DEC. 10: The Avila deal and the re-signing of Michael Pineda are now official, the Twins announced. They now have 37 players on their 40-man roster.
DEC. 6: The Twins have agreed to a one-year contract with free-agent catcher Alex Avila, ESPN’s Jeff Passan tweets. The Excel Sports client will take home a $4.25MM guarantee on the new deal, per the report.
Avila, 33 in January, is no stranger to the AL Central, having spent parts of eight seasons with the Tigers plus another year with the White Sox. He’ll give the Twins a left-handed-hitting complement to 2019 breakout star Mitch Garver and, ostensibly, replace Jason Castro, who seems likely to land a starting gig elsewhere in free agency.
The veteran Avila is somewhat of a divisive player, as some view his perennially low batting average and lofty strikeout totals as too detrimental to provide consistent value. Others will point to his sky-high walk rates and above-average power in suggesting that more traditional metrics undersell his value at the plate. Indeed, Avila had one of the game’s more bizarre stat lines in 2019 when he slashed .207/.353/.421 with a 17.9 percent walk rate (third among hitters with 200+ plate appearances) and a 33.2 percent strikeout rate (12th among that same subset of hitters).
Garver, 28, still stands out as the obvious starter in Minnesota after exploding with a .273/.365/.630 batting line and 31 home runs in 2019. Even if next year’s ball is corrected to be less conducive to home runs, the Twins assuredly want to plug Garver into the lineup as often as possible after a such a stout performance. He’ll see time against lefties and righties alike, but Avila will be a more than capable stand-in when Garver needs a breather and a righty is on the hill. For his career, Avila is a .241/.358/.417 hitter (15.3 BB%, 28.7 K%) when holding the platoon advantage, although his .212/.307/.311 career line against lefties is all one needs to see to steer him away from opposing southpaws. If Garver needs a day off when a left-hander is on the mound, the Twins could perhaps look to plus super-utility man Willians Astudillo and his right-handed bat into the lineup at catcher. Astudillo himself could’ve been deployed as a backup catcher in 2020, but in Avila, the Twins have found a drastically better source of on-base percentage and a better defensive option that allows Astudillo to continue on in a jack-of-all-trades, master-of-none role.
Avila has long been adept at controlling the running game (career 30 percent caught-stealing rate), but he was particularly impressive in 2019 with Arizona. Although he was only a part-time catcher there as well, Avila nabbed 11 of the 21 men who attempted to run on him (52 percent), and he was 9-for-30 (30 percent) a year prior. Avila’s framing rated poorly in 2017, but the D-backs’ efforts to improve him in that regard were successful, as he was above-average in both his seasons with Arizona, per both FanGraphs and Statcast. Baseball Prospectus, meanwhile, rated him as one of the game’s best at blocking pitches in the dirt in 2019.
Minnesota still has substantial work to do this offseason — namely augmenting a rotation that currently looks too similar to its 2019 iteration — but adding Avila to the fold crosses a more minor need off the to-do list at a reasonable price point. The one-year term of the deal continues with the Derek Falvey/Thad Levine-led front office’s penchant for short-term investments as well, thus maintaining future payroll flexibility. If the Twins hope to truly bolster the rotation, they’ll probably need to eschew that preference, but for smaller-scale moves like this it’s sensible to minimize contractual length.
tigersfan1320
Not a flashy signing for the twins, but Avila is a solid backup catcher. Okay hitter, pretty good behind the plate, and a good leader in the clubhouse
crazylarry
Best guy in the game to hit a meaningless home run and hit into a double play at the most opportune time.
hook316
Well, no father son reunion. Hopefully Tigers will sign Castro.
twinsfan368
Well he’s got a little pop and a nice platoon with garvsauce
Eatdust666
He’s also capable of getting a good on base percentage despite usually having a low batting average.
twinsfan368
Now Santa I want some cole in my stocking if u know what I mean
chico65
No need to be all explicit about it
DarkSide830
hefty price for that bat
kleppy12
I mean not really, he’s numbers per AB were not that much different than the likes of Chirinos or Gomes and he’s a good defensive catcher. Gomes already signed for longer at more per year so it’s about what the going rate is.
rocky7
Really….$4 Million for a guy that hits .207?
