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Frankie Montas Expected To Miss First Month Of Season

By Simon Hampton | January 14, 2023 at 12:39pm CDT

The Yankees are expected to be without starter Frankie Montas for the first month of the season as he deals with shoulder inflammation, per a report from Jon Heyman of the New York Post. Heyman reports that Montas is about 8-10 weeks behind in his off-season training. Montas and the Yankees avoided arbitration by agreeing to a $7.5MM contract for 2023, a number which Heyman notes would have been higher were it not for the shoulder concerns.

While there’s no indication that any sort of surgery is on the cards for Montas, there’s nonetheless a fair degree of concern here, particularly given Montas struggled down the stretch last summer and ultimately went on the IL with shoulder inflammation to finish the season. The Yankees activated him ahead of the ALCS, and he pitched one inning of relief in that series.

Montas, 30 in March, was one of New York’s big deadline additions last summer, but he struggled mightily after coming over from Oakland. He’d been a highly effective starter on the rebuilding A’s, working to a 3.18 ERA over 104 2/3 innings (19 starts) for Oakland. That came with strong peripherals, as Montas walked just 6.6% of batters while maintaining an above-average 25.8% strikeout rate.

It was a different story in pinstripes though, as Montas was rocked for six earned runs in his debut against the Cardinals and finished with a 6.35 ERA across eight starts with the Yankees. Most notably, Montas saw his strikeout rate plummet to 17.8%, while also experiencing an uptick in walks from earlier in the season.

Prior to joining the Yankees, Montas had been an ever-reliable starter in Oakland. Across 401 innings between 2018-21 he worked to a 3.57 ERA, maintaining strong walk and strikeout rates. That also included a difficult pandemic-shortened season where Montas struggled, like many major league players, to the tune of a 5.60 ERA over 11 starts.

With a number of quality seasons under his belt, and with one-and-a-half seasons of team control remaining, Montas was one of the most sought-after trade targets last summer. The A’s, in the midst of a rebuild, were happy to take offers, and wound up agreeing to a deal with the Yankees, acquiring Ken Waldichuk, JP Sears, Luis Medina and Cooper Bowman for Montas and reliever Lou Trivino.

For the Yankees part, they saw Montas as an effective starter who could deepen their rotation ahead of a playoff run, and also contribute in 2023. While a May return for Montas still affords him plenty of time to be a major contributor to the Yankees in 2023, it is concerning that he doesn’t seem to have been able to shake the shoulder problems, and there would have to be fears of this lasting deeper into the season.

For now, the Yankees rotation is still in solid shape. They have a formidable front four of Gerrit Cole, Carlos Rodon, Nestor Cortes and Luis Severino. Domingo German and Clarke Schmidt are the obvious internal candidates to handle Montas’ starts in the meantime. German worked to a 3.61 ERA over 72 1/3 innings last season, while Schmidt was used largely as a reliever in the big leagues, working to a 3.12 ERA over 29 appearances. He made eight starts at Triple-A in 2022, pitching to a 3.27 ERA in that time.

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New York Yankees Frankie Montas

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Angels Outright Austin Warren

By Simon Hampton | January 14, 2023 at 10:27am CDT

Angels right-hander Austin Warren has cleared waivers and been outrighted to Triple-A, per the MLB transaction log. Warren was designated for assignment to create a roster spot for outfielder Brett Phillips, who signed a one-year deal last week.

After a quality rookie year in 2021, Warren, 27 in February, fell away a bit in 2022, working to a 5.63 ERA over 16 frames. That came after he posted a 1.77 ERA over 20 1/3 innings a year prior, posting a quality 6% walk rate and 23.8% strikeout mark.

The strikeouts fell off a cliff last year though, as Warren punched out just 12.9% of the batters he faced in the big leagues, while also seeing a small uptick in free passes. Warren also saw his groundball rate fall from 53.4% in his rookie season to 37.4% in 2022. He fared a lot better at Triple-A last season, tossing 34 innings of 2.12 ERA ball.

Even with a quality sample of work as recently as 2021, the other 29 clubs have passed at the opportunity to take Warren so the Angels will be able to keep him in their organization this year. He still has two option years remaining, so even if the Angels do call upon him again in 2023 they’ll be able to move him back to the minors over the next few seasons.

