Let’s check in on a few ninth-inning situations from around the game …
- The Athletics are engineering a change in their closer situation, per Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle (via Twitter). Just-minted All-Star Liam Hendriks is going to be relied upon to secure final-inning leads for the foreseeable future, she indicates. Blake Treinen had performed the job with aplomb last year but hasn’t been nearly so trustworthy in 2019. He has been issuing a dizzying number of walks of late and took a loss in his most recent appearance after returning from a brief injured-list stint. Hendriks, meanwhile, is humming along at a 1.29 ERA clip through 48 2/3 innings, with 11.1 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9. He has only permitted a single long ball this year, with a paltry 1.8% HR/FB rate. That’ll need to hold up, at least to some extent, if he’s to succeed with an exceptionally flyball heavy approach; his current 0.56 GB/FB rate is by far the lowest in his career.
- While Greg Holland was and probably still is at risk of losing his hold on the 9th with the Diamondbacks, he’ll still be in line for save duties unless and until we hear otherwise. Skipper Torey Lovullo tells reporters, including Nick Piecoro of the Arizona Republic (Twitter link), that he won’t “run from” the veteran reliever — even after a pair of brutal outings. Last we checked, Lovullo was sleeping on the decision so he could make it “with a clear head.” It seems he wasn’t quite ready to open that can of worms. The team would no doubt prefer for Holland to work through things, as we explored in the above-linked post. Another factor: the alternatives, or lack thereof. It has been an off year for Archie Bradley, though he fares much better in the eyes of fielding-independent pitching metrics than his 5.21 ERA would suggest. It’s the opposite scenario for Yoan Lopez, who has secured excellent results despite a pedestrian 6.5 K/9 against 3.0 BB/9. There’s an argument for Andrew Chafin (3.03 ERA; 11.2 K/9 vs. 3.3 BB/9) and perhaps Yoshihisa Hirano, who long closed in Japan, but it isn’t as if there’s a single, clear alternative to Holland.
- In more forward-looking news, surprise Royals closer Ian Kennedy is settling nicely into his new gig, as MLB.com’s Jeffrey Flanagan writes. “I]t’s fun to be good at something again and contribute,” says the former starter. While his big contract will run out after 2020, the 34-year-old Kennedy says he anticipates continuing his career thereafter. “You can sign one-year or two-year deals,” he explains, “because even though you’re older, teams know you can still pitch and help a team. You look around the league and you see that all the time.” We’re still a ways away from considering Kennedy as a free agent, but perhaps he will have a shot at a productive run through his mid to late-thirties. Of more immediate concern for the foundering K.C. club is whether Kennedy can be turned into a trade chip. With $16.5MM salaries this year and next, there’s little chance of moving all of the money, but Kennedy’s relief revival makes it reasonable to expect that some kind of deal can be structured to save the rebuilding organization some cash.
Yankeedynasty
Who could’ve thought Treinen would lose he job going into the year?
powderb
Nats fans
astros_fan_84
Kennedy is interesting. He could easily fit on lots of teams, but that salary won’t appeal to anyone.
If the Royals threw in $20M, would it even be worth it for them to get some decent prospects?
TheOtherMikeD
Why in the world would KC ‘throw in’ $20M? How about, if you want him bad enough, give us a decent prospect?
astros_fan_84
The contract is underwater. That’s the consensus opinion of experts. If KC wants a better return, would they throw in serious cash?
It’s a legit question?
TLB2001
$20m is almost every penny of it. We’ll have to pay it down considerably, but it better be a really decent prospect if were gonna pay the whole damn thing.
JDC
Serious cash is one thing, but $20M is just a stupid comment. If the Royals offered to pay $10M of next years $16M and get a middle of the line prospect, I’m sure the Royals works do that. Then a team would have a good quality closer for only $6M.
JayRyder
Kennedy Blew One Tonight.
RoyalsFanAmongWolves
But the team saved his butt with winning in the 11th
bobtillman
Closing meaningless games, even effectively, doesn’t turn you into Ardolis Chapman. And Kennedy hasn’t exactly got a resume.
Kicking in the 20M, they might be able to get a couple of #11-#20 types from a decent organization (Rays? Dodgers?).
Conman 2
Ok, apparently a couple of ya are new to baseball. KC is not “kicking in” 20M. Ever. For anything. The most they would do is prolly half of remaining which at that point would be 2-3M. And that’s doubtful.
TLB2001
Half the remaining would be like 10-12m. He’s under contract for next year too, unfortunately.
Danbino
It’s risky, but the Royals best move would be to wait until December to trade Kennedy. It’s dead money this year whether we pay it to him as a Royal or send cash with him to another team. Hold off service time on a guy or two and keep him at Kauffman for now.
Wait until the off-season. Let one or two closers sign for a lot, then offer him up to someone along with $7-9m in cash. That should return two prospects in some organizations 11-20 range.
Someone gets a full year of a good back end arm for under $10m and the royals get better prospects. Selling now is not the best move unless someone approaches you willing to take on 80%+ of the contract or give you a really good package for him. Which won’t, and shouldn’t happen. But you never know.
RoyalsFanAmongWolves
Yes, I’d rather wait until winter. I think Kansas City will miss his charity work that he does around Thanksgiving ( he lives in Kansas City full-time and a few of his kids are in school )
TLB2001
Wait, I don’t see why saving an extra three or four million and two months of Josh Staumont’s service time is worth the increased risk. If he’s bad and/or gets hurt between now and then, he’s 100% sunk cost. They should take the first reasonable offer they get.
Danbino
Because with the money owed, the return is going to be literally nothing at this point. It would be a deal like Kennedy to team X along with $16m in exchange for a 21 year old in A ball and a 25 year old in AAA who a team doesn’t want to protect on the 40 man.
So you are paying off a huge chunk of money for him to play somewhere else and getting a Powerball tickets chance of having one of two prospects ever make any sort of real major league impact.
So there is no point in doing that.
But if you wait and pay the remaining $7m for him to play this year, you save the service time, you are getting better prospects, paying him less money to pay for someone else for 70% of the time, and although there is a risk of injury or an implosion, there is also the chance he rattles of 20/25 scoreless appearances and saves 15 to 20 more games this year his value goes up even higher.
It is risk/reward in place of taking a nothing deal to save a few dollars.