As we enjoy the postseason festivities, it’s an opportune time to prepare for the coming wheeling and dealing of the winter. We always take an in-depth look at every team’s situation and also focus in on the major free agents. To get things rolling, though, we’ll also add a new angle with this market snapshot series.
Whether analyzing things from the perspective of a given team looking to address a certain position or from a player hoping to find a fit, the broader market context is a key consideration. Accordingly, we’ll use this series to get a general sense of the market setting at each position.
Teams In Need
Quite a few organizations will be interested in finding new options to take the lion’s share of the time behind the dish. The Angels, Astros, Athletics, Diamondbacks, Dodgers, Nationals, and Rays all plainly lack clear-cut, number-one options behind the dish and could be interested in significant upgrades.
Other teams could mostly roll with what’s already on hand but will likely at least dabble in the market for regulars. The Braves, Brewers, Mets, Phillies, Red Sox, and Rockies could justifiably go after top backstops, for instance, and are also among the teams that will be eyeing part-time contributors.
Meanwhile, the Yankees’ views on Gary Sanchez could represent a major wild card in the development of the market. And, of course, catching depth is always valued even for clubs whose MLB roster spots are already mostly accounted for.
Free Agents
This class certainly isn’t exactly loaded with stars, but that’s never really the case at the catching position. It does appear to have two clear regulars on offer, along with a variety of other backstops who might be entrusted with significant playing time again in 2019.
Likely Regulars:
Yasmani Grandal and Wilson Ramos have each hit quite well this year, but the former has the edge in framing and health. Both should secure strong, multi-year deals.
Top Timeshare/Reserve Options:
Kurt Suzuki and Martin Maldonado are arguably the top options here, the former owing to his solid bat and the latter to his well-regarded defensive work. A few former everyday receivers — Jonathan Lucroy, Brian McCann, and Matt Wieters — seem likely to be forced into lesser roles. Otherwise, A.J. Ellis, Nick Hundley, and Devin Mesoraco turned in solid campaigns this year.
Depth: Drew Butera, Chris Gimenez, Bryan Holaday, Jeff Mathis, Rene Rivera, Bobby Wilson
Trade Targets
It’s tough to know just how many of these players will truly be made available — at least, at a palatable price. And the market could feature some other names as well, particularly if a player is freed up to be moved based on other maneuvering.
Likely Regulars:
With two more seasons of arbitration control remaining, and coming off of a huge campaign, J.T. Realmuto of the Marlins ought to be pursued by a variety of contenders. Francisco Cervelli (Pirates, 1/$11.5MM) had an outstanding year and could be on the block if the Bucs see a chance to achieve an intriguing return and fill in with cheaper pieces. There’s no indication the Royals will deal Salvador Perez (3/$36MM), but he’ll surely be asked about.
Top Timeshare/Reserve Options:
Some might argue that Robinson Chirinos (Rangers, 1/$2.375MM) did enough in 2018 to be viewed as a regular, but the guess here is that he’d be valued as a primary but not everyday type catcher who has an attractive contract. He might also be an extension target. Both Welington Castillo (White Sox, 1/$7.75MM + option) and Russell Martin (Blue Jays, 1/$20MM) could be moved to save at least some of the remaining cash owed and to clear the way for younger options on both rosters. It’s plenty imaginable that the Red Sox will do some trimming, with three catchers (Sandy Leon, Christian Vazquez, and Blake Swihart) on hand.
baseball1600
Suzuki should get the most money. He’s the best all around option and he’s got a great personality and connects with a clubhouse easily. I could see the athletics reuniting with him.
baseball1600
Or, should I say Re-Reunite. It would be his 3rd time in an A’s uni.
jdgoat
Um Grandal not a free agent or what? He’s far superior to Suzuki.
lowtalker1
Hitting yes
Catching framing and game calling no
Senioreditor
Grandal is considered the best framer in baseball and his pitching staff has lead the NL in era the past few years. Suzuki has nothing in him. He’ll undoubtedly be given the QO and rarely does a catcher get that. Suzuki is not in his league AND Grandal is a switch hitter.