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Los Angeles Angels Transactions Austin Warren

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NL Central Notes: Cards’ Rotation, McCutchen, Cubs

By Simon Hampton | January 14, 2023 at 9:37am CDT

While the Cardinals are again shaping up nicely to compete for top honors in the National League Central, they’ll be faced with some important decisions a year or so from now. Among their starting rotation, only Steven Matz is signed beyond the 2023 season, with Jordan Montgomery, Adam Wainwright (who will retire), Miles Mikolas and Jack Flaherty all slated for free agency in November.

Replacing four starters in free agency is no easy feat, particularly given the way starting pitchers were priced this winter, and while they do have Dakota Hudson and prospect Matthew Liberatore as options, it should come as little surprise that Derrick Goold of the St Louis Post-Dispatch reports that the team is planning to open discussions over an extension with two starters this spring.

As Goold notes, Mikolas and Montgomery would appear to be the obvious candidates, with Flaherty a possibility as well – although he has dealt with injuries over the past few years. Montgomery, 30 last month, worked to a 3.11 ERA over 11 starts for the Cards after coming over from the Yankees at the deadline last year. He’s been a steady mid-rotation arm for a few years now and agreed to a $10MM salary in his final year before free agency. Mid-rotation arms such as Taijuan Walker and Jameson Taillon were sought-after commodities in free agency this year, and Montgomery would likely fit into that bracket next winter.

Mikolas, 34, worked to a 3.29 ERA over 202 1/3 innings last season. Another year like that in 2023 would set him up for a nice payday late in his career, so perhaps the the Cardinals could try and get ahead of that and lock up Mikolas for another few seasons.

Here’s some more notes from around the NL Central:

  • The Pirates move to bring back franchise icon Andrew McCutchen has been met with positivity around baseball, and Jason Mackey of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette sheds some more light on the matter. As it turns out, a return to Pittsburgh seemed unlikely until as recently as New Year’s Day when McCutchen sent a text message to Pirates owner Bob Nutting laying out his desire to return to Pittsburgh to finish his career. As Mackey relays, Nutting then approached general manager Ben Cherington, who then met McCutchen for coffee in Pittsburgh’s northern suburbs to see if a deal could be made.While veteran signings on rebuilding clubs are often done with an eye towards the trade deadline, Mackey reports that it’s more likely McCutchen returns to the Pirates in 2024 than is flipped at the deadline. That’s not to say there’s no chance of a trade, but it does seem like McCutchen is motivated by helping Pittsburgh’s young core return to relevance, and Mackey adds that the 2013 MVP sees similarities in Pittsburgh’s 2009-12 rebuild that wound up in the team going to the playoffs three straight years between 2013-15. The Pirates don’t seem quite ready to return to playoff baseball just yet, but it would make for quite the fairytale if McCutchen were to be part of the next playoff team in Pittsburgh.
  • The Cubs have been aggressive in free agency this winter as they look to return to the top of the Central. The team has inked long-term deals with Dansby Swanson, Jameson Taillon and Drew Smyly, while also adding the likes of Cody Bellinger on significant deals. The team currently has a bit of wiggle room under the first luxury tax marker, but they’ll surely be approaching it over the next few years as they make more free agent additions and deal with Nico Hoerner’s arbitration raises. Per a report from Meghan Montemurro of the Chicago Tribune, owner Tom Ricketts spoke of a strategic approach to the luxury tax as the team moves forward.“There will be times I’m sure in the near future where we’ll go over. But we’ll always keep in mind that there’s a balance there you have to always look to manage. Just like we did a few years ago, we’ll go over, but we have to be careful of how long and by how much,” Ricketts said.The Cubs’ luxury tax payroll currently sits at $215MM (according to Fangraphs’ calculation), with the first threshold coming at $233MM.
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Chicago Cubs Notes Pittsburgh Pirates St. Louis Cardinals Andrew McCutchen Jack Flaherty Jordan Montgomery Miles Mikolas

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Phillies Sign Louis Head To Minor League Deal

By Simon Hampton | January 14, 2023 at 7:54am CDT

The Phillies have added right-hander Louis Head on a minor league deal, according to Baseball America’s transaction log.

Head, 33 in April, worked in relief for the Marlins and Orioles in 2022. He pitched to a combined 6.28 ERA over 28 2/3 innings, most of which came with Miami. Head struck out batters at an 18.8% clip, and walked them 10.9% of the time, with both of those numbers falling about two percentage points on the wrong side of the league average mark.