Don’t care about his walks etc….metrics created to make a mediocre player have value….so we as fans pay to watch a guy that gets a hit every other game?
mlb1225
A .353 OBP and .421 slugging is really good for a catcher. He had 7 DRS in a limited amount of innings behind the plate, and caught over 50% of the runners that tried to steal on him. I don’t care if he bats .207 if he has a season like he did In 2019 if he can do it over a full workload in 2020.
andremets
Wasn’t Avila in the NL last year? Beware of the #8 hitter in the NL whose only strength is OBP. Doesn’t translate at all to the AL.
HalosHeavenJJ
Walks are a metric created to make a player look valuable? Epic.
ShieldF123
Because batting average is everything… the stone age ended a looooong time ago bud, catch up
MarlinsFanBase
I know this. When you have a .207 Bavg and a .353 OBP, the following is for sure:
When you face pitchers that can’t find the strike-zone, you are an offensive help.
When you face pitchers that find the strike-zone and hit their spots consistently, you’re not going to help much.
Guess which comes into play if you make the postseason, when you have to play teams with elite pitchers.
Brace4It
Guess how many of those games he is going to start? Not many, if any at all.
MarlinsFanBase
Injuries can happen, and catchers need breaks…and there’s always those pesky extra inning games.
gocards2849
Not every pitcher in the postseason is always going to be lights out. Guys are going to have off nights and sometimes struggle to throw strikes. Just because you are a good pitcher. That doesn’t mean you have a great game every night
rotofan
Avila’s lifetime OBP against some elite pitchers who find the strike zone:
Verlander .455
Arrieta .364
Sonny Gray .455
Darvish .444
Wade Davis .450
Trevor Bauer .481
Kluber .357
Carrasco . 464
You see, we don’t have to guess how Avila performs against elite pitching -> we just need to look it up.
bravesfan
Pretty solid signing I guess. Seems like they could have found someone with the same if not better production overall. Both definitely and offensively. And prob at a cheaper rate. Twins have it good with a possible star already at catcher.
kleppy12
Who could they have signed for less who’s better?
refereemn77
Not much for catchers out there… The other option really was bringing Castro back.
Paramatic
Castro wouldn’t have been better for less.
Castro had half the WAR of Avila for nearly twice the salary we’re paying Avila, despite Castro having more PA’s.
So we’re getting more production for half the cost compared to last year.
Ddubbl
Yet another pick up I hope is for future trade during SP acquisition. We don’t need subpar hitting or a new leader…wtf.what about La Tortuga??
myaccount
Or you could just sign pitching still. It’s not like this is so much salary that it’ll prohibit that.
kleppy12
I know, right? What do you think they should have done? Not had a backup catcher? Astudillo is a fun player and everything but he’s not nearly as good as people seem to think at times. He is a well below average catcher, which is the opposite of what you usually want your backup to be and he has worse number at the plate than Avila. There is no way the Twins could do into the season with him as their backup.
myaccount
Exactly. And god forbid Garver go down with an injury that requires a 60 day DL stint; Twins fans would have been up in arms about Astudillo being an everyday catcher instead of Avila,
refereemn77
La Tortuga is a fun player, but he doesn’t bring much production. He’s a utility player at best and will do what he dod last year: fill in spots when someone needs a day off or is on the IL
kleppy12
Let’s do a little experiment here are the OBP, SLG and wOBA for three players, based on this alone how would you rank them?
Player A: .312 OBP / .399 SLG / .303 wOBA
Player B .353 OBP / .421 SLG / .323 wOBA
Player C .351 OBP / .416 SLG / .327 wOBA
Try doing it without looking up the stats.
gocards2849
Player b, c, a. Best to worst
windmill_noise_causes_cancer
Guess he didn’t want to come play for dad a 3rd time.
Hiro
That’s a beautiful picture
rmullig2
A lot of money for a backup catcher. If he is going to get 4.25M then it should be no surprise when Romine get 3/18.
kleppy12
Why would they do that? They don’t need Romine.