YourDaddy
Can’t seem to find Suzuki on this list of the top 30 pitch framers.
legacy.baseballprospectus.com/sortable/index.php?c…
He wasn’t there last year either
legacy.baseballprospectus.com/sortable/index.php?c…
Grandal was better on offense too.
its_happening
Flawed stat. Still don’t agree Suzuki’s better than Grandal, but a flawed stat.
Russell Martin’s one of the best, and because he was forced to catch RA Dickey in 2015 his framing took a hit, as did everything else. The stats do not tell you he had to catch a knuckler. Even if they tried to incorporate that fact, the numbers fail to tell the whole story.
mlb1225
Suzuki was ranked #108/117 in pitch framing runs; Grandal was ranked #1. Not only does he have a better bat, but he’s also better at catching runners trying to steal.
mlb1225
But Suzuki didn’t have to catch a knuckelball pitcher this year.
mack22 2
Yeah Grandal’s defense is below ave
baseballhobo
Every stat is a flawed stat.
UGA_Steve
Lowtalker, I think you are thinking of Flowers, who is decent. Suzuki is offense mostly. He is solid behind the plate at catching the ball, but that’s about it.
Grandal is superior in every way except COST. He is likely to be paid handsomely, and given the health concerns and early aging at the position it is a big gamble.
Kenleyfornia74
Grandal is 6 years younger and no one is gonna overpay for defense. You can find a lot of good defensive C like Jeff Mathis
YourDaddy
Grandal is better on defense.
mack22 2
Maybe when he was in San Diego, not now
socalbum
Grandal statistically he is one of the best in MLB this season
BlueSkyLA
How many assists does he need to drop, and how many balls does he need to pass, for you to get the idea that maybe he isn’t one of the best?
SoCalBrave
I think baseball1600 meant that Zuk should get the most out of the timeshare/back up options.
Codeeg
If Matt Wieters and Lucroy taught me anything it’s that even elite catchers are as fungible as closers. It’s unfortunate knees don’t last for most catchers/people in their 30s.
That being said Grandal is likely to command a decent contract with the others being picked up as secondary pieces.
jbigz12
Wieters was never really an elite catcher. You always waited for that year when he was going to absolutely tear it up and take the leap but it just never really came to fruition. Lucroy at least enjoyed some of those years. Wieters was consistently a very good catcher but he never made that jump.
UGA_Steve
This! The Orioles were my favorite AL team for the longest time and I couldn’t stand all the Wieters hype. Was he pretty good, yes, but he never became what everyone kept saying he would. Not even close.
Decent glove, strong arm, poor BA and OBP only slightly offset by being able to smack a few long balls. That describes plenty of catchers in today’s game who have received far less hype.
xabial
Wieters has been behind the plate for 42 of Scherzer’s starts last two seasons, owns a 2.64 ERA and 12.2 K/9.
Scherzer routinely praises Wieters’ abilities, from his game-calling to pitch-sequencing to a little thing that’s not noticed by many but is important to the pitcher.
“I think the thing that he’s most proud of is being able to catch foul tips,”. Scherzer said. That’s the one thing that he does so well, more than any other catcher. There is no metric for that, he’s amazing at catching foul tips.
Scherzer may have a point. How did O’s pitching staff do after Wieters left? He may have never reached his hype, but think he makes Pitchers in pitching staff better.
masnsports.com/nationals-pastime/2018/09/wieters-g…
jbigz12
I’m not gonna argue with wieters being a good defensive catcher in area’s that might get overlooked by some metric but scherzer’s numbers probably look damn good with anyone behind the plate.
Codeeg
Not that I actually care about catcher ERA, but I think it’s worth noting that Scherzer has a 2.52 ERA over his last 2 seasons (64 starts). That would suggest Wieters isn’t really any better ( if not worse if cERA has value to you) than the next guy to catch Scherzer.
jbigz12
There’s going to be something a catcher brings to a team that there’s no metric for. Maybe wieters did his pitching staff a boost but it’d be a very marginal one. If you’re going to look at the orioles staff post and pre wieters there’s a lot more that changed those numbers than wieters. Our 2016 was putrid with wieters except for Gausman and Tillman. Tillman proceeded to get hurt and lost velocity and control. That contributed a lot more to our poor staff. Sure, Gausman took a bit of a step back afterward. But his FIP was 4.1 in 16 and 4.4 in 17 other than that you had another year and another mph lost off his fastball for Ubaldo and wade Miley. Combine that with offensive numbers increasing league wide in a now stronger ALE and I think you have a better explanation.
its_happening
xabial is right. Anyone watch McCann in Game 7 of the ALCS against the Yankees? His game calling behind the dish was masterful.