It was a significant step backwards for Head, who’d shown a fair bit of promise in his rookie year with the Rays in 2021. After nine years bouncing around the minor leagues, Head worked to a 2.31 ERA over 35 innings in his first taste of the big leagues, posting a 23.9% strikeout rate and a quality 6.7% walk rate, both of which were about two ticks the right side of the league average.

The Rays flipped him across the state to Miami last winter, picking up minor leaguer Josh Roberson in return. He worked to a 7.26 ERA over 31 innings at Double-A for Tampa Bay, so the trade hasn’t been much of a success for either side.

The Phillies will hope they can help Head recapture some of his 2021 form and deepen their bullpen stocks. He has one minor league option remaining.

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Philadelphia Phillies Transactions Louis Head

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2023 MLB Arbitration Tracker

By Tim Dierkes | January 14, 2023 at 7:30am CDT

Today is the deadline for players and teams to exchange figures in arbitration — an annual deadline that leads to a slew of one-year deals and, typically, a handful of multi-year deals.  In all likelihood, more than 100 players will agree to their salary for the 2023 season within the next few hours.  MLBTR is planning to make improvements on our old Arbitration Tracker tool, but that’s a goal for next year.  For 2023, we’ll put all of the agreements in this post.

Each player’s service time is in parentheses, and you can of course check back to see each player’s projected salary from MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz.  We’ll keep this updated throughout the day — refresh for updates — and break off some of the larger, more prominent agreements in separate entries.

Angels (9)

  • Hunter Renfroe (5.165): No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Shohei Ohtani (5.000): $30MM agreement in October
  • Gio Urshela (5.127): No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Griffin Canning (3.075): $850K agreement
  • Luis Rengifo (3.043): No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Jaime Barria (3.035): $1.05MM agreement
  • Jared Walsh (3.010): $2.65MM agreement
  • Taylor Ward (2.164): $2.75MM agreement
  • Patrick Sandoval (2.149): $2.75MM agreement

Astros (8)

  • Phil Maton (5.047): $2.55MM agreement
  • Ryne Stanek (5.038): $3.6MM agreement
  • Framber Valdez (3.163): $6.8MM agreement
  • Kyle Tucker (3.079) No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Jose Urquidy (3.049): $3.025MM agreement
  • Cristian Javier (3.000): No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Blake Taylor (3.000): $830K agreement
  • Mauricio Dubon (2.162): $1.4MM agreement

Athletics (3)

  • Tony Kemp (5.098): $3.725MM agreement
  • Ramon Laureano (3.165): $3.55MM agreement
  • Paul Blackburn (3.018): $1.9MM agreement

Blue Jays (12)

  • Adam Cimber (4.156): $3.15MM agreement
  • Trevor Richards (4.084): $1.5MM agreement
  • Danny Jansen (4.050): $3.5MM agreement
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (3.157) $14.5MM agreement
  • Tim Mayza (3.156): $2.1MM agreement
  • Cavan Biggio (3.129): $2.8MM agreement
  • Erik Swanson (3.096) $1.25MM agreement
  • Trent Thornton (3.073): $1MM agreement
  • Bo Bichette (3.063) No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Jordan Romano (3.051): $4.5375MM agreement
  • Santiago Espinal (2.149): $2.1MM agreement
  • Daulton Varsho (2.128): $3.05MM agreement

Braves (8)

  • Joe Jimenez (5.061): $2.765MM agreement
  • A.J. Minter (4.154): $4.2875MM agreement
  • Max Fried (4.148) No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Mike Soroka (4.122): $2.8MM agreement in November
  • Tyler Matzek (4.019): two-year, $3.1MM deal in November
  • Lucas Luetge (4.015): $1.55MM agreement
  • Dennis Santana (3.095): $1MM agreement
  • Sean Murphy (3.029): six-year, $73MM extension earlier this month

Brewers (14)

  • Victor Caratini (5.051): $2.8MM agreement yesterday
  • Brandon Woodruff (4.161): $10.8MM agreement
  • Matt Bush (4.132): $1.85MM agreement in November
  • Willy Adames (4.105): $8.7MM agreement
  • Corbin Burnes (4.049) No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Eric Lauer (4.033): $5.075MM agreement
  • Adrian Houser (4.010): $3.6MM agreement in November
  • Rowdy Tellez (4.004): $4.95MM agreement
  • Luis Urias (3.120): $4.7MM agreement
  • Hoby Milner (3.068): $1.025MM agreement yesterday
  • Devin Williams (3.056): $3.35MM agreement
  • Mike Brosseau (3.031): $1.4MM agreement in December
  • Keston Hiura (3.009): $2.2MM agreement
  • Abraham Toro (2.149): $1.25MM agreement

