The Reds announced Wednesday that they’ve acquired minor league infielder Nick Northcut from the Red Sox as the player to be named later in the deadline trade that sent Tommy Pham to Boston. Northcut hasn’t been on a Major League roster or injured list this season, so he’s eligible to be traded now even with the deadline having passed. That allows the Reds to get a late look at him in their system, rather than waiting until the offseason.
[Related: How to Acquire Players After the Trade Deadline]
It’s a homecoming for Northcut, a Cincinnati-area native and graduate of William Mason High School — which sits just 25 miles from Great American Ball Park. The 23-year-old Northcut was selected by Boston in the 11th round of the 2018 draft. However, he was considered a top-100 talent in that year’s draft and only lasted as long as he did because he was considered a tough sign who was likely to honor his commitment to Vanderbilt. Boston swayed him with a $565K bonus — roughly in line with late-third-round money. (Pick No. 99 that year, the 25th in the third round, carried a $564K slot value.)
The right-handed-hitting Northcut has appeared at the infield corners almost exclusively in his career, though he did log six innings at shortstop earlier this season (likely in something of emergency fashion). That’s been his lone appearance at any position other than either third base, where he has 1580 professional innings under his belt, or first base, where he’s played 605 frames.
Northcut has shown plenty of pop in the minors this season, swatting 30 home runs and 18 doubles in 428 plate appearances between High-A and Double-A. However, he’s also whiffed in 35% of his trips to the plate and turned in a combined .219/.276/.491 batting line. Northcut’s power is evident, but he’s drawn walks at only a 5.8% clip so far in 2022, which hasn’t been enough to offset the pronounced swing-and-miss in his game.
The struggles to make contact have increased in recent years and prompted Northcut to fall out of the top tiers of the Red Sox’ system; Northcut ranked 19th among Sox farmhands at Baseball America and 23rd at FanGraphs back in 2019 but has fallen off the radar on most prominent assessments of their system. He’ll add a project to Reds’ system, but one with local roots and power that draft-time scouting reports graded as high as 70 on the 20-80 scale.
The Pham swap has worked out reasonably well for the Red Sox, who’ve seen the veteran corner outfielder post a .262/.321/.416 batting line with five homers in 162 plate appearances to this point. That’s about six percent better than league-average, by measure of wRC+, but taking a broader look at the team’s deadline maneuverings as a whole, things simply haven’t panned out. Boston traded away catcher Christian Vazquez and veteran reliever Jake Diekman while bringing in Pham and Eric Hosmer and holding onto its most appealing trade candidates (e.g. Nathan Eovaldi). The Sox were 52-52 when the deadline hit but have played at just a 17-21 pace since that time, falling to 10.5 games out of the American League Wild Card chase.
RonDarlingShouldntBeInTheHallOfFame
Start chillin the champagne in Cincy!
User 4245925809
Rather had Northcut than Pham. Northcut low chance of being selected in upcoming Rule5 draft and Pham wasn’t/isn’t really more than a 4-5 OF forced into starting for Boston due to them having nobody in the upper minors who can play the positions..
Slim chance Northcut gets rest of his game together, but there is time. Power is in abundance. Should have given them Dalbec instead.
rhswanzey
In a vacuum, yes, but this system is very deep in corner INF power bats. Chris Hatfield (soxprospects.com) notes that Northcut was behind Binelas and Kavadas for playing time in AA. Ahead, Casas/Devers with Dalbec in AAA; behind, Blaze Jordan and Matthew Lugo in A+.
You can’t keep all of the prospects!
GreenMonsta
I wish Northcut the best, but not sure what you saw in him.
Takes from his scouting report (hitting):
‘swing is on the stiff side’
‘fringe-average bat speed’
‘very rudimentary approach’
‘struggles to recognize secondary pitches’
‘will extend out of the strike zone’
‘has a long swing and miss’
‘plus raw power’
‘Combination of poor approach and lack of contact skills make it unlikely power potential will actualize in-game.’
Hitting is his best asset. I prefer Pham.
