Following trades of Eduardo Escobar and Ryan Pressly, Twins fan favorite Brian Dozier seems all but destined to be donning another uniform on August 1st. Mike Berardino of the Pioneer Press reports that both the Indians and Giants have been scouting the second baseman this week, who’s set to become a free agent at season’s end.
Dozier, 31, has been having a down season by his standards, slashing just .226/.307/.409 across the season’s first four months. He’s played below-average defense by measure of both UZR and DRS, and he’s on pace for his lowest homer total since 2014. Fangraph’s WAR formula pegs him as a slightly-below-average major leaguer so far this season after being at least a 5-win player in each of the past two campaigns.
Then again, Dozier’s been known to go off in the season’s second half. Dozier’s career wRC+ following the All-Star Break (116) is a full 13 points higher than his lifetime performance before it (103). His wOBA and triple-slash paint a similar picture. Just last season, in fact, exactly half of Dozier’s 34 homers came in either August or September, as did 33 of his 78 walks. While that doesn’t mean an acquiring team can lean heavily on that type of production as a pattern, it’s certainly encouraging for his many suitors.
One of those suitors, the Indians, have been known to be looking for help on offense, and Berardino notes that they’re still checking in on second and third base options as well as outfielders. Cleveland has also been connected to Joey Gallo within the past 24 hours, and could be even more heavily motivated to get some help on offense following recent news that Tyler Naquin is likely headed to the DL. As Berardino points out, longtime Tribe second baseman Jason Kipnis is enduring another down season, evidenced by his season batting line of .219/.306/.362 (though it’s worth noting that he’s picked up the pace significantly in the past six weeks).
While Dozier could potentially eat into Kipnis’ playing time, another possible scenario would be for Dozier to push Kipnis into the outfield mix, where the Indians are without particularly inspiring options. A stint in center field last season didn’t have good results for Kip, but it’s entirely possible he would be a better option there than the 37-year-old Rajai Davis or rookie Greg Allen. The Indians also probably don’t know what to expect from Lonnie Chisenhall, either, who has yet to amass 100 plate appearances this season due to a series of calf injuries, so it’s not difficult to imagine Kipnis being useful in right field, either.
As for the Giants, the fit is more obvious. Joe Panik has spent significant time on the disabled list this season and remains there at present. Even when the 27-year-old has been able to take the field, the results haven’t been great; he’s slashing 240/.309/.345 across 224 plate appearances and is rated as being roughly replacement level by Fangraphs. Then again, it’s a bit of a surprise to see the Giants taking a long look at Dozier in the first place considering he’s a pure rental and the Giants currently sit 6.5 games back of the division with significant questions in almost every area of their roster. While they’re a bit closer in the NL Wild Card race at just five games back, there are also five teams ahead of them in that race that they’d need to leapfrog just to secure a spot in the one-game playoff.
Paul Molitor
Please don’t trade him to Cleveland
#Fantasygeekland
Why not? It won’t hurt them if they trade him to Cleveland, take a couple prospects from a division rival, then watch him walk in free agency in a year they aren’t competitive.
wjf010
For two months? Why not?
nymetsking
For the long term, trading a rental player within the division is a good thing. You’re taking away future assets from them
datrain021
Good point
Polish Hammer
As an Indians fan please don’t trade for him…don’t want to see our prospects prosper in Minny and come back to haunt us long after this short term rental skips town.
woodstock005
Please don’t trade him to giants
Because giants a seller team
#Fantasygeekland
The twins have done a good job adding high upside prospects to their farm so far
c1234
Giants won’t make postseason even if they got dozier
its_happening
Agreed. I don’t see SF leaping over LA or Zona.
arc89
I don’t see how the Giants could swing a deal. they are over payroll and would need to dump some high pay player. Second what do they have to offer the Twins? Their best young players are up. Duggard for Dozier? The farm is thin down there so not much to trade.
sfg415sfc
Ever hear of Ramos? Or their latest International signing? Their best players are most definitely not up. Just the most MLB ready.
arc89
they already said they would not trade him for anyone. That is the problem they have only a couple top prospects which they are unwilling to trade so how do they get Dozier without giving up their top prospect?
Boogaloo
Lol, if your best players in the minors are a 17 year old and an 18 year old in low a ball you have nothing.
It’s over Giants fans, the team is to old, overpaid and system is way to thin.
