wRC+s (vs RHP will be listed first):
-C Moreno: 102/116
-1B Naylor: 124/104
-2B Marte: 130/190
-3B Suarez: 113/119
-SS Perdomo: 98/109
-LF Gurriel Jr.: 92/144
-CF McCarthy: 115/96
-RF Carroll: 112/95
-DH Smith: 148/108
Also worth noting:
-Adrian Del Castillo showed plenty of offensive upside (so much so that a number of people are wanting to see him get DH reps, but that’s unlikely unless Naylor/Smith are injured/moved; Naylor is a FA after this season, though FWIW)
-Alek Thomas had ridiculous xStats during his MLB time, but his complete inability to lift the ball neutered all potential production (if he can get that sorted out, all of the peripherals of an above average offensive player are there)
-Jordan Lawlar had a mostly lost season, but he’s still right on the edge of regular MLB playing time and still has all of the tools that got him drafted; it’s yet to be determined how valuable he can be at the highest level and he won’t get regular reps without a 2B/3B/SS injury/move, but he’s a potential impact bat right on the cusp as well (reminder, that Suarez is also a FA after this season)
Sorry for the length, but my point seems to be that the DBacks are already pretty settled as far as everyday reps goes, and the bench might wind up hiding a couple more good bats. I’d honestly be fine if the offseason ended today (but I won’t say no to more moves); excited for the depth here.
Twin girls. Corbin is going to need every dollar.
Bit of human in the baseball story. Nice. Makes a nice change from the usual numbers focus.
Memo to Tom Ricketts: if the DBacks can do this so can the Cubs.