The current Major League Baseball offseason has been an unusual one for multiple reasons, including the lack of movement atop the free agent market. Nearly two months after free agency opened, most of the elite members of this winter’s class remain on the board. That includes longtime Royals first baseman Eric Hosmer, whose trip to the market has been especially odd. Surprisingly, there’s no indication any contenders are pursuing him with any gusto.
To this point, two clubs that don’t stand much chance to win in 2018 have shown the most interest in Hosmer. On one hand, it’s not exactly shocking that the Royals have tried to retain Hosmer, who’s one of the most popular players in franchise history and a key reason for their 2015 World Series title. It’s peculiar, though, that they’re trying to keep him while looking to cut payroll and rebuild.
Even with a career year from Hosmer in 2017 and important contributions from the likes of Mike Moustakas, Lorenzo Cain and Mike Minor – all of whom are now out of the organization – the Royals only won 80 games. So, odds are this isn’t a team that’s going to succeed in the near term even if it convinces the 28-year-old Hosmer to re-sign.
Similarly, the Padres aren’t going to pose a threat in 2018 – especially in a division with three of last season’s five NL playoff qualifiers – yet they’ve gone even harder after Hosmer than the Royals. The Padres met with Hosmer earlier this month, and a week later, they reportedly emerged as the favorites to sign him. But no agreement has come to fruition in the week and a half since then, perhaps owing to a difference of opinion within the San Diego organization.
Some Padres bigwigs would be on board with making Hosmer the first nine-figure player in franchise history with the hope that the well-regarded leader would serve as a culture-changing force; others have reservations about whether now is the right time for the Padres to splurge on a free agent. It’s easy to sympathize with the latter camp, given that the Padres are coming off their 11th straight non-playoff campaign and figure to need at least a couple more years to make a return to the postseason. By the time San Diego turns back into a contender (if it does anytime soon), Hosmer’s best years may be in the rearview mirror.
In addition to signing an enormous deal, an ideal scenario for Hosmer would likely include joining a team that’s in position to win now. But clear fits among contenders are difficult to find. The Cardinals have been linked to Hosmer, though they could continue with Matt Carpenter at first or roll with Jose Martinez and Luke Voit. With those options in the fold, they’ve been more focused on landing a high-profile third baseman than a first baseman in recent weeks. The Red Sox were a popular pick to reel in Hosmer earlier this offseason, but they seemingly took themselves out of the running this week with the surprise re-signing of fellow first baseman Mitch Moreland. And most other playoff hopefuls – including the Astros, Indians, Yankees, Twins, Angels, Mariners, Nationals, Cubs, Brewers, Dodgers, Diamondbacks, Rockies and Mets – either don’t need first base help or aren’t in position to spend big on it.
With highly skilled agent Scott Boras as his representative, one can’t rule out an unexpected team making a major play for Hosmer (Boras could probably talk the Heat Miser into buying a parka, after all). As of now, though, it seems Boras is facing long odds of finding a contender to take on Hosmer. Consequently, Hosmer may have to choose between staying in Kansas City or heading to San Diego.
(Poll link for app users)
Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.
Matt Tobin
First rule of FA: Always pick the field
Phillies2017
Somebody who’s probably going to wish they hadn’t, if he costs what it’s looking like he’s going to cost.
shoheiohtahnyy
Beat me to it
dirtydan
You might wanna change your name
mlbtheshow 2
Same for you. Your name is pointless.
chesteraarthur
fail
dirtydan
Well I guess it’s time to get the noose ready for me.
mlbtheshow 2
1v1 me bro. See you on Rust
angelsws2020
Nah bro let’s play on Nuketown
halofan20
Lmao wow
dirtydan
Quicscope only and 2x damage so no hitmarkers
dynamite drop in monty
Every day that passes is another day closer to Hosmer kicking stones on his walk back to KC.
Mattimeo09
Someone will pick him up before he heads back to KC unless they meet a crazy asking price.
My guess would be that a team like Cleveland or Boston will make a move if his price drops enough. Just like last year with EE.
Hosmer, for all his flaws, is still better than Alonso or Moreland
Michael Chaney
Boston seems like a stretch anyway, but as an Indians fan I can guarantee you that they aren’t making a move for Hosmer. They just signed Alonso, and they’ve given indications that there isn’t much money left over other than for their arbitration players. Even if they can trade Kipnis and hadn’t signed Alonso, I still don’t see a fit there.
brucewayne
I think he goes back to KC too!
Paul Heyman
I thought Matt carpenter played first, unless the cards told him to shift back to third. I think with carpenter, Wong, Gyorko, and DeJong up the middle is a decent infield. The only way I see DeJong moving to SS or being the backup 3rd baseman is “the biggest if” Donaldson comes via trade.
Lanidrac
Besides, Hosmer isn’t even an upgrade over Carpenter or Gyorko, anyway.
CubsTroll
Agreed. Would rather see the money it would cost to land him put toward a closer, startling pitcher, Donaldson etc. All of the above if Christmas wishes are being granted.
chesteraarthur
why you spending that much money to startle your pitchers
JKurk22
Lol
CompanyAssassin
Hosmer is an upgrade over Gyorko, while he plays a good defense, he was virtually useless the entire second half of the season, suggesting he isn’t really suited for anything full time, more of that super utility they talk about.