LeylandsLung
Twins better stock up on razor blades. He shaves 3 times a game.
windmill_noise_causes_cancer
Seriously. He grows a beard between innings.
jvent
The Mets can use Castro as a backup to Ramos, I’d prefer a younger one LAD has 2 young ones in Will Smith and Ruiz wish the Mets would talk with them to see what it’ll take to get one of them.
Amanda2019
bad move for the red sox, he would have been the perfect backup for us after trading leon,ah well
RicoD
This is why I don’t understand/respect the war statistic:
bWAR 1.4, fWAR 1.3 in 63 games at a .207 batting average. He’s a great backup, good for what he is used for but no way that translates to 3 WAR over a full season.
kleppy12
Actually it does because A. using batting average as the only measure is pointless because it’s one of the more useless stats for judging a hitter on. B. WAR measures all aspects of the game which include defense. and C. This is comparing him to other catchers, not players in general and catchers in general are not as good offensively therefor a replacement level catch is probably not a very good hitter.
RicoD
Thank you, valid points. On your comment for C) though, let’s compare him to other catchers.
Wilson Ramos was 1.4 fWAR through 140 games. Zero major league teams would rather have Alex Avila for 63 games over Ramos for 140. Avila had the same amount of strikeouts despite the big difference in games played.
Avila also had a higher fWAR than Yadi who although didn’t have a great year at the plate should be considered more valuable than Avila. Avila had a higher defensive WAR in his 63 games than Yadi did all season. I didn’t watch Yadi play much but did he take that much of a step back or is Avila a wizard behind the dish? The comparisons again make me question the emphasis on WAR.
kleppy12
Let’s do a little experiment here are the OBP, SLG and wOBA for three players, based on this alone how would you rank them?
Player A: .312 OBP / .399 SLG / .303 wOBA
Player B .353 OBP / .421 SLG / .323 wOBA
Player C .351 OBP / .416 SLG / .327 wOBA
Try doing it without looking up the stats.
mlb1225
Honestly. I would rather have Alex Avila than Wilson Ramos. The gap in defensive skill is pretty sizable, and that can majorly impact a pitcher. While Ramos is a decent offensive force, Avila gets on base enough, and usually has a decent enough slugging to keep him in the line up.
spinach
Swap in a quad A catcher for this guy and you lose at least one game.
ShieldF123
Have you seen Joey Gallo’s stat-line from 2017/18? Batting average is a very small part of what makes a hitter effective. OBP is far more important, as is the quality of the hits a player gets.
Also, you picked two poor examples to compare him to. Yadi has fallen off ALOT and is very overrated these days, and Ramos is awful defensively.
Moneyballer
I don’t care who signs this guy, by years end he will be a detroit tiger.
TroyVan
Why would he be a Tiger by year’s end? In a rebuild, they cut/trade veterans by the end of the season (the ones they can). They dont add them.
I’ll play along tho….
Should we expect Salty back this year or next?
krillin89
I like this move for the Twins. I don’t like it for my FA contest
mnmusicman
Having a veteran backstop can only help in the SP acquisition as well. An often overlooked aspect, but no FA starting pitcher wants to throw to an inexperienced hack behind the plate.
kleppy12
To all those say this was a bad signing Let’s do a little experiment here are the OBP, SLG and wOBA for three players. I posted this a couple times but based on this alone how would you rank them?
Player A: .312 OBP / .399 SLG / .303 wOBA
Player B .353 OBP / .421 SLG / .323 wOBA
Player C .351 OBP / .416 SLG / .327 wOBA
Try doing it without looking up the stats.
MoRivera 1999
3 times?
ShieldF123
Seriously give up already.
8
I thought maybe his dad would give him a nicer contract
HalosHeavenJJ
Decent backup on his own but paired with Garver a nice combo. Avila definitely complements his skill set.
crazylarry
Best hitter in baseball to hit a meaningless homerun. Hit into a double play or strikeout with RISP. That is while he is off the DL which he will be on a good part of the contract.
Oxford Karma
To say their starting rotation looks too similar is weird. They won 100 games. Most teams would be glad to bring back a 100 win team.
Prunella Vulgaris
He’s been injured a good deal during his career.
angt222
Nice lefty hitting compliment to right handed starting Catcher Garver.