Cardinals (10)

  • Jordan Montgomery (5.153): $10MM agreement
  • Chris Stratton (5.100): $2.8MM agreement in November
  • Jack Flaherty (5.006): $5.4MM agreement
  • Jordan Hicks (5.000): $1.8375MM agreement
  • Dakota Hudson (4.062): $2.65MM agreement
  • Tyler O’Neill (4.059): $4.95MM agreement
  • Tommy Edman (3.114): $4.2MM agreement
  • Ryan Helsley (3.105): No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Andrew Knizner (3.021): $1.1MM agreement
  • Genesis Cabrera (3.011): No agreement reached, will exchange figures

Cubs (6)

  • Ian Happ (5.036): $10.85MM agreement
  • Rowan Wick (3.114): $1.55MM agreement in November
  • Nico Hoerner (3.014): $2.525MM agreement
  • Codi Heuer (3.000): $785K agreement
  • Nick Madrigal (2.164): $1.225MM agreement
  • Adrian Sampson (2.117): $1.9MM agreement in November

Diamondbacks (6)

  • Carson Kelly (4.161): $4.275MM agreement
  • Christian Walker (4.124): $6.5MM agreement
  • Zac Gallen (3.100): $5.6MM agreement
  • Cole Sulser (3.028): $825K agreement in November
  • Josh Rojas (2.152) No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Kyle Lewis (2.146): $1.61MM agreement

Dodgers (10)

  • Julio Urias (5.117): $14.25MM agreement
  • Walker Buehler (4.168): $8.025MM agreement
  • Caleb Ferguson (4.088): $1.1MM agreement
  • Yency Almonte (3.143) $1.5MM agreement
  • Will Smith (3.090): $5.25MM agreement
  • Dustin May (3.059): $1.675MM agreement
  • Trayce Thompson (3.010): $1.45MM agreement
  • Brusdar Graterol (2.167): $1.225MM agreement
  • Tony Gonsolin (2.152) No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Evan Phillips (2.136): $1.3MM agreement

Giants (10)

  • Scott Alexander (5.080): $1.15MM agreement in November
  • John Brebbia (5.078): $2.3MM agreement
  • Jakob Junis (5.002): $2.8MM agreement
  • Austin Slater (4.147): $3.2MM agreement
  • J.D. Davis (4.137) $4.21MM agreement
  • Mike Yastrzemski (3.128): $6.1MM agreement in November
  • Logan Webb (3.044): $4.6MM agreement
  • LaMonte Wade Jr. (3.035): $1.375MM agreement
  • Tyler Rogers (3.034): $1.675MM agreement
  • Thairo Estrada (2.169): $2.25MM agreement

Guardians (7)

  • Amed Rosario (5.062): $7.8MM agreement
  • Shane Bieber (4.097): $10.01MM agreement
  • Cal Quantrill (3.132): $5.55MM agreement
  • Josh Naylor (3.127): $3.35MM agreement
  • Zach Plesac (3.086): $2.95MM agreement
  • Aaron Civale (3.058): $2.6MM agreement
  • James Karinchak (2.169) $1.5MM agreement

Marlins (9)

  • Joey Wendle (5.088): $6MM agreement
  • Garrett Cooper (5.053): $4.2MM agreement
  • Dylan Floro (5.053): $3.9MM agreement in November
  • Jacob Stallings (4.149): $3.35MM agreement
  • Pablo Lopez (4.093): $5.45MM agreement
  • Tanner Scott (4.059): $2.825MM agreement
  • Jon Berti (3.168): Did not reach agreement, will exchange figures
  • JT Chargois (3.101): Reportedly reached one-year agreement
  • Jesus Luzardo (2.165): Did not reach agreement, will exchange figures

Mariners (6)

  • Teoscar Hernandez (5.097): Did not reach agreement, will exchange figures
  • Tom Murphy (5.092): $1.625MM agreement
  • Diego Castillo (4.118): Did not reach agreement, will exchange figures
  • Paul Sewald (4.072): $4.1MM agreement
  • Dylan Moore (4.000): Did not reach agreement, will exchange figures
  • Ty France (3.089): $4.1MM agreement

