Cubs pitching prospect Cade Horton has a moderate subscapularis strain, reports Meghan Montemurro of the Chicago Tribune on X. The righty will be shut down for three to four weeks and then will have to build back up at that point.
Horton, 22, is one of the best pitching prospects in the sport and may have been trending towards a major league debut this summer, but the odds of that have clearly been reduced by this injury. Selected seventh overall in the 2022 draft, Horton tore through three levels of the minors last year. He tossed 88 1/3 innings between Single-A, High-A and Double-A with a 2.65 earned run average. He struck out 33.5% of batters faced in the process while limiting walks to a 7.7% clip.
Based on that strong professional debut, he was a consensus top 50 prospect coming into 2024. Baseball America gave him the #25 slot, FanGraphs put him at #18 and ESPN at #30, while Keith Law of The Athletic had him at #49.
Here in 2024, he went back to Double-A but carved up opponents in four starts. He tossed 16 1/3 innings in those, only allowing two earned runs. He struck out 18 batters and gave out just two walks.
He was then promoted to Triple-A in May while the major league rotation was dealing with a few issues. Justin Steele, Jordan Wicks and Kyle Hendricks were all on the injured list at that time, with Hendricks also struggling badly prior to his IL stint.
With Horton charging into Triple-A and the major league rotation treading water, the stars seemed to be aligning for him to be pitching at Wrigley in short order. But his first five Triple-A starts didn’t go well, with 15 earned runs allowed in 18 innings. It’s possible that the injury started to creep on him and impacted his results, as his 13.6% walk rate demonstrated an uncharacteristic lack of control.
Regardless of when the injury started bugging him, the poor Triple-A results and this shutdown will obviously erase any momentum towards a major league debut for the time being. Since he’s going to be shut down for most of June, he’ll likely need the majority of July to build back up. That aligns roughly with the July 30 trade deadline, which will be an interesting situation to monitor for Cubs fans.
The club performed well in April but struggled in May, currently sitting on a 30-31 record. That’s good enough to hold the final Wild Card spot in the National League at the moment but there are seven clubs within four games of catching Cubs, making it a fairly tenuous position.
Assuming the club hangs around the postseason picture, they could look for starting pitching reinforcements in the coming weeks, though the rotation is in decent enough shape at the moment. Steele has since returned from the injured list while Ben Brown has stepped up and staked a claim to a rotation spot with a 3.33 ERA on the year. Between those two, Shota Imanaga, Javier Assad and Jameson Taillon, no one in the rotation has an ERA higher than Steele’s 4.10. Wicks is also rehabbing and could be a candidate to rejoin the group in the coming weeks.
Taking all that together, the path for Horton to get to the big leagues is currently much tougher to see than it was just one month ago. Regardless, the Cubs will be hoping to get him back on track in the weeks to come as the need for another starter can pop up at any time. It would also be good to get him some more innings for the long term, as he only has 34 1/3 so far this year with the Cubs undoubtedly hoping for something close to a full starter’s workload next season. He had Tommy John surgery in 2021 and is still working on getting fully stretched out for the long run.
Blackpink in the area
Anyone know what kind of injury this is?
RyanD44
Shoulder
rondon
Nope. Lat.
RyanD44
Very wrong. It is a big part of your rotator cuff. Sure, it’s located in your upper back, but it is a shoulder muscle.
RyanD44
Yikes. Rotator cuff strains and pitchers are not a good mix. Hopefully it stays as a minor issue.
cubsker15
The rotation is the only area that’s actually been good for the Cubs. Need catching help, a big bat, and relief help, especially an actual closer.
Logjammer D"Baggagecling
The cubs bullpen is very bipolar. Sometimes it’s shutdown other days it’s disastrous.
drasco036
As I said before, the bullpen Hoyer thought he was going to deploy was sick. A healthy alzolay, Merryweather, Leiter and Neris with a developing arms in Little and Brown with long relief option of Wesneski would have been shut down more often than not.
Losing Merryweather and Alzolay to injury (assuming Alzolay was injured all year) plus all the rotational injuries made the pen look incredibly weak.
KamKid
Can I offer you Danny Jansen and Yimi Garcia? Jansen is a catcher and big bat all in one. Garcia has closing experience in the past, but before Romano got hurt has basically been deployed exclusively against the other teams’ best hitters whenever they are due up in late innings and has been outstanding at that.
Coys Bacon
At least it was not his Medulla Oblongata. It’s amazing with all these pitching injuries, even if this one is in the minors, that offenses are still down to 1968 levels.
hiflew
Man you really need to start writing for your readers. Most of your readers are not doctors or med students. Who are you trying to impress by writing “moderate subscapularis strain” instead of “shoulder strain” anyway? Sure we can Google the info, but if we start doing that it kind of renders you obsolete and nobody wants that. You are a very good sportswriter, just quit trying to show off so much.
Dumpster Divin Theo
Somebody needs a nappy nap
RyanD44
There’s also a good chance that the writer is just passing along information, and isn’t confident enough to re-classify the injury and be wrong entirely.
hiflew
But if the writer doesn’t understand the term, then how is the reader supposed to understand it? The job is to inform as many people as possible.
Ignorant Son-of-a-b
hiflew I know you can handle more than one technical term per 500 words. I believe in you. (hiflew were you aware your handle auto-corrects to Hitler?) Good thing I proof-read before I hit send.
hiflew
Wasn’t aware of the auto correct thing. The name comes from a LONG time before autocorrect existed.
As far as the technical terms go, it is the job of a journalist to use everyday language in stories in order to convey the information to as many people as possible. Technical terms without explanation have no place in a journalist’s story.
robert-5
Nonsense. Many people have a basic knowledge of human anatomy and want as much information as possible. If this reporter said Horton down with an arm injury that doesn’t tell us anything. This is the age of search engines and AI. If you care and don’t know, look it up! There is no excuse for ignorance these days.
Dumpster Divin Theo
Subcapularis- the Tylenol scare has reared its messy head!
Ignorant Son-of-a-b
Dude that is an antiquated reference from back in the day!! These whipper-snappers will have no clue.
Dumpster Divin Theo
Salmonella the same year
Dumpster Divin Theo
And Salmonella- not referring to rally monkey mania at the Big A during some 80s pennant race
Yankee Clipper
Horton Tears a What?
It’s the second installment of the Horton Hears a Who series.
robert-5
Underrated comment, Clipper! Ha
Buzzz Killington
Ok now they’re just making up new ways for pitchers to get hurt.
Ignorant Son-of-a-b
Related to a Tim Horton, donut tycoon ? (Also official snack food of Blue Jay clubhouse)