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Dylan Covey Elects Free Agency

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Right-hander Dylan Covey, who was outrighted off the Mets’ 40-man roster last week, has elected free agency, per his transaction log at MLB.com. The Mets never formally announced his decision, but Covey wasn’t included on the team’s list of the 67 players who’ll participate in major league camp this morning. (Infielder Luis De Los Santos, outrighted at the same time as Covey, was on the list.)

Covey, 33, signed a split big league deal with the Mets back in late October that would’ve paid him $850K in the majors or $350K in the minors, per the Associated Press. Since he has fewer than five years of MLB service, Covey would forfeit any guarantees on that deal (presumably just the minor league split) by rejecting the assignment and going back to the market.

Covey hasn’t pitched in the majors since 2023, when he logged a sharp 3.77 ERA over 43 innings between the Dodgers and Phillies. That year’s 15.7% strikeout rate was way shy of league-average, but Covey’s 8.9% walk rate was close to average and his 54.3% ground-ball rate was very strong. The right-hander had spent the 2021-22 seasons pitching in Taiwan for the Chinese Professional Baseball League’s Rakuten Monkeys, and he returned with a sinker that sat at 95.1 mph — an increase of 3.1 mph over the 92 he average in 2020.

The Phillies saw enough to keep Covey around in arbitration, tendering him a contract in arbitration and signing him to a one-year deal. A shoulder strain wiped out the bulk of his 2024 campaign, however. Covey didn’t pitch in the majors and logged only a combined 20 1/3 innings in the minors. His 2.66 ERA across multiple levels was strong, however, and Covey backed that up with a decent 22.6% strikeout rate and a mammoth 66.5% ground-ball rate (albeit against an ugly 10.7% walk rate).

Covey’s overall body of work in the big leagues isn’t great. He has a career 6.18 ERA in 307 1/3 MLB innings. That said, he pitched well in Taiwan (3.63 ERA in 198 1/3 innings), came back to North America throwing harder and has now had some degree of success in the big leagues and upper minors with a revamped pitch repertoire. He’s throwing far more sinkers and cutters since returning stateside and has scrapped his four-seamer and curveball entirely. Covey seems to rather clearly be a different pitcher in his early 30s than he was when he was getting hit hard with the White Sox and Red Sox in his 20s. He can provide another club with some depth in the rotation and/or in the bullpen as a long man.

Austin Voth Signs With NPB’s Chiba Lotte Marines

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The Chiba Lotte Marines of Nippon Professional Baseball announced today that they’ve signed right-hander Austin Voth (h/t Yakyu Cosmopolitan). Voth is expected to pitch out of the rotation for the Marines.

Voth, 33 in June, was a fifth-round pick by the Nationals back in 2013. He started his career with the Nats in 2018 but struggled with the club throughout his time in Washington. Despite a solid 2019 season where he pitched in 43 2/3 innings of 3.30 ERA (137 ERA+) ball backed up by a solid 3.79 FIP, he was never so much as league average for the rest of his time in D.C. before being shipped out to Baltimore partway through the 2022 campaign. Overall, Voth finished his Nationals career with a 5.70 ERA (75 ERA+) and a 5.12 FIP despite a fairly solid 22.1% strikeout rate.

Upon joining the Orioles, Voth managed to turn things around somewhat. He was quickly installed in the Baltimore rotation for the second half of 2022, making 17 starts and five relief appearances that totaled 83 innings. It was a strong performance as he struck out 20.7% of opponents while walking 7.2% en route to a 3.04 ERA (129 ERA+) and 3.96 FIP. That quality production at the back of the rotation helped to lift the Orioles to their first winning record since 2016 and all but guaranteed the righty a roster spot in Baltimore the following year. Unfortunately, Voth’s numbers took a nosedive in 2023 when he moved back to the bullpen, with a brutal 5.19 ERA (79 ERA+) in 34 2/3 innings of work. Voth’s peripherals largely matched that performance as well; his 21.3% strikeout rate was mostly stagnant as compared to the year prior, but Voth’s walk rate jumped to 9.3% and he gave up a whopping six homers in 25 relief outings.