Keep clinging to the past, it will only hurt.
Cant delay the rebuild much longer.
mrnatewalter
You’re right, you totally win championships by sitting back and counting top prospects.
HummBaby
Yawn. Cute attempt at trolling, Their top rated prospect is 21, another is 23.
Boogaloo
Yawn, he was talking about a 17 and 18 year old.
Cute attempt at following the conversation.
The Gianst system is awful.
The team is old.
Just keep deleying that rebuild, 2024 isn’t far away, lol
HummBaby
I admire your dedication but trolling just isn’t your thing on mlbtr. Stick to trolling instagram?
pustule bosey
Machado’s and Briton didn’t pull anything close to an impact player, I don’t see why anyone thinks Dozier should.
OverUnderDone
This.
toddybaseball
I hope they do trade Heliot for Dozier. Only top 100 prospect for a used-to-be good vet who can’t field his position. Do it Evans! Do it!
bencole
The Giants should be sellers. And honestly, Dozier probably doesn’t bring a top 100 prospect. I’d be pretty surprised.
toddybaseball
I hope they buy and buy stupidly. The bigger the hole they dig for themselves, the harder I’ll laugh. And this year they won’t even get the benefit of picking at the top of the draft. Old and overpriced with a bad farm system.
gmenfan
Look at you A’s fans winning for half a season and gettin’ all mouthy. You go, girl !
konalawrence
Yup. The Giants need to be sellers, if anything.
pustule bosey
They ought to sell some pieces, move Dyson, McCutchen, pence for salary relief, a couple of others but they really ought not to do a lot other than that till the offseason.
jekporkins
I agree, if they can trade some smaller parts and keep that core together they will be in the hunt next year. Getting some salary relief with Pence and Cutch out of there will help a lot if they look for a big bat, and keep Dugger and Slater out there the rest of the year to see how they do.. Keep the entire infield as it is., I like where the young starters are going, The bullpen is fine..
Problem is nobody is taking Pence off our hands. Even the Rangers and Rays won’t bite on that one.
gmenfan
The problem the Giants have is that nobody wants any of the pieces that they actually want to get rid of. None of their expendable rentals are having a sufficiently productive year to justify any team offering much/anything for them. Pence ? McCutchen ? No surprise that there aren’t any takers.
Deke
I don’t see Dozier as an upgrade on Panik. Sure he’s got more power but he’s not going to have power at AT&T. Plus Panik has had a terrible BABIP which to me suggests he’s been unlucky.
On top of that SF has a crappy farm they shouldn’t trading prospects.
Dozier isn’t gonna help SF make the post season any more than anyone else on their roster will.
jorge78
The Twins home park is not exactly “small.”
Phoenixdownyjr
AT&T park and Target Field have comparable distances down the LF line seeing as dozier is a dead pull hitter in the air, I could see a fit.
gmenfan
I like Panik, but a pane of glass is more durable. Dozier is not what he was, and wont be worth what teams have to part with to get him. For the Giants, neither Panik nor Dozier should be the answer moving forward.
TwinsHomer
Don’t wanna see dozier go to Cleveland for the sole possibility he catches absolute fire and helps them win a World Series. That would hurt…. I would tell Cleveland straight up you’re going to have to pay double what a normal team would pay. Might not be the smartest route but my heart couldn’t take it lol.
indiansfan44
Can’t blame you there hate seeming former Indians come back and destroy us especially in the division but that’s why we aren’t GMs lol
TwinsHomer
Lol agreed.
Wahoo What a Finish!
Hey man we haven’t won a WS since 1948.
CubsRebsSaints
SF may be scouting for FA next year. They are old. They better sell before it’s too late and they have to Cubs/Astros/White Sox tank it for a few years. Usually Brian Sabean is a very good decision maker. I guess when he got promoted he gave the new GM full reign
driftcat28 2
For fantasy purposes, Dozier really needs to get going with his monster second half
yes
As an Indians fan, I can’t say I’m gassed at either Dozier or Gallo! Of course, I’d rather Dozier… even though I hardly know her. They’re better than nothing? Would Gallo play 3b? Could he play 3b?? If not, I’m not really enthused (Russell Branyan). I’m not counting the days for a .190 hitter.
