Jay Bruce has been one of the most oft-mentioned trade candidates of the offseason, but the Mets have now informed him that they plan to open the season with him in right field, reports Ken Davidoff of the New York Post.
Set to turn 30 in April, Bruce hit .250/.309/.506 with 33 homers on the season as a whole last year but wilted with the Mets, slumping to a .219/.294/.391 batting line. That marked his second straight year with a late-season collapse at the plate (.178/.219/.357 from Aug. 1 through season’s end in 2015), which can’t have made trading him any easier for GM Sandy Alderson this winter. Also complicating matters is the fact that his once-premium defensive ratings in right field have tumbled since undergoing knee surgery in April 2014.
Bruce was always a fairly redundant asset with the Mets, as Curtis Granderson and Michael Conforto are both, like Bruce, left-handed-hitting corner outfielders. Nonetheless, the uncertainty surrounding Yoenis Cespedes’ future in Queens prompted the Mets to exercise Bruce’s $13MM option as a safety net. When Cespedes re-signed on a four-year deal on Nov. 30, Bruce looked to be the odd man out.
Any market for Bruce, though, was slowed by a free-agent market that was rife with defensively limited sluggers that could be had at lower rates. Brandon Moss, for example, remains available to this day, while Michael Saunders signed a one-year, $9MM deal with the Phillies that is more affordable than Bruce’s deal. (The Phillies were said to have some interest in a Bruce trade prior to that signing.) The Mets reportedly never warmed to the idea of absorbing some of Bruce’s salary to facilitate a trade, and they also were reported to be seeking two prospects in exchange for Bruce at last check.
Retaining Bruce creates a familiar logjam in a New York outfield that figures to come with some defensive concerns. While Cespedes and Juan Lagares will provide quality glovework when the Mets face a left-handed starter, the Mets will presumably deploy Cespedes, Granderson and Bruce (from left to right) against right-handed starters.
Keeping Bruce in the fold also brings into question Conforto’s immediate role with the team. The Mets will look at both Bruce and Conforto at first base in Spring Training, according to Davidoff, but they also have Lucas Duda returning from a back injury. Duda is slated to earn $7.25MM and figures to be the regular first baseman if healthy, which could push Conforto to the bench or back to Triple-A Las Vegas. Conforto does have a minor league option remaining and has only spent 33 games in Triple-A in his career, so perhaps some additional time there would serve him well. He did, after all, struggle at the plate in his sophomore campaign. Then again, Conforto advocates can point to the fact that he’s a career .330/.402/.522 hitter in the minors that slashed .422/.483/.727 in 144 Triple-A plate appearances last season, creating an argument that he should be getting another chance in the Majors.
Of course, having depth is hardly a bad thing for the Mets, who now look like they’ll have a quality reserve option (Conforto) in the event that one of their outfielders gets hurt. Alternatively, an injury to an outfielder on another club could lead to some late interest for Bruce. Davidoff notes that the Mets “would of course slam the brakes … if a late suitor presented an interesting trade package, but that appears a long shot.” Most clubs looking to add a notable corner outfielder have already filled that void, although the Blue Jays and Giants could both plausibly look at Bruce as a left field option. (That’s just speculation, although the Jays have been linked to Bruce frequently over the past calendar year.)
By hanging onto Bruce and his $13MM salary, the Mets look poised to enter the season with a projected $146MM payroll. They’ve reportedly been waiting to move Bruce before pursuing additional help for their bullpen, but they’ll now be faced with the decision of pushing their payroll to record levels or sticking with internal options. Davidoff writes that left-hander Jerry Blevins is “clearly” interested in returning to the Mets. However, the market for left-handed relievers has been strong (see: Brett Cecil, Mike Dunn and Marc Rzepczynski), and Blevins could yet be in line for a multi-year deal.