The right-hander was outrighted off the club’s roster in September of 2023 and elected free agency following the season. He signed with the Mariners on a one-year, big league deal that guaranteed him $1.25MM and was a key part of the club’s bullpen mix throughout the 2024 season. After previously working as a starter and long reliever throughout his career, Voth was used almost exclusively in short relief by the Mariners to decent results. He posted a league average 3.69 ERA in 61 innings of work as his strikeout rate ticked up to 24.6% against a 7.3% walk rate, though home runs continued to be an issue for the righty.

Now that he’s headed to Japan, Voth figures to slot into the Marines’ rotation after the club parted ways with Roki Sasaki via the posting system last month. The Marines surely aren’t relying on Voth to replicate the production of their departing 23-year-old phenom, but his addition should offer them quality back-of-the-rotation innings nonetheless. Should the 32-year-old find success in NPB as a rotation piece this year, it’s certainly within the realm of possibility he could return to stateside ball in hopes of establishing himself as a starter in the majors as well.

Cardinals Sign Rob Kaminsky To Minor League Deal

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The Cardinals have signed left-handed pitcher Rob Kaminsky to a minor league contract for the 2025 season, the team announced. This will be the 30-year-old’s third stint with the organization and his 12th professional campaign.

Kaminsky first signed with St. Louis in 2013 as the 28th overall pick in the draft. Despite his young age – he made his pro debut at 18 – the southpaw impressed right away. Over his first three years in the Cardinals system, he threw 217 1/3 innings between Rookie ball and High-A, pitching to a 2.15 ERA and 2.90 FIP.

St. Louis traded Kaminsky to Cleveland ahead of the 2015 trade deadline, in exchange for Brandon Moss. It was after the trade that Kaminsky began to struggle, and questions about his ability to stick in the rotation began to arise. Following a 2017 season almost completely lost to injury, he pitched exclusively out of the bullpen in 2018 and ’19, compiling a 3.31 ERA and 4.01 FIP in 84 1/3 innings pitched. While his numbers were solid (if unspectacular), he had largely fallen off of top prospects lists by that time. He elected minor league free agency after the 2019 season.

Kaminsky re-joined the Cardinals on a minor league pact that winter and made his MLB debut the following summer. He pitched 4 2/3 innings in 2020, striking out three and walking two. He gave up three runs, although only one was earned. Despite his serviceable results, the Cardinals DFA’d him after his fifth appearance in September. He has not returned the to major leagues since.

From 2021-24, Kaminsky bounced from the Phillies to the Mariners to the Staten Island FerryHawks of the Atlantic League and back to the Mariners. He dealt with various injury issues in that time and struggled to make much of an impact when he did take the mound. That being said, it’s worth noting that he made eight starts at Triple-A Tacoma in 2024. It was the first time he had made more than two starts in a season since 2016. Kaminsky is highly unlikely to make the Opening Day roster, but he will offer the Cardinals some left-handed depth for the bullpen, and possibly the rotation, too. Perhaps a return to his former club will help him get back on track as he strives to return to the majors in 2025.

Padres, Gavin Sheets Agree To Minor League Deal

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The Padres and Gavin Sheets have come to terms on a minor league contract, reports Robert Murray of FanSided. The deal includes an invitation to big league spring training. Sheets was non-tendered by the White Sox earlier this offseason.

A second-round pick in the 2017 draft, Sheets slugged his way to the majors in 2021. His bat stayed hot throughout the year, and he finished his debut season with 11 home runs, an .830 OPS, and a 123 wRC+ in 54 games. Unfortunately, the big lefty batter has struggled to make an impact at the plate ever since. Over 381 games from 2022-24, Sheets produced a .659 OPS and an 84 wRC+ with just 35 home runs in more than 1,200 trips to the plate. His walk and strikeout rates hovered relatively close to league average, but he just wasn’t impacting the ball the way he needed to – and the way he once seemed like he could, as a promising, power-hitting prospect. On the contrary, his hard-hit rate ranked in the bottom third of the league each year from 2022-24.

