Earlier this week, Rockies GM Jeff Bridich spoke about the perpetual Charlie Blackmon trade rumors, telling reporters (including MLB.com’s Thomas Harding) that he’s never felt a need or a desire to part with Blackmon and has explained as much to the outfielder himself. Bridich likened the scenario to that of Carlos Gonzalez — another oft-rumored trade candidate that remains with the Rox — suggesting that he fields plenty of calls from teams doing their due diligence but has never had an inclination to trade Blackmon.
This morning, ESPN’s Jayson Stark added some more context to the Blackmon market (via Twitter). Stark spoke to an exec whose team expressed interest in Blackmon but found the asking price to be exorbitant. “They’re only trading him if they get an Adam Eaton type deal,” the unnamed exec told Stark. Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch agrees, tweeting that the Cardinals ran into a staggering asking price when searching for center fielders, ultimately upping their offer to Dexter Fowler rather than entertaining the notion of parting with the necessary young talent to procure a center fielder such as Blackmon on the trade market.
Eaton, of course, was traded from the White Sox to the Nationals last week in exchange for a massive haul that included top prospects Lucas Giolito and Reynaldo Lopez as well as 2016 first-round pick Dane Dunning. While it should be cautioned that one executive’s take doesn’t necessarily depict Colorado’s exact asking price, it seems safe to assume that Bridich isn’t keen on moving Blackmon barring an overwhelming offer.
It should also be noted that it seems decidedly unlikely that a team will step up and make such an offer. Blackmon is projected by MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz to earn $9MM next season and will be arbitration-eligible once more before hitting the open market after the 2018 season, meaning he’ll cost more in his final two arbitration years than Eaton will over the next three years combined. Beyond that, Eaton is controlled for a total of five years and was arguably the better all-around player in 2016, depending on how much weight one assigns to his defense and baserunning. Even those who consider Blackmon to be the better player can likely acknowledge the notion that five years of Eaton at a total of $38.4MM (with the final two years being non-guaranteed club options) carries more value than two years of Blackmon at somewhere between $20-23MM.
Nonetheless, the signing of Ian Desmond has only fueled speculation that the trade of an outfielder is nigh for the Rockies, but Bridich steadfastly denied that at this week’s Desmond press conference, as Patrick Saunders of the Denver Post writes. While the GM conceded that he’ll continue to keep an eye on the first base market, he also repeatedly stressed that Desmond was brought in not to play in the outfield but to play at first base. “Until [Mark Trumbo and Edwin Encarnacion] are fully signed, we will certainly keep abreast of the market, just like we always do, but we signed Ian to be our first baseman.”
It should be
agreed. it would take someone like the Rangers a package of Yohander Mendez, Joey Gallo, Jurickson Profar, plus another pitcher just to tickle the Rockies fancy
Gallo with a G?
Yes.
You don’t get. Oh you said GALLO? No Callo!
Great movie. Your name Vinnie?
Clearly I’m an idiot with this joke then. Shame on me.
no bro..that was funny lol
Yes, with a G, but they mean Ernest and Julio, not Joey.
Really? Blackmon is the definition of a Coors Field product. .334/.389/.511 at home vs .261/.305/.422 on the road for his career. Mendez, Profar, and Gallo would be the package for an ace, not Blackmon…..
Check out his home and away splits for 2016 though – his away stats are pretty good…
Profar is over-valued. Just ain’t making that high prospect ranking become the real deal.
I think the truest definition of a Coors field product was Corey Dickerson lol. But regarding the trade, that seems to be on par with their asking price. If I were the Rangers I’d at least consider that trade on some level considering Gallo and Profar are expendable in regards to their current roster. However, don’t see Rangers being starved for Blackmon, that’s just the type of talent it would require. Regardless, Rockies need to receive a Starter in any trade involving Blackmon.
I’m curious why you’d just choose to ignore his previous stats and only look at his 2016 ones?
It is odd that he was better on the road than at home this year, 45 points higher iso outside of coors is definitely a weird occurrence
Gallo and profar’s values have plummeted. I don’t think you would get an ace for the pair these days.
A .348 road BABIP and an 18.3 HR/FB% definitely help carry those away numbers. I wouldn’t say his true talent or anything necessarily changed, just got fortunate on batted balls.
profar will regain his value if he can stay healthy..he is still just a kid and has a high ceiling
No way. That’s WAY to much for Blackmon. No way the Rangers would ever make that trade.
I don’t see TX being interested in Blackmon—especially at that price. He’s a Coors hitter. Yes, his road record last year was good but overall, he’s MUCH better at Coors overall. I think Profar and Gallo can still produce at this level and would like to see Gallo take over first. Profar and a prospect pitcher for Blackmon sounds fair. Otherwise, not interested if I’m JD.
Last year it was the dbacks that set the tone & apparently it’s the nationals turn now *slow clap*
The Nationals got a really good player though
This trade might not look like the huge steal everyone thinks it is after a few year. The prospects the Nats gave up don’t seem to have the amount of value a lot of fans think they do. Everyone thought the Cubs robbed the Rangers in the Garda deal. Edwards Jr is the only player from that deal still in the organization. I think Rizzo gave up to much, but I also am not as familiar with the players as he is. I’d agree that he might of been able to get a better player with the package, but until those players contribute at the MLB level you can’t declare the Nats losers yet
When did the cubs get rid of justin grimm?