JFactor
Im easily taking the guy who will be making half as much and controlled for half as long and can play positions other than first base and doesn’t create all of his offense from singles finding a way through the infield.
JFactor
fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&…
Forgot to link their stats side by side
djhorvath
You do realize that gyrko is a homer or bust guy dont you? He rarely doubles and his OBP is typically subpar… he homers and singles… im not saying this in support of hosmer, i think he is overrated, just pointing out hosmer is better than gyrko in most key fields
brucewayne
Gyrko was hurt in the 2nd half last year! In 2016, he led the Cards in HR with 35
brucewayne
and was the top 3 in NL 3B. Plus cheap at $8mil
brucewayne
DeJong is already at SS!
Michael Birks
As a Red Sox fan I am satisfied with the Moreland pick up if it saves Boston 120 million….They will have to Overpaid for Martinez I’m afraid
Michael Birks
Overpay
fox471 Dave
Thank you. Proofread.
kenneth cole
It’s not a big deal lol find something productive to do with your life
Dodgethis
He s trying to imply that grammar and spelling are important to him while using incomplete sentences.
a1544
believing that one player from an overachieving royals team will change the whole culture of a clubhouse by just picking him away from a group of guys hes been playing with for 10 years and sticking just him on your team is not a very good way to build your team. im surprised so many people believe in this like it works like magic
MrStealYoBase
Am I the only one not convinced by any of these Padres rumors? Hosmer makes no sense for that team, especially with Myers, especially at $15-20M + AAV. It’s just Boras spreading rumors to make it seem like there is a market for Hosmer. In my estimation, the market is Cardinals (for the right price) and then the Royals as a fallback option.
MrStealYoBase
Also notice how all these Padre rumors only picked up when Moreland resigned with BoSox. Then we find out Hosmer wasn’t even being considered by Red Sox. Just more smoke and mirrors.
Yankeepatriot
Boras tactic
User 4245925809
king of lies and deception. another character is known as that also..
buddhablessed
Ray mysterio?
Kylemc33
The Hosmer to SD rumors happened almost a week and a half before the Sox resigned Moreland
pads fan1980
It’s been stated since the beginning of the offseason that the Padres have had interest in Hosmer. The owner has even said so on radio shows. So yes this isn’t just made up sample and mirrors
MrStealYoBase
As someone who does not follow the Padres very closely, I’m just calling it as I see it. If they actually end up signing Hosmer then God help you all.
bradthebluefish
Everyone should have interest in Hosmer… for the right price. If he wants half of what he’s asking, everybody would be in on Hosmer.
Injediwetrust
Wil doesn’t reach 20M until 2020. The AAV is essentially 14M. Yes it was an overpay but by the time 2020 rolls around it will hardly be outrageous. I am on the fence and can make an aurgument for both sides of the Hosmer debate. I could take it or leave it. If they get it done for 5 or 6 years around an 20M AAV; it’s a gamble worth taking.
Caseys Partner
M E T S
padam
Take that back.
– Mets fan
matthew102402
What about that 10 million to spend?
bradthebluefish
Backload the contract 😉
Michael Chaney
Deferred payments until 2040!!!
-Mike Rizzo
padam
That’ll work.
– Bobby Bonillia
Yankeepatriot
Padres 4 year deal. It’s literally a one team market for him now
reflect
I keep telling y’all he’s not going to get more than like 90 mil.
Yankeepatriot
He’s definitely getting a reduced rate with his market being dead
lowtalker1
Here’s the thing
The padres don’t need a 1st baseman
So in reality in he wants to be apart of something great then go to sd
If he wants to live in the past then go back to kc
halos and quacks
The padres are something great? They are the 4th or 5th best team in their division
msjrn509
StLouis Cardinals
CubsTroll
Don’t need him.
sandman12
Surprising? No. He’s a three year, $48M guy … just doesn’t know it yet.
davidcoonce74
I would guess he’ll get over 3 years although that AAV is probably in the ballpark in the end. Hosmer is a first-base only player coming off a career year, in the year of the home run, in which he still slugged 498. He’s a solid hitter, not a great one, and defensive opinions about him are all over the place, from gold-glover (obviously) to a lot of scouts who find him just average over there. His real skill is scooping errant throws,, and there’s no real way to measure that very well, except his fellow infielders do seem to have fewer throwing errors than their peers. Hosmer is a dead-pull hitter who struggles against lefties – in the NL West there are three elite lefty starters (Kershaw, Bumgarner and Ray, along with Rich Hill) although that would obviously only amount to a couple dozen or so ABs per year, but still….He also has an odd batted-ball profile – hits a lot more line drives and groundballs, doesn’t have a great launch angle to sustain 25 HR power. He’s a good complementary player on a good team, but if he’s the best player on your team your team isn’t going anywhere. If the Padres sign him they have to move Myers out to left, where he isn’t that good and can’t stay healthy. And they would be stuck with their most expensive player at the bottom of the defensive spectrum, where they already have some prospects lined up.
lowtalker1
He can stay healthy. He had several bone spurs in his wrist that had been there since high school; that are now removed.
