The Twins were eliminated from the playoffs yesterday following their loss at the hands of the Astros in Game 4 of the ALDS. The club’s elimination brings to a close the 2023 campaign for a club that won 87 games, returned to the top of the AL Central standings for the first time since 2020, and won its first playoff series since 2002. Now, Minnesota will turn its attention to the impending offseason, where a handful of the club’s players figure to test free agency.
Chief among that group is veteran right-hander Sonny Gray, who led the club’s rotation with a 2.79 ERA in 184 innings of work with an MLB-best 2.84 FIP. That performance put Gray squarely in contention for the AL Cy Young award in 2023, and sets him up to be one of the league’s top free agents this offseason. Dan Hayes of The Athletic spoke with Gray following last night’s loss regarding his future, and the righty made clear that his top priority as he heads into free agency isn’t necessarily securing the highest guarantee he can.
“I don’t know if this is the right thing to say before going to become a free agent, but I’ll say it because it’s honest. Money is not the ultimate factor for me. Never has been,” Gray said. “Having said that, you want to be valued appropriately.” Gray went on to speaking glowingly of his time with the Twins. He noted that he “loves it” in Minnesota, adding that his time as a Twin has been an “incredible experience” and that “there is something special going on in this clubhouse.”
Though Gray’s interest in remaining with the Twins is evident, that hardly guarantees a return. Hayes goes on to indicate that the club figures to extend a one-year qualifying offer of roughly $20.5MM to Gray, though it’s unclear whether or not the Twins are interested in a longer term deal. While Gray and fellow rotation arm Kenta Maeda are headed for free agency, right-handers Pablo Lopez, Joe Ryan, and Bailey Ober are each under long term club control. Meanwhile, righty Chris Paddack is expected to rejoin the rotation next year. That still leaves an open spot in this club’s rotation, though Hayes suggests the club could give a look to righty Louie Varland, who posted a 4.63 ERA in 68 innings of work at the big league level as a swingman for the Twins.
If Gray doesn’t return to Minnesota, he’s sure to find plenty of interest elsewhere. The Cardinals are already known to have interest in Gray’s services, while the Dodgers, Cubs and Reds are among the many other clubs who could potentially be on the lookout for rotation help this offseason. While the interest in Gray figures to be strong, it’s unlikely the veteran hurler will receive a top-of-the-market offer in terms of years, given he’ll be celebrating his 34th birthday next month. Gray’s comments hardly disputed that likelihood, with the righty suggesting that his decision this offseason will decide “where are the next three to four years of our lives” will be. A deal in that range certainly seems feasible on the heels of right-hander Chris Bassitt receiving a three-year, $62MM deal covering his age 34-36 seasons last offseason.
stan lee the manly
St. Louis is close to Nashville!
Cincyfan85
Cincinnati is closer.
Four4fore
Been there done that.
HBan22
I could definitely see him going back to Cincinnati. It’s where he revitalized his career, they’re about ready to start contending again, their biggest need by far is a stabilizing veteran SP, and he should be within their price range.
Larry Brown's crank
ha ha, Stan Lee! he got you! he got you GOOD!
Angry Disgruntled Sox Fan
It’s always sonny in Cincinatti
Dotnet22
So is Brock Louis, what a coincidence.
miltpappas
So are Baltimore, Seattle and Detroit, among others. They make enough money to live far out in the burbs and ignore the issues.
Braves Butt-Head
Atlanta is your destination lol
Adam 15
If I’m the Twins, I want to keep Lopez and Gray together at the top of the rotation.
I think I would offer either 4 years and $90 million or 3 years and $75 million
runningwithnailclippers
I am a Reds fan and would love him back in Cincy, but the Twins are my AL team if that makes any sense. They would look pretty good with those two. Would they be looking for more starters?
Balk
Giants sound like a good destination
steelerbravenation
Charlie Morton’s time is up as is Eddie Rosario’s possibly but hopefully not Joe Jimenez’s as well.
Point is Atlanta will have plenty money to bring him aboard.
bulldog1891
I like all your points. I want enough money left for Fried as well. If it comes down to Fried or Gray, I would prefer Fried. I have not heard or read anything about those negotiations taking place yet.
steelerbravenation
Rumor I heard he was at Dansby Swanson’s wedding telling ppl he was a west coast guy and has every intention on going home to LA.
