It’s tough to imagine at this point that the Mets won’t end up selling a few players at the deadline, but just how many will move remains to be seen. The uncertainty doesn’t really involve the team’s willingness to deal away controllable assets — all indications are it won’t, perhaps barring a surprising offer. Instead, as explored below, there are some questions regarding the short-term veterans that the team is almost certainly willing to trade.
The Mets have received only tepid interest thus far in veteran outfielders Jay Bruce and Curtis Granderson, according to a report from Ken Rosenthal of MLB Network. Perhaps that’s unsurprising, given the inability of the Tigers to draw top-tier prospect talent for elite slugger J.D. Martinez. Both Bruce and Granderson are performing rather well, but neither is to Martinez’s standard and each earns at a higher rate ($13MM and $15MM, respectively).
All that being said, it’s still hard to imagine that these two players wouldn’t represent upgrades for many teams. Both are producing at quality rates — Bruce for the entire season, Granderson since a terrible opening month (though he has been limited by injury of late). Notably, too, New York is amenable to paying down some of their remaining salary obligations, per Rosenthal, if that means enhancing the prospect return.
One interesting element of the Mets’ decisionmaking is the possibility of issuing a qualifying offer to Bruce after the season, as Rosenthal suggests could be the case. If the team is indeed willing to pay him at a steep one-year rate, were he to accept (or recoup draft compensation if not), then that would suggest a higher barrier to a trade. Retaining Bruce does appear to be a plausible strategy given the club’s evident hopes of bouncing back in 2018, particularly since the team’s other top left-handed bat, first baseman Lucas Duda, will enter free agency (and may yet be traded away first). Dealing Granderson instead might help the team avoid an awkward playing time scenario; according to the report, the Mets are telling these two veterans, as well as long-term assets Yoenis Cespedes and Michael Conforto, that the reps will be split evenly at least until the deadline.
Granderson doesn’t appear likely to factor in the Mets’ plans beyond the current season regardless. And he suggests Howie Kussoy of the New York Post that retirement is at least a possibility as soon as the coming offseason. “I’ve made my peace with it,” Granderson says of the eventual end of his playing career. “I’m going to enjoy this season. If an opportunity presents itself for me to play, that’s great. If not, I’ve had a great run and I enjoyed it. … We’ll see what happens, but there are other things I know I want to do.” That statement is hardly a clear sign, given that Granderson is sure to draw interest, but it does bear watching as his next stint on the open market draws near.
As the outfield situation awaits resolution, the team is also surely weighing its options with some veteran infielders. Second baseman Neil Walker is finally ready for a rehab assignment to test his hamstring, beginning on Friday, per MLB.com’s Chris Bumbaca. If all goes well, it seems that Walker could be back in the majors in time to prove his health in advance of the deadline. Though Walker’s $17.2MM salary makes him a possible August trade chip as well, that’s still of note. After all, teams considering second base upgrades may need to make final decisions on alternatives by the end of the month.
Meanwhile, the return of Walker will presumably push Asdrubal Cabrera off of the position that he reluctantly took over recently. According to Newsday’s Marc Carig, Cabrera will prepare to shift over to third base (with Jose Reyes presumably remaining at short, at least until the team decides it’s time to promote Amed Rosario). That’s a nod to the logistics, but perhaps will also allow possible suitors an opportunity to evaluate Cabrera at the hot corner, which he has manned just once previously in the majors. It’s also possible that the Mets could weigh Cabrera as a candidate there for 2018, given that the team could still pick up his option.
Finally, Carig also touches upon the status of two other Mets infielders, T.J. Rivera and Wilmer Flores. Both have drawn some trade inquiries, but it seems the Mets are rather uninterested in trading the controllable options. Indeed, Adam Rubin tweets that a source tells him the Mets “asked for an obscene return” when approached by another organization.
Armaday
Addison Reed’s four out save tonight, won’t hurt his chances of getting us a decent prospect. The key is to package him with a position player to help a contender.
scottaz
Granderson is hitting .228. That is “performing rather well”? and he would be an upgrade for which major league team? Oh! We’re talking about a big market, East Coast team, so we have to say those things! Anybody out in the hinterlands (hinterlands = anyplace west of the Hudson River) who hits .228 is a washed up bum!
Houston We Have A Solution
Welcome to baseball. Let me introduce you to fangraphs.
You can see more than just cumulative batting average with the splits feature where itll show you that granderson hit well in may and june after an abysmal start to the season.
Itll also show you that despite hitting .228 hes posting a .330 on base percentages.
For future reference a walk is just as good as a single.
paulnewman
A walk is not as good as a single. You fail to account for instances where a base runner can move two base on a single, and errror probabilities.
mproto
Beat me to it!
TheGreatTwigog
Per the run expectancy matrix a walk has about 78% the value of a single, which is really almost as much
gocincy
By that logic, getting a C in math is really almost as much as an A.
Ry.the.Stunner
I wish I could post the “He’s right you know” Morgan Freeman meme in these comments.
dswaim
No it’s not. It is valuable but not equal
whitemule70
But you missed his BBOMAES (batted balls on Mondays after eating spaghetti) was only worse than his Replacement WARF minus his age divided by his weight by a factor of 2.2.
ReverieDays
You can’t score a runner from second on a walk.