As a corner outfielder/first baseman who doesn’t contribute with his legs or his glove, Sheets needs to hit to offer value to his club. Thus, it wasn’t exactly surprising when the White Sox non-tendered him rather than pay his projected $2.6MM salary in his first year of arbitration eligibility. Even for a pitiful White Sox club, Sheets has been a disappointment. His -2.2 FanGraphs WAR over the last three seasons ranks last on the team in that time. Meanwhile, none of the well-known projection systems see him bouncing back. ZiPS, Steamer, and PECOTA all agree that Sheets is more likely than not to be a below-average hitter once again in 2025.

All of that explains why Sheets was unable to land a guaranteed contract entering his age-29 season. Instead, he will head to spring training and look to make a good impression. While the Padres recently addressed a weakness in the corner outfield by adding Jason Heyward and Connor Joe to form a platoon in left field, their designated hitter spot remains wide open. If Sheets earns a job on the Opening Day roster, he and Luis Arraez could share duties at first base and DH. Given the way Sheets has played lately, that’s a huge “if.” Then again, it’s not as if San Diego currently has a glut of better options. The Padres are desperately seeking upside as they try to replace hitters like Jurickson Profar and Ha-Seong Kim on a shoestring budget. Barring further additions, they have no reason not to give Sheets every opportunity to prove himself in camp.

Yankees Re-Sign Tim Hill

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TODAY: The move has been officially announced by the Yankees.

February 4: The Yankees are bringing left-hander Tim Hill back on a one-year, $2.85MM contract, reports ESPN’s Jeff Passan. Hill, a client of Paragon Sports International, will be paid $2.5MM in 2025 and has a $350K buyout on a $3MM club option for the 2026 season.

Hill, 34, opened the 2024 season with the White Sox but was released in June after being tagged for a 5.07 ERA in 23 innings with the South Siders. He turned his entire season around upon signing with the Yankees, for whom he posted a pristine 2.05 earned run average in 48 innings from mid-June through season’s end. He tossed another 8 1/3 innings during postseason play and held opponents to one run during that time.

The veteran Hill is a sidearming sinker specialist who relies far more on grounders than on missing bats. A whopping 68.2% of batted balls against Hill were grounders. Conversely, his paltry 10.7% strikeout rate was the second-lowest among all pitchers who tossed at least 40 innings in 2024. No pitcher allowed a higher contact percentage than Hill’s 88.7%, and none had a lower swinging-strike rate than Hill’s 5.7% mark. Even with the lack of missed bats, that huge ground-ball rate and a terrific 6.5% walk rate (5.2% with the Yankees) helped Hill to mitigate damage.

As one might expect from a player who so rarely misses bats, Hill yielded quite a few hits in 2024. Opponents batted .290 against him — an average of 10.3 hits per nine innings pitched. However, the overwhelming majority were singles. Hill faced 291 hitters and only yielded nine extra-base hits (seven doubles and two homers). He was more effective against lefties than righties, but neither hit for any power against him. Southpaw swingers hit .273/.321/.322, while righties hit .303/.352/.352. Hill’s penchant for allowing contact could theoretically get him into trouble, but with so many singles, so few walks and so many grounders, he saw eight double plays induced behind him; only 11 relievers in all of MLB generated more (five of whom also simply pitched more innings).

Prior to their agreement with Hill, the Yankees didn’t have a lefty projected to be in the bullpen. They didn’t even have a left-handed reliever on the 40-man roster. He’ll now join a relief corps headlined by trade acquisition Devin Williams but also featuring Luke Weaver, Ian Hamilton, Fernando Cruz (another trade pickup), Mark Leiter Jr. and JT Brubaker. Jonathan Loaisiga, on the mend from last year’s April UCL procedure, will join the group eventually but could open the season on the 60-day injured list.

The bullpen could expand further if and when the Yankees trade Marcus Stroman, who they’ve been shopping throughout the winter. The roster would have six starters if the season began today, but a trade of Stroman will thin out the rotation and perhaps free up some money to bring in another lefty and/or add the infielder the Yankees have sought this offseason.