Mets (8)

  • Tomas Nido (4.089): Reportedly reached one-year agreement
  • Jeff McNeil (4.069): Did not reach agreement, will exchange figures
  • Joey Lucchesi (4.067) $1.15MM agreement in December
  • Elieser Hernandez (4.051): Reportedly reached one-year agreement
  • Drew Smith (4.034): $1.3MM agreement
  • Pete Alonso (4.000): $14.5MM agreement
  • Luis Guillorme (3.167): Reportedly reached one-year agreement
  • Jeff Brigham (3.010): Reportedly reached one-year agreement

Nationals (8)

  • Carl Edwards Jr. (5.169): $2.25MM agreement
  • Victor Robles (4.033) No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Tanner Rainey (3.127): $1.5MM agreement in December
  • Hunter Harvey (3.047): Agreed to one-year deal, per team.
  • Victor Arano (3.022): $925K agreement
  • Lane Thomas (3.014): $2.2MM agreement
  • Ildemaro Vargas (3.007): One-year, $975K deal in November
  • Kyle Finnegan (3.000): $2.325MM agreement

Orioles (6)

  • Anthony Santander (4.162): $7.4MM agreement
  • Austin Voth (3.127): Did not reach an agreement, will exchange figures
  • Cedric Mullins (3.078) : $4.1MM agreement
  • Austin Hays (3.057): $3.2MM agreement
  • Dillon Tate (3.048): $1.5MM agreement
  • Jorge Mateo (3.000): $2MM agreement

Padres (8)

  • Josh Hader (5.115): $14.1MM agreement
  • Juan Soto (4.134): $23MM agreement
  • Tim Hill (4.112): $1.85MM agreement
  • Jose Castillo (3.125): $730K agreement in November
  • Austin Nola (3.106): $2.35MM agreement
  • Trent Grisham (3.060): $3.175MM agreement
  • Adrian Morejon (3.013): $800K agreement
  • Jake Cronenworth (3.000): $4.225MM agreement

Phillies (8)

  • Jose Alvarado (5.082) No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Rhys Hoskins (5.053): $12MM agreement
  • Seranthony Dominguez (4.131): Did not reach agreement, will exchange figures
  • Jake Cave (3.137): $950K agreement in November (then with the Orioles)
  • Ranger Suarez (3.112): $2.95MM agreement
  • Gregory Soto (3.102): $3.925MM agreement
  • Sam Coonrod (3.078): $775K agreement in November
  • Edmundo Sosa (2.140): $950K agreement

Pirates (6)

  • Ji-Man Choi (5.076) No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Robert Stephenson (5.049): $1.75MM agreement
  • Miguel Andujar (4.002): $1.525MM agreement in November
  • Duane Underwood Jr. (3.044): $1.025MM agreement
  • Mitch Keller (3.026): $2.4375MM agreement
  • JT Brubaker (3.000): $2.275MM agreement

Rangers (5)

  • Mitch Garver (5.045) $3.9MM agreement
  • Brett Martin (3.151): $1.275MM agreement
  • Taylor Hearn (3.125): $1.4625MM agreement
  • Jonathan Hernandez (3.041): $995K agreement
  • Nathaniel Lowe (2.145): $4.05MM agreement

Rays (14)

  • Yonny Chirinos (4.125): $1.275MM agreement
  • Yandy Diaz (4.122) No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Shawn Armstrong (4.113): $1.2MM agreement
  • Jalen Beeks (4.070): $1.375MM agreement
  • Andrew Kittredge (4.070): $2.075MM agreement
  • Francisco Mejia (4.062): $2.155MM agreement
  • Jeffrey Springs (4.055) No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Harold Ramirez (3.124) No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Colin Poche (3.109) No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Pete Fairbanks (3.057) No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Christian Bethancourt (3.038): $1.35MM agreement
  • Ryan Thompson (3.000) No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Jason Adam (2.132) No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Randy Arozarena (2.129): $4.15MM agreement

Red Sox (8)

