There has been plenty of trade speculation surrounding the Diamondbacks’ Jordan Montgomery and the Cubs’ Cody Bellinger this offseason, as both players have outsized salaries and are somewhat imperfect roster fits on their respective clubs. These same issues have seemingly led to a rather quiet trade market for either player to date, though USA Today’s Bob Nightengale writes that Arizona “tried to get the Cubs interested in a swap” involving the two players. It isn’t known if the proposed deal was a straight one-for-one trade or if other players were involved, though it could be a moot point since the Cubs apparently didn’t have much interest.
Bellinger chose to pass on his opt-out clause in the wake of only an okay 2024 season, leaving him on Chicago’s roster through the 2026 season for $52.5MM in remaining salary. This breaks down as $27.5MM in 2025, and then Bellinger can either opt out of the final year of the deal and pocket a $5MM buyout on his way back to free agency, or he can again forego the opt-out clause and earn $25MM in 2026.
Montgomery also decided against opting out of the final year of his two-year deal Arizona, and will receive $22.5MM for the 2025 season. Whereas a case could’ve been made for Bellinger to test the market again this winter, there was no doubt Montgomery would be staying in his contract in the wake of a disastrous first season with the D’Backs. Montgomery signed with Arizona just before Opening Day and then struggled to a 6.23 ERA over 117 innings, seemingly a by-product of missing Spring Training and not having a proper ramp-up due to his extended stint in free agency.
D’Backs owner Ken Kendrick was publicly critical of the Montgomery signing during a radio interview back in October, which was viewed as either some surprisingly harsh honesty from an executive about a player, or as Kendrick’s attempt to try and get Montgomery to opt out of his contract just to pursue a fresh start elsewhere. If the latter, the tactic obviously didn’t work, and Nightengale writes that “the Diamondbacks are shopping [Montgomery] everywhere” to try and move that salary off the books.
A Montgomery-for-Bellinger trade is fascinating for several reasons, beginning with the simple fact that they were both members of the so-called “Boras Four.” Along with Blake Snell and Matt Chapman, Montgomery and Bellinger were both represented by agent Scott Boras last offseason, and all four players ended up settling for shorter-term contracts with opt-out after lengthy stints in free agency didn’t result in the lucrative longer-term pacts each player was looking to score. It should be noted that Chapman and Snell have now found such contracts in the last few months — Chapman via his extension with the Giants and Snell’s new five-year deal with the Dodgers.
From a pure baseball perspective, swapping Montgomery for Bellinger helps the D’Backs and Cubs each address some needs. Bellinger would bring offense to an Arizona team that might be losing Christian Walker, Joc Pederson, and Randal Grichuk in free agency, and Bellinger could slot right in as a replacement for Walker at first base. While Bellinger’s left-handed bat would further imbalance a Diamondbacks lineup that is already heavy with lefty swingers, Bellinger’s ability to play the outfield could make the D’Backs more comfortable in trading one of their in-house left-handed hitting outfielders. Jake McCarthy or Alek Thomas are the likeliest trade candidates, since obviously Corbin Carroll isn’t going anywhere.
The Diamondbacks have a rotation surplus that is also drawing trade interest, and moving Montgomery to the Cubs would help Chicago bolster the back of its rotation. Matthew Boyd was recently signed to join Shota Imanaga, Justin Steele, and Jameson Taillon in the Cubs’ starting five, and though Javier Assad is lined up for that fifth starter’s job, the Cubs are reportedly open to more additions in the starting pitching department. Trading for Montgomery would give Chicago its own semi-surplus of rotation options that could be turned into trade chips, and also move Bellinger out of the Cub’ crowded outfield and first base situation.
Despite his rough 2024 numbers, it wouldn’t be surprising to see Montgomery rebound to his old self now that he’ll have the benefit of a normal offseason. It’s probably safe to assume that he’d be a popular bounce-back candidate in trade talks if it wasn’t for the $22.5MM price tag, as rival teams might not want to make quite that big of a bet that Montgomery can regain his old form.
The Astros, Mariners, and Yankees have all shown some degree of interest in Bellinger, and New York in particular could emerge as a stronger suitor if the team doesn’t re-sign Juan Soto. Even if the numbers haven’t matched up to date for the Cubs in finding a trade partner for Bellinger, this active market could be a reason why the Cubs are aiming a bit higher in their pursuits than perhaps settling for Montgomery in a swap of unfavorable contracts.
