The Royals have been relatively active over the first month of the offseason, inking one of the four free agent position players to sign so far this winter and trading for two pitchers ahead of the non-tender deadline in November. Still, the front office has plenty of work to do if the team is going to improve upon a 56-106 record in 2024. On Monday, Royals general manager J.J. Picollo spoke with members of the media at the Winter Meetings to discuss the team’s plans for the remainder of the offseason.
Most notably, Picollo revealed that he has at least $30MM to spend in free agency (as relayed by Jaylon Thompson of The Kansas City Star). That could bring the team’s 2024 payroll just over $100MM, a total the Royals have not surpassed since 2019. What’s more, the executive suggested he could spend beyond that estimate for the right players.
Presumably, Picollo will use most of his budget to improve a pitching staff that finished second-last in the AL in ERA, SIERA, and FanGraphs WAR last season. He specified that he would like to acquire one starting pitcher and two relievers, one of whom would hopefully step into the closer’s role.
While Picollo didn’t identify any particular targets, he stated on MLB Network Radio that the Royals “can be competitive” in the price range several free agent starting pitchers have already signed for. Presumably, he’s not referring to Aaron Nola and Sonny Gray, but instead the next tier down. That means pitchers like Kyle Gibson, Kenta Maeda, Luis Severino, Nick Martinez, and Lance Lynn, all of whom signed for an annual average salary in the $11MM to $13MM range.
During his appearance on MLB Network Radio, Picollo also touched on the non-monetary side of free agent negotiations. Factors beyond money are particularly relevant for a rebuilding team like the Royals, as they try to convince free agents they are an attractive destination despite their recent string of losing seasons. “When you’re recruiting free agents they want to know what your plan is,” he said. “So our process has got to be pretty deep and thorough because we’re really selling those players on what we can do for them.”
One name on many fans’ minds is Zack Greinke, who became a free agent following the 2023 season. According to Picollo (and as relayed by Thompson), the Royals are still waiting to hear if the six-time All-Star plans to retire this winter. While he isn’t the star he used to be during his first run with Kansas City, Greinke has been a reliable innings eater for the Royals over the last two seasons, pitching 279 1/3 innings with a 4.38 ERA. Given his popularity within the organization, his solid performance over the past two years, and the team’s lack of pitching depth, one would think the Royals would be interested if Greinke decided to pitch again in 2024, but Picollo stopped short of confirming as much.
He did, however, confirm that MJ Melendez will continue to play the outfield next season. The 25-year-old was once one of the top catching prospects in baseball, but he transitioned to a full-time outfield role this past season. His defense never stood out behind the plate, where he was blocked in the Royals organization by Salvador Perez anyhow. With the emergence of backup catcher Freddy Fermin, and with the way Melendez improved at the plate after he stopped catching in 2023, it doesn’t come as much of a surprise that the Royals are going to keep him in the outfield going forward.
Finally, Picollo revealed that first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino is ready to return to normal baseball activities over the winter after missing the final four months of the 2023 season with a torn labrum in his right shoulder. According to Thompson, the team will provide further information on his status during today’s media session.
Old York
I guess that means Ohtani isn’t signing with the Royals?
cbraves
Unless he very strongly prefers to go to Kansas City.
nukeg
$30M could be a down payment. Imagine paying 8% on a $470M loan. LOL.
martras
The phone numbers of the Royals F.O. has been blocked by every major agent in MLB, haha.
El Chupacabra
Well, it’s at least encouraging to hear the Royals are going to spend a little money this winter. I hope it’s not on another Jordan Lyles, but on someone who can do more than just eat innings.
RunDMC
There’s some decent talent outside the MLBTR top-50, including Pham, among others. There’s some bargains to be had, with no clear-cut “2024 Belli bargain” candidate (i.e. Hoskins?, Tim Anderson?, etc.). Interested in Marco Gonzalez to eat some innings at very little cost? It’ll be interesting to see which direction they go.
mlb fan
Belli wasn’t a “bargain” last year imo. What’d they pay him, 17 or 18M?…For a “feast or famine” player like Belli(who’s been bad at least 2 of the last 3 yrs)that’s easily market rate.