Michael Chaney
With an OPS+ of 106. And that’s not to mention that he’s picked it up since he started off the season so badly. But keep telling yourself that batting average is the best indicator of offensive performance.
TheGreatTwigog
wRC+ is over 100, so he’s performing above average, which based on what I expected out of granderson is rather well. Batting average means almost nothing.
LongTimeFan1
B.A. doesn’t mean almost nothing. Stats have to be considered in context as does each individual player.
wallywhack
Batting average? Why not grade his performance on team wins while you’re at it?.
macfrancis79
They still give Cy young Awards based off of w-l. Ask rick porcello, he’s basically been on the run since robbing, I mean winning it last season lol
vinscully16
Plan? Find a new team doctor and hire qualified trainers. It’s a start.
mikeyank55
Better plan!
Boycott Citifield. Stop donating money to the Wilpon Dodgers memorabilia company.
Make them sell. Install new owners. Clean out all management and hire new medical staff and trainers. Move AAA franchise back to the east coast (novel idea?)
KenOnBass
The fact that they are asking a lot back for TJ Rivera is a joke. He’s 28, and essentially a AAAA player, that will never have a chance to play the field anyway because Sandy/Terry always give the nod to the veterans.
He’ll rot on the bench until he hits FA, then go somewhere and probably be a beast.
I really don’t see how anyone can support Sandy/Terry. We are almost a decade into a rebuild, and on the precipice of needing yet another rebuild.
ExileInLA 2
Let s not get carried away. 17 ended when Thor went down. But 18 has Thor-deGrom-Matz-Wheeler-Lugo, no matter what Gsellman and Harvey can do.
We need a CF and a C, but have solid corner OFs and Lagares/Nimmo to backup. Rosario and Smith, one returning vet and one returning kid for the IF.
24TheKid
Weren’t Mets fans relying on the rotation this year, what happens when they all get hurt again? I mean, I would love to see them all stay healthy for a season but I don’t think it can happen.
matteste187
Sorry dude but this comment was for the guy above you. No need to bash tj when he is a good ball player
mikeyank55
You need to be exiled further. There is no evidence that your pitching staff will EVER return to the potential exhibited in 2015.
Face the realities:
1-this dream team pitching staff has not won 100 games ALL together.
2-“TC” burned through many of these shoulders and elbows and has an “almost” in the win column for WA champions.
3-Denial only allows for more perpetuation.
Joe Orsulak
is there “evidence” that they won’t?
Ry.the.Stunner
Yes. It’s called 2016 and 2017.
theruns
The reason for their low win total?
Oh, I don’t know…. maybe it’s because they’re still all in their 20’s? They’ve put up like a 50+ WAR between them over the last few years.
TC didn’t “burn through” anything, any more than Girardi or any other manager.
They are all going by the same “book”.
matteste187
Yes Bc having a lifetime .313 average is a AAAA player. Yes he doesn’t walk very much, a 3.5% walkrate, but his low strikeout percentage and high line drive rate, as well as rating slightly below average at 3B and 2B but slightly above average at 1B (which means he’s got versatility), definitely doesn’t qualify as a AAAA player.
His WRC is +114. He’s our everyday 2Bman next year. And a damn good one at that.
matteste187
And the reason he is finally getting his shot in NOW is Bc TJ went u drafter as a senior out of Troy and played 6 seasons in the minors, with a lifetime .320 in the minors. He was consistently overlooked by high draft pick guys until giving a real shot last season when walker went down. Oh, and he hit .325 last season too. Definitely not a AAAA player.
Bleeding Blue&Orange
What high draft picks blocked him?
LongTimeFan1
Kenonbass – – – I don’t think the Mets are in wholesale rebuild. They can and should compete next season for playoffs but will do so with both returning and new additions with focus on getting younger but having some veteran players for leadership and mentoring.
Have to disagree about TJ.
He’s getting plenty playing time. The bat is not 4A, but can get stale with too much playing time. Give him adequate rest throughout the season and he’ll return mentally refreshed and focused.
However, his defense is the issue, gets over-exposed at third base. Second base is more appropriate, or a career as super utility including an outfield component.
TJ can also improve defensively and that should not be ruled out. This offseason and spring training would be the time to work on improving his skills and arm strength, The model here is the defensively-challenged Daniel Murphy who turned himself into second baseman through hard work despite natural tool short-comings. Rivera has better tools.
Bleeding Blue&Orange
He will not get better defensively as he approaches 30
Bullet
The Mets should trade for a new owner.
chino31
Mets and Yankees have pieces to trade with each other. Yankees need starters and Mets need prospects for OF and corner infielders.
Say Hey Now Kid
What starters would you want from the Mets? They aren’t giving up the good ones
chino31
Guess you figure I’m a Yankee fan. Thor and deGrom are untouchables. I assume correctly. Why not dangle Matz and Harvey, or even Lugo. They aren’t selling low on Harvey as I am sure Mets brass is tired of him. Yanks could def pull off a deal with what they have in the farm. If Fowler wasn’t hurt, he could be a starting point in discussion. Just saying.
Say Hey Now Kid
Mets have ignored calls on Matz I believe. Harvey needs a new environment but I don’t think anyone will take the risk on giving up a good prospect for him. You may have something on Lugo esp if Fowler is up. I thought the yanks were standing firm on keeping him but I may be wrong
jwr0223
It doesn’t matter. The Mets will screw up a wet dream.