Giants’ Hayden Birdsong Getting Second Opinion On Forearm Issue

TODAY: Birdsong’s agent Scott Boras told Susan Slusser that his client’s issue is related to his forearm.  After an initial MRI, Birdsong is now getting a second opinion.  Despite this somewhat ominous situation, Birdsong himself is hopeful that he’ll just miss a few weeks of action, which seems like it would be a best-case scenario even if it means a season-opening IL stint.

MARCH 12: Giants right-hander Hayden Birdsong is being evaluated for an elbow issue, reports Susan Slusser of The San Francisco Chronicle. President of baseball operations Buster Posey tells Slusser that the team is awaiting word from their medical staff.

At this point, it’s not clear if the team fears a potential long-term injury. Birdsong has had a brutal Spring Training, giving up eight runs over 2 1/3 innings. His velocity is intact, though, as he’s averaging 97.3 mph on his heater. He averaged 95-96 mph on his fastball while working multiple innings last year.

Birdsong was one of the organization’s better pitching prospects when he debuted in 2024. He has shown the ability to miss bats at the highest level, but subpar command has undercut his consistency. Birdsong excelled out of the bullpen early in the ’25 season.

The Giants moved him to the rotation towards the end of May. Birdsong’s first five starts were solid enough, if inefficient, but the wheels fell off in his latter five appearances. A July 21 outing in which Birdsong didn’t retire any of six batters faced was the final straw. The Giants optioned him to Triple-A. A 6.23 ERA across 10 Triple-A starts wasn’t enough to get back to the MLB level.

Birdsong entered the spring no higher than sixth on the rotation depth chart. He can continue to start in the minors or be an option for work in a wide open San Francisco bullpen. His Spring Training numbers hadn’t put him in a great position to break camp even before the potential for an injured list stint.

Latest On Blake Snell’s Timeline

Blake Snell has had a delayed spring ramp-up after experiencing offseason arm fatigue. The two-time Cy Young winner is now certain to begin the season on the 15-day injured list, though he expressed hope he won’t miss too much of the regular season.

Snell threw a 15-pitch bullpen session on Thursday, his first mound work of the spring. He said afterward that he’s aiming to make his season debut by the end of April (links via Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic and Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register). Snell said he’s essentially at the beginning of what would be a usual six-week Spring Training buildup.

Manager Dave Roberts was less eager to identify a specific timeline. Roberts pointed to the team’s rotation talent in noting that they “have the luxury of trying to err on the side of caution.” That’s the usual approach for the Dodgers when it comes to regular season injuries. Their roster is so loaded that they enter each season with overwhelmingly strong playoff odds. They can afford to have players skip a few regular season starts with an eye towards having them available later in the year when the games are more meaningful.

Snell’s 2025 campaign was an example of that. He only made 11 starts and threw 61 1/3 innings during the regular season because of shoulder inflammation. He was firing on all cylinders in October, though, working 34 frames of 3.18 ERA ball in the postseason. Snell had a trio of exceptional starts in the first three playoff rounds — one each in the Wild Card Series, Division Series and NLCS. The Blue Jays found some success against him over his two World Series starts, though Snell recorded a pivotal four outs in relief in Game 7 to help set the stage for Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s extra-inning heroics.

Yamamoto is the obvious choice to take the ball against the Diamondbacks on Opening Day, though the Dodgers haven’t made an official announcement. (They’re presumably waiting to see how Yamamoto’s schedule maps out during the World Baseball Classic.) Tyler Glasnow will follow. Shohei Ohtani isn’t pitching in games during the WBC, but he’s throwing side sessions and expected to be in the Opening Day rotation.

Roki Sasaki has battled his command over two Spring Training starts, walking five batters in 3 1/3 innings. That led the Dodgers to shake things up, pitching him in a minor league outing against White Sox prospects on Tuesday. Sasaki struck out nine without issuing any walks and threw 59 pitches in that backfield appearance. Roberts reiterated that the 24-year-old will open the season in the MLB rotation, telling Sonja Chen of MLB.com and other reporters he ” just (doesn’t) see a world where (Sasaki) doesn’t break with us as a starter.”

Gavin Stone is joining Snell on the season-opening injured list. That all but ensures that Emmet Sheehan will land a rotation spot. They could carry a nine-man bullpen — Ohtani doesn’t count against the 13-pitcher limit as a two-way player — or turn to one of Justin Wrobleski or River Ryan to round out a six-man rotation. They’ll inevitably go to a six-man rotation at some point but might be content with a five-man group for the first week of the regular season since they have off days on March 29 and April 2.