While Bellinger might yet opt out after 2025, the Diamondbacks would be facing the bigger financial burden in taking on two years of salary in exchange for Montgomery’s final remaining year. After the 2025 season, however, a good deal of money is coming off Arizona’s books, as Zac Gallen, Eugenio Suarez, and Merrill Kelly are all free agents next winter. That could make fitting Bellinger into the 2026 payroll a bit more palatable for the Snakes.
AaronJudgeMVP29
He’s a Yankee.
MLB Top 100 Commenter
Snakes would need to include Adrian Del Castillo as a sweetener, even then I think it is a no.
Bellinger is a guaranteed asset, just an overpay. Not sure what is left is the full Monty.
muskie73
What fWAR is Cody Bellinger guaranteed to post? His -0.1 in 2021, 1.5 in 2022, 4.4 in 2023 or 2.2 in 2024?
Bucket Number Six
He is not guaranteed any of those, but I’d guess in the 2-3 range.
PutPeteinthehall
Bellinger had a bad shoulder injury with the Dodgers. When healthy he produces. Played with a broken finger and another injury last season. If healthy expect a season like 2023. Who knows what to expect from Montgomery. For a team desperately needing offense it’s useless to move Bellinger unless spending the money on a true slugger. Besides Soto what impact bats are available? Santander and Hernández. Last I looked both are outfielders as well. Hindsight is wonderful but obviously the miss was not signing Chapman for third base last off-season in place of resigning Bellinger. Then could have picked up Hernández now and have a real good shot at the division this coming season.
MLB Top 100 Commenter
I think a solid repeat of the 2.2 WAR is reasonably expected. Possibly part of the decrease from 2023 to 2024 was playing less CF?
Baseball dude
Nope, Soto is a Yankee
rondon
You sound desperate
jawinks
Save roughly 7.5M and get a pitcher? I’d do it
sad tormented neglected mariners fan
Bellinger actually has value, Monty is a below average pitcher paid like an ace
Wire to wire 2024
To me moving bellinger now makes the most sense, if he has a rough fist half he’ll be unmovable and if he does well he’s still expensive and guaranteed to opt out.
rct
Paid like an ace? He’s on a one year $22.5 million deal with vesting options for 2025. The QO was 1/$21 million. He’s being paid like a mid starter. There’s no long term commitment even if all of options vest (needs 23 starts to vest $25 million for 2026, can be lowered or avoided altogether if he’s bad again or injured).
ChipperChop
I get your point but $22.5 million for one year is definitely not “paid like an ace” in this market. That’s paid like a #3-4 and there is definitely a good chance Monty can be a solid #3-4 starter in 2025.
rondon
And he pitched like a journeyman minor leaguer. Nothing solid about that.
Lindor's Bodyguard
Is Luis Severino paid like an ace?
sad tormented neglected mariners fan
For the athletics he’s the uber ace
Saying 20 million a year for a 3-4th starter isn’t right, that would mean 5th starters are paid at least 10 mil a year
If Monty was on the dodgers than yes that’s not ace money but for the bottom 15 small market teams that’s ace money
Wire to wire 2024
I mean montas is making 17m to be a fifth starter
Acoss1331
A straight one for one swap? No thanks, Bellinger had a decent season and his glove brings value. Monty had an atrocious season, pass.
Seamaholic
Belli is pretty useless to the Cubs.
Van Lingle Mungo
Maybe, but when the Yankees miss out on Soto, they will need someone to man right or center field.
Anthony maresca
Judge is their RF, Dominguez is their CF and if Bellinger does get traded to Yankees its either 1B or LF depending on Soto returning or not
Bucket Number Six
Bellinger is not useless to the Cubs. It takes just one injury and they’ll be glad to have him. I don’t think Caissie and Alcantara are ready to be starters on Opening Day and they sure aren’t riding the bench.
MLB Top 100 Commenter
Seam
You mean you think there is zero chance that the Cubs have an injury at RF, CF, LF, 1B or DH?
Good to know.
Belli is plenty useful to Cubs. Not convinced that if Hoyer had an extra $20 million for 2025 he could spend it any better than Belli. I know Belli is getting $27.5 but they would have to pay it down a little if they are not taking a bad contract back.
muskie73
Over the past three seasons Cody Bellinger has posted 8.1 fWAR while Jordan Montgomery has posted 7.7 fWAR.
Recency bias distorts.
Rexhudler86
Definitely makes sense if they need a pitcher, and want to move on from bellinger. Question is what’s the hold up. Maybe it’s on the dbacks side trying to trade a outfielder before they do it.
metsin4
What do you think? Carroll to the Mets.
Rexhudler86
@mets. Yeah put the pipe down.
metsin4
We can all have dreams can’t we.
Camikey
I’d love it but is he worth Jett and Sproat?
metsin4
Yup and probably more.