Adding Hill’s guarantee to the books pushes the Yankees’ projected cash payroll to just over $285MM, per RosterResource. They’re already in the top tier of luxury penalization, which means Hill will come with a 110% tax against the $2.85MM AAV of his contract. That weighs in at a $3.135MM tax hit, bringing the total expenditure for re-signing Hill to $5.985MM. RosterResource now has the Yankees’ luxury ledger at a bit more than $305MM. Of course, trading Stroman could reduce that bill substantially, though there’s no feasible way that the Yankees would duck the tax entirely (or even scale their overages back to less than $40MM, which would be required to avoid the penalty that drops next year’s top draft pick by 10 spots).

Padres Sign Connor Joe

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TODAY: The Padres have officially announced Joe’s contract. Joe will earn $1MM in guaranteed money, Acee reports, and another $1.25MM is available in incentive bonuses.

FEBRUARY 7, 9:45pm: The sides have an agreement on a one-year deal, writes Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune.

5:20pm: The Padres are nearing a deal with infielder/outfielder Connor Joe, reports Dennis Lin of The Athletic. Financials for the John Boggs & Associates client aren’t publicly known at this time. The Padres have multiple 40-man vacancies, so no corresponding move will be required.

Joe, 32, has been roughly a league average bat in his career but decent in a platoon capacity. In his 1,582 plate appearances, he has hit .242/.337/.391 for a wRC+ of 97, indicating he’s just been 3% below par. A right-handed hitter, Joe has a .254/.350/.415 slash and 107 wRC+ against lefties, compared to a .235/.329/.377 line and 91 wRC+ against righties.

Defensively, he is capable of playing at first base or in an outfield corner. He has five Defensive Runs Saved as an outfielder in his career. Outs Above Average is a bit more pessimistic, giving him a -7 score. However, both metrics consider him above average as a first baseman.

The Pirates could have retained Joe for 2025 via arbitration, with MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz projecting him for a $3.2MM salary, but the Bucs decided to non-tender him instead. That sent him into free agency without being exposed to waivers.

Though the financials of this deal haven’t been reported yet, it’s surely a fairly modest guarantee by MLB standards. That’s obviously attractive for the Padres, since the budget is clearly a major concern, as it has been for a while. Last winter, the payroll crunch was tight enough that they dealt Juan Soto to the Yankees. This winter, they’ve been fairly quiet, but rumors have swirled around players like Dylan Cease, Michael King, Luis Arráez, Robert Suarez and others.

The tight payroll situation is awkward because they have a few clear holes on the roster. Jurickson Profar hit free agency and signed with Atlanta, leaving an opening in left field. The first base/designated hitter situation is also somewhat open. Shortstop Ha-Seong Kim hit free agency and signed with the Rays. The Padres are going to move Xander Bogaerts from second base, his primary position last year, back to short. That will seemingly allow Jake Cronenworth to move from first base to second base on a regular basis. Arráez, who served as the designated hitter a lot last year, could be the regular first baseman. Useful part-time players like David Peralta and Donovan Solano also hit free agency at the end of last season, subtracting from the bench/depth area.

Having Joe in the mix gives the Padres some options. He could see time at first base, pushing Arráez back into the DH spot. In left field, Tirso Ornelas projects as the top option at the moment despite having no major league experience. Bringing Joe aboard will push Ornelas down the depth chart, though he could still push for and earn playing time, with depth options like Eguy Rosario and Brandon Lockridge also possibilities to earn at-bats. Ornelas is a lefty bat, so perhaps a platoon with Joe is possible.

The market for part-time outfielders has been moving steadily in recent days. In the past two weeks, Austin Hays, Adam Frazier, Ramón Laureano, Randal Grichuk and Harrison Bader have signed one-year deals ranging from $1.5MM to $6.25MM. Joe’s details haven’t been reported yet but it’s possible he’s in there as well. For clubs still looking for outfield help, players like Alex Verdugo, Jason Heyward and Peralta are some of the unsigned options.

