The Rays have agreed to a deal with free-agent lefty Brooks Raley, tweets Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic. The deal will be finalized once Raley, a client of Vanguard Sports, passes a physical. It’s a two-year, $10MM deal with a club option, according to Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times.
Raley, 33, was one of the top lefty relievers on the market this winter. Since 2020, he’s posted a 31.8 K% and 7.6 BB% in 69 innings for the Reds and Astros. That strikeout rate ranks 22nd among all relievers during that time among those with at least 60 innings pitched.
As you’d expect, Raley has been devastating against lefty batters, with a 40.5 K% against them in that time. Though Raley isn’t a hard-thrower, he boasts excellent fastball and curveball spin rates. He also had the second-lowest average exit velocity in all of baseball this year among those with at least 100 batters faced, as well as the game’s best hard-hit percentage. He’s an extremely tough at-bat for lefty batters.
Excellent as Raley has been against same-handed opponents, he’s struggled to tame righties, allowing six home runs against the 120 hitters he faced from that side this year. That’s a large part of his 4.83 ERA since 2020, and something the Rays will have to navigate carefully with the three-batter minimum expected to stay in effect. Still, given Raley’s massive strikeout rates and terrific batted-ball profile, it’s not a surprise that a particularly analytically inclined club was more than willing to look beyond his pedestrian ERA — even on a two-year contract arrangement.
Raley joins what should be a strong Tampa Bay bullpen, slotting in alongside Andrew Kittredge, Pete Fairbanks, J.P. Feyereisen and Matt Wisler, among others. It’s not a collection of household names by any means, but the Rays coaxed a 3.24 ERA out of their relievers despite the perennial churn on bullpen arms in St. Petersburg. They’ll look for ways to improve his numbers against righties and also advantageous opportunities to utilize his mastery against lefties, and their prior success in achieving those goals on mid-level additions of this nature has earned them the benefit of the doubt in their ability to succeed again.
For Raley, the $10MM guarantee is an especially satisfying achievement when considering the path he took to get here. A sixth-round pick by the Cubs back in 2009, Raley made his MLB debut with Chicago in 2012 and was rocked for a 7.04 ERA in 38 1/3 frames over the next two seasons. That led to a DFA and a pair of waiver claims from the Twins and the Angels, but Raley never pitched in the Majors for either team. The Halos released him in 2014, allowing him to sign a deal with the Lotte Giants in the Korea Baseball Organization.
Raley spent the next half decade as a starter in South Korea, generally pitching to an ERA in the upper-3.00s or low-4.00s. He accumulated a hefty 910 2/3 innings in the KBO, though the 4.13 ERA he posted with South Korea’s Giants didn’t exactly stand out. Raley returned to the U.S. on a one-year deal (plus a club option) with the Reds in 2020 but barely got a look in Cincinnati before being designated for assignment. The Astros picked him up in a trade that sent minor league reliever Fredy Medina to Cincinnati, and Raley’s career took off from there.
Given the frantic pace of transactions and the nine-figure contracts being slung left and right over the past week, it’s easy to move past a deal in this range without giving it much of a second thought. Given Raley’s career arc, it’s worth taking a moment to appreciate the perseverance and the payoff.
Photo courtesy of Imagn/USA Today Sports.
Metsin777
Mets spend 130 for 3 years of Scherzer while the Rays spend the minimum on Brooks Raley. I could see Scherzer being hurt for those 3 years and Raley becoming one of the best relievers. Rays will out perform the Mets and their payroll is less than Scherzers contract
phenomenalajs
If you’re talking on a yearly basis, the Rays’ payroll may not be able to be so low after a $100M floor is likely added in the CBA negotiations. They may need to bring in one of their own, Robbie, to meet it, but your point is taken. That said, as a Mets’ fan, I’m glad they have an owner who is willing to spend to compete in a big market that I happened to grow up in.
DarkSide830
“one of their own”, clever pun usage there.
Joeypower
You mean waste money! Like the Jahan Santana and Pedro Martinez contracts.
sfes
Santana cost them prospects first… and not good ones anyway so anyone at that time would have made that deal. It was a no brainer.
tstats
There won’t be a floor
iverbure
There’s not going to be floor and there shouldn’t be unless you want Jason Hayward to somehow be valuable.
User 4245925809
Give Rays a little credit. Getting in habit of spending *something* so won’t be vilified this time as the poster child of cheapskate franchises yet again, like they have been every other CBA negotiation.
Looks like Oakland, Pittsburgh get left to rot as lap dogs this time as the bad guys when nasty words fly.
True2theorange&blue
They are not spending more like over spending because they have no choice but to because no one wants to come to NY anymore, it’s unfortunate and I say this as a die hard Mets fan.
sfes
Well it’s a good thing you’re wrong then. They had to spend more than other teams to sign players… wow yeah that’s certainly how free agency works isn’t it?