Getting the feeling that Beltre won’t yield his no-trade clause. He’s still the option that makes most sense for me. Can Dozier play 3b?? Listen, I wouldn’t complain if they got Dozier and it turned out they could move him to 3b..
arc89
Gallo is a defensive liability is why the rangers are willing to trade him.
darkstar61
Gallo is a positive value fielder in the OF
It is 3B where he is a liability though, and no team should want him there.
Cleveland needing an outfielder above anything makes them a good destination
Fuck Me Bitch
Has he ever played third base?
No, he has not.
jd396
Yeah, if there’s one thing the Indians need most right now, it’s a better left side of the infield.
I’m going to go spray brake cleaner in my eyes now.
sufferforsnakes
Jose to 2B, Kipnis to CF (I think I just threw up in my mouth), and Yandy Diaz at 3B.
Polish Hammer
Not sure how that Ramirez fella is playing over Yandy… :/
jd396
Just move Kipnis to 3B and DFA Ramirez.
Fuck Me Bitch
63% of the Twins’ season is done.
If Dozier is going to have a monster half he will have to make it a monster last 1/3 of the season.
ian 2
He’s got a .806 OPS since July 1st.
Gobbysteiner
Giants please sell. Sell sell sell. Trade anyone of value, bum, belt, dyson, Watson, smith, mccutchen will all bring back some solid prospects.
sufferforsnakes
That made me think of Trading Places.
CCCTL
McCutchen is an aging rental in a market that doesn’t really need another not-high-power-slugging right fielder with negative range.
No top prospects coming back for that. ‘Solid’ is pretty iffy.
Gobbysteiner
He’ll bring back something. Watson and Smith will bring back great hauls as well as Bumgarner, dyson and belt would bring back something as well. The giants have the pieces to trade, the front office just needs to pull the trigger.
sufferforsnakes
Cleveland? BS.
darkstar61
Possibly attempting to drive up the price?
I don’t see the fit with the club otherwise either – the true value of Kipnis comes in his defense at 2B with that kind of bat capabilities
jd396
Mystery Team might be able to pick him up.
Begamin
ok seriously
wHaT AbOuT StArLin cAsTRo?!?!
thegreatcerealfamine
$$$$
Begamin
doziers contract per year is 9M
castro 10 M
walls17
castro has another year left though
thegreatcerealfamine
Giants don’t have that much payroll and Castro would cost too much in prospects for the Indians.
Begamin
+walls
oh no, not another year of control at a reasonable price! aaaaaaaaa
+cereal
yeah maybe in the giants case it wont work, but for all the teams that needed a middle infielder (brewers, phillies, dbacks, etc.) im just flabbergasted that there hasnt been any mention of Castro at all
Vizquel13
The Indians are going to check in on everybody at this point, a deal will happen as another bat is needed desperately. I want Eddie Rosario but don’t know if Twins will trade him.
nh_55
Almost no chance they trade Rosario with three years of control left. If anything, they will probably try to extend him in the offseason. Plus they would never just give him to a division rival.
Wahoo What a Finish!
They will check in on everybody and acquire nobody. The Indians front office let’s us down every season.
El Duderino
*Andrew Miller sheds a single tear.*
Philliesfan4life
Boston makes perfect sense for Dozier right now, Plus it will help them hold off the yankees
Squeezebuntz9
Evans is on a mission to stack this team with aging has beens that are having a super down year. Speaking of has beens, Buster would make a nice trade as he’s got no heart, no emotion, and plays like he’s 50. I know he’s the golden boy face of the franchise, but it’s time to face the facts on him. Go ahead and put him at first base. Those numbers and spirit in his game aren’t good over there either. Dudes got his rings and is riding it out. I don’t see him having a long career I see him retiring in 3 years. He will have no value after this years slogging performance. And fine blame it on him being hurt. With his miles traveled he’s always going to be hurt.
CCCTL
“Having a down year? But look how well he did three or four years ago! That means we can get him cheap and he’ll absolutely bounce back!” -Evans
gmenfan
“Brian Sabean is the WORST GM in all of baseball !” – Giants fans
“Hold my beer.” – Bobby Evans
draushaus
No, they shouldn’t trade Dozier to Cleveland! Minny shouldn’t be giving up on this season. There are only two teams in the running for the division. Come next season, that won’t be the case. Go all in! Chase and catch the Indians. We have no business saying they can’t be caught!