Nationals Option Mitchell Parker

The Nationals announced Friday they’ve optioned left-handers Mitchell ParkerAndrew Alvarez and Jake Eder. That takes three pitchers, one of whom has been on the MLB roster for the last two years, out of the mix for the Opening Day rotation.

Parker’s demotion is the most notable. He had been in the big leagues since his first callup in April 2024. Parker had a solid rookie year, turning in a 4.29 ERA across 29 starts. His sophomore season was a lot less encouraging. Parker was tagged for 5.68 earned runs per nine over 164 2/3 innings. He had the ninth-highest ERA and sixth-lowest strikeout rate (14.2%) among pitchers who reached 100 innings.

The 26-year-old Parker took the ball twice this spring. His command was erratic, as he walked five batters over 3 2/3 innings. He’ll begin the season at Triple-A Rochester as he tries to get on track.

Alvarez and Eder were also competing for rotation spots. The former is a 26-year-old rookie who turned in a 2.31 ERA over five major league starts last season. Alvarez doesn’t throw especially hard and had middling strikeout and walk numbers in his MLB look. He’ll head back to Triple-A, where he made 25 starts and posted a 4.10 ERA with a league average 21.5% strikeout rate last season.

The Nats acquired Eder from the Angels as part of last summer’s Andrew Chafin deadline deal. He was immediately optioned to Triple-A and quickly landed on the injured list. The 6’4″ southpaw was once a notable prospect but has struggled to find the strike zone consistently. He walked six batters across 6 2/3 frames this spring.

First-year skipper Blake Butera has already tabbed righty Cade Cavalli as the Opening Day starter. The Nats added Zack Littell, Miles Mikolas and Foster Griffin on one-year free agent deals. Littell’s signing was just finalized this week, but he was able to throw 39 pitches over three innings in his Spring Training debut this afternoon. He’ll probably have time to build up for Opening Day.

Josiah GrayBrad Lord, and Jake Irvin are in the mix for the fifth starter spot. Gray is coming back from internal brace surgery that cost him the entire 2025 season. He has struck out five over 4 2/3 innings of one-run ball in camp.

Lord pitched to a 4.34 ERA across 130 2/3 innings last year in a swing role. He has allowed four runs (three earned) with four strikeouts over 7 1/3 frames. Irvin led the Nats with 180 innings a year ago but was tagged for a 5.70 ERA and led the majors in earned runs and homers allowed. He has had an excellent start to the spring, though, firing 8 1/3 frames of two-run ball while punching out 10.

Diamondbacks Notes: Moreno, Lawlar, Kelly, Burnes

The D-Backs scratched catcher Gabriel Moreno from tonight’s Spring Training matchup against the Royals, manager Torey Lovullo told reporters (including Alex Weiner of Arizona Sports). The Gold Glover is dealing with forearm tightness and headed for imaging.

Lovullo largely downplayed the concern, noting that it’s only a slight issue for Moreno when he throws. It seems the MRI is precautionary, though it’s a situation the D-Backs will closely monitor. Moreno has had his share of injuries over the past few seasons. He missed time in 2023 with a left shoulder issue, had thumb and adductor strains in ’24, then missed two months last season when a foul tip broke his right index finger.

When healthy, Moreno is one of the better two-way catchers in MLB. He’s coming off a .285/.353/.433 showing at the plate. He’s an excellent all-around defender, a quality receiver with a plus arm who has thrown out 30% of basestealers in his career.

Non-roster invitee Aramis Garcia drew into tonight’s starting lineup. He’s slated to open the season in Triple-A but would probably break camp if Moreno’s forearm discomfort leads to an injured list stint. James McCann is currently set for the backup role and would then be the primary option behind the dish. Adrian Del Castillo, the only other catcher on the 40-man roster, hasn’t played this spring because of a left calf strain. He’ll open the season on the 10-day injured list.

Elsewhere in camp, Arizona’s outfield picture is coming into focus. Corbin Carroll returned to the lineup as a designated hitter on Wednesday. He’s a month removed from a hamate fracture in his right hand that required surgery. Carroll has maintained optimism that he’ll be ready for Opening Day and is trending in that direction. He still needs to clear the hurdle of getting back in the outfield but projects as the season-opening right fielder.