DarkSide830
Scherzer started less than 30 games once in a full 162 game season in his career, and that year he still got to 27 starts. where’s this narrative coming from?
Metsin777
History of back problems and recent years he could not finish the playoffs uninjured
tstats
History is a strong word, he missed one start this year regular season and then was improperly used by Roberts in the playoffs
sfes
I’m glad they’re going this route. If money really isn’t an issue, spend whatever you can to compete now while rebuilding the FO and farm. At least TRY to emulate what the Dodgers did. They still haven’t traded anything from their limited but top heavy farm system
sfes
DeGrom and Scherzer both have histories of good health. In particular last year deGrom seemed to be pushing extra hard as evidenced by him still throwing 100 in the 7th inning. Considering their history and track record, if they feel ready opening day then I’m pretty confident.
Tacoshells
It is sad he is “one of the top lefty relievers” yet had a -0.4 WAR last year
Travis’ Wood
Check his fWAR. Look past ERA, bWAR is awful
DarkSide830
all WAR sucks for RPs. that there is so much a gulf for both meaures shows this.
Tacoshells
I’m gonna look at bWar
Travis’ Wood
Sure, WAR is dumb for RP. By look at fWAR I meant look at the things that go into fWAR like FIP. Much better for looking at small samples
Tacoshells
Cool I’ll check that out thanks
Sideline Redwine
F war is right. Another subjective statistic that somehow renders moot all the other bad statistics from a player. The goal is not to earn a high war (or Fwar, or Bwar, or whatever war is popular today), it is to prevent runs from scoring so you can win games. He does not prevent runs from scoring–his era is not good. One sixteen-game stretch he kept his era under (but darn close to) four? But I should be excited about this as a Rays fan? Sure, he may be solid against lefties, but MLB is not set up for that anymore…have to get righties out too. Hope he is better than the numbers look, because yuk. (I don’t think they have a spot on the 40-man because they signed Kluber…or did I miss something?)
jjd002
Dude was awful for most of the season. Every Astros fan cringed when he came in.
thickiedon
Agreed. Decent job in playoffs but very unreliable in regular season. There was a period he was so bad that rarely he was used. Farewell, Brooks and Yimi! It’d be nice if the team actually signed a good LHRP like Chafin
jjd002
There was about 6 weeks where I just about turned the tv off when he came in. I was picking my kids up at daycare one day during that time and the lady at the front asked if Raley had come in to blow the game yet. It was just a random Wednesday day game. Lol
Brooklynmetsfan 2
Who cares about the rays or brooks raley
Bustedstuff88
You will, when he outperforms your team and the silly mega contracts they throw around.
stollcm
Same can be said about you bro’
StPeteStingRays
You cared enough to comment on this article.
Enjoy the Rays outperforming the Mets again this next year!
phenomenalajs
Well, we could’ve used a lefty after losing Loup, but we may go the trade route for relievers with either Dom or JD as bait since their roster positions are tenuous.
lucas0622
Mets sign Scherzer and then you think you’re all high and mighty…
sfes
The ‘Mets interested in Gausman’ thread was full of posts like “haha uv cOrsE Mets R stoopid only 1 gud yr waist moor munny Cohen,” but they passed on him and his deal is praised to high heaven. Doesn’t matter what they do. They could revive a 27 year old Willie Mays and still be bashed in this comment section. Personally I’m glad. Spend as much as you can to compete now if money really isn’t an issue and rebuild the farm and front office. They still haven’t traded any prospects and have 2 top 15 picks next year along with comp picks for Thor and Conforto. Thor would’ve gotten 18.4MM next year, 24.9M is the difference between that and Max’s 43.3 this year. Not bad for that rotation slot. Even if they have to go easy on Max early on innings wise, is Noah limited to 175 like Stras and Harvey were recommended their first seasons back?
Dustyslambchops23
Sfes, i think that’s just every fan base.
Had the giants signed Gausman the fans would have been ecstatic, when he went to the jays they ‘were smart to let him walk’
It’s all relative, not just exclusive to the Mets
sfes
Yeah, you’re right but I was more referring to the Mets haters on here than the fans.
bigdaddyhacks
Said the Mets fan commenting on a rays thread.
Sideline Redwine
lol says the guy commenting on a story about Raley and the Rays.
Prospectnvstr
Brooklynmetsfan 2: The ENTIRE American League East is the answer to your question “Who cares about the Rays…”
Mrsuntan
People that want to follow a winning team, not some 2nd rate team from that sh$t hole
bobtillman
Buying “high” on relievers (especially LH) is very un-Rays like, and may indeed be indicative that there may be a salary floor coming into the new CBA. Raley’s been waived a couple of times already, and this his second trip through free agency.
BUT (note the caps) it’s the Rays, and I’ve given up criticizing certain organizations since Andy Reid traded up to draft Pat Mahomes (WHO? I admit saying at the time). Like I said, it’s the Rays. And they’re right a whole lot more than wrong.
