The Red Sox are currently locked in a battle for the AL East with the Yankees, with all three other divisional opponents within five and a half games of first. For a Boston organization that has invested heavily in adding quality veterans, it’s buy time at the deadline.
It doesn’t take much analysis to identify the Sox’ chief need: third base. We needn’t belabor the point; just click on this leaderboard and keep scrolling to the bottom. Simply put, Boston improve more by getting better at the hot corner than by upgrading any other area of the roster.
That analysis, in and of itself, doesn’t mandate a trade. There are always internal possibilities — in this case, quite a few — and that’s always the first place to consider. So, we’ll start there and then cycle through the outside solutions.
Internal Options
Right now, the Red Sox are trotting out light-hitting youngsters Deven Marrero and Tzu-Wei Lin. The former carries a sub-.500 OPS at all levels over the past two seasons. And while the latter has had an emergent year at Double-A, slashing .302/.379/.491, he had never played above that level prior to his call-up and has never finished a minor-league campaign with an OPS of over .659 (with that coming in a short sample at Rookie ball). Both of these players are gap fillers, at least for 2017.
The disabled list includes some notable names, of course. Brock Holt is a question mark as he deals with vertigo; Josh Rutledge has just gone on the DL with lingering concussion issues. It’s hard to trust either of those two moving forward, though either could provide a boost in a utility role later in the season. Marco Hernandez is shelved for the year after shoulder surgery.
That brings us to the panda in the room. The struggling Pablo Sandoval went on the DL with an inner ear infection. A quality regular would surely be right back up once the illness passed, but he’s heading out for rehab work at Triple-A. There, he’ll compete with veteran Jhonny Peralta for a possible chance at going back to the majors and earning a more extended opportunity. The outlook isn’t great for either player, as both have shown poorly in the field and at the plate for extended stretches. Sandoval owns a .237/.286/.360 batting line over his three years in Boston, while Peralta has declined steadily over the past few seasons before falling off a cliff (.204/.259/.204) early in 2017.
Even if one of those players shows enough to be trusted with a roster spot beyond the deadline, the Red Sox will surely decide to add a complementary piece. If there’s a conceivable everyday player in the organization, it’s 20-year-old top prospect Rafael Devers. He’s performing quite well at Double-A, with a robust .291/.354/.550 slash and 14 home runs. The organization has not seen fit to move him up to Pawtucket, though other impressive young players have bypassed Triple-A on their way to Boston in the past. Devers is definitely worth keeping an eye on, but even if he’s the man, you’d probably expect some kind of contingency or veteran complement.
So, let’s look elsewhere to see what the Red Sox could find via trade:
Potentially Available Veterans
The most obvious trade candidate on the hot corner market is Todd Frazier. His once-potent bat has cooled since he landed with the White Sox at the start of 2016, as he has struggled to maintain a palatable on-base percentage while also maintaining his power output. Last year, Frazier swatted forty bombs but made it aboard at a subpar .302 clip. He’s up to a .322 OBP in 2017, with his walk rate climbing all the way to 13.6%, but that’s accompanied by a .212 batting average and lessened power output (.216 ISO; 13 home runs).
Frazier has hit better in June, and can still handle third, but he’s also earning $12MM; with approximately $9MM in available space before hitting the luxury tax, adding his full salary might hamstring the team’s efforts to add other pieces. While the White Sox would no doubt be willing to hold onto some of the cash, that’d increase the prospect pain to get a rental player who comes with quite a few questions.
There are some alternatives, of course, though some potential trade candidates currently don’t look like options. With the Royals streaking, Mike Moustakas no longer seems likely to be made available. The Angels sit two games over .500, so the steady but unspectacular Yunel Escobar is probably staying put. Neil Walker of the Mets could conceivably move over to third, though he hasn’t played there at all since 2010, but he’s dealing with a significant hamstring injury and is owed $17.2MM this year.