Jordan Lawlar has had an excellent camp as he tries to nail down the center field job. The former top prospect is hitting .323 with four homers across 37 plate appearances. Lawlar, who had never played the outfield prior to offseason work in the Dominican Winter League, has logged 66 innings over 10 center field starts this spring.

Lovullo spoke highly of the 23-year-old’s early work in center (link via Steve Gilbert of MLB.com). They’ll take the latter part of camp to move him around, as he’s also expected to get work some in the corner outfield. Lovullo added that the Snakes still view Lawlar as an emergency option at shortstop, but his infield defense was a major issue last year. The D-Backs acquired Nolan Arenado to join Geraldo Perdomo on the left side of the infield, meaning Lawlar is most valuable to the team as an outfielder.

The bat should ensure he’s on an Opening Day roster for the first time in his career, likely in center field. Alek Thomas will probably play left until Lourdes Gurriel Jr. recovers from last season’s ACL tear. Left field prospect Ryan Waldschmidt had an outside chance of breaking camp, but he’s hitting .257 with 11 strikeouts and only two walks across 37 plate appearances this spring. Waldschmidt figures to open the season at Triple-A Reno.

On the pitching side, Merrill Kelly is making his exhibition debut tonight. He’d been held up by back soreness early in camp. The injury scuttled plans for Kelly to make his first career Opening Day start, but it’s not a given that he’ll begin the season on the injured list. The Snakes could move him to the back of the rotation and hope he’s ready for even an abbreviated regular season debut during the first week of April. Zac Gallen has been tabbed for his fourth straight Opening Day start instead.

Corbin Burnes is the actual ace, though he’s still months away from a return to game action. The former Cy Young winner hit a notable milestone in his rehab from last June’s Tommy John surgery. Nick Piecoro of The Arizona Republic reports that Burnes threw a 15-pitch bullpen session on Friday — his first mound work since the operation. The four-time All-Star was encouraged by the outing, noting that he ran his fastball up to 91 mph (higher than he’d anticipated for his first bullpen session) while commanding the ball as hoped.

Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript

Anthony Franco

  • Good afternoon, hope you've all enjoyed your week!
  • Less than two weeks from Opening Day! Let's get rolling

Fake Jim Bouton

  • Seem to me the Yankees should start the season with Carlos Lagrange in the bullpen - why waste those bullets in the minors?  Any reason not to?

Anthony Franco

  • I assume they'll start him in Triple-A to try to keep open the long-term possibility that he can start but given how far the control would need to come, I'd be pretty tempted to just throw him in the MLB bullpen as well
  • Some of it comes down to how you feel about Cade Winquest, I guess. Tough to carry both of those guys in lower-leverage roles, at least to start the season. Obviously Winquest would need to be offered back to St. Louis if they don't hold him, whereas Lagrange could open in the minors without occupying a 40-man spot and buy them a little more time on the Rule 5 decision

Lysol

  • Do you think Casas will be productive for the sox in 2026? Or with Contreras do you think they will trade him?

Anthony Franco

  • I feel like a deadline trade is ideal for everyone, needs to get healthy first before that's really an option. Nationals fit is easy with the Toboni connection but also the most sensible one since they've got nothing at first base and plenty of runway

Ben Cherrington

  • Glad Tim was able to exonerate me in my inability to decision not to trade for a 3B in this week’s mailbag!

Anthony Franco

  • Haha here's Tim's much lengthier breakdown on Pittsburgh's third base situation that this question is referencing
  • https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2026/03/mlb-mailbag-pirates-shortstops-...
  • I don't entirely agree with him -- would consider Abrams a pretty clear upgrade over Triolo, for instance -- but I'm also generally alright with them using Triolo as a low-end regular for a while given how many other moves they made offensively
  • Will say that if the cost on Donovan was something like Barco, Termarr and Triolo (which Tim loosely floated as a comp to the package they got back from Seattle, not saying St. Louis definitely would've done it), I'd have easily jumped on that if I were the Bucs

Black and Gold

  • With the Pirates starting 4 pretty much set in clay. (Skenes, Kellar, Chandler, Ashcraft) Who is the front runner for the 5th spot?