User 4245925809
You do realize Croagnut the scouting report described for northcut is a mirror of deficiencies of dalbec? I’ve seen glowing posts on some boards regarding that guy, yet watched him hack away and seemingly have -0- clue at the plate and look lost.
I doubt still some of those so called “experts”, who lined up on a couple of boards still deny he is anything more than a wild hacking AAAA player.. They never do when one of their anointed fair haired boys fail.
GreenMonsta
Dalbec compared to Northcut, Really? Im not a Dalbec fan, and they are similar players, but he has much more value than Northcut. Dalbec is in the majors, Northcut would be lucky if he gets a sniff of the majors. In 3 years Dalbec has an OPS of .753. Northcut can only dream of that.
For a better comparison, lets look at them at the same age, when they were playing at the same level.
Age 23 Stats of both player, split between HighA and AA:
Dalbec .259/.361/.558/,919, 32 HRs, .324 SO/PA
Northcut: .219/.276/.491/.767, 30 HRs, .353 SO/PA
Dalbec is better in almost every category, and we’re not even talking about defense or speed. (Northcut has 2 SBs in 1200 PA in the minors).
I repeat, I want Dalbec gone too, but if you can get a player in a trade for either one, it should definitely be Northcut. He will not have the success of Dalbec (if you want to call it success).
deweybelongsinthehall
Let’s not make too much of the PTBNK. If he makes it, good for him but he wasn’t going to be protected so it’s like we got a chance to see Pham for free. The team will need a bopper to like replace JDM and/or Bogie so if Pham is in left next year, it tells me Casas is the real deal and the team secured a bopper for DH.
luckyh
I like the guys they got at the deadline. Gamers. This team needs that. Now they need some pitching.
MLB-1971
Northcut was struggling at AA! He walk 4 times 101 at bats to go along with a 37% strikeouts rate and a .245 OBP. I highly doubt he even makes it to AAA. Bloom might as well of traded him as he was nowhere close to good enough to even play AAA let alone the MLB.
Sorry, John, that you do not like Pham, but that is no reason to think Northcut is a good player as he is not.
SliderWithCheese
I wish Nick the best but it’s never easy to play for your hometown. When I was traded, I was inundated with ticket requests, autograph appearances, and forced to do a tire commercial so my cousins would get free lifetime auto service. Granted I could walk into any bar and never pay for a drink but that happens to me in every city.
BucksPackersBrewersWow!
So did you feel added pressure playing in your hometown or was it more about constant distractions? Or both?
SliderWithCheese
Distractions but I hired a monk that guided me through meditation and staying in the moment. He wound up stealing my watch though so I don’t recommend it.
Dusty Baker's tooth pick.
@slider
Can you give us a hint who you are?
Also give me free tickets and autos please! (Kidding)
30 Parks
When I was traded I couldn’t believe I was off to New York in exchange for cash to finance No, No, Nanette.
DocBB
Not bad return for Pham
Old York
From Nick Northcut’s perspective, at least he won’t need to get a different color of socks. That’s a positive. Could have been traded to the White Sox.
Joey Gallo
My cousin Gary and his brother were going out with my parents for lunch today and they said that they are not ready for any more work that they will need to do.
This one belongs to the Reds
A big shrug. We already have so called power hitters that strike out too much.
Maybe someone will get him straightened out, but usually those long swings are never fixable long term.
AverageCommenter
Northcut likely didn’t have a future with the Sox because of an infield logjam and and swing and miss, but if he got a hold of one, the ball flew. Wish him the best in Cincy.
Rsox
30 HR’s between A/AA, Reds could have done worse
MLB-1971
26 HRs in A-ball…..only 4 HRs in 101 ABs in AA
jaybest
scouting report on this kid may be similar to Aristides Aquino offensively.
Nobby
Two words: Dumpster Fire.
Cooperdooper7
Michael Chavis with less bat speed
titanic struggle
Krall fail on one hand, but Pham being gone doesn’t hurt my feelings a bit. Very few guys that have played for the Reds that I’ve ever disliked…but he was one of them. Along with Jim Edmonds..