There could be lower-cost options; J.P. Howell, Javier Lopez and old friend Chris Capuano are still available, as is Charlie Furbush, who underwent surgery to repair a torn rotator cuff in August and is still on the mend. The trade market and the spring waiver wire, of course, could present further avenues to obtaining some left-handed relief help. Failing that, the Mets’ internal options include Sean Gilmartin, Josh Edgin, Josh Smoker and non-roster invite Adam Wilk.
fred-3
Mets defense is gonna be bad
clintwolfron
Defense is overrated
fred-3
Says the fan of team DH
clintwolfron
DH is real baseball i dont want to watch no stinky pitchers strike out all the time i want to see hom runs
tylerall5
If you like baseball, you don’t like the dh. There’s a lot more strategy in building a lineup and playing the game when the pitcher has to bat. And besides, there’s nothing more electric than watching Bartolo round the bases.
Larry David's Joe Pepitone Jersey
The Mets lost the World Series in 2015 in large part due to defense.
staypuft
The Mets also made it to the WS in 2015 despite having poor defense. They can win if the pitching staff piles up the strikeouts and if they hit enough.
There’s more than one formula for winning.
babyk79
Agreed! Argue the same with the Cardinals and issues with CF last year
chesteraarthur
and daniel murphy opsing a 1200 or whatever he did on the way to the world series didn’t hurt either
slider32
Tell that to the Cubs!
BillGiles
Yep. Below average at every position
metseventually 2
Walker, Cabrera, Cespedes, Reyes? Alternative Facts.
mets7755
Why, just because Bruce isn’t a great defender? Cespedes, Reyes, Lagares, Granderson, Cabrera are all great defenders.
clintwolfron
Hope my twins come in for an offer, we could use some thump in our lineup. Maybe the Mets will take Byung Ho
biasisrelitive
yeah I would love to have him if we don’t have to give up much take the salary and put them him at dh
clintwolfron
I think we could take wild card this year if buxton improves and ervin santana keeps getting better
chesteraarthur
Are the majority of AL teams getting contracted?
mets7755
I would be extremely surprised if that happened.
takeyourbase
Twins have thump. Need a plus rotation arm and some bullpen pieces.
babyk79
He might provide veteran leadership and spell Kepler or Rosario in corners, I say keep Park and Vargas both have options anyway, maybe they take Danny santana or some bullpen depth
unitedmets
If we keep Bruce I think we should trade Conforto or Nimmo. Both Losing develpment time because Met’s misjudge market.
Reds: Conforto and Lugo
Met’s: Hamilton and Cingarni
This might be unrealistic, but maybe sign Matt Weiters 1 year 10 mill and trade D’Aruand to the White Sox
White Sox: D’Arund and Brandon Nimmo
Mets: Nate Jones and a Minor Leaguers?
chesteraarthur
Why do the white sox want daruand?
rkumar
Bc they might have to start Omar narvaez. That speaks for itself
tugriverred
Ha ha ha ha ! When did the Reds front offices goal beome making the Mets more competitive ?
unitedmets
Conforto has a higher ceiling and more control than Hamilton. Lugo has more value then Cingarni. If anything it looks like a better overall deal for the reds, but it helps the Met’s fill their needs.
Nate Jones has value and were giving u two players that use to be top prospects and also still has potential to be decent players in the future
tugriverred
Reds have plenty of potential to sort out for corner outfield positions . Mets are welcome to hold on to Conforto and his ceiling if thats the case . Not saying Billy Hamilton is untouchable but the Reds aren’t moving him for less than three great prospects right now . And thats him alone not that TC is that valuable anyway . Reds have every intention of seeing Billy Hamiltons offensive production for the first half of 2017 unless they are blown away by an offer .
chesteraarthur
Again, why do the white sox want this? They are clearly rebuilding.
hojostache
hamilton can’t steal 1st base, so his value is quite limited. conforto is one year removed from a solid rookie season and Lugo pitched to <3era in a playoff race <5 mon ago. i'm pretty sure a team coukd use a rookie pitcher makinf peanuts who put up solud numbers down the stretch. no thank you.
dematteo42282
Ive been saying all winter that the Mets should swoop in and sign Weiters. Its not the worst thing to “get stuck” with Bruce..a 20-30 hr
80-100 rbi contributor…
Yes…the defense will suffer…but if the rotation stays healthy…there will be alot of k’s and bad defense is somewhat negated….
