The Rangers swung a trade with the Twins earlier today, and here’s some more out of Arlington…
- 2018 was the best of Nomar Mazara’s three big league seasons, though that is something of faint praise, as the outfielder hit only .258/.317/.436 (96 wRC+) with 20 homers over 536 plate appearances. Between that below-average production, subpar baserunning, and middling defense, Mazara generated 1.0 fWAR last season, giving him just 1.4 fWAR for his career. Mazara also battled a thumb injury, and there were suggestions of tension between the outfielder and former Rangers manager Jeff Banister. While it’s worth noting that Mazara still doesn’t even turn 24 years old until April, “there are no more excuses,” he told Evan Grant of the Dallas Morning News. “I know can play a lot better than what I am. And I know that expectations are going to be high. I know what I can do.”
- The Rangers face an interesting long-relief challenge as they weigh how to handle Shelby Miller, Edinson Volquez, and Drew Smyly in their projected rotation, Jeff Wilson of the Fort Worth Star-Telegram writes. All three hurlers are in various stages of recovery from Tommy John surgeries — Miller has tossed just 38 MLB innings over the last two seasons, while Volquez didn’t pitch at all in 2018, while Smyly hasn’t thrown a Major League pitch since 2016. Zach McAllister and Jesse Chavez are two relievers with multi-inning experience, though Jason Hammel could also fit into a long man role if he doesn’t end up in the rotation himself. “I’m just here trying to make the team. I’m not expecting anything. I’m not opposed to any job,” Hammel said. After struggling in the Royals’ rotation for the last two seasons, Hammel was relegated to the bullpen last year, his first extended dose of relief work since 2008. Hammel is in the Rangers’ camp on a minor league deal.
- December’s three-team trade with the Rays and A’s saw the Rangers part ways with former top prospect Jurickson Profar and minor league right-hander Rollie Lacy, though Texas came away from the deal with $750K in international bonus money and a package of four prospects. One of those youngsters was 22-year-old left-hander Brock Burke, who Rangers GM Jon Daniels discussed with Fangraphs’ David Laurila. “This winter, after a number of talks, we defined what we were looking for [in a Profar trade],” Daniels said. “Our priority was to get a young starter who was at the upper levels, and [Burke’s] had a lot of things we liked. His trajectory is really interesting — from Colorado, not a ton of development at a young age. Sometimes guys from those cold-weather states need a little time to lay a foundation.” A third-round pick for the Rays in the 2014 draft, Burke has a 3.41 ERA, 2.83 K/BB rate, and 8.7 K/9 over 387 2/3 pro innings, including a 1.99 ERA over 55 1/3 frames at Double-A in 2018. MLB.com ranks Burke as the ninth-best prospect in the Rangers’ farm system, citing his improved slider, changeup, and a fastball that averages “90-94 mph with a peak of 96 and some running life.” This latter pitch was specifically mentioned by Daniels, who described Burke’s fastball as “unique…both from a scouting perspective and from the data.”
ReverieDays
Mazara’s WAR wasn’t that far off Harper last year. So naturally, the Rangers should try and lock him up for 13 years.
DarkSide830
if Harper got 13/330 and Sevy and Nola got $10 million a year, it shouldn’t be too restrictive for Texas to take a stab at a Mazara extention. If a guy like Kepler can get extended, no reason Mazara shouldn’t get a look.
martras
Sure, if you like to cherry pick performance.
Harper’s half way to the cutoff for the 60 WAR normally associated with the floor of HoF consideration, averages 4.5 fWAR per season across his career and he’s only 2 years older than Mazara.
All 3 of Keplers seasons have produced at least 50% more value than any of Mazara’s include 260% of Mazara’s fWAR last year. If Kepler was playing CF all season, he’d be a 3.5+ WAR CF.
Mazara is a defensive liability even in RF. He’s a DH who can’t hit right now.
jbigz12
I see no reason for Texas to extend Mazara. You could potentially have a massive bargain because I wouldn’t give more than 20MM guaranteed. He hasn’t even been good enough to be a starting major league outfield through 3 seasons. Age and potential will you carry for awhile but IMO he’s a LH avi garcia. All the hype in the world but on the field he’s just not all that.
martras
Yep. He’s Oswaldo Arcia right now. Arcia was non-tendered by the Twins and wound up stinking it up in Japan.
Sk8rboi
Nomah is a breakout candidate. I like Joey Gallo but he has no contact ability. Mazara has to ability to be consistent and take the next step. I like the idea of flipping Gallo maybe to the Yankees for Bird, Voit and maybe a decent pitcher like Stephenson. If Bird can stay healthy and leave the Bronx and get into a place like Texas, he could live up to the potential he showed in his rookie year. Gallo in NY hits .200 with 60 HR and can play 1B.
cuban1
What? Why would the yankees do that for a guy you just said has no contact ability?
Sk8rboi
All of their players have no contact so he would fit right in. Brett Gardner is the only one who can make contact but hes past his prime so he should get flipped with Betances and a young guy for Schwarber. Their lineup could be:
Hicks-CF
Torres-2B/SS
Judge-RF/RF/DH
Schwarber-LF/RF/DH
Stanton-LF/RF/DH
Sanchez-C
Gallo-1B/DH
Andujar-3B
Tulowitzki/LeMahieu-SS/2B
Imagine the defense. Its purely an analytical team with bad defense, homeruns, and strikeouts. Its New Age
spinach
I don’t like this comment.
martras
He’ll need to take one hell of a step not to be a non-tender candidate. Now with 1500 plate appearances, the chances he’ll take that step are very limited.
