Sean Smith’s projected standings are out, using his CHONE projection system. His playoff teams: the Yankees, Red Sox, Indians, Angels, Phillies, Cubs, Dodgers, and the Braves or Mets. You can contrast these projections with those from Baseball Prospectus’ PECOTA system.
The two systems project the exact same number of wins for the Orioles (74), Twins (79), White Sox (73), Angels (85), and Rangers (72).
Their biggest disagreements: the D’Backs (79 vs. 92 wins), Pirates (73 vs. 64 wins), and the Cubs (88 vs. 96 wins).
Of course, this is really just a fun exercise…there are way too many variables to predict the standings in February. Even if the systems nail the win totals it may be for the wrong reasons.
