Roki Sasaki’s impending move to Major League Baseball will have a big impact on the offseason pitching market, but plenty of shockwaves will be felt throughout the international signing market. Baseball America’s Ben Badler recently outlined how several other prospects will be affected if Sasaki’s 45-day posting window stretches beyond January 15 and the start of the next international signing period. If Sasaki doesn’t sign until after January 15, teams will have to use funds from their 2025 signing pools to sign him, rather than their 2024 pools. The 2024 signing period closes on December 15, further narrowing the window of time for Sasaki and an MLB team to finalize a contract.
Since it seems likely Sasaki will indeed still be unsigned by January 15, Badler observes that multiple teams could end up putting their plans for the next signing period entirely on hold until the right-hander makes his decision. This means that the many prospects already committed to these teams on unofficial deals will be in limbo, and the club that finally lands Sasaki is likely to walk away from those pre-existing handshake deals if it means landing the Japanese star. It would leave that team’s set of international prospects suddenly looking to land elsewhere, and potentially other clubs’ prospects might also walk away from their agreements if nothing is finalized on January 15. As Badler notes, teams that aren’t in the running for Sasaki could benefit in swooping in to sign some extra prospects in the aftermath.
The entire situation adds a lot of extra drama to what is normally a fairly routine day on the calendar, as clubs have had these deals with these young January 15th prospects worked out years in advance, sometimes when the players are barely teenagers. Needless to say, it creates a lot of disruption for the players, their families, and their trainers who helped arrange the signings, as what looked like safe pre-arranged windfalls might now be in question. As much as Sasaki may have a higher clear upside than an entire bonus pool’s worth of international prospects, abandoning a January 15th class could create some hard feelings for a team in their future int’l dealings.
More from around the baseball world…
- The meeting between Juan Soto and the Mets took place this past Saturday, with the New York Post’s Jon Heyman reporting that Mets owner Steve Cohen, president of baseball operations David Stearns, and manager Carlos Mendoza all in attendance to provide a “very detailed” presentation to the star slugger. Soto is set to next meet with the Yankees on Monday, and he has previously met with the Blue Jays and Red Sox in these early stages of his free agent adventure. It isn’t expected that Soto will be signing any time soon, as these initial meetings could be more about laying groundwork than putting any actual offers on the table.
- Orioles GM Mike Elias told reporters (including MASNsports.com’s Roch Kubatko) that Jorge Mateo is expected “to have a very full, if not a 162, something close to that season” in the aftermath of a UCL brace procedure last August. Kubatko’s impression was that the Orioles have Mateo in their plans for 2025, which lowers the possibility that the infielder could be cut loose in advance of the November 22 non-tender deadline. Mateo is projected for a $3.2MM arbitration salary, and fits as a non-tender candidate considering between his injury, subpar offense, and the crowded Baltimore infield picture. The O’s could be an interesting team to watch this week in advance of both the non-tender deadline and Tuesday’s deadline to set 40-man rosters in advance of the Rule 5 Draft, as Baltimore could potentially move an infielder or two off the roster in trades.
- With the Rays set to use George M. Steinbrenner Field as their home for the 2025 season, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times looks at several details involved in the plan. A lot has naturally yet to be determined, though Topkin answers some questions ranging from team-centric issues like clubhouses and training amenities to fan-related details like how tickets and parking will be managed. One interesting wrinkle is the fact that the Rays are expected to host playoff games as per usual should the team make the postseason, which creates the awkward potential scenario of the Rays hosting the Yankees in the Yankees’ own Spring Training facility.
numberoneslayerfan
sasaki to the marlins, calling it now
MLB Top 100 Commenter
Sounds fishy
BlueSkies_LA
Name that tuna.
nitnontu
“sasaki to the marlins, calling it now”
I would love to see him go to a team like the Marlins, numberone, but why do you think that will happen?
GONEcarlo
I mean, its not gonna happen, but… they’d be tied for the largest international bonus pool, Roki won the WBC in Miami, Ichiro loved playing in Miami, they’re good at developing pitchers, and he’d be somewhat out of the media
william-2
Sasaki should realistically have zero effect on the singing plans or trading plans of nearly every team in the league. This is not a super mega deal with postings and high-octane money involved. This should be a cherry on top for teams, not something you put your needs on hold for.
Any team that is willing to watch the chips get swept from the table waiting for him to possibly go to one of the other 29 teams is inept.
BlueSkies_LA
Teams with little realistic hope of signing Sasaki would be unwise to forego any other prospects on their international shopping list, but teams in play for him have more difficult decisions to make.
Jean Matrac
“…Soto, Soto, Matos…”
I’ve often thought the writers here could use a proof-reader. Apparently they also need a headline proof-reader.
(They’ll probably correct it, and then this post will look nonsensical.)
BlueSkies_LA
The copy editors were the first to go up against the wall in the revolution.
Jean Matrac
And, as predicted…
YankeesBleacherCreature
If the Yankees and the Rays face off in the playoffs, they’re playing all games in NY bc that’s 30K+ extra seats to be sold at a premium. Who are we kidding?
Mynameisnoname
Japan should have its own division. Four professional teams. They have the interest and economy.
Seven game sets and three week long oversea trips for visitors while one of the four Japan teams heads stateside for seven three game sets.
Does that math make any logistical sense? Probably not. But I’m willing to go to great lengths to blow up this LAD team Japan trend!