Anthony Franco

  • Urquidy needs to be on the MLB roster so I imagine he's pretty well locked in there, at least for a few starts
  • If he's carrying a 7.00 ERA with a bunch of homers in the middle of May, they can pull the plug and go to Barco or Harrington

Idiotic Failson

  • Any chance we see a breakout from Masyn Wynn this year? He's gotten some games under his belt and used to have a 60 hit tool projection

Anthony Franco

  • He's not far off being a 60 bat if you view the hit tool as putting the ball in play and hitting for average. Bigger issue is that it's not all that valuable (at least offensively) when it comes with minimal walks or power
  • I do think there's a little more in there than he's shown though. He should be getting to double digit home run totals with 30 doubles annually. Approach is good enough that I'll take the over on his career 6.5% walk rate moving forward. Could see his 2024 numbers being the baseline into his mid-late 20s, which is a really good player when you're a top three defensive shortstop
  • Also think some of the slugging can play up just from him being more aggressive when he's fully past the knee issue. He didn't hit any triples last year, which I have to imagine is driven largely by playing through a meniscus injury given the athlete he is. Turning a handful of doubles into triples over the course of the season can juice the slug by a few points without any change in the batter's box

Guest

  • Is it my imagination or is Detroit stashing shortstops? 6 of their top 30 players are  shortstops starting with McGonigle. I understand that if you play short you’re probably athletic enough to play elsewhere. Can’t play them all at short so do they trade some for pitching?

Still an A

  • Does Kevin McGonigle make the Tigers opening day roster?
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Rangers Sign Jalen Beeks

The Rangers announced the signing of lefty reliever Jalen Beeks to a one-year contract. The Frontline client is reportedly guaranteed $1.6MM and can earn an additional $1MM in incentives. He’d receive $75K bonuses at 10 and 15 appearances, $100K for his 20th outing, and $125K each at 25, 30, 40, 50, 60 and 65 games. Texas designated Alexis Díaz for assignment to open a 40-man roster spot.

Beeks finds a guaranteed contract just two weeks from the beginning of the regular season. The southpaw spent the 2025 campaign with the Diamondbacks on a $1.25MM contract. He made 61 appearances, working to a 3.77 earned run average across 57 1/3 innings. There’s a decent chance he would have been traded at the deadline if not for a three-week injured list stint in July due to lower back inflammation.

The 32-year-old wound up finishing the season as one of the rare veteran pieces in Arizona’s bullpen. He allowed only four runs across his final 16 1/3 innings. Beeks’ underlying marks were middle of the road. He had a slightly below-average 20.3% strikeout rate with decent but unexceptional walk and ground-ball marks.

Unlike a lot of lefty relievers, Beeks doesn’t have a great breaking ball. He only used his cutter around 10% of the time last year. Beeks works mostly with a 94-95 mph fastball and an upper 80s changeup that serves as his best swing-and-miss pitch. He doesn’t have extreme platoon splits as a result. Beeks allowed similar slash lines to left-handed (.218/.266/.345) and righty (.190/.285/.339) bats alike last year, though his strikeout rate was quite a bit higher when he had the platoon advantage.

Beeks will have a couple weeks to get ready for the start of the regular season. It’ll be a patched together Texas bullpen for a second straight year. Robert Garcia is their one high-leverage lefty. There’s a decent chance he gets some save opportunities. Tyler Alexander will pitch in a long relief role. Beeks isn’t a pure specialist but can take some left on left matchups in the middle innings.

Garcia, Chris MartinCole WinnJakob Junis, Beeks and Alexander all seem assured of Opening Day bullpen spots. Diaz signed a one-year deal, but he’s been bombed for eight runs in 1 2/3 innings this spring and was pushed off the roster.

Rule 5 draftee Carter Baumler needs to stick on the MLB team or be waived and offered back to the Orioles. He has only surrendered one unearned run with a 4-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio through 5 2/3 frames. Minor league signees Ryan Brasier and Josh Sborz are also in camp. Sborz has had the much more impressive spring.

As Jeff Wilson of DLLS Sports observes, this may also tip the team’s hand on their rotation plans. Left-hander Jacob Latz will be on the big league roster in some capacity. Latz pitched mostly in relief last year but is competing with Kumar Rocker for the fifth starter job. Rocker has the higher pedigree, but Latz was the better pitcher in 2025. There hasn’t been a huge divide between the two this spring.

If the Rangers keep Rocker as the fifth starter, they’d have four left-handers in their projected Opening Day bullpen. Most teams prefer to carry two or three lefty relievers. That could point to Latz having the upper hand in the rotation competition and Rocker beginning the season in Triple-A.

Evan Grant of The Dallas Morning News first reported the Rangers and Beeks had agreed to a big league deal. The Associated Press reported the salary and bonuses.

Image courtesy of Rob Schumacher, Imagn Images.

Who Will Top Next Winter’s Free Agent Hitting Class?