More likely targets include old friend Jed Lowrie (Athletics), the sturdy Howie Kendrick (Phillies), Eduardo Nunez (Giants) and seemingly disgruntled ex-shortstop Asdrubal Cabrera (Mets). With Oakland engineering a youth movement, Lowrie is eminently available; he has hit well and stayed mostly healthy this year. Kendrick has excelled at the plate and brings wide defensive versatility, though he has lined up at third for just 132 innings in his lengthy career. Nunezm who will soon return from a minor leg injury, has emerged as a solid hitter bat and brings some defensive versatility to the table. With the Giants buried in the NL West, Nunez, who is a free agent at season’s end, seems like a good bet to be traded. As for Cabrera, his beef with the Mets involves a desire to remain at shortstop, but perhaps he’d still be amenable to lining up elsewhere. A solid hitter, Cabrera has barely seen any action at third in the majors, though he has spent plenty of time on the left side of the infield.
Beyond this group, it requires a bit more creative thinking. Zack Cozart is a wizard at short who the Reds will no doubt be shopping. He has hit quite well this year and is a pure rental piece. With questions about market demand at the more demanding position, perhaps he could slot in at the hot corner. But Cozart is currently on the DL, as is Padres infielder Yangervis Solarte. In his case, he’d be a solid addition, but his cheap future control likely increases the asking price. Boston may or may not have much interest in paying for those future rights; the contract could always be flipped in the winter, though again that’s a complicating factor. Pirates veteran David Freese could be a steady addition, though he has cooled after a strong start to the year. Then again, the Bucs aren’t yet buried and likely see added value in his affordable contract given the vast uncertainty surrounding Jung Ho Kang. If the club elects to pursue more of a utility option, Freddy Galvis of the Phillies could conceivably be considered, though he owns a lifetime .282 on-base percentage. While the Marlins would surely like to move the sizable contract of Martin Prado, he has been hurt and/or ineffective for much of the season and is owed a hefty $28.5MM over the two ensuing campaigns.
Aiming Bigger
If noted deal-maker Dave Dombrowski decides to set his sights higher, he’ll likely have his work cut out for him. The two teams bringing up the rear in the AL East — the Blue Jays and Orioles — just happen to control two of the very best third basemen (and overall players) on the planet. But there’s no indication at this time that either Josh Donaldson or Manny Machado are available, let alone that these organizations would be pleased to send them to a division rival for the next one-and-a-half years. The prospect haul would be astronomical in either case, and there’d be competition from other organizations, though surely Dombrowski would be involved if there’s any possibility of adding such a premium player.
Perhaps the best fit, from the Sox’ perspective, would be the legendary Adrian Beltre. He’s not cheap, with an $18MM salary this year and next, but he’s back to playing at a top level after missing the first part of the year due to injury. Unless the Rangers completely fall apart over the next several weeks, though, he’s staying put. (Even if they do fall out of the Wild Card hunt, he could be retained.) Similarly, while the Cardinals are in a tenuous postseason position, they don’t seem to be primed for a major tear-down. That makes Jedd Gyorko a questionable target in terms of availability.
We touched upon the Bucs above, but their more attractive hot-corner possibility would also be harder to get. Josh Harrison is in the midst of a resurgent 2017 season, with an excellent .291/.369/.458 batting line. Plus, his outstanding versatility and athleticism, along with an affordable contract, makes him an asset that would give any team roster flexibility in the seasons to come. The Pirates know that, too, which is why he’d likely command a rather significant return.
The other more significant possibilities seem like real stretches. Maikel Franco could be made available by the Phillies, but that’s only because he has struggled so badly; that doesn’t make him a terribly sensible player to pursue. Tigers second baseman Ian Kinsler would be a nice addition to the lineup, and comes with a palatable option for 2018, but he hasn’t seen significant action on the left side of the infield since he was in A ball. (Kinsler also has a ten-team no-trade clause, though it’s not known if it includes the Red Sox.)
Overview
If the above effort tells us anything, it’s that there are loads of options out there. Just what direction the Sox take will be dictated by some of the internal developments as well as the way the market moves. Working in Dombrowski’s favor here, it seems, is the fact that few other contenders will be looking specifically at third base. At the end of the day, even if Sandoval or one of the other current Red Sox players play a part in the rotation at third, it seems quite likely that there’ll be some kind of addition on or before July 31st.