Conforto needs at bats…and with an option remaining…AAA makes sense. Outfield depth isnt a bad thing to have. Weiters would be a nice surprise on a 1 yr deal and also an upgrade. They do need to bring in at least 1 more arm..maybe 2….Bringing back Blevins and gamblimg on Greg Holland would do just fine. If no other additions are made though…im still comfy enough going into the season as is.
We shall see.
chesteraarthur
It’s not the worst thing, but it’s less than ideal. Bruce isn’t very good and he’s taking pas away from other people that should probably be getting them.
metseventually 2
These are really bad trade proposals.
padam
Ugh, you didn’t think it through…Cespedes, Hamilton and Lagaras the following year? I don’t think so…
CubsFanForLife
Agree with the prospects of trading Conforto because of development time. Conforto needs ABs against LHP to develop, and I don’t think he’s gonna get them in NY.
theharris32
You don’t want cingrani. I’m a die hard reds fan and cingrani repeatedly lost games for us as a reliever. Hamilton isn’t that good of a hitter. He’s only fast and can steal bases.
southi
I bet if there is a major spring training injury to a corner outfielder the Mets will be the first to call offering one of their surplus.
pjmcnu
True, except the Mets will await a call. Calling the team themselves would look desperate & drive the price down. The real point of this “announcement” that they’ll start the year with Bruce in RF is to counter the current perception that they’re desperate (which is driving the price down).
chesteraarthur
What’s driving the price down is that bruce isn’t very good and as the article states, there are alternatives available that cost less $ and no prospects to attain.
livinlarge
Mets are going to be really really good offensive team this year and serious contenders for the division if starting pitching is healthy. If not being able to unload Bruce is the Mets biggest problem they are in great shape. Baseball season can’t get here soon enough!
chesteraarthur
How are they going to be a really really good offensive team exactly?
Birch
The potential is there, but knowing the injuries that are going to happen they probably won’t be. You have the threat of three 30+ HR guys in Bruce, Duda, Yo and Granderson with 20-25 HR pop. Walker at 2B and if Wright plays 100 games (that’d be a miracle in itself), then you’d just need D’Arnaud to hit as he did previously to solidify a good lineup. Doesn’t mean they will be, but it’s very possible. Walker, Duda, Wright, D’Arnaud are almost guaranteed injuries though, so who cares.
chesteraarthur
So if everything goes really well for them, they will be a decent offensive team. That’s not the same thing as saying they will be a really good offensive team. Having 3 guys hit 30 hrs and another around 20 doesn’t make a really really good offensive team.
They were 10th in 2015 and they were 16th in wRC+ last year, how much do you realistically think they move up this year?
Maybe we have different definitions of a really good offensive team.
Birch
No I definitely agree that “really really good” was an oversight, but you can’t seriously tell me that a team with 4 guys potentially combining for 110+ HR doesn’t have the potential for some damage. Especially if Walker and Cabrera pop around 15-20 each as well. How many teams can say they own three 30+ HR guys, and then how many would you say don’t have a good lineup? I simply think the Mets have a shot at improving a good amount on offense, again barring the injury parade they will almost definitely have.
therealryan
Well, the Rays last year did have 4 guys combine for 110 HRs and had a 5th guy with 17 HR in only 120 games. I don’t think anybody mistakes them for a good offense.
livinlarge
Ok maybe one too many “really”s. 3 Outfielders with 30HRs annually. Duda, Wright and d’Arnaud can’t have less productive years. Healthy Walker and Duda. Reyes in the mix. Solid platoon players. Going to be a good year.
brandonl
They have easily one of the best line-ups in the NL with a nasty bench that’ll be torch LHP.