Tarik Skubal is the overwhelming favorite to be next offseason's top free agent. The two-time defending AL Cy Young winner is probably the best pitcher on the planet. He's almost certainly not signing an extension with the Tigers. As long as he stays healthy during his walk year, Skubal should become MLB's first $400MM+ pitcher.

Clear as the top of the pitching market looks, the #1 spot in the hitting class is wide open. That's a rare position even in March. Each year at MLBTR, we publish our first power ranking of the following winter's free agent class not long after Opening Day.

Over the past five Aprils, the #1 players on our initial free agent ranking were: Corey Seager*, Aaron JudgeShohei OhtaniJuan Soto and Kyle Tucker. The first four players went on to sign for more than $300MM (well above in Ohtani's and Soto's cases). Tucker had at least one $350MM offer but opted for a shorter deal at a record average annual value. It's usually very easy to identify an upcoming free class's top hitter one or more years in advance.

Since that's not the case for the 2026-27 class, there's room for debate as to which player enters the season in pole position. Their respective '26 performances will naturally play a large role in determining future contracts, but there are only a handful of players who have a real chance to land the biggest deal among next offseason's hitters. Randy Arozarena, for example, is one of the best hitters in the class, but it's safe to assume he's not commanding the biggest contract as a left fielder who'll test the market in his age-32 season. That's just not a profile that lends itself to a nine-figure deal.

Let's run through the more realistic possibilities. The full list of 2026-27 free agents is available here.

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Caleb Ferguson To Begin Season On Injured List

Reds reliever Caleb Ferguson will open the season on the 15-day injured list, manager Terry Francona told reporters (link via Mark Sheldon of MLB.com). The southpaw strained his right oblique and will be shelved for at least a few weeks.

The injury will delay Ferguson’s team debut. The Reds signed him to a one-year, $4.5MM free agent contract. Ferguson is coming off a 3.58 earned run average over 65 1/3 innings split between the Pirates and Mariners. His 18.9% strikeout percentage was easily a career worst, but he compensated by allowing one of the lowest hard contact rates in the sport.

Ferguson hasn’t pitched well this spring, giving up five runs while allowing nine of 13 batters faced to reach base (six hits and three walks). His track record locked him into a bullpen role either way, of course. Ferguson and trade acquisition Brock Burke would have been the two left-handers guaranteed to be on the Opening Day roster.

His injury should increase Sam Moll’s chances of breaking camp. The 34-year-old is out of options and on the roster bubble as the #3 lefty reliever on the depth chart. Moll gave up a 6.38 ERA despite an impressive 27% strikeout rate across 23 big league appearances last year. He has worked six scoreless innings with only one hit allowed this spring, but he has walked six of 23 hitters.

Francona said the Reds aren’t committed to replacing Ferguson with a left-hander, so Moll still doesn’t seem fully assured of a roster spot. Cincinnati would need to trade him or place him on waivers if they squeeze him out.

There’s also at least one spot available for a hard-throwing righty like Luis MeyConnor PhillipsZach Maxwell or the recently acquired Kyle Nicolas. Southpaw Brandon Williamson makes sense for a long relief role. Tejay AntoneHagen Danner and Yunior Marte are among the non-roster invitees vying for jobs.

Red Sox Sign Danny Coulombe

The Red Sox announced the signing of lefty reliever Danny Coulombe to a one-year deal. Boston placed utilityman Romy Gonzalez on the 60-day injured list in a corresponding move. Coulombe, a client of ALIGND Sports Agency, is reportedly guaranteed $1MM.

Coulombe lands a big league contract for his age-36 season. The southpaw is coming off an excellent 2.30 earned run average across 43 innings between the Twins and Rangers. Coulombe punched out an above-average 24.4% of batters faced behind an excellent 13.1% swinging strike rate.

It was the third consecutive sub-3.00 ERA showing for the veteran reliever. Coulombe’s age and lack of velocity have nevertheless limited him to a series of modest one-year contracts. With a fastball that checks in around 90 mph, Coulombe leans most heavily on a mid-80s cutter. It’s a relatively platoon neutral profile, though he was more aggressive in attacking the strike zone against left-handed hitters.

Assuming he’s able to ramp into game shape within the next two weeks, Coulombe will slot into Alex Cora’s middle relief group. Boston was light on left-handed bullpen help in front of Aroldis Chapman. The out-of-options Jovani Morán and trade pickup Tyler Samaniego, who has yet to make his MLB debut, are the other lefty relievers on the 40-man roster. Coulombe should raise the floor over the less established southpaws.

