Bobby Miller will return to the Dodgers rotation next week. Manager Dave Roberts told reporters that L.A. will reinstate Miller from the 15-day injured list to start against the Rockies on Wednesday (X link via Mike DiGiovanna of the Los Angeles Times). He’s not the only Dodger pitcher who’ll be making a noteworthy start that night. Clayton Kershaw will begin a rehab appearance with Low-A Rancho Cucamonga on Wednesday.
Miller has been out of action for more than two months. The second-year righty took the ball three times before going on the shelf with shoulder inflammation. He began a rehab stint on May 26 and has started four games in the minors. Miller had a rough go on that assignment, allowing 14 runs over 15 innings. He topped out at 4 2/3 innings and 93 pitches for Triple-A Oklahoma City yesterday.
A former first-round pick, Miller emerged as arguably the Dodgers’ top starter in the second half of his rookie season. He turned in a 3.76 ERA with a solid 23.6% strikeout rate over his first 22 starts. He recorded a career-high 11 strikeouts against the Cardinals to kick off his sophomore season, but the Cubs tagged him for five runs over 1 2/3 frames in his second outing. Miller tossed four innings of two-run ball against the Twins before the injury.
The Dodger rotation let them down in the postseason, contributing to their sweep at the hands of the D-Backs in the Division Series. The front office overhauled the group over the winter. The Dodgers signed Yoshinobu Yamamoto to a record deal for a pitcher not long after acquiring and extending Tyler Glasnow. They brought in James Paxton later in the offseason.
That trio each has an earned run average between 3.00 and 4.00 on the season. Glasnow and Yamamoto have been excellent, running huge strikeout rates with plus command. Paxton’s peripherals are much shakier, as he has walked 12.6% of batters faced with a well below-average 13.8% strikeout rate.
Gavin Stone has stepped up in Miller’s absence, working to a 2.93 ERA over 67 2/3 innings. Walker Buehler has rounded out the starting staff since his return from Tommy John surgery. Buehler has shown some rust over his first seven starts, allowing 4.64 earned runs per nine with a diminished 19.7% strikeout percentage.
No one from that quintet will be nudged out of the rotation. Roberts said the Dodgers will move to a six-man rotation “for this moment in time” once Miller returns (link via Bill Plunkett of the Orange County Register). Los Angeles is three games into a stretch of 12 consecutive game days. The Dodgers already shuffled their rotation this week to get an extra couple days off for Yamamoto and Glasnow, so they’ll welcome the opportunity to get their starters a bit of a breather. That’ll come with a hit to their bullpen depth, as they’ll need to go to a seven-man relief group to meet the limit of 13 pitchers on the active roster.
The Dodgers could welcome Kershaw back to the group a few weeks from now. The three-time Cy Young winner underwent shoulder surgery in early November. Next week’s appearance will be his first game action of 2024. That could position him for a return to the MLB rotation around the All-Star Break.
Kershaw worked to a 2.46 ERA over 24 regular season starts a year ago. His velocity evaporated down the stretch as he pitched through the injured shoulder, though, culminating in a disastrous outing in his lone playoff start. He officially re-signed with L.A. in February on an incentive-laden deal that guaranteed him $10MM. Kershaw is making a $5MM base salary and could earn an additional $7.5MM in performance bonuses if he gets to 10 starts. He has a $5MM player option for next year that could rise as high as $20MM if he makes 10 starts in 2024. That still seems attainable with Kershaw trending towards a July return.