TylerThe bravos fanatic
Adonis Garcia
crambone
I’d love to see the Braves rid themselves of Garcia, but he’s unlikely to be considered since he’s expected to be out for 6ish more weeks, if not more, after finger surgery.
vacommish
Though he is out recovering from surgery for some time.
tigertom0210
Are the Tigers through with the streaky Nick Castellanos? A couple of prospects could get him.
oldleftylong
Doubt the Tigers will move Blastellanos yet.
JulianH
How about Travis Shaw?
He has like 15 HR and 53 RBI. He’d be perfect..
matt41265
His team is in first place as of today, why would they trade him ?
start_wearing_purple
He was being sarcastic.
Austin0723
He was joking because we traded him away
Dan_Oz
Hopefully Dombrowski learns. Or more likely he’ll trade Sam Travis and a few other prospects this winter for another bullpen arm we never see
mikeyank55
Trader Dave will never learn. He has the itch to flip all young talent for overpriced, over the hill players. Moodier betts will be flipped.
jdgoat
Since when is Chris sale overpaid and over the hill? I think u got the Red Sox and Yankees gm’s mixed up.
mikeyank55
Hey JD…look at it over the life of the contract. The Sox gave up their prized prospect, so the price will be mighty. And if you are going to look only at finances, how about the OVER PRICED contract given to the “Ace” who has proven to be a real disappointment during BIG games as he comes up SMALL.
shelteredsoxfan
How can you say sale hasn’t come up big in big games? Sale has never played a big meaningful game yet. He never made the playoffs with the white sox
thekid9
Thank you Johnny Superscout.
Bruin1012
He’s talking about Price but still has no clue. DD has been proven since 2001 rarely loses a trade and his trade record speaks for itself. Not very many GM’s with a better trading record then DD but clown Mike doesn’t seem to understand that he just likes to troll and says absolutely nothing of substance just makes stuff up.
Dookie Howser, MD
I really wish this trend of childish nicknames goes away.
Willy
That is such baloney it isn’t even funny. Dombrowski has an excellent trade record and oh by the way…since he’s taken over they’ve been a 1st place team, unlike when Ben “last place” Cherington was in power.
Willy
How quickly people forget just how bad Shaw was in the second half of last season. Stop overrating Shaw! He’s in a Left handed hitting park where he will hit alot of HR’s, that doesn’t mean he would have played well in Boston this season, because he likely wouldn’t have and they had to give Pablo….a chance to play given his salary and the guys behind him (Holt, Hernandez, Rutledge…).
pustule bosey
nunez?
Dan_Oz
Seems like one of the better options
vacommish
Agreed, and he wasn’t even listed.
jonnyblah
Definitely.
Dave 41
Why don’t they put Travis Shaw in at third base? OH WAIT!!! He’s a stud for the Brewers now. Bet they would love his 15 home runs and .289 average right now
mikeyank55
No, he doesn’t cost enough
Just A Nice Mate
Make that 16 home runs now
Willy
How quickly people forget just how bad Shaw was in the second half of last season. Stop overrating Shaw! He’s in a Left handed hitting park where he will hit alot of HR’s, that doesn’t mean he would have played well in Boston this season, because he likely wouldn’t have and they had to give Pablo….a chance to play given his salary and the guys behind him (Holt, Hernandez, Rutledge…).
start_wearing_purple
Why exactly does Lowrie’s name keep coming up? He hasn’t played third in a couple of years. Right now there are no good options so give Devers a shot.
bjadoff
How about kicking the tires on Brett Lawrie? See if he’s healthy and ready
Gomez Toth
Nah…you’d just break your toe on a tire-less rim. Lawrie’s only decent year, his rookie partial season, was six years ago. Since then he’s done little, being something of an anti-Red Sox: poor OBP combined with average (at best) fielding. Better than Sandoval, sure, but at this point even Hanley might be a better option at third than Panda.
Dan_Oz
Nunez?
Jeff Todd
Darnit, knew I’d miss someone. I’ll add him.
pplama
Frazier + $3mil for Cedrola and Diaz.
bigdsc
Xander could move to third if a SS is acquired.
BucSox
I think Zack Cozart might be a good idea. He is having a good season and as a rental at a position not many are in need of. He may not cost a lot neither monetarily or in prospect capital.