Boston still has up to three bullpen spots for grabs. Morán’s lack of options could give him a leg up on one of those. Rule 5 pick Ryan Watson can’t be optioned but seems a longer shot to break camp after giving up six runs in as many innings this spring.

Gonzalez will be out at least until late May. The Sox announced that the righty-hitting utilityman underwent an arthroscopic debridement procedure on his left shoulder. Chris Cotillo of MassLive reports that it’s a cleanup surgery that could come with a 2-3 month recovery timeline. Gonzalez should be back midseason to reprise his role as a short side platoon bat.

Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic first reported Coulombe and the Red Sox had a major league deal. Chris Cotillo of MassLive reported the $1MM salary.

Image courtesy of Jerome Miron, Imagn Images.

Offseason In Review: San Diego Padres

Despite some in-fighting among ownership, the Padres brought back one of their key free agents. The Friars took their usual approach of signing a notable player from an Asian league and adding a bunch of cheap veteran free agents just before Spring Training. As has frequently been the case, they’re also heading into the season with a new manager.

Major League Signings

2026 commitments: $24.5MM
Total future commitments: $99.45MM

Trades and Claims

  • None

Option Decisions

Notable Minor League Signings

Extensions

  • None

Notable Losses

The Padres’ offseason began in usual fashion. Immediately after being bounced by the Cubs in the Wild Card Series, San Diego faced questions about their leadership continuity. President of baseball operations A.J. Preller was headed into the final year of his contract. Manager Mike Shildt had led the team to consecutive playoff appearances, but that didn’t ensure he’d be back.

After initial reporting that the Padres planned to retain Shildt, he stepped down in the middle of October. Excellent reporting from Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune contextualized that decision. Acee’s column goes into detail about how Shildt’s managerial style wound up alienating many of his assistant coaches, while the 57-year-old skipper said he’d become worn down by the position. (Shildt would remain in baseball but in a lower-profile role by accepting a player development job with the Orioles six weeks later.)

This wasn’t quite the same situation as the Padres’ previous two managerial changes. The 2024 move to allow Bob Melvin to leave for the Giants reportedly stemmed from an acrimonious relationship between Melvin and Preller. Jayce Tingler’s ouster at the end of 2021 came after he’d seemingly lost the clubhouse amidst a second half collapse. In any case, the result was a fourth managerial hiring process in seven years — and a remarkable sixth full-time skipper during Preller’s lengthy run at the top of baseball operations.

Preller’s own contract status would linger over the offseason, but it was apparent early on that he’d be back for 2026 at least. The Padres conducted their managerial search throughout the postseason and into the first few days of the offseason. They settled on former reliever Craig Stammen, who had been in the organization’s player development department but had no coaching or managerial experience. It was an unexpected hire considering initial reporting suggested the likes of Ryan Flaherty, Nick Hundley, Ruben Niebla, and Albert Pujols were in the running.

San Diego kept the well-regarded Niebla on staff as pitching coach despite passing on him for the managerial vacancy. The Padres brought in Randy Knorr as bench coach and tabbed former outfielder Steven Souza Jr. as a first-time hitting coach. Stammen had ties to both men (Knorr as a coach, Souza as a teammate) from his time in the Nationals bullpen.

Once the manager was settled, the front office could turn its attention to the roster. They faced a handful of free agent losses. Dylan Cease and Robert Suarez obviously weren’t coming back. Cease was going to price himself out of San Diego, while the Padres had prepared for Suarez’s departure by trading for Mason Miller last summer.

The Padres had a number of option decisions. Most of them were obvious: Suarez’s opt-out, Michael King declining a mutual option, the team exercising a bargain $6.5MM option to keep left fielder Ramón Laureano. The club bought out depth starter Kyle Hart but quickly circled back on a cheaper one-year deal. They dropped Elias Díaz and Tyler Wade, while lefty reliever Wandy Peralta passed on the chance to opt out of the remaining two years and $8.9MM on his deal.

San Diego issued qualifying offers to Cease and King, both of which were expected. They opted not to make a QO to Luis Arraez, setting the stage for him to join the division rival Giants on a $12MM deal. Ryan O’Hearn was ineligible for a qualifying offer as a midseason trade pickup, not that the Padres would have given much thought to offering him a $22.025MM salary. O’Hearn’s production after the trade was just alright and it doesn’t seem like San Diego made much effort to bring him back before he signed a two-year deal with Pittsburgh.