He isn’t the greatest right fielder, but he’ll look like a gold gloves left fielder if you compared him to Justin uptown
lowtalker1
Upton
davidcoonce74
Upton was basically a league-average defender in his year in San Diego. He has had better years defensively but he wasn’t a disaster out there by any stretch of the imagination. His numbers may have suffered a bit during that season because he was playing next to a really bad centerfielder, who was playing next to a statue in right. That was a bad season for outfield defense in SD, but Upton wasn’t part of the problem.
lowtalker1
Over all dude
He has always been viewed as a below average left fielder
His brother is the better athlete but Justin has the better career
halos and quacks
This was right on the money. I agree
bleacherbum
Padres 4yr/72.5M with a club option for a 5th year at 17.5M, making the contract potentially worth 5/90M.
Book it.
sandman12
Or trade for Justin Bour, with three arb years ahead, and get 40 HR and 100 RBI. Bour, despite getting only 377 ab due to injury, matched Hosmer’s production in 603 ab!
sandman12
There’s potential for a blockbuster between SD and Miami. With Bour, Yelich, Castro, and Straily, SD is ready to ball! Pads have the prospects.
Houston We Have A Solution
Uh no, padres dont have a need for a 1B who wont be around when theyre contending.
Bour hits FA in 2021. Padres would want a 1B who hits FA 2023 or 2024.
Not worth giving up prospects for Bour.
padam
Can’t recall Boras giving out club options.
lilpartialbaldo
Tigers seem like the best fit.
padam
Rebuild. Cabrera is over there, anyway.
WildeThing
I leave it in the hands of Boston. Boston is always willing to spend the money and why would you waste that pitching staff on rebuilding. Moreland is the backup plan and Ramirez has seen his last days on the defensive side. Locking in Hosmer for 5 years makes sense to a team that has to compete against the baby bombers!
padam
That would eliminate any chance of signing JD Martinez with the current day roster. Don’t see it happening.
themaven
Hosmer will go back to KC for 6 years 100 million.
There isn’t any other landing place where he’ll get more money or years.
cxcx
I agree back to KC for lower AAV than people have been talking about makes a lot of sense. I would take it further to 7 or 8 year deal, maybe even longer, $100m or a little more. Team record contract, nine figures, likes it there, retire a Royal, etc. Nice backup narrative for Boras if the market is indeed as weak as it appears.
darenh
Um…who cares?
He’s not an impact player.
There’s no salary cap so even if he sucks it doesn’t really matter.
So…what’s the fuss.
Padres 162-0
So much delusion in one comment
Padres 162-0
hosmer to pads
SundownDevil
Connor, I will think about this poll over the next couple of days and then post my answer on Tuesday, the 26th. Log off and enjoy the holidays; we’ll survive! I don’t see any newsworthy minor league contracts being signed in the next 48 hours. Merry Christmas!
bravesandcrewfan
Am I the only one who thinks the Rox makes sense? Haven’t looked at their payroll, but he seems like a fit to me.
acerulli1
I was thinking the same thing, and wondering why no one was considering the possibility, especially if Hosmer’s market really is collapsing.
Ski to Coors
Rockies make more sense than most, at least on the surface.
Their GM has stated he doesn’t have the payroll for Hosmer or Martinez. With Blackmon and Arenado’s contracts expiring over the next couple seasons, it appears they are attempting to make sure there is money available to potentially resign at least one if not both.
They aren’t really desperate at 1B with Desmond and Ryan McMahon. They also have Jordan Patterson in AAA and will probably wind up bringing back Mark Reynolds on third 1 year deal in a row, poor guy.
padam
I think the preference is to have Desmond play 1B.
cakirby
Actually, I think this makes total sense. If they don’t resign CarGo, why not put Desmond in the OF, where he played well with the Rangers? The addition of Hosmer would be pretty nice for them in that case.
padam
Outfield: Blackmon, Dahl, Parra. Unless they’re willing to sit one of them.
go_jays_go
No one. Eric Hosmer will go the route of Kendrys Morales & Stephen Drew and sign after the draft.
bbatardo
Everyone seems down on him but he’s a solid player. Not 200 million contract solid but most teams would be interested at reasonable asking price.
stymeedone
And you expect him to settle for a reasonable contract, when?
tacotruck
If SD wants to go for Eric Hosmer, they should’ve just brought back Yonder Alonso with contract similar to one he got in Cleveland. Yet, I don’t see the reasoning behind getting another first baseman with Myers still around. The team needs to get a shortstop or a third baseman (not named Headley) and decide which position to bring up Tatis Jr. in.
Solaris601
Boras should just list his clients on eBay, and the player just goes to the highest bidding team after 7 days. That would eliminate all the smoke, mirrors, speeches, and machinations. Then again, Boras wouldn’t want the transparency of eBay because there’s no way for him to factor in the infamous “mystery team”.
Bobbig
No doubt that draft choice is a turn off for most teams…
socalbaseballdude
He’s going back to KC….