What better player could the Nats have acquired for that package, though? Even if it was an “overpay,” all things considered, it’s not like you can always achieve perfect value alignment. It’s a market situation. Some other team has to be selling, like the guys you are willing to give up, have guys at the right positions/in the right contract situation, etc.
The Cubs did rob them…lol and did the year prior trading Dempster for Hendricks.
It’s understandable. As soon as I saw the Eaton deal, I knew there’d be no way the Cardinals would trade for Blackmon
Not sure if Bridich is playing possum, or hasn’t a clue what to do.
Considering his adamant stance on misusing the versatile Ian Desmond at 1B, I have my doubts as to the first option.
They had a potentially crowded outfield and signed parra. They have a crowded outfield and signed an outfielder who is a poor hitting 1b to play 1b on a 5 year deal at what is likely market rate and gave up the top unprotected pick.
If the rockies succeed it will be in spite of their front office.
Desmond put up a negative dWAR and his overall WAR last season would have put him in top 10 among 1B. As far as purely offensive numbers go, his BA would have ranked him 8th last year among 1B, his OBP would have ranked 15th, his SLG % would have ranked 17th, his ISO would have ranked 15th, his wOBA would have ranked 15th. Somehow I don’t think that would make him a bad offensive 1B. He looks like he would have been an average 1B on offense.
His WAR probably wouldn’t have been as high at 1B b/c of the positional adjustment, even if he played well there. Regardless, his value — and the reason his market pushed to that contract level — was that he is athletic and can play multiple positions, not b/c he’s a palatable hitter as a first baseman.
Maybe it’s not crazy to use him there for a year, I don’t know. But it seems like an awful big contract to take on with that in mind, given that you could get a better or at least similar hitter for less. Heck, why not push hard for Justin Turner (if he was willing to leave LA) and put him at first?
106 wRC+ would have put him at 18th of 24 qualified for 1b. 18th/24 is below average, or, poor.
And he had a terrible control of the strike zone along with a .350 BABIP. Granted he has a long history of exceeding .300 BABIP’s but I see maybe a league average hitter next year, which is wholly beneath the standard of an everyday 1B.
Not even poor just slightly below average, 18th is still a mid-range starter in MLB. There are 30 teams. Not everyone can have a top 10 1B. Yes, Anthony Rizzo would be a better 1B, but he wasn’t available. To be honest, I don’t think any of the available 1B would be a major improvement over Desmond because of either age or other deficiencies. The Rockies made their choice and it isn’t going to change. Wait for the season and then judge. Right now everyone is just guessing anyway.
It’s not a “guess” that Bridich insists on using his most versatile player at the least demanding position possible. He’s stated that they won’t budge on moving him off 1B. Madness.
His WAR would be much higher if he’s used like Zobrist has been used.
So Blackmon is worth the type of haul that Eaton got, but Eaton is an overpay?
That’s exactly what I was thinking. Everyone said the Nats gave up way too much for Eaton, so the Rockies want a desperate GM to give up way too much for Blackmon? Doesn’t make much sense to me and it sounds like Blackmon will never get moved.
Exactly. While I’m in the camp that the Eaton trade was not an overpay (disagree if you will, but we’ll just have to agree to disagree), Blackmon is definitely not worth an Eaton-esque haul. For all the talk that Eaton’s stats aren’t that great, it is obvious that Blackmon’s numbers are inflated by him playing roughly half of his games at Coors Field.
It’s partly that, but mostly the fact that Eaton is so cheap and controllable. And 2 1/2 years younger than Blackmon.
Blackmon isn’t worth close to as much as Eaton. Similar defenders with similar offensive skill sets, but the contract situation is the biggest difference. Maybe a top-100 prospect and a decent mid rotation starter gets the job done but Colorado won’t get a top 10 league prospect for him
Very much this.
Cargo is a heck of a player too. It’s not that simple just to get prospects in return whether playing – or not – in Coors Field…
Speaking of…Cargo is the one who should be going to 1b…not desmond
What on earth are they doing in Colorado? That altitude and legal weed has fried some brains in that front office. Sell high on the guy and get more value out of Desmond in the process. It’s win/win.
Rockies should really try and move lemaheiu to the dodgers, then just utilize desmond at 2b. sign brandon moss to play first.
That would make the team they’re trying to leapfrog stronger, seems pretty counterintuitive.
I highly doubt they are dumb enough to believe they can leap frog the dodgers within 2 years. the rockies true contention window starts in 2019 most likely when rodgers is up playing second.
I’ve always overpaid in trades. Youngsters for proven vets, and I keep winning….for a few decades now. The thing with trades is this. Wait about 10-15 years, then get back to me.
In the long term I don’t see Desmond playing first. They saw him as a short term option at first while one of their top prospects, McMahon, gets another year in the minors at 1b, signing ee or Trumbo would block his entry into the league while Desmond can return to the of if the Rockies can’t resign cargo.
Even for a year, it’s still a waste of resources to stick Desmond at 1B.