Of their impactful free agents, King became the priority. Some of that was driven by a glaring need for rotation help beyond Nick Pivetta and Joe Musgrove, the latter of whom missed all of last season rehabbing Tommy John surgery. Although San Diego’s interest in re-signing King was natural, it came as a moderate surprise they got the deal done. The Padres have curtailed free agent spending since Peter Seidler’s 2023 passing. Even last offseason’s four-year, $55MM deal with Pivetta came late in the winter when the righty was amenable to a heavily backloaded contract with opt-outs after the second and third seasons.

The Padres were also facing some geographic disadvantages. King attended high school in Rhode Island, played collegiately at Boston College, and spent the first five seasons of his career with the Yankees. He said he entered the offseason preferring to land with an East Coast team. That changed when the Padres put forth a three-year, $75MM offer that included opt-out chances after the first and second seasons. King might’ve been able to land a bigger guarantee elsewhere, but he’s able to remain with a team he knows well with a chance to cash in next offseason.

King pitched at a borderline ace level during his first season in San Diego. He was out to an even stronger start to the ’25 campaign before encountering a troublesome nerve issue in his throwing shoulder. That shelved him for nearly three months, and he battled knee inflammation upon his late-season return. Although a fully healthy King is clearly one of the team’s three best starters, the Padres used him out of the bullpen in their playoff series.

It’s an upside play for pitcher and team alike. The Padres are hopefully paying King $22MM ($12MM signing bonus, $5MM salary, and a $5MM option buyout) for one excellent season. He’d be positioned to retest the market at age 32 without being attached to a qualifying offer. He’d likely try to max out the contract length and guarantee at that point.

Slotting King back into the #2 spot in the rotation is far more valuable to the Padres than the fourth round pick they would have received as compensation for his departure. They did land one compensatory draft choice when Cease signed his seven-year deal with the Blue Jays — a deal that shattered whatever the Padres would have been willing to offer.

Even with King in the fold, the rotation remained the roster’s biggest question. Yu Darvish missed a couple months last season with an elbow issue. He looked a shell of his former self when healthy enough to pitch, allowing a 5.38 ERA in 15 regular season starts (plus two runs on four hits in one playoff inning). There were early whispers that the 39-year-old Darvish could walk away from the remaining three years on his contract.

That may still be the case, but all that’s known for now is that the righty won’t be available in 2026. Darvish underwent an internal brace surgery to address UCL damage in his elbow. He made his most recent statement on his long-term future in January, saying that he and the team have had conversations about terminating his contract (presumably with some kind of deferral or buyout structure). He hasn’t made any decisions on retirement. Darvish is signed through his age-41 season for a combined $43MM: $15MM this year, followed by $14MM salaries in 2027-28.

The Padres poked around the market for a second significant rotation move. They reportedly made a three-year, $50MM offer to Merrill Kelly. He opted to return to Arizona on a two-year deal at a higher annual rate. The Padres were loosely tied to Framber Valdez as his free agency lingered but never seemed likely to make the money work.

They’ll round out the rotation with internal arms and reclamation projects. Randy Vásquez is expected to get the fourth starter role on the heels of a decent 2025 season. They added Griffin Canning on a $2.5MM deal after last June’s Achilles tear. Canning had posted a 3.77 ERA across 16 starts with the Mets before the injury. He’ll probably be on the injured list into May but should be locked into a rotation spot once he’s healthy.

San Diego signed longtime Rockies righty Germán Márquez to a $1.75MM contract to round out the staff until Canning returns. Márquez hasn’t been good since undergoing Tommy John surgery in 2023. He’s coming off a near-7.00 ERA over 26 starts last season. He was bombed for a 7.32 mark outside Coors Field. The big league deal is less about projecting improved performance at normal altitude and more a flier on a fastball that still sits around 95 mph.

It’s a similar situation for Walker Buehler, who came aboard on a minor league contract. Buehler’s fastball sat around 94 mph last season, well down from the upper 90s heat he brought before undergoing his second Tommy John procedure in 2022. He’s in the 92 mph range this spring, though it’s common for pitchers to add a tick or two as they build up into game shape.

Buehler isn’t guaranteed a roster spot but could push Márquez for the fifth starter role. It’s also possible the Padres start Musgrove on the injured list to avoid pushing him too quickly, which would open another early-season rotation spot. The Padres tendered JP Sears a $2.75MM arbitration contract even though he was a non-factor after coming over in the Miller trade. He’s on the 40-man roster and likely starting the season in the minors. That’s also true of Hart and minor league signee Marco Gonzales, while they’ll face a decision on the out-of-options Matt Waldron once he’s back from the injured list.