Otto371
Bogaerts is not moving from SS
mcase7187
They didn’t his first season and it messed with his head so he couldn’t hit for the life of him he is never moving to 3rd people need to remember the past before posting
Willy
NOPE. I guess you’ve forgotten what kind of a stink Bogey made the first time he was moved to 3rd.
formerlyz
How about the Marlins send over Bour, Straily, and eat 3 million per year on Prado’s deal….3 fixes in 1
lamars
And why in the hell would the Marlins make that trade?
formerlyz
B/c the writing is on the wall for us, and we are in desperate need of talent in the organization? maybe something like Bour, Prado (plus the 3 million per), and Straily to the Red Sox for Sam Travis, Josh Ockimey, Shaun Anderson, Bryan Mata, and Jaylen Beeks? Not like the Red Sox give up too much besides Travis
formerlyz
5 cheap years of Bour, its either 3 or 4 left on Straily, and then Prado at a reduced rate…just saying. That package isn’t like asking for the world. As a Red sox fan as well, I’d do that deal in a second. Only thing I’d worry about is Straily at Fenway, but he did ok in Cincinnati, despite the peripherals, which are a little better this year
lamars
The best player for the Red Sox to get hands down is Nunez. He could bridge the gap until Devers is ready next year.
mikeyank55
He won’t accept a trade to the Red Sox.
Connorsoxfan
Not sure he has a choice
angelsinthetroutfield
Yunel for Henry Owens
angelsfan4life
As much as I would like that. The Roid Sox would probably want Cron as well.
AndyWarpath
This article kicks ass. Great job.
white_sox9195
Frazier + 4 mil for Henry Owens and Groome
chesteraarthur
lolz
start_wearing_purple
Hard pass.
Bruin1012
No chance they trade Groome they would trade Owens and that’s about all Frazier is worth.
marcogogo
If they chose to get a shortstop like cozart, they could move Xander boegarts. I like him at short, but if I’m not mistaken he has played third.
mikeyank55
He’s being traded along with betts. Time to get some real veterans so this team resembles the tigers
mcase7187
Yes the first to season and choked bad so never going to happen
redsoxu571
Not happening (Bogaerts off of SS).
Polish Hammer
Micheal Martinez…
philsark94
It would sure be nice to see Lowrie back in Boston. He’s a steady defender with an above average bat.
cfiskrun
Agree. Out of all the options discussed, Lowrie makes the most sense. They can upgrade next year, whether it’s Devers or outside.
Wainofan
What would the return for gyorko look like?
willclarksgauchos
They don’t want to get burned by the Giants and trade for Nunez?
niclopez
Frazier + $2mil for Cedrola and Trey Ball. White Sox are known for fixing pitchers and Ball looks broken right now.
redsoxu571
I’d like to see Ball fixed, and it doesn’t look like it’ll happen in Boston, so that would be a nice win win.
vtadave
Lavar Ball is a better pitcher.
reds fan0000
Cozart would be cheaper prospect and money wise than Frazier and was playing all star caliber baseball before the dl stint. He would have no problem handling 3rd and would be great to see him on a playoff team.
LA Sam
Cozart move is smart, if it happened, Boegarts would slide to 3rd, Cozart at SS.
redsoxu571
Bogaerts isn’t being moved off of SS for most anyone, much less a short term add.
OnMy11Six
Eduardo Nunez
riffraff
I would love to see Theo try to get the sox to overpay for Baez. He would be a nice fit this year and in the future – can play 3B, SS, 2B and in a pinch some OF. Would cost them at least a top 10 and maybe a 2 others in top 50 if not a major leaguer. Groome and Owens as major pcs with some filler from both sides?
Bruin1012
The Red Sox aren’t trading Groome.
Bruin1012
If DD does make a trade history says he will probably win the trade in the end.
biasisrelitive
exactly he’s got a great trade record outside of the Thornburg deal
renegadescoach
Franco is a very interesting option. Still very young, still full of potential, should be able to get him reasonably cheap now.
Bruin1012
I think everyone needs to look at the history of trades since 2001 and see that DD rarely loses a trade. He seems to have a good grasp of which young guys to trade and which guys to trade for. His track record speaks for itself.
I Believe We Can Win
Padres- Cory Spangenberg?
.266/.301/.370 speed guy can play third and controllable till 2021.
Wont cost a lot, controllable, and speedy.