Don’t know how true it is but considering he hasn’t signed an extension I tend to side with it being true.
Every extension that came through the pipeline caught the fanbase by surprise. No one knew anything about any negotiations even taking place. So I believe they tried and he wasn’t interested because he knew he would be going home.
Just my opinion but it makes sense. And if that’s the case I wouldn’t mind seeing him moved for MLB ready prospect and a young arm. Use the money he would get & the money Morton makes and get a couple of starters.
bulldog1891
Haven’t heard or read any of this before. Makes sense if he wants to go back to California. I’m sure that was Freeman’s intention all along. He just couldn’t come out and say it without losing bargaining power. At least there is still more time to figure it out since Fried is not hitting free agency this offseason.
solaris602
I’ll say this – the Fox announcers and analysts did a yeoman’s job in plugging this guy during his last start. They were still fawning over him 2 innings after he was lifted, so kudos to his agent who must have spread the Benjamins around the broadcast booth before that game.
slydevil
I still don’t know if gray would stick around with his well known dispute about analytics taking precedent over what’s happening in the moment. Maybe the changes this year helped, but he wasn’t happy the year before.
My guess would be about 3/$75mm as a floor with so many teams looking for an ace type.
3768902
Pickles will be 34 next season. I doubt Twins will give him the term he’s seeking.
Larry Brown's crank
Burt Hooten’s nickname was pickles. home of the knuckle curve!
miltpappas
I thought Pickles was Buddy Sorel’s wife?
TrillionaireTeamOperator
I think Gray’s floor will start at 3years/$60M and if there is a real bidding war it could go to 4 years/$110M.
That said, he’s made plenty of money, I actually do believe maximizing his money isn’t as important to him as is a relatively fair deal with a club he is comfortable on.
Therefore, I think he will sign with Minnesota or ATL or somewhere like that for 4 years/$85M or so.
Maybe 3 years/$70M w/ a $15M option of some kind.
CardsFan57
There are too many teams chasing too few starters. They are going to be very expensive. Teams need more than 5 starters. They need a minimum of 6
Degaz
Doubt he stays in Minny. He has always said he wants to be closer to his family in Nashville TN. Cincinnati and Atlanta are th 2 closest teams to Nashville.
runningwithnailclippers
I could see him signing with the Braves, no doubt.. But my fanatical nature for the Reds would prefer Cincy. I think if he saw the Reds go out and be aggressived before they sign him in free agency, that would be their best bet to impress him and have him sign.
This one belongs to the Reds
I would love to see Gray back in Cincinnati, but it’s hard to see Po Boy being aggressive in going after established major league talent.
runningwithnailclippers
Man.. I serioulsy hate Krogers. 🙂
Larry Brown's crank
awwh….Krogers rock! I like nickleback!
DanUgglasRing
Giants will give him a 3 year deal and he will get injured five seconds later
Rbiggs2525
Come to Baltimore.
Ejemp2006
The Mets will give him a ridiculous contract and then agree to pay down 2/3 of his contract when they flip him for prospects.
BaseballisLife
Sonny Gray to Orioles on 3/62 deal. You read it here first.
Ejemp2006
Sonny Gray on the 2024 Orioles is the equivalent of Jack Morris on the 1991 Twins.
CenterWingPolitics
Braves make a lot of sense. They desperately need someone to slot behind Fried and Strider in the rotation. Everyone else they have is a question mark right now.
Elder is a solid cheap number five for eating innings.
Morton is a free agent and still not fully healed.
Wright is out the season
Soroka is a question mark
Smith-Shawver needs more time
The list continues.
Anderson is coming back from injury
Troy Percival's iPad
Congrats to the Twins on getting to the ALDS and being too cheap to advance any further. Benching/sending down Julien just because Jorge Polanco is getting “paid” and letting Buxton DH because of his contract was stupid, Looking back, not trading Gallo at the deadline when he’s blocking 2 or 3 guys wasn’t the smartest decision either. Have fun in 3rd place when Sonny Gray walks for 3/$81 because y’all won’t pay him
920kodiak
A little salty.
twinky
Twins 3 year 69 million