RosterResource currently puts the Padres at a payroll of $205MM and a competitive balance tax number of $245MM. It’s unclear exactly how much wiggle room they have in terms of the pure payroll. As far as the CBT goes, they are currently just $4MM over the $241MM base threshold. It’s presumed that they would want to be below that line, which is understandable, given how close they are.

They didn’t pay the tax in 2024, so they would be a “first-time” payor if they did so in 2025, which would lead to a modest 20% base tax rate for their overages. However, paying the tax also leads to lesser compensation when it comes to players rejecting a qualifying offer and signing elsewhere. Cease, King and Arráez are all impending free agents and candidates for a QO if they stick with the club through the end of the year, which could incentivize the Padres to duck under the tax line by season’s end if they’re at all close.

Orioles Sign Dylan Coleman

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The Orioles appear to have reached an agreement with Dylan Coleman, as revealed by the right-hander himself on his Instagram account.  The 28-year-old Coleman has been looking for a new team since being released by the Astros last August, and presumably his new deal with Baltimore is a minor league pact.

Coleman threw one inning of scoreless ball in the Astros’ 8-0 win over the Blue Jays last April 3, which marked his only big league appearance of the 2024 campaign.  Houston optioned Coleman back to Triple-A the next day, and he struggled to a 6.50 ERA and a garish 23.9% walk rate over 36 innings with Sugar Land before being designated for assignment and released over the summer.

These extreme control problems have increasingly plagued Coleman’s career over the last few seasons.  His walk rates were middling during his time in the Padres’ farm system, and in his only extended stretch of MLB action.  Coleman posted a very solid 2.78 ERA over 68 relief innings for the Royals in 2022, and while a .247 BABIP and 12.8% walk rate stood out as warning signs, it seemed like Coleman was carving a niche for himself in the Kansas City bullpen.

It all went south in 2023, however, as Coleman had an 8.84 ERA in 18 1/3 frames for the Royals, plus a 4.70 ERA over 30 2/3 innings with Triple-A Omaha.  Coleman’s walk rates ballooned to an untenable 19.8% in the majors and 21.8% in the minors, and the Royals parted ways entirely by trading him to the Astros in December 2023.

Coleman’s fastball topped the 98mph mark when he made his Major League debut in 2021, though his velocity dropped to a 95.7mph average in Triple-A ball last year.  That still counts as a pretty live fastball, and Coleman recorded some big strikeout numbers in the minors along with a 24.2% strikeout rate over his 93 2/3 career innings in the Show.  The Orioles must feel there’s enough there to take a flier on Coleman in spring camp, as his 2022 numbers hint at his potential if he can limit his walks.

Pirates Outright Alika Williams

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The Pirates sent infielder Alika Williams outright to Triple-A Indianapolis, reports Alex Stumpf of MLB.com. Pittsburgh designated him for assignment earlier in the week as the corresponding move for the Tim Mayza signing.

Williams has appeared in 83 games over the past two seasons. Pittsburgh acquired the former supplemental first-round pick from the Rays in a swap for reliever Robert Stephenson in 2023. The Bucs called him up not too long after. They’ve given Williams 207 plate appearances within the past couple seasons. He hasn’t made an impact at the plate, hitting .202/.257/.271 with no home runs.

The offensive upside has been a longstanding question. Prospect evaluators have praised his defense at both middle infield positions. Williams has shown solid strike zone awareness in the minor leagues, but he has never shown much power. He has 27 homers in nearly 1300 minor league plate appearances. His batted ball metrics at both the MLB and Triple-A levels have been middling, though his contact skills have translated to a solid .299/.376/.447 line over 367 Triple-A plate appearances.

This is the first time that Williams has been outrighted. He does not have the right to decline the assignment in favor of free agency. He’ll stick with the Bucs without occupying a 40-man spot and will get a non-roster invitation to Spring Training later this month.

Jhonathan Diaz Elects Free Agency

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The Mariners announced a pair of DFA resolutions this evening. Outfielder Cade Marlowe and left-hander Jhonathan Díaz each went unclaimed. Díaz elected free agency, while Marlowe will stick in the organization without occupying a 40-man roster spot.