2016 was Russell Martin’s best season with the Jays because A) he didn’t have to catch Dickey, and B) his game-calling was outstanding. Don’t care about the numbers, they don’t tell you how he got the most out of his staff.
Dioner Navarro in 2015 helped turn Marco Estrada into an All-Star. Overnight.
UGA_Steve
Scherzer’s ERA the last two years has been 2.53 and 2.51 (average just under 2.52), and his K/9 is 12.14 overall. So you are quoting a stat for Wieters where the writer was too lazy to realize Wieters actually HURT Scherzer’s ERA and did nothing for his K-rate.
Wieters probably doesn’t deserve negative publicity as he is definitely not the one who kept throwing out all these accolades, but the guy has never come close to what others projected. Put his stats against average catchers and you will see that is right where he belongs. Still, an average MLB catcher is pretty stinkin good, just not when he was supposed to be Johnny Bench and Benito Santiago all rolled into one dude.
Codeeg
2 things. Just because his ERA with Wieters is higher than without does not mean that’s the cause of the numbers. (Catcher ERA is a stupid stat and catchers are less important than the pitcher himself)
Second people need to stop looking at what his potential was supposed to be because that’s how you lose as a fan/GM getting bogged down in the “suppose to” and not looking at “actually is” aspect of a player.
jbigz12
Wieters was more than an average catcher. He wasn’t a groundbreaking superstar as he was hyped to be but to call him an average catcher is just as bad. He was a good catcher for years.
xabial
What if I told you Yankees’ backup Catcher pitched in the postseason today, and gave up less runs than Severino? Many here wanted Romine to play catcher ahead of Gary… how about pitching to Gary Lol.
Padres2019ha
Also The Padres may trade from their surplus of catchers
Deke
Nick Huntley hit around .240 with 10 home runs as a backup catcher. That puts him at #6 on the HR totals and he had 150 less plate appearances than anyone above him on that list.
He has the same number of HRs as Wilson Contreras who had 229 more trips to the plate and who hits in a more friendly park.
I’d love for him to stay with SF but I’d be interested to see what he could do if he played every day.
Note: yes I get that there are defensive metrics that rate Contreras very high but there’s plenty of teams that have poor offensive catchers. I just think Hundley is underrated as a catcher.
jbigz12
Hundley is 35. He’s been a heavily used backu/ platoon starter most of his career. He is what he is. Tough to extrapolate stats onto a catcher also. He’s a high quality backup or platoon option but that’s about it. You’re not going into the season with him as your #1 and feeling great about it.
azcrook
Hundley is not leaving the Giants
timtim007
What about Carson Kelly of the Cardinals? Seems like Knizner (or however you spell it) is a better option than Kelly.
tbone0816
I agree I hope the Cardinals sign Carson Kelly!! I’m not sold on him.
cards81
agreed Carson Kelly should be in the article….He has no where to go and no matter what people say he is still a highly regarded defensive catcher…He has yet to prove his bat will translate to the majors but he still had great numbers in Triple A and hasn’t had a chance to prove anything in the MLB yet…..probably one of the better catchers to gamble of all the catchers mentioned in this article
getright11
PSA: Nobody wants Carson Kelly.
cards81
Lol I love when people comment and have no idea…why wouldn’t anyone want Kelly? Because he is young an affordable? Because he is a great defensive catcher? Because he has great Triple A numbers? Please explain lol
xabial
All I could come up with was Evan Gattis.
