The Astros finalized their big move of the offseason yesterday, announcing a five-year deal for star reliever Josh Hader. Between the Hader signing and the addition of Víctor Caratini on a two-year pact to serve as backup catcher, they’ve addressed their two biggest questions of the winter.
General manager Dana Brown pointed to another area they’re exploring as Spring Training draws nearer. “If we could somehow get a left-handed bat, preferably an outfielder with some speed, that type of package we’ll pounce on it,” he told reporters (including Brian McTaggart of MLB.com). That’s not to say that player type is an imperative, as Brown added the team is “really good” already.
Houston lost a left-handed hitting outfielder when Michael Brantley reached free agency (and subsequently retired). They project for a starting group of Kyle Tucker, Jake Meyers and Chas McCormick. Star DH Yordan Alvarez could see some action in left field. Righty-hitting Corey Julks is on hand as a depth option, while Mauricio Dubón can bounce from the infield to the outfield in a utility capacity.
Tucker clearly isn’t in jeopardy of losing any time in right field. McCormick is coming off a very productive season. He hit .273/.353/.489 with 22 homers and 19 stolen bases over a personal-high 457 plate appearances. Even with a slightly elevated strikeout total, he looks like an above-average regular.
It’s a little less clear in center field. Brown declared at the Winter Meetings that the team was planning to use Meyers as their primary center fielder. Those comments were partially designed to cut off speculation that Houston could trade the 27-year-old. Even if the Astros are legitimately interested in giving Meyers first crack at the center field job, they could look for a potential platoon partner or contingency plan.
A right-handed hitter, Meyers is coming off a .227/.295/.382 showing in 342 trips to the plate. That’s not far off the .243/.296/.375 career batting line that he carried into last season. Meyers has had particular issues against righty pitching. He’s a career .220/.288/.351 hitter against same-handed arms. His production against southpaws (.270/.316/.440) is solid on the surface, although that’s inflated by a .365 average on balls in play that masks a 30% strikeout rate.
Overall, Meyers has been a below-average offensive player. To his credit, he’s an asset on the other side of the ball. Defensive Runs Saved and Statcast have each graded him as an easy plus defender in nearly 1500 career innings in center field. Giving Meyers the bulk of the center field at-bats wouldn’t be a disaster, but he’s probably the weakest hitter in an otherwise loaded Houston lineup.
With the Astros firmly in a win-now mindset as they battle the defending champion Rangers in the AL West, it’s sensible to look for alternatives. There aren’t a ton of available options in free agency. While Cody Bellinger fits the description of an athletic, lefty-swinging outfielder, it’d be shocking to see Houston meet his asking price — particularly after signing Hader.
Travis Jankowski is a fourth/fifth outfield type who should be available on a cheap one-year deal. He doesn’t hit for any power, but he’s an excellent runner who gets on base and can play all three outfield spots. While Eddie Rosario remains unsigned, he’s essentially limited to left field at this point. That’s not a great fit unless the Astros are willing to play McCormick in center regularly.
On the trade front, Max Kepler and MJ Melendez have been loosely floated in rumors this winter. Players like Akil Baddoo and switch-hitting Dylan Carlson could theoretically be available. None of that group seems all that likely to change teams at this stage of the offseason, but they’re among various players about whose availability Houston could inquire.
How much spending room is at the front office’s disposal is difficult to gauge. Houston’s surprising strike for Hader pushed the franchise into uncharted waters. Roster Resource projects their Opening Day payroll around $239MM, their first time north of $200MM in season-opening spending. Houston will exceed the luxury tax threshold for the first time since 2020. They’re at nearly $255MM in CBT commitments, well clear of the $237MM threshold and on the verge of the $257MM second penalization marker. Owner Jim Crane demonstrated a willingness to stretch the budget to build an elite back of the bullpen, perhaps in response to losing Kendall Graveman to shoulder surgery. It’s not clear how much farther he’ll go for what could be seen as a luxury addition in the outfield.
User 1939973770
Interesting. Personally I’d rather acquire a LHH OF/1B/DH type, because McCormick is more than capable of playing CF and this allows Alvarez to be in LF.
I guess the organization is firmly penciling in Alvarez as the DH.
gost1
You’re describing Joey Loperfido in July.
They could go with Belt if he’d sign a 1-yr deal (homecoming).