Díaz lost his roster spot when Seattle acquired Casey Legumina from the Reds. The 28-year-old southpaw had been on the roster since Seattle selected his contract in late May. They kept him on optional assignment to Triple-A Tacoma for most of the year. Diaz made five big league appearances, including one start. He allowed six runs (five earned) over 9 2/3 innings, striking out eight while issuing three walks.

Before his Seattle tenure, Díaz spent parts of three seasons with the Angels. He has yet to reach 20 major league innings in a season. Over 45 career frames, Díaz has a 4.80 earned run average with a below-average 15% strikeout percentage and a lofty 12.6% walk rate. The Venezuelan-born southpaw is coming off a solid year in Tacoma. Díaz put up a 4.36 ERA with a near-23% strikeout rate and a strong 54.1% grounder percentage across 23 appearances. He only averaged 89-90 MPH on his fastball, but the Triple-A numbers will surely get him another minor league opportunity somewhere.

Díaz had the right to choose free agency because he’d been outrighted by the Angels in 2023. This is Marlowe’s first career outright, so he had no choice but to accept the minor league assignment. The 27-year-old has appeared in 42 MLB games over the past two seasons. Marlowe had a middling year with Tacoma, hitting .236/.342/.395 over 411 trips to the plate. He was designated for assignment as the corresponding move for the finalization of the Jorge Polanco deal. The Mariners figure to extend him a non-roster invitation to MLB camp later this month.

Rays Agree To Minor League Deals With Connor Seabold, Tres Barrera

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The Rays agreed to minor league deals with right-hander Connor Seabold and catcher Tres Barrera, reports Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times. Both players will be invited to spring training.

Seabold, 29, has pitched parts of three seasons in the big leagues. The Beverly Hills Sports Council client spent the 2024 season with the Korea Baseball Organization’s Samsung Lions and pitched quite well, tossing 160 innings with a 3.43 ERA, 23.8% strikeout rate and 6% walk rate. That marked his first and to date only season overseas, and it’s not a surprise that a strong showing of that nature earned him a look back in North American ball — albeit on a non-guaranteed deal.

A third-round pick of the Phillies back in 2017, Seabold was flipped to the Red Sox alongside Nick Pivetta in the lopsided deal sending Heath Hembree and Brandon Workman back to Philly. Seabold briefly ranked as one of the more promising arms in Boston’s system but has yet to find his big league footing. Elbow and forearm injuries impacted his 2021-22 seasons, and Seabold was hit hard in a larger sample with the 2023 Rockies. In 108 2/3 innings, Seabold has been tagged for 98 runs — a grisly 8.12 ERA. He has a 4.13 mark in 172 Triple-A innings, however, and his KBO work was impressive. The Rays have a knack for getting the most out of reclamation arms of this ilk, too.

The Rays have a full rotation, with Shane McClanahan, Taj Bradley, Drew Rasmussen, Zack Littell, Shane Baz and Ryan Pepiot all in the mix for starts. The bullpen is more fluid, perhaps creating space for Seabold to work as a swingman or multi-inning reliever. Given his success in the KBO, it’d make sense for the Rays to keep him stretched out — if not in the big league ’pen then as a depth option in Triple-A Durham.

The 30-year-old Barrera has appeared in four big league seasons — three with the Nationals and one very brief look with the 2023 Cardinals. The ACES client is a .228/.313/.310 hitter in 164 MLB plate appearances. He spent the 2024 season with los Toros de Tijuana in the Mexican League, hitting .258/.333/.421 in 50 games. Barrera is a .222/.315/.351 hitter in Triple-A. He’s known more for his solid receiving, framing and blocking skills than for his bat.

Tampa Bay signed Danny Jansen to serve as its top catcher in 2025. He’ll pair with defensive standout Ben Rortvedt as the team’s primary pairing behind the dish. The only other catcher on the 40-man roster at the moment is Logan Driscoll. Barrera will add some experienced depth who can step up in the event of an injury or head to Durham to serve as in-season depth.

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