  • Ryan Brasier (5.109): $2MM agreement
  • Rafael Devers (5.070): $17.5MM agreement earlier this month (followed by 10-year, $313MM extension)
  • Nick Pivetta (4.166): $5.35MM agreement
  • Alex Verdugo (4.078): $6.3MM agreement
  • Rob Refsnyder (4.048): $1.2MM agreement in November
  • Christian Arroyo (4.036): $2MM agreement
  • Josh Taylor (3.121): $1.025MM agreement earlier this week
  • Reese McGuire (3.027): $1.225MM agreement

Reds (7)

  • Buck Farmer (5.140): $1.75MM agreement in November
  • Luis Cessa (5.131): $2.65MM agreement
  • Kevin Newman (4.046): $2.662MM agreement
  • Lucas Sims (4.014): $1.2675MM agreement
  • Nick Senzel (3.150): $1.95MM agreement
  • Justin Dunn (3.016): $900K agreement
  • Tejay Antone (3.000): $770K agreement

Rockies (5)

  • Brent Suter (5.161): $3MM agreement in November
  • Dinelson Lamet (5.070): $5MM agreement in November
  • Tyler Kinley (4.014): three-year, $6.25MM deal in November
  • Austin Gomber (3.111): $1.65MM agreement earlier this week
  • Brendan Rodgers (3.075): $2.7MM agreement

Royals (9)

  • Amir Garrett (5.099): $2.65MM agreement
  • Adalberto Mondesi (5.088): $3.045MM agreement in December
  • Brad Keller (5.000): $5.775MM agreement
  • Scott Barlow (4.030): $5.3MM agreement
  • Nicky Lopez (3.139): $3.7MM agreement
  • Taylor Clarke (3.120): $1.15MM agreement
  • Josh Staumont (3.072): $1.025MM agreement
  • Brady Singer (2.156) No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Kris Bubic (2.135): $2.2MM agreement

Tigers (4)

  • Jose Cisnero (5.020): $2.2875MM agreement
  • Austin Meadows (4.074): $4.3MM agreement in November
  • Tyler Alexander (3.058): $1.875MM agreement in November
  • Rony Garcia (2.138): Agreed to one-year deal, per team.

Twins (8)

  • Emilio Pagan (5.091): $3.5MM agreement
  • Tyler Mahle (5.018): $7.5MM agreement
  • Caleb Thielbar (4.131): $2.4MM agreement
  • Kyle Farmer (4.129): $5.585MM agreement
  • Jorge Lopez (4.102): $3.525MM agreement
  • Chris Paddack (4.000): $2.4MM agreement
  • Luis Arraez (3.121) No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Jorge Alcala (3.014): $790K agreement
  • Kyle Garlick (2.163): $750K agreement in November (Garlick is currently in DFA limbo)

White Sox (5)

  • Lucas Giolito (5.080): $10.4MM agreement
  • Reynaldo Lopez (5.004): Agreed to one-year deal
  • Dylan Cease (3.089): $5.7MM agreement
  • Jose Ruiz (3.048): $925K agreement
  • Michael Kopech (3.041): $2.05MM agreement

Yankees (12)

  • Wandy Peralta (5.168) $3.35MM agreement
  • Frankie Montas (5.015): $7.5MM agreement
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa (5.000): $6MM agreement in November
  • Lou Trivino (4.163): $4.1MM agreement in November
  • Gleyber Torres (4.162) No agreement reached, will exchange figures
  • Clay Holmes (4.031): $3.3MM agreement
  • Jonathan Loaisiga (4.022) $2.26MM agreement
  • Domingo German (4.017) $2.6MM agreement
  • Kyle Higashioka (4.005): $1.4625MM agreement
  • Nestor Cortes (3.094): $3.2MM agreement
  • Jose Trevino (3.063): $2.36MM agreement
  • Michael King (3.004) $1.3MM agreement
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Cubs, Ian Happ Avoid Arbitration

By Nick Deeds | January 13, 2023 at 11:18pm CDT

The Cubs and outfielder Ian Happ came to an agreement on a $10.85MM salary for the 2023 season in order to avoid arbitration, per The New York Post’s Jon Heyman.

Happ, 28, has spent his entire professional career as a member of the Cubs organization. He delivered a strong debut campaign in the 2017 season, posting a .253/.328/.514 slash line, good for a 114 wRC+ and some down-ballot Rookie of the Year votes while splitting time between second base and center field. The following season, Happ split time between all three outfield spots as well as third base but took a step back offensively, posting a slash line of just .233/.353/.408 (106 wRC+) in 142 games with a worrisome 36.1% strikeout rate.