Dustyslambchops23
I think the extension and their signings also stems from the belief that they will be able to play some of their home games somewhere else in the next few years. That cash injection would be huge and they may know things we don’t.
The wander extension to me really feels like they know they will be able to generate more cash quickly
stroh
As a Stros fan, glad Raley signed with someone else other than the Stros. When he was on, he was very good, and when he was off he was awful. Good for 2/3 of the time, awful for 1/3. Could have done with a lot less awful. And by the way, it is silliness to compare the Scherzer signing and Raley. Raley is a guy that is lucky to be in the majors.
For Love of the Game
Next year, almost every team in baseball will need to ask themselves, “What did our scouting and analytics miss that the Rays caught?” Raley will probably turn out to be more than serviceable. After all, it’s the Rays!
whiplash
James Click came from TB. I’m sure he would’ve caught whatever you think TB caught and no one else did. Plus, Click was a reason the Rays caught things others didn’t.
yankeejim
So glad to see him go. One of Dusty’s favorites for some reason.
Career ERA 5.62, whip 1.31, crappy 15 inherited runners scored.
Brooklynmetsfan 2
Mets will win a world series before rays do i promise you that
DarkSide830
probably
pc01
We’ll all be sure to check back with you over the next 35 years.
Mrsuntan
Or before you move out of you’re mom’s basement
Ah Sahm
Before the 3 batter rule Raley was the ideal LOGGY. If he has to throw to righties he’s terrible though. Game 3 of the DS against the White Sox is evidence enough.
yanks2323
Yanks to finish dead last in the east. Fire Cashman now
Dustyslambchops23
When they sign Seager and Ray tomorrow are you going to make the same comment ?
MarlinsFanBase
Did MLB realign divisions t take the O’s out of the AL East?
kylelohse
This didn’t age well.
Mrsuntan
I hope you age better then that stupid comment
bucsfan0004
Did you Mets’ dopes misclick the article you were looking for? This is about the Rays making yet another smart signing in Raley, not about Max Scherzer.
I don’t care about his splits…. the Jays were baffled by LHPs this year, and they are the up-and-coming team in that division to challenge the Rays. Another LHP in the Rays bullpen can only be a good thing.
rocky7
Yes, good logic except if the 3 batter minimum stays in affect, this guy will get bombed by a right handed hitter so you would need to care about “his splits”!
bucsfan0004
My point was being made about a righty-heavy lineup that has reverse splits and can’t hit lefties. My bad if that wasn’t clear
padam
And then the Rays enter the scene and take the Mets thunder away.
rocky7
How is signing a guy with a high 4 ERA, a lefty specialist who can’t get right handed hitter out is taking thunder away from the Mets signing of Scherzer?
And exactly who writes these articles anyway……”one of the top lefty relievers”…..really? Were there only 2 lefty relievers available in this market to make this type of statement?
MarlinsFanBase
I think most of us are comfortable thinking that the Rays make more intelligent moves that work out more so than the Mets. It must be something about the team histories.
jdgoat
I believe a word you need to look up is sarcasm.
padam
Thank you.
greatgame 2
Sign a 5.62 career ERA guy?????
MarlinsFanBase
Tampa Bay Rays….period.
Steve Adams
Teams don’t care about ERA in general — let alone ERA from 2012-13 when Raley’s struggled as a 24-25 year old.
MarlinsFanBase
Why is it that I feel that the Rays will make this the most significant move of these last few days?
Dustyslambchops23
Rays are adding to a great team, so they are just tinkering at this point.
All the other moves by Texas and NYM need to all work in order for them to reach TBR levels next year. It’s a great spot for the team to be in. But Red Sox and Yankees have been quiet and no one expects that to continue, going to be closer to a 4 team race for the division next year
msqboxer
When the Mets start having 100 win seasons they can start trashing Rays signings…..until then, your still the second best team in your city.
DimTillard
top 10 reliever next year. book it.
LordD99
Is there some reason the dollar amount is buried down in paragraph six and not at the top?
Beyond that, a $10M commitment from the Rays could be more surprising than the $130MM commitment by the Mets to Scherzer, and for a lefty-only reliever. I wonder if they suspect the three-batter minimum won’t survive the CBA?
YankeesBleacherCreature
I don’t expect the three-batter rule to change since that is pace of play related.
riffraff
had to read to paragraph 6 to find out the value – c’mon Steve you know better than that -still the best writer on staff but could have been a bit more on the ball this time.
nentwigs
MISSED IT BY THAT [ = ] MUCH !!
According to informed sources, The Marlins were in on Brooks Raley right up until he signed the deal to join the Rays.. The Marlins made a “strong” offer, but not one that matched the Rays’ financial commitment. The Marlins weren’t the only team to be outbid.
The Minnesota Twins had also been linked to Raley
thickiedon
Forget analytics. He was awful. I guess you had to actually watch him pitch to make an informed decision
Mrsuntan
I trust the rays front office more then you..but nice play on words Dickiethon