Reyes
Cabrera
CES
Bruce
Walker
Duda
D’arnaud
Granderson
Bench:
Wright
Flores
Lagares
Conforto
Rivera
hojostache
They re-signed their guys from last year and considering Wright and Duda were both out for the majority of last year and Conforto had a down year, they have some room to improve from below replacement level players. Add that to their second half numbers, they could be middle of the pack offensively.
Post All-Star Break:
OPS (10th)
AAV (11th)
Total Bases (10th)
The feast or famine approach hurt their total run production (21st)…but that is where I’m hoping Wright and Conforto can help a bit bc they are higher avg contact guys.
chesteraarthur
Well first, being middle of the pack doesn’t make you a really good offensive team. If you wanna say they are middle of the pack, I wouldn’t argue with that.
2nd half wRC+
4th. braves
8th rays
9th reds
11th mets
so are we saying the braves, rays, and reds are gonna be good offensive teams now? The giants were 22nd in the second half. Are they a bad offensive team now? This is why you don’t just look at half a season of stats.
And why is it just to be assumed that conforto had a down year and not that he got exposed by mlb pitching? You could very well be right, but it’s not like he has some expansive mlb track record to back up the idea that he just had a down year. And why should anyone believe Wright is going to do anything but just be hurt again next year?
So yeah, when you look at everything through rose colored glasses, it can be argued that the Mets are probably middle/slightly above average offensively.
Their chances pretty much revolve around rotation health. If they can stay largely healthy, I agree that the offense will score enough for them to win games, but if they suffer injuries or regression in the rotation, barring career years/unlikely health, the offense isn’t going to be enough.
littlefallsmets
Keep him. As mentioned above – injuries happen in spring and then he may have some deal value. Sign Salas. Sign Blevins to a 2 year with the intent of shedding an extra OF in season. If Darnaud could become a semblance of the bat he was in ’15 – that’s a strong squad. Yes arms will go down. It’s a virtually certainly with Mr. Glass Matz. Arms go down for everyone. But Mets have Lugo and Gsellman who at least showed they are #5 starters
BrodiesHairisGreezy!
IF the Mets Starting 5 Holds up and IF Matt Harvey returns to his old form they will be highly competitive for the Div title. They will live and die on their starting pitchng. The Bull pen and Bench will be adequate. Their catching will be atrocious (As D’arnaud reverts to his backup status and Rivera will become their starter). However their season will go as their Starting Pitching goes..
tugriverred
Mets position isn’t quite as bad as it seems . There’s a pretty consistent patern of Jay Bruce hitting a hot streak and raking early in the season . Odds are that a need will present its self somewhere through injury or lack of production and even knowing his streaky tendency a team wont be able to help themselves . His defense doesn’t look nearly as bad to scouts as metrics suggest . By that time the Mets will have an even better idea of areas of weakness and can pull the trigger accordingly
cxcx
Send Conforto to AAA for a month and a half and you get another year of him. See if he can rake for most of that time, then bring him up assuming three of the other outfielders aren’t having fantastic years.
BrodiesHairisGreezy!
He’s done all he can down there, he needs to play regularly in the Bigs,
hojostache
He has…but it’s a reasonable enough excuse (crowded outfield w. a lot of $$ invested) to try and squeeze out an extra year of control.
lesterdnightfly
Sandy really painted himself into a corner with the Bruce situation. That $13 million could have gone a long way to bolster the Mets’ iffy bullpen and their substandard catching talent.
dematteo42282
Picking up Bruces’ option was protection against the potential loss of Cespedes. It had to be done.
chesteraarthur
No it didn’t. There were a plethora of similar options available on the free agent market.
padam
Such as?
wiggysf
Moss, Saunders, and resigning him for less
chesteraarthur
Beltran, chris carter if you think he can fake it in lf, there may be more, I’d have to look at a list of the free agents and it depends on how similar you need the person to be
mike156
Picking up the full salary…and two prospects. Mets are lucky to have a player with such value..