The Padres understandably felt good about the bullpen despite losing Suarez. Miller is probably the best closer in MLB. Jeremiah EstradaJason Adam, Adrian MorejonDavid Morgan and Bradgley Rodriguez could all find themselves in setup roles. Peralta and Yuki Matsui are under contract as lefty middle relievers. San Diego’s only 40-man roster moves were depth fliers on Daison Acosta and Ty Adcock, both of whom will open the season in Triple-A.

There was more work to do on the position player side. The Padres have one of the most top-heavy offensive groups in the league. That isn’t going to change, but they made a few moves to deepen a lineup losing Arraez and O’Hearn.

The most notable was a four-year deal for KBO infielder Sung-mun Song. The 29-year-old has had an excellent last two seasons for the Kiwoom Heroes after a middling career until that point. Scouting reports project him as a utility player at the MLB level. That’s the role he’ll play in San Diego at a modest $2.8MM average annual value.

Song, a lefty hitter, has spent most of his career at second or third base. He’ll back up Jake Cronenworth and Manny Machado at those respective positions. The Padres also planned to get him shortstop and outfield work this spring, though that’s been halted by some oblique trouble that seems likely to delay his team debut by a few weeks.

The Padres wanted to balance the lineup by adding a pair of veteran right-handed bats. San Diego signed lefty masher Miguel Andujar to a one-year, $4MM deal. He’s coming off an excellent .318/.352/.470 showing between the A’s and Reds. The market was nevertheless cold on him because of his lack of defensive value, injury history, and aggressive offensive approach.

Andujar will get the majority of the designated hitter work while backing up Laureano and Fernando Tatis Jr. in the corner outfield. The Padres wanted another righty hitter to platoon with Gavin Sheets at first base. Paul Goldschmidt would have been an ideal fit, but he declined an offer from San Diego to return to the Yankees. The Padres pivoted to Nick Castellanos after he was released by the Phillies.

The move comes at literally no cost financially. Castellanos is playing for the league minimum salary in San Diego (which the Padres would have paid to whoever else was taking that roster spot regardless). The Phillies are eating the rest of his $20MM salary. Castellanos should still be a decent power bat against lefty pitching. Any risk is in adding a player who had no first base experience until this spring and whose time in Philadelphia ended with a highly publicized rift with manager Rob Thomson.

The Padres opted not to make a move behind the plate, where they’ll rely on the Freddy Fermin/Luis Campusano pair. They don’t have clear backups behind Xander Bogaerts and Jackson Merrill at shortstop and in center field, respectively. They’d been hoping to get Song up to speed for that role by Opening Day. A season-opening injured list stint would create a spot for one of Will WagnerMason McCoy or minor league signee Ty France as a utility infielder. The out-of-options Bryce Johnson probably wins the fourth outfield role.

They could benefit from one more depth move in the final two weeks of Spring Training, but it doesn’t seem to be a priority. San Diego didn’t make a single waiver claim for a second straight offseason. They also didn’t make any trades despite Preller’s affinity for massive swings. There was a rumor out of the Winter Meetings about talks with the Mets concerning a potential blockbuster involving Miller, Pivetta and Laureano. There’s no indication that progressed, and the Padres stood pat from a trade perspective.

That surely won’t be the case this summer. The Padres mostly sat out last offseason’s trade activity as well before making three big deadline trades (Miller/Sears, Laureano/O’Hearn, and Fermin). If they’re in the running for a playoff spot, it’s in their nature to be aggressive. With Pivetta and King both able to opt out next winter, adding a controllable starting pitcher figures to be a priority. If the team underperforms, either or both veteran righties could be on the trade block themselves.

Preller will lead the deadline with long-term financial comfort. He and the organization finally reached agreement on a multi-year extension last month. That’s of particular importance given the likelihood of a major shakeup at the ownership level. In early February, the Seidler family resolved most of their litigation against one another. That paves the way for the family to move forward with a sale that could be in place as soon as Opening Day. The most recent reporting indicated they were weighing five offers and could pull north of $2.5 billion for the franchise.

The repercussions of a potential sale won’t really be felt until next offseason at the earliest. Last winter was a fairly typical Padres offseason, one they’ll hope was sufficient to maintain their status as the Dodgers’ top challenger in the NL West.

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