Cam
“I think this guy sucks, but a Team should give up value for him because they aren’t as smart as me”.
Justin Allen
in all honesty here, why can’t Josh Daniels get any legit starting pitchers? Outside of Darvish and Hamels, who has he brought in during the last decade? DK is still out there, why not try to get him?
Justin Allen
Jon Daniels.
Newspeaks
Jack Daniels.
Sk8rboi
He brought in Tim Tebow and he won a playoff game against the Steelers. And its McDaniels btw.
spinach
Because Keuchel wants double what a mid-rotation starter is worth over many years and the way he is declining he may not even be a mid-rotation starter in a couple of years.
Ricky Adams
Bc owners wont let him spend. Theyve rolled payroll back each of last 3 seasons from 160 million to 120 million.
RockHard
It’s not because ownership won’t let him spend money, it’s because even if they did go out and spend they still wouldn’t have enough pieces to be competitive. Most of these high dollar free agents turn out to be bad signing anyways. Texas is waiting to spend again when they have young controllable assets in place. This teams best prospects are still a couple years away..
pater06
Charlie Daniels
Strike Four
Burke was a great return for Profar, but I think Profar might break out even further. If Olson can get Jed Lowrie a Gold Glove nomination, Profar, a naturally better defender than Lowrie, might get the trophy this year. On top of that he’s a 20-20 threat, that’s a very valuable player. He might go 4-5 WAR this year….
padnastikador
Profar’s issue on defense is throwing the ball. Texas has a very tall 1B named Ronald Guzman who saved Profar some errors, but many of his throws were uncatchable. The move to 2B should help. Doubtful he’s in the gold glove running though. Also, check his home/road splits. The coliseum won’t be doing him any favors.
Ricky Adams
His throwing problems r due to the shoulder injury, limited play time, and being rotated all over the field. The rangers have mishandled him for 4 yrs. And im a ranger fan
Strike Four
Right, but my point is Matt Olson might be one of the best defensive 1B of all-time, check out any A’s defensive highlight 2018 play, he is simply ridiculous there. He’s got the stretch and the natural instincts better than anyone I’ve ever seen. All 4 A’s INF got gold glove nominations including Semien and Lowrie, who were previously known as being pretty bad defenders before Olson showed up. Profar is probably better than both of them so I can see him really going off, WAR-wise, this year.
Profar also had a very low BABIP last year, which sunk his away BA, which deflated his overall away numbers, which was still a .712 OPS, not entirely terrible (Semien was .706 last year overall). Profar also made big strides offensively in the 2nd half of last year, I can see him continuing on and maybe (finally) getting to his original ceiling.
Great trade by Oak and Tex, dont really like it for TB but they tend to know players better than most, so, time will tell.
padnastikador
I don’t know about original ceiling, just because he was the top prospect in baseball, but he’s still a very good player. I agree it’s a good trade by Texas and Oakland. He’ll do well for the A’s. He’ll be missed by Texas, but he was never going to sign an extension, so he needed to be dealt.
jb19
If the rangers get to 70 wins this seasons, that should be considered a success.
Ricky Adams
Im a ranger fan. But, with beltre retired, profar traded, and that rag tag retreaded rotation they threw togther, they should go ahead and trade gallo, mazara, odor, and any of those pitchers that show to have anything. I get were rebuilding, no problem with that. But, this rebuild has absolutely no direction other than stockpiling med talent minor league sp and international money. I hope rumors of ownership selling are true. And i 100% believe ownership is the problem, not jd.
padnastikador
Shouldn’t trade players when their value is low. Rumors before last season had Profar for Harvey. Smart move by Texas to hang on to Jurickson another year. Need Gallo and Mazara to start playing up to their potential, and Odor has to show consistency this year. I don’t know how many games the Rangers will win this season, but I think most experts are underrating them. They’ll be more competitive than people expect.
Ricky Adams
I get what ur saying, but what if what gallo, mazara, and odor have shown is all theyre ever gonna be. I mean mazara and gallo have pretty much been same players 3 consecutive years. Gallos gonna hit 40 homers and strikeout 200x, mazaras gonna hit 20 homers 85 rbi. And ur absolutely right about odor. He seemed to be an every other year player since 2015. And all 3 r useful players if they stay what they are but not the gfranchise cornerstones the team and fans wanna believe they are
padnastikador
I think Gallo and Mazara will definitely improve with age. Mazara’s problem is his defense. He’s always going to be a slow plodder. That will limit his value unless he becomes a monster with the bat. Gallo’s Going to hit for better average and walk more. His plate discipline will improve. If Texas ever hires competent coaches that will help. Odor is an excellent hitting 2B when he tries. His defense also improved last year. He basically mailed it in in 2017 after he got his contract extension. He made strides at the plate last season. He needs to stay on that path. Don’t try and hit a HR every time up. If I had to trade 1, it’d be Mazara. Then Odor. Then Gallo. I Think we haven’t seen the best from Gallo and Odor yet. Mazara worries me. Hopefully Texas’ new Hitting Coach can really help them reach that next level.
oz10
And also part of the total management overhaul probably has a lot to do with them being stagnant. Makes for a good argument that Bannister was not good at teaching and getting the best out of his players.
CursedRangers
Wait to you see the ticket prices at the new Rangers stadium. Seats between the dugouts are going up 200-400%. Going to be a corporate ballpark.
ILikeStake
Supply and demand…
oz10
The prices are actually not that bad with the exception of right around home plate.
RockHard
Terrible take…