chesteraarthur
Yeah, it’s pretty ridiculous if the mets actually expected that type of return for him
hojostache
Sandy rarely rushes things (except for Cuddyer…ugh), so he’ll wait out the market. Someone will go down and need an OF bat. It may be until April/May/June…but that’s okay. By then he could be owed less than $10m, so kicking in a couple of million could bring back a decent upside prospect or two. Obviously not a top 50-75 guy…but maybe fringe 100 or a couple of high upside lotto tickets in A/AA.
chesteraarthur
Why? Why would some team decide to give that up for jay bruce then. You don’t think other teams will be selling similar assets? The phillies signed saunders who will be paid less. They aren’t competing. We’ll see where Moss signs, he could be an option. Then there are also just a bunch of other mlb players on teams that could be moved and also minor leaguers 4th of types to fill in for those clubs.
Jay Bruce isn’t good. It’s not super hard to fill an of spot that’s gonna contribute about 1.5 fwar.. Especially not at the cost of salary + a top 100 type of guy. There are just too many other options.
The idea that someone is gonna get hurt and the mets will get a good deal is a cool narrative, it’s just really not all that likely because jay bruce is such a fungible commodity that it’s hard to see a real market for him, specifically, materializing to the point that teams are gonna feel the need to over pay for him.
hojostache
WAR isn’t the end all and be all of stats, it has weaknesses….namely the reliance on having less reliable defensive metrics included in it.
Bruce’s defense is below average, but it matters less if he gets traded to the AL. He is a flawed player, but so are most guys. He is a short-term commitment and could help a team get over the hump. A team would pay for that. There is no doubt that to maximize the return a few things would need to fall into place, but the Mets could do far worse than having a 30HR, 90+ RBI guy in their lineup.
lesterdnightfly
chesteraarthur: If Bruce is so fungible, maybe he should hit with a fungo bat. Might improve his OBP.
chesteraarthur
He’s projected for a 97 wRC+. Below average. And he plays of, poorly. He’s bad. I used WAR because it’s an easy summary (he’s also projected for 0.6, I was being very generous). Pick whatever meaningful stats you’d like it still pains him as a pretty meh player who is bad at defense.
Armaday
Bruce or Granderson will eventually get traded. The corner outfield market is finally dwindling, (after Joey Bats and Saunders are now signed.) Come April, some potential contender will lose an outfielder to injury and these guys will be very appetizing for someone. Mets are making Bruce marketable with this news.
chesteraarthur
Is there some writer in ny pushing this narrative or something? it’s just not realistic given who jay bruce.
metseventually 2
Why not try Bruce at 1st base in spring? Could only raise him low value.
metslvt17
Hindsight is a wonderful thing. But picking up a $13 million option on a guy like Bruce, especially with Cespedes unsigned, is a no brainer. No one could have predicted the slow market for 30 HR guys like this offseason.
lesterdnightfly
It’s not hindsight. At the time, lots of people, including many Mets’ fans, thought the trade and the option were bad moves.
And yes, many people foresaw a glut of one-dimensional slugger types coming onto the market. Especially the shrewd GMs.
mikeyank55
Dopes.
Cheap owners don’t invest and then over-react and over-pay for questionable players as a k we jerk reaction.
Bruce is overpaid and over his head. So they declare him the RF because NO TEAMS would make a reasonable offer. This blocks their player of tomorrow. Terrific.
It’s time for the Fred and Jeff muppet show to sell the franchise.
Make believe does not produce winners.
They are dopes and losers.
Mookie111
Bruce was an expensive insurance policy in case they did not sign Cespedes. Mets obviously did not pay attention to the slugger market. Now Nimmo and Conforto will will lose develop time in the majors. They will never trade Bruce unless they eat money. Do it Alderson!
Let’s not forget that Familia will get suspended and this bullpen is a disaster. They need at least 2 arms in the bullpen if they want to stay competitive this year. Another wasted year with this great starting pitching!