He played Catcher twice this year, DH other 110 games. How desperate do you have to be to re-convert this guy back to C? This isn’t a troll question, Catchers with power, always rare, but never saw this guy play defense at C. He that bad?
jb19
He’s not very good. I’ve watched him play catcher with the Astros last year and I think once this year. Gattis is a DH. He may want to work at 1b just for some versatility. Maybe try out LF again at easier ballparks. But it’s tough to put him in the lineup at anything other than DH.
ATL_ranger
Agreed, really just a last resort fill-in/last few innings after a double switch kind of guy at C
kingofmacomb
Evan Gattis is a catcher in the same way that throwing a baseball glove into a tree makes the tree an outfielder.
its_happening
Well done
Stratocaster
I got a good chuckle at this -thank you.
bigcokeslushy
Red Sox extended Vazquez this summer and put up with Leon’s terrifying bat for his decent receiving ERA, I doubt they’re looking. If anything they might try to trade Swihart
stubby66
I would enjoy seeing Kelly or Swihart in a Brewers uniform but I’m guessing next year that Nottingham will get his chance I know the Brewers FO was very high on him after he showed his defense improved in the AFL last fall.
steelerbravenation
After watching this playoff series I really hope the Braves make a run for Grandal. They got the money coming off the books I just wonder how much LA values him I know they got a couple prospects coming up and I believe he fell out of sorts last year for a bit
Gonna be an interesting offseason in ATL
Basil Ganglia
Any player that is on a roster controlled by Jerry DiPoto should be considered available. Which means that Mike Zunino should be on the trade targets list.
andremets
Mid like to see the Mets go after Wil Ramos and AJ pollack.
Joe Kerr
Pollack will sign for big money and the Mets already have Cespedes, Bruce, Nimmo & Conforto. Plus, do they really need another injury prone player? I don’t see them as a viable option for Pollack. They would be better served spending that money on the right side of the infield and the bullpen.
strostro
James Mccann will surely be traded
nats3256
Ramos back to DC in 2019 please.
BigFred
Dodgers will re-sign Grandal.
socalbum
I don’t think so. Turns 30 next month so statistically he is already past his prime as a catcher (historically downward trend starts after age 28 season) and he will likely get a 3 to 4 year contract. Dodgers will undoubtedly give him a QO and if he accepts fine for 1 year.
BlueSkyLA
The problem is the free agent catcher class is all 30+ and the Dodgers don’t have any internal options for next year, unless they consider Barnes to be bounce-back candidate after a down year. If they can get Grandal back on a QO they probably use him as a bridge to Ruiz.
socalbum
If Grandal turns down QO then Dodgers have the assets to trade for one of Bosox catchers (Vasquez, Leon, or Swihart) to team with Barnes. Being so deep in catching prospects I don’t think Dodgers will commit $50+MM to Grandal.
BlueSkyLA
That could happen, but the Dodgers are pretty deep in catching prospects themselves as you say so trading for one seems unlikely. The need is 2019, and possibly 2020. I’m not a huge Grandal fan but best case scenario for the Dodgers is he is offered and accepts the QO, which gives them another year to sort out the prospects, and to see if Barnes can recover from his down year.
Henry Limpet
Francisco Cervelli may just be the best balance of defense & offense, since he is hitting home runs more often now. He definitely has learned to drive the ball better than ever.
Has a good attitude as well and is quite endearing to the fans.
socalbum
Teams that value pitch framing will not be interested
BigGiantHead
Grandal’s defense is horrid. Simply horrid.
Cam
How so?
imgman09
Horrid!Stay off the Meds and please pay attention to the Game,I’m not a Dodger Fan and I even know better!
leftcoaster
Simply not true.
southbeachbully
It’s so interesting trying to evaluate catchers defensively. For all that’s been said about Sanchez he still ranks positive overall in almost all categories. I think the Yanks will give him a full off-season to get 100% healthy and to work intensely to improve his blocking. If he can come back and be a solid defensive catcher and be a .270/.350 hitter with 25-30 hrs then he will ascend to being a top 5 catcher again. He’s a stocky guy. He was to train his body to be a bit quicker. Also, he has to show more intensity in improving his craft. But 2019 is his as the starting catcher imo.
bradthebluefish
Red Sox should cut Swihart. He can’t hit, he can’t catch, and he can’t defend the several other positions the Red Sox throw him into.