Happ spent much of the 2019 season at Triple-A Iowa working on his game, and appeared to have made improvements by the time he came up in the second half: in 58 games that season, he slashed .264/.333/.564 (126 wRC+) while cutting his strikeout rate all the way down to 25.0%. Happ’s improved game carried into the shortened 2020 campaign, where he looked like a potential MVP candidate early in the season before an injury an early September caused him to slump down the stretch. Still, he managed a 132 wRC+ on the year after his hot start to the shortened season. That slump continued throughout the first half of the 2021 season as Happ slashed .193/.296/.330 in the first half, though a strong second half allowed him to push his overall season numbers back above league average.

After a difficult year in 2021, however, Happ was able to post the best full season of his career in 2022, and looked like a completely different hitter while doing it. He posted a career high in doubles, a career low strikeout rate, earned a gold glove after settling into a full-time role in left field rather than bouncing around the diamond as he had in the past, and even managed to correct his heavy platoon split from previous years, becoming a largely split neutral player. All this led to his first career All Star appearance in 2022 and allowed him to earn over $10MM in his final trip through arbitration this offseason, even narrowly beating out the $10.6MM projection of MLBTR contributor Matt Schwartz.

While Happ is set to become a free agent following the 2023 season, rumblings of an extension have permeated throughout the offseason, with both Happ and president of baseball operations Jed Hoyer reportedly looking to start any potential extension talks before Spring Training, according to Maddie Lee of the Chicago Sun-Times.

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Chicago Cubs Transactions Ian Happ

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Luis Perdomo Signs With NPB’s Chiba Lotte Marines

By Nick Deeds | January 13, 2023 at 10:44pm CDT

Righty reliever Luis Perdomo has signed with the Chiba Lotte Marines to play the 2023 season in Japan, per ESPN’s Kiley McDaniel. The deal reportedly comes with a $1.3MM guarantee and incentives that could boost the total to $1.8MM. Perdomo is a client of CAA Sports.

Perdomo pitched for the Brewers in 2022, posting a 3.80 ERA (105 ERA+) and 4.80 FIP across 23 2/3 innings in 14 appearances. While his top-level results were slightly above average, he posted a career-low strikeout rate in 2022, which implies there may have been some good luck baked into his ERA when combined with his significantly higher FIP. The Brewers non-tendered him earlier this offseason.

Prior to joining the Brewers during the 2020-21 offseason on a minor league contract, Perdomo had been on the Padres for parts of five seasons. He struggled mightily in a swing role from 2016-2018, posting a 5.40 ERA (75 ERA+) and 4.56 FIP in 355 innings across those three seasons. The most successful season of his big league career came in 2019, when he posted an ERA of 4.00 (105 ERA+) and a FIP of 3.60 across 72 innings of mostly relief work. He struggled again in the shortened 2020 season, however, with ERA and FIP marks both well above 5.00.

At just 29 years old, Perdomo now is set to follow in the footsteps of many other fringe major leaguers and attempt to establish himself in Japan before attempting to secure another state-side contract.

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Nippon Professional Baseball Transactions Luis Perdomo

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Blue Jays, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Avoid Arbitration

By Nick Deeds | January 13, 2023 at 10:08pm CDT

The Blue Jays and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. are in agreement on a $14.5MM deal for the 2023 season to avoid arbitration, per Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.

Guerrero Jr., who has spent his entire career as a member of the Blue Jays organization, was the universally-recognized top prospect in baseball ahead of his major league debut in 2019. While his debut season was solid for a rookie, it failed to meet those lofty expectations as he slashed .271/.339/.433 (106 wRC+) across 123 games in the big leagues. The shortened 2020 season was more of the same for Guerrero Jr. as he posted a wRC+ of 110 while largely repeating his 2019 stats, with slight improvements to his ISO and strikeout rate being largely cancelled out by a drop in his BABIP.

Guerrero Jr. fulfilled the promise of his top prospect status and then some in 2021, however. In 161 games, Guerrero Jr. slashed a phenomenal .311/.401/.601, good for a whopping 166 wRC+ that led the slugger not only to his first All Star appearance, but a second place finish in MVP voting behind Shohei Ohtani. Following that banner season, Guerrero Jr. came back down to earth somewhat in 2022, though he was still far better than he had been in the first two seasons of his career. A slash line of .274/.339/.480 was good for a wRC+ of 132, a second All Star appearance, and some down-ballot MVP votes.

