The Rangers spent most of last year out of playoff contention, in significant part due to an inability to win close games. Texas finished 26 games under .500 despite a relatively modest -36 run differential, with a staggering 15-35 record in one-run contests dooming any chance they had of sticking around the periphery of the Wild Card race.
Any time a team is that bad in close games, it’s safe to assume they were victimized by a lack of clutch hitting. That was true of Texas, although their struggles also reflected a middling relief corps. Ranger relievers finished 21st in strikeout/walk rate differential and tied for sixth in blown saves (28). Nevertheless, the Rangers shied away from any splashy additions to the bullpen this winter. They instead poured virtually all their resources into completely overhauling the starting rotation.
That’s a strong show of faith in the club’s internal bullpen options. It’s a relatively young group but one that has a few players coming off strong 2022 seasons. Hard-throwing righties José Leclerc and Jonathan Hernández returned from Tommy John rehabs to impress down the stretch. Meanwhile, left-hander Brock Burke quietly put forth an excellent year as a multi-inning weapon.
Burke underwent a significant surgery of his own a few years back. He’d debuted in the big leagues with six unsuccessful starts in 2019 and required a procedure to fix a labrum tear in his throwing shoulder the ensuing offseason. Burke would’ve missed the entire ’20 season regardless of whether a full schedule were played. He returned to health in 2021 but spent the whole year on optional assignment to Triple-A Round Rock.
When he took the mound for his 2022 debut on April 10, it represented his first big league outing in two and a half years. The Rangers unsurprisingly deployed him in mostly low-stakes innings for the season’s first month. After posting a 20:3 strikeout-to-walk ratio through the end of April, Burke increasingly found himself in more meaningful game states. He’d remain a consistent weapon throughout the year, posting an ERA below 4.00 in each month — including a sub-3.00 mark for the first four months of the season.
Called upon 52 times, Burke soaked up an MLB-leading 82 1/3 innings of relief. No reliever faced more than the 328 batters that stepped in against him. Despite frequently going into a second inning, Burke remained very productive on a per-batter basis. He held opponents to a putrid .211/.275/.356 line, striking out an above-average 27.4% of batters faced with a solid 7.3% walk rate. He compiled a 1.97 ERA. Estimators like FIP and SIERA felt his production was more akin to that of a low-3.00’s ERA hurler, but even regression to that level would leave Burke as a quality high-leverage arm.
Now 26, Burke had been a solid prospect prior to his shoulder injury. Acquired from the Rays in the three-team deal that sent Jurickson Profar to Oakland over the 2018-19 offseason, he appeared among Texas’ top 30 farmhands at Baseball America over his first two years in the organization. Evaluators regarded him as a potential back-of-the-rotation starter, though his injury threw that off course. Burke told reporters (including Levi Weaver of the Athletic) over the offseason he was hopeful of getting another crack in the rotation. The Rangers’ activity in that regard rules that out, at least to open the year, and the former third-round draftee added he was content with whatever role he’s assigned.
The Rangers seem poised to count on him even more heavily out of the bullpen. General manager Chris Young left open the possibility of Burke getting some ninth-inning work for the first time in his career, though he suggested the multi-inning fireman role might be more valuable for first-year skipper Bruce Bochy. Young implied the team could look to get Burke as many as 100 innings of relief in 2023, a tally only once reached in MLB over the past decade (by then-Rays southpaw Ryan Yarbrough, who frequently operated as a bulk pitcher behind an opener, in 2018).
Whatever the role, it’s clear Burke has put himself among Texas’ most important relievers. The club watched Matt Moore sign with the division-rival Angels and lost Brett Martin for at least the bulk of the upcoming season to shoulder surgery. Taylor Hearn, John King and non-roster invitee Danny Duffy are still in the mix, but the Rangers’ left-handed bullpen contingent isn’t as strong as it was six months ago. Burke certainly won’t function in a lefty specialist capacity but is certain to get plenty of looks against opposing teams’ best hitters from either side of the dish. While that wasn’t the case at this time a year ago, he’s now entrenched in the bullpen after his breakout season.
Image courtesy of USA Today Sports.
kiddhoff
Wow!
Cleon Jones
Not a big name outside of Tx but quietly establishing himself as elite level BP piece. A bit of a unicorn in these days of short lease BP mgmt but all the more valuable for it. He could pitch for my mets any day of the week!