MysteryWhiteBoy13
The hold up is that hopefully Atkins has emerged from his slumber and is offering Chris Bassitt so he can replace him with a better option
Devlsh
Javier Assad gets no respect.
Canuckleball
Still having a better week then another Assad.
johncoltrane
walks alot of guys, doesnt go deep into games. Last 4 months of the season his era was nearly 5
seth3120
Albeit one start against my Cardinals Assad seemed like a legit mid rotation guy to me. I guess he fell off a bit but he’s not in the twilight of his career either. On the Cardinals he’s probably their number 2 or 3 haha
johncoltrane
Bellinger for montgomery? Might as well trade belly for a set of steak knives , get more value out of that
Rexhudler86
@johncoltrane. Look at his career numbers. Montgomery is solid. He had a down year because of the self imposed holdout, and also got hurt, but would you rather have Montgomery at 22 mil or severino at 24.
deweybelongsinthehall
Too bad the Cubs don’t have interest in Yoshida. Three way trade with Montgomery going to Boston. More would be needed to match money or with prospects but I’d take Montgomery on a rebound year
Bucket Number Six
Yoshida is a 1 WAR player. That was not a good signing by Bloom.
deweybelongsinthehall
Forget WAR. Yoshida can hit if you need a DH.
Lindor's Bodyguard
Who’s interested in an overpriced platoon DH?
cplwhite
Make the trade and flip Montgomery somewhere else . Both are bums
Unclemike1526
Just to restate the obvious: The Cubs are trying to MOVE Bellingers salary, Not swap it for a worse contract. Thought I explained that before.
Rexhudler86
@unclemike. Do you want them to spend 25m on pivetta. It’s less money and he’s gone after this year. Makes alot sense especially because the pitchers market is high this year.
Unclemike1526
In a word. F No.
Lindor's Bodyguard
Are you sure?
cbrookhouzen
Keep Belly, sign Buehler and try to talk Happy into waiving his no-trade.
Sunday Lasagna
Might be a comeback candidate and good fit on the Braves. Straight up for David Fletcher and the $21M the Braves owe him.
AZ gets to spread out $21M over 3 years instead of $22.5 in 2025 – and get rid of guy they want to dump
ATL gets a starter on a one year deal to prove himself again
mohoney
But David Fletcher is poo…
SupremeZeus
There is no such thing as a rotation surplus. Montgomery and Kendrick will have to endure the forced marriage this season unless Ken is willing to eat big money or give up a valuable asset.
Motor City Beach Bum
Diamondbacks and Tigers could match up on a trade with Montgomery and Tork. Tweak the package and fill some more needs in each other’s systems. Minor league Catcher Cerda and SS Torin would be nice adds for Detroit as well. The Tigers have lots of young pitching not named Jobe they could send the other way to full out a package.
terry g
I’d say it depends on how badly the Cubs want to save money and how afraid they are that Bellinger won’t op out after the season is over..
6 starters isn’t a bad thing to have going into the season.
Unclemike1526
This should be obvious by now. Hoyer hasn’t been given the authority to go past the Luxury Tax. Everybody understand that? He is not going to go after anyone who got a QO. Everybody got that? They’re not going to give up the draft picks to make that happen, Still here? Hoyer still has something he wants to do. What that is who knows? If he had the permission to pass the Luxury Tax again, This wouldn’t even be a conversation. Bellinger would just be here. Still with me? Hoyer is in his last contract year, And as usual has painted himself into a corner just like on the Three Stooges. He’s trying to get out of the corner, But he’s gonna get paint on his shoes or wait for the paint to dry. The end.
Rexhudler86
@unclemike. So your agreeing this time. Montgomery doesn’t have a QO attached, wouldn’t be spending money, and saves them the 25 million for next year. I’m sure Montgomery has interest from other teams probably isn’t a straight 1 for 1. Otherwise it would’ve been done.
Unclemike1526
No. Montgomery has a contract. How could he have a QO. You obviously didn’t understand what I said above. The Cubs don’t WANT players back! They just want to offload money. How does taking back another player with another dumb deal accomplish that? The Cubs need neither bad P’s or prospects back. They have good pitching already. Maybe a decent BP arm will suffice. Are you still with me? If they can’t do that they’ll just
keep Bellinger and roll the dice. The don’t HAVE to trade Belli, They would just rather spend the money somewhere else. I hope this ends the trade talk.
Lindor's Bodyguard
I’m glad I am not a Cubs fan. It sounds rough.
Fred K. Burke
I believe you detailed that pretty clear Uncle. Some folks just over think and complicate things. That’s how it is sometimes. It’s makes this forum interesting.