I’d imagine Alvarez plays LF 2 days a week, which allows Diaz/Caratini or maybe Dubon/Altuve to DH.
My guess is they’ll stand pat with more of a 4th OF signing, as they’ve done for a few yrs with Souza then Madrid.
Unclenolanrules
I don’t mind Alvarez as a left fielder, he has a good arm, accurate thrower, don’t care what the stats say. Problem is we need him to not get hurt so I prefer he never step on the grass.
I assumed until the team said they’re playing Meyers that Chaz was the starting center fielder. I am pulling for Meyers but not counting on him. They really should try and find a power bat for left, especially considering we might have a black hole at first base.
User 1939973770
McCormick had a .489 SLG in 2023.
thickiedon
Alvarez is a good fielder but has the knees of a 35 yr old offensive lineman
Troy Percival's iPad
Jarren Duran for…. What does Houston have in terms of Starting Pitching?
User 1939973770
None lol
deweybelongsinthehall
Yoshida would better fit the Red Sox plan and would seem to be a replacement for Brantley. Obviously, the money would have to be paid down.
Troy Percival's iPad
It would, but we’d end up sending Abreu or someone else anyway to cover Yoshida’s contract
And Houston still doesn’t have trade-able Starting Pitching. Forrest Whitley for Joely Rodriguez if Rodriguez was still on the team
rocky7
Yoshida can hide under the Green Monster….no-place to hide in LF in Houston…..he’s terrible defensively with no arm……..better to go with Alvarez if that’s the choice…..
acoss13
Should have pounced on Kiermaier, he wasn’t expensive.
Ray626
Tony Kemp would fit that bill in my opinion.
❤️ MuteButton
Um, noooo. Dude is a good person with AAA ability.
Footjoyboi
Just sign Bellinger. He wants to win titles also and knows that the Astros give him the best chance at that. Astros a couple bounces from back-to-back titles last year and literally nothing has changed in their projections. People are acting like Neris, Maton, Stanek and Graveman leaving make them a 3rd-place team all of a sudden. They have other relievers and plugging France, Brown and Whitley in those roles to backfill decently. No salary cap and Crane makes a fortune. Why not spend an extra $20 million/year +luxury tax to probably earn that right back every year in World Series memorabilia, tickets, marketing, etc?
User 1939973770
the astros won’t sign bellinger.
❤️ MuteButton
He is a great fit, but anything over 3 years is way too risky. The Mets are a perfect example of how NOT to run a franchise.
User 1939973770
I think the history of 2017 and Bellinger’s reported comments are too much to overcome for them to reach a contract. I’d be fine with Bellinger on a 1-year deal but I don’t think he will sign for that.
We’ll see. For the record, I felt like the Astros wouldn’t sign Hader, and I was wrong lol
JCL10
I don’t think Bellinger would sign with the Astros. He was very outspoken against them after the cheating scandal. Also don’t think the astros would dish out what Bellinger is asking for after signing Hader.
jjd002
And that was so ironic being he was the largest recipient of electronic sign stealing in the league.
TrumboRedux
No, that is not true. Please do not spread lies like that. Shame on you in fact. Please apologize.
User 1939973770
That’s true. I forgot Bellinger used a buzzer. Thanks for the reminder.
Beff Jagwell
He’s not wrong, and you can’t prove it.
User 1939973770
It would just be a shame for such a rumor to gain some traction.
TrumboRedux
Liar. Never happened.
TrumboRedux
Yeah it’s pretty pathetic
OnlineFeatures
Crane has shown that he is a penny pinching owner who doesn’t want to spend. Bellinger makes a ton of sense but there’s zero chance the Astros make that move even if it is a perfect move for them
❤️ MuteButton
Crane doesn’t want to spend? He’s over the luxury tax threshold. He wants to spend, but wisely. I think he’s been doing a tremendous job as owner. The roster is stacked
stroh
Crane spends – the Stros are $17M over luxury tax. So he doesn’t mind high AAV but won’t go more than 5 years. If Boras is willing to do a 4-5 year deal for Bellinger with an opt out ( both sides) after year 3 it could happen. Boras has said that Bellinger is open to all teams, and the Astros don’t care about what a player says due to emotion. Look at Stroman and the Yanks.
stymeedone
He’s well over the tax threshold, and you call him penny pinching. Most teams can’t afford to even approach the threshold. You probably don’t go to the games and pirate your cable.