The $14.5MM agreement ties the record set by Pete Alonso earlier today for highest salary among arbitration-eligible first basemen. Guerrero will again be eligible for arbitration both next offseason and ahead of the 2025 campaign, and is set to become a free agent during the 2025-26 offseason. It’s possible Toronto will lock Guerrero Jr. up before then, however, seeing as the slugger publicly stated that he was open to a long-term extension earlier this offseason. Today’s agreement does not preclude a longer deal later on this offseason, though there haven’t been many rumblings of such an agreement being in the works to this point.

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Toronto Blue Jays Transactions Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

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Mets, Pete Alonso Avoid Arbitration

By Nick Deeds | January 13, 2023 at 9:33pm CDT

The Mets and first baseman Pete Alonso have avoided arbitration by agreeing to a $14.5MM deal for the 2023, according to ESPN’s Jeff Passan. Alonso, 28, had a stellar year in 2022, slashing .271/.352/.518 and hitting 40 home runs in a campaign that saw him lead the NL in RBI while tying Aaron Judge for the MLB lead. Alonso’s 143 wRC+ was 12th-best among all major league hitters this season.

Alonso has been a member of the Mets organization for his entire career to this point, exploded onto the major league scene in 2019, slugging a league-leading 53 home runs during a season that saw him win Rookie of the Year and place 7th in NL MVP voting. While he hasn’t returned to the heights of his rookie season to this point in his career, he’s been remarkable nonetheless thanks to his consistency.

His wRC+ in 2022 nearly matched that of his 2019 debut season (144 wRC+), and both seasons are only slightly above his career his career mark of 138, with his only season below a 130 wRC+ being the shortened 2020 campaign. As the best offensive performer on a 101-win Mets team in 2022, Alonso figures to once again be a key player on a team with World Series aspirations headed into the 2023 season.

The $14.5MM agreement, despite being the largest agreement ever for a first baseman in arbitration (though it was promptly matched by Vladimir Guerrero Jr.), actually comes in significantly below his $15.9MM projection from MLBTR contributor Matt Schwartz. Alonso will be eligible for arbitration once more in 2024, and is set to become a free agent during the 2024-2025 offseason.

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New York Mets Transactions Pete Alonso Peter Alonso

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Austin Wynns Accepts Outright Assignment With The Giants

By Nick Deeds | January 13, 2023 at 7:43pm CDT

Giants catcher Austin Wynns has accepted an outright assignment to Triple-A Sacramento, according to Maria I. Guardado of MLB.com. President of baseball operations Farhan Zaidi had previously implied Wynns went through waivers unclaimed after being designated for assignment last week to make room for Michael Conforto on the 40-man roster, and expressed hope that Wynns would stay in the organization to compete for the backup catcher job in Spring Training.

Wynns arrived in San Francisco after being acquired from the Phillies in early June in exchange for left-hander Michael Plessmeyer and cash, and immediately took a role on the big league club following Joey Bart’s demotion to Triple-A. Wynns went on to appear in 65 games for the Giants in 2022, slashing a decent .241/.315/.356 (93 wRC+) across 177 plate appearances in that time. While those results are 7% below those of an average major-league hitter, that’s still more than enough to be an acceptable catching option at the big league level; that same 93 wRC+ ranked 23rd among all catchers last year (min. 170 PA).

While his offensive numbers last year cast him as a serviceable backstop in the big leagues, Wynns is not without potential warts. Prior to the 2022 season, he had played parts of three seasons with the Orioles, and slashed just .216/.255/.326 (55 wRC+) in that time. Combined with an wOBA (.298) in 2022 that outstripped his xwOBA (.267) by a considerable amount, and it’s easy to wonder how sustainable his step forward offensively last year was. Additionally, Wynns celebrated his 32nd birthday last month, an age by which many catchers begin to suffer from decline due to the demands of their position.

Still, there’s more than enough positives for the Giants to give him a shot at earning the backup job behind Bart in 2023. Catcher of the future Patrick Bailey hit well in High-A last year, but seems unlikely to impact the big leagues until 2024, leaving Rule 5 draftee Blake Sabol as the main competition for Wynns this spring, assuming the Giants don’t add a veteran like Jorge Alfaro on a minor-league deal at some point down the line.

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San Francisco Giants Transactions Austin Wynns

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