KamKid
Presumably before the Cubs added Boyd? That would be a lot of southpaws in one rotation if Monty was added. And on the other side, a lot of left handed hitting OFs.
Seamaholic
JM was a 4.3 fWAR pitcher in 2023, the last time he had a normal off-season, and isn’t 32 yet. No one cares about clubhouse bozos (only fans care). He’s a great get and I’m very surprised (and don’t believe) the Cubs weren’t interested. If anything between the two, it’s Belli who’s washed.
bravesfan
Totally get why the dbacks would explore this but this is dumb for the cubs. Their pitch is good, their hitting isn’t. Why trade ur one decent hitter for a pitcher that had a rough year last year. Idk… seems dumb
NashvilleJeff
@bravesfan: “…..ur one decent hitter…..” Suzuki’s a better hitter than Bellinger. Not even close. Cubs seem to want to get out of Bellinger’s contract. Doesn’t matter what he does for them. Definitely a better deal for the Cubs to take on 1 year of Montgomery @ $22M vs 2 years of Bellinger @ $55-$60M if shedding salary is the Cubs focal point.
mad1
Maybe the lovable losers should not have gave Bellinger double the salary others were willing to pay
Well Hung
Bellinger for Strowman and Trevino, cubs get catcher they need and could probably deal Strowman later for prospects when spring training injuries start happening
Mikenmn
Montgomery can pitch, last year was an aberration, but the bigger problem was the expectation that he’d be a TOR rather than an effective 3-4. At the right net price, he’s worth a shot.
AmericanRedneck
Yanks soured on Stroman, maybe a 1 for 1 with the DBacks throwing in 10M-12M to turn the page on Monty would entice Cashman? Wouldn’t have to worry about managing innings and could save some money. Or ARI attaching a prospect to sweeten the pot in lieu of skrilla. Yankee brass love former Yankees.
LongTimeFan1
If Mets miss out on Soto, Bellinger fits Mets well – a short term need – mid order power, left hand hitting outfielder with defensive versatility and could also play first base. He also provides speed, and wouldn’t block a future free agent pursuit of Michael Tucker nor block Mets homegrown outfield options longer term if Mets want to go that route – Gilbert, Benge.
Astros_fan_in_Aus
Michael Tucker ? Do you mean Kyle Tucker ?
Tom Emansk1
We’ll see how it shakes out but I’d guess when it’s all said and done the Cubs are not gonna be willing to, or even need to, take bad money back in a Belli deal. I’d think they can give him away for a PTBNL or cash considerations, and if not, just keep him for now and see what the season brings. There’s a very real chance he’d be one of their 3ish best hitters next year anyways.
GarryHarris
Javier Baez for Jordan Montgomery.
GarryHarris
Javier Baez for Cody Bellinger.
desertdawg
This trade of Bellinger for Montgomery has still a chance of being done even up. But I think the deal that may have the D’Backs fans saying why is the trade rumor coming out of the Sporting News about a week ago where the D’Backs and Red Sox are rumored to have discuss Marte and Gallen going to the RSOX for Abreu and a top seven and top 15 prospect.
Spencer O'Gara
Anyone who takes Sporting News as a reasonable citation for a “rumor” should reevaluate their ability to think critically…. There’s no baseball or business reason for AZ to trade Gallen and Marte, especially for a return that light.
GarryHarris
Javier Baez for Roadkill Lizard.
Unclemike1526
Cubs have a vintage and I mean VINTAGE Don Kessinger jockstrap that was worn for only home games in 1969, Because it didn’t want to go on the road. We’ll let you have it for Tarik Skubal. Better than the trade offers you see here. They found it when they were redoing Wrigley. It’s yours.
GarryHarris
Everyone collects something. I think I’ll pass on breaking up you collection.
Captainmike1
Not sure why so many yankee fans want an overpaid loser like Cody
sufferforsnakes
If they don’t re-sign Walker, I’d be good with working out this trade somehow. Cody would get to return home and play in front of friends and family.
Dogbone
If the Dbacks offered a decent young catching or pitching – the Cubs might consider moving Belli. I’m sure his family would like having him playing around home. He’d help the draw.
sufferforsnakes
Just so it’s not Del Castillo.
Low IQ Angels Management
Joe Adell straight up for Montgomery and 10 mil. Do it Perry, you pea brained bafoon.
Doug
Yankees should do a Stroman + prospects package for Bellinger to replace Rizzo at 1B, whether or not they sign Soto.
JoeBrady
Monty to the RS, + $10M for a lottery ticket.