Ignorant Son-of-a-b
This Rangers ‘pen is really going to need to step up. The 6 top starters (deGrom, Eovaldi, Gray, Heaney, Perez, Odorizzi-OverEasy) accounted for roughly 46% of the total amount of necessary innings last season. Hopefully with better health this season that percentage will be higher but still it means the bullpen will be thoroughly used, no doubt.
kingken67
It never ceases to amaze me how many supposedly smart baseball writers think something as random as a team’s record in 1-run games is indicative of their overall success or in any way something they can control. Over and over it’s been proven to be completely random and have no correlation to winning whatsoever.
myaccount2
I think you mean it doesn’t have a correlation to future performance, as it quite obviously correlates to winning (and losing) based on a team either winning by 1 run or losing by 1 run. That said, it’s still on the organization to try to turn those 1-run losses into wins. To not try to do so would be absurd.
kingken67
It doesn’t correlate very much at all to a team’s overall record. The Dodgers were 111-51 overall last year but only 16-15 in one-run games. The Tigers were 66-96 overall but 22-20 in one-run games. It’s a random stat.
myaccount2
A team going 20-0 in one run games would obviously be an anomaly, but it would still correlate to their overall record. If they were 20-20 and 20-0 in one run games that wouldn’t correlate to future performance but it still contributes to their W-L. The sample doesn’t have to equal out to the whole to have corrleation (definition: “have a mutual relationship or connection, in which one thing affects or depends on another.”)
LA going 16-15 may skew toward a lower outcome, but in winning 68.5% of their games, it’s unsurprising that 15 of their 51 losses were by just one run since they were very good and rarely lost. The thing here that “affects the other” is winning added to the win column, losing added to the loss column, and it presented a picture of a good team, overall.
The Rangers being a 68-94 club who was 15-35 in one run games makes sense. The correlation here is that they were bad in one run games and bad overall, so they were a bad team. If they were 35-15 in one run games instead, they would have been good (88-74).
Ignorant Son-of-a-b
That’s a bizarre claim sir, that a team’s record in 1 run games is completely random?? You sound dead serious about this, but I am hoping you were attempting a sarcastic troll post instead.
DTD/ATL1313
So scoring one more or one less run has no correlation to winning…
StPeteStingRays
I, too, once walked by a statistics class…
Hammerin' Hank
He’s right. It’s a random stat that doesn’t represent any true skill the team or players have.
myaccount2
That’s not what they said. They said it isn’t indicative of overall success when it quite literally correlates to wins and losses. I think you’d be hard-pressed to convince a fanbase who missed the playoffs by one game that their 5-20 record in one-run games wasn’t indicative of their success.
If you argue it isn’t indicative of future performance, sure, I can buy that (unless the team has a good offense and good rotation but a crappy pen), but, by definition, there is clearly a connection to a team’s overall record since that’s literally how wins and losses work.
C Yards Jeff
@kingken67; sarcasm, yes?
Yogi Berra quote. “This game is 90% mental, the other half physical”. Mental toughness, whether God given and/or through preparation, in crunch time rules over physical ability to get it done everytime!
Have you played the game? Have you ever been the player with ball (or bat) in hand late in a game with outcome in the balance?
Hammerin' Hank
Oh lord, it’s the old “Have you ever played the game” nonsense. I think it’s fair to say that no one posting on here has ever played the game at a high level. If they had they wouldn’t be fanboys coming to a baseball rumors site.
myaccount2
Just an aside because I dislike that argument, as well: Players who made the bigs or topped out in minors have confirmed they’ve posted in the comment section before.
raisinsss
I’d take even odds that Jacob degrom is the “secret multi inning relief weapon” in September as he works his way back from the 60 day IL for “arm fatigue.”
In Seager/Hader We Trust > the 70 MM DH Ohtani
Already back… smh
Steve Cohen Owns You
@raisinsss – agree, unfortunately.
I want to see Jake succeed, but he won’t stay healthy until he learns how to dial back his FB from 100-102 to 97-99 consistently. Same with throwing the slider too hard. He fell in love with the radar gun a few years back and seems to have fallen off health-wise ever since. Personally, I think he has a great year this year. The next strain/tear/pull will always be right around the corner with him though.
riffraff
I think Burke will probably max out this year at 75 IP…..or in laymans terms 20 innings more than deGrom
In Seager/Hader We Trust > the 70 MM DH Ohtani
Evan Grant reported that Brett Martin will be out the whole season. Great analysis on an unknown reliever! It’s even more interesting that he had 3 really good starts and 3 extremely bad ones right after in 2019. Still, his career numbers indicate why he wasn’t selected for the all star game and didn’t get much national attention.
Yay Sports
Going to wear the boy down! 80 ING in 50 games is to much now days. Haven’t seen a true relief pitcher do that in a while. Wonder who was the last no counting Yarbrough
Angels & NL West
Anxious to see how Arlington’s first-year skipper, Bruce Bochy, deploys Burke this season.
Zzzaaaach
I also like Taylor Hearn as a long-relief option from the left side. He has solid stuff, just never seemed to be a complete starter.
Jesse Chavez enthusiast
To me it seemed way longer than 2 years Leclerc was out for and I completely forgot he came back last year and pitched a decent amount of innings!
BenBenBen
If he’s not a trade/transaction candidate and he has a pretty secure role on his team, why is MLBTR writing about him? This isn’t Fangraphs.