Ernie Riles
Yastrzemski would be a good trade fit if SF signed Bellinger
whyhayzee
How do you know I want to go to Houston?
rememberthecoop
Oh, so now we’re supposed to believe that you’re Yaz? OK.
whyhayzee
Sound out my name.
CALgoldenBears
Giants have more than enough LH OF to trade.
WestVillageTiger
Baddoo plus one for an infielder.
It’ll happen.
User 1939973770
agree
cwsOverhaul
Benintendi owed 4yrs/66.4mil since he did not get much in first year of the structured deal.
If Astros want to send back a lesser value player contract they want to get rid of, I’m sure Reinsdorf would be happy to crunch the numbers with them. It would be more of a cash dump for functional player. Not too exciting.
Bob Sacamano 310
I came here to say: please take Benintendi! He wouldn’t be that bad of a player on a good team. Hes not a guy who should have gotten a franchise record for a free agent signing either.
User 1939973770
No.
steven st croix
Pham would be excellent for Houston.
❤️ MuteButton
Righty hitter, meh D. I’d pass on Pham
Thomas E Snyder
He is passing because of his defense. Are you running for President?
K Kr
If the Astros are willing to give up a couple of good prospects, the Twins should be calling them right now on Kepler, as they aren’t going anywhere in 24. A f/a to be following the season ahead that’ll be too old to match up with their partial rebuild ahead.To replace him, MN could sign Rosario back for a year or two even,heck.
JCL10
Twins are currently the favorite to win the AL Central. Once they get there they can beat anybody if they get hot. I don’t think they’ll be selling any of their players.
stymeedone
They will contend. I don’t know that they are the favorite anymore.
User 1939973770
Why would the Twins do that? They won the AL Central in 2023 and are likely to win again in 2024.
pd14athletics
Seth Brown seems like he could be a possibility.
DCartrow
Seth who?
Seth you?
Old York
Plenty of good options out there.
Steven Duggar
Daniel Johnson
Jeisson Rosario
Greg Deichmann
Jackie Bradley Jr.
Probably "Rick hahn"
One name is all you need
Gavin Sheets!
bobby clementhay
Hunter Brown, Jake Meyers and Zach Cole for Riley Greene and Tyler Holton…
User 1939973770
No chance.
88 Brooklyn Dodgers
Best built organization in MLB with also the best history.
LambchoP
We could give you Kepler but we need pitching in return, Starters and BP pieces, not sure if Astros have anyone we’d want?
❤️ MuteButton
No offense by this, but Kepler isn’t exactly a stand out player. I don’t think that the Astros are really coveting him too much.
stroh
I think they will sign someone like Joc Pederson
twinky
Max Kepler trade with Twins
stubby66
I say send Will Wagner and Treadwell to the Brewers for Weimer.
jjleavelle
Orioles have a few Lefty Outfielders they may be willing to part with in a trade. Santander is Arb 3 and has Kjerstad breathing down his neck. Stowers is blocked in AAA and is being bypassed by Cowser and Kjerstad.
NJASTROFAN
I would like them to give Justin Dirden a real shot. He is an excellent defender (in CF as well), and when he’s hot no one swings a bigger bat. And the best part, he is already in your organization.
Biggie22
I think the Reds and Astros kind of match up
well here….
The Astros have 3 solid RH hitters who can all play CF ; the Reds are relying heavily on TJ Friedl to not regress and/or get hurt & even if he doesn’t they have no real back up option to play centerfield…
Jake “Rake” Fraley & “Beaming Billy” Willy Benson are two of my favorites players on the roster and both very good left handed hitting corner outfielders; (with control) but quite honestly they’re basically the same player and pretty redundant…
With Spencer Steer moving to RF (full time) and TJ Friedl the only option at CF they could really use another RH bat that can play centerfield to add to mix…
Jake Fraley for one of McCormick, Meyers or Dubon may make some sense for both teams… Obviously depending on the player involved; prospects could be added either way to even it out…
Win Cor
The Astros need to reach out to the Cardinals they have two solid ones, Carlson and Burleson and Houston has too many pitchers.
Balian of Ibelin
Would something like Urquidy who’d been a reliable #4/5, save for last year where he missed a few months and Meyers who’s not great but as a glove first platoon posted 16 OAA over his last ~1200 innings, be ballpark for Kepler? 4 years of Meyers and 2 years of Urquidy for an expiring Kepler?