Something like Trey Ball, Josh Tobias, and Teddy Stankiewicz
pplama
Why do the Red Sox want a guy controllable ’til ’21. Especially giving up 3 prospects for someone who isn’t very good?
mikeyank55
Because Dave loves to trade prospects that are controllable…and loves over the hill veterans with big contracts.
Willy
You have No idea what you’re talking about. I would suggest actually looking at Dombrowski’s trade history because he very rarely loses on a trade.
I Believe We Can Win
Primarily cause he plays multiple positions. 3B, 2B, LF.
Holt is a FA in 2020 and Spangenberg is better than what the red sox currently have out there at 3B.
Ball, Tobias, and Stankiewicz arent going to get you much if you need a an upgrade 3B.
davidcoonce74
Spangenberg isn’t very good and is injury-prone. A powerless 3B who doesn’t run well or field well isn’t probably what the Red Sox are looking for. Spang is a utility player. I’d assume the Red Sox would be more interested in Solarte were he not injured. Solarte isn’t a great 3B either but he has a little more to offer offensively.
nailz#4life
Moncada should have never been traded in the first place
pplama
Yeah. Sale has been terrible.
And having Devers instead will be so lame
Priggs89
Would you rather have Benintendi or Moncada? Unless you didn’t want Sale, you couldn’t have kept both…
Bruin1012
Agreed Sale cost a lot but in my opinion he is worth it he is an absolute stud.
Priggs89
Absolutely agree. He’s worth every penny. I really hope the Red Sox can get it together (and keep it together) to make the playoffs. I would love to see Sale pitch some big games.
mookiessnarl
Since when does a team in first place have to “get it together”???
LA Sam
What kind of shape is Mike Lowell in…?
Gomez Toth
Probably the same shape as Youkilis.
Connorsoxfan
Lol
Bruin1012
If you look at DD’s trades at Boston he has been trading from Surplus areas yes he traded Margot but Margot was blocked the only trade that looks bad from the Red Sox perspective at this time is Shaw but remember Shaw was horrible in the second half last year and the Red Sox thought with having Pablo, Holt, and Hernandez they had adequate depth. He couldn’t foresee both Holt and Fernandez getting injured no one can plan for top three options getting hurt.
Willy
I’m so glad someone beyond myself sees the same things I have/do. People have selective memories when it comes to Shaw and completely forget about Pablo having a big contract (so they had to let him play to earn that huge contract) with Holt, Rutledge and Hernandez behind him (all injured).
It’s a strange baseball year this year and a ton of the teams have had major injury issues but Red Sox fans only see our injuries and how much was given up in trade, talk about shortsighted.
GarryHarris
At one time, I thought Matt Dominguez was going to be an all star for years to come. He is in the BoSox system but, I don’t know if he’s any kind of upgrade anymore.
Gomez Toth
I think he’s one of those guys who just never learned how to hit the hook. Once the pitchers got half a clue at AA, that was about it.
grandpaboy
Jeimer Candelario for Henry Owens.
vinscully16
Sox should acquire Howie Kendrick. Looking forward to Devers’ arrival, hope to see him with the big club in September (and October).
Just A Nice Mate
As a Brewer fan I am glad we were able to get Shaw from them. Even if Thornburg was healthy it would still be a steal getting an everyday 3B for backend reliever. However I do miss Thornburg
sportsjunkie24
Trade sandoval and cash to giants for nunez solves both problems lol
biasisrelitive
this helps the Giants how?
Chris 75
One issue with the Kinsler the idea is that he and Pedroia hate each other. Kinsler went so far as to transfer in college to get away from Pedroia. My guess would be that the Sox are on his no trade list for that reason.
redsoxu571
Any evidence that Pedroia hates Kinsler? Heck, are you so sure Kinsler hates Pedroia? Sure, his college coaches promised him the SS job and then before long gave it to Pedroia when the latter earned the spot, and Kinsler had to transfer to find playing time, but that’s the fault of the coaches. It would be pretty petty of Kinsler to hate Pedroia for that, and it’s pretty darn clear he transfered to get to an open spot, not to “get away from Pedroia”.
moe 3
Allen Craig used to play 3rd base
bsb129
What kind of package do you guys think it would take to get Gyorko, assuming cardinals sell?