RunDMC
In hindsight, 1/18M (with buyout) for a 4.4 bWAR season is quite a bargain, as we’ll see when he signs his new deal. I get, it was a pillow contract and quite a bit of risk, but it was also a huge bargain for the team that took the risk when he put everything together, not including obtaining a comp pick if/when he signs elsewhere. That’s how it should be done.
mlb fan
I lost faith in analytics years ago when Dexter Fowler went from being one of the so called worst defensive OFs, to one of the very best the very next yr. It turns out his OF coaches changed his defensive positioning greatly. Cody, being bad 3 out of the last 4 yrs and STILL getting 17 or 18 M is no “bargain” in my honest opinion, but people can disagree respectfully on baseball philosophy.
Kc smoke
Lyles can’t even eat innings unless you want to be down 4+ runs. When a team actually scored 3-4 for him he gives up 5-8 and or doesn’t even make 5 innings.
Kc smoke
The fact that a player over 2 full games under in WAR before his career worst season got 2 years 17 to be an awful pitcher on a bad team is still mind boggling to me. If the royals are gonna burn $ they should try it on someone younger who hasn’t been bad for years and years. Spend it all on lower priced Japanese stars or get more Perez type teenagers signed. Not failures who make it as major leaguers like Rex hudler would talk about all game long.
mlb fan
“Well, it’s at least encouraging”…I somewhat agree, but in reality the problem with KC hasn’t necessarily been “spending”, but drafting and developing players. With all these top draft picks the last several years KC should be LOADED with young, cheap high end talent and they’re not. With any kind of decent drafts KC could/should be in a Baltimore Orioles situation. I mostly root for all teams to succeed(except NY teams), but the Royals have been a very frustrating “root” for me.
martras
I like clubs like the Royals being relevant. Their top prospects haven’t panned out quite yet.
Bobby Witt, Jr.’s 2023 was huge for the Royals, but their pitchers need to round into form. Now they need 3-4 other young guys to figure it out.
Right now, there have been massive velocity drop offs for both Singer and Lynch IV. Bubic went down with TJ. The Royals need a couple starters in their system to figure it out to be relevant because $30MM isn’t buying 5 starting pitchers.
Basically, what I’m saying is it’s way too early for the Royals to start building. Their best bet is signing high ceiling starters who are trying to rebound. They’d be trade bait at the deadline or, if something really great happens to make the Royals contenders for the playoffs, the Royals could make use of the talent.
Kc smoke
They have never been able to develop pitching except for greinke for 25+ seasons and keep trying to develop their own. They should draft batters only and when they get any talented extra ones, trade them for pitching to contend.
martras
@Kc smoke – Any small market team not following Tampa’s model is probably not doing it right. First off, the Royals need better coaches to develop pitchers. Second off, they need better scouts or different scouting perspectives to draft better pitchers. On top of that, the Royals should be drafting pitching, pitching, pitching, positions, pitching, pitching.
Young pitching costs a huge premium. You trade some of the pitchers away to re-stock the position players.
Drafting all position players is inadvisable unless the club is willing to part with their elite position player prospects for young, middle tier, cost controlled position player talent while supplementing the rotation with short term bounce back arms.
It’s a risky strategy with little payroll projectability or stability.
Kc smoke
Royals young pitching is all useless. They’ve been drafting at least some pitching every single year and all are awful. If they keep failing at homegrowing why do they keep doing it? They’ve at least gotten some batters homegrown. The royals need new coaches, scouts, players, and owners for not doing anything except focusing on a new unneeded stadium. They have only maybe 10 players that could be part of a winning team somewhere in the entire organization it seems.
Kc smoke
@martras their world series appearances are just a weird blip in the teams history it seems cause only 6 of the pitching were homegrown. Why they can’t even attempt to redo a team like that is beyond me, but they did get 3+ building block position players to win without top pitching by trading their top pitcher in greinke. They just haven’t gotten anyone close to that good since maybe ventura and he passed away young.
Kc smoke
If they went for position players instead of overdrafting pitching when their coaches have no clue at all at how to help develop them they’d at least be middle of the league instead of bottom 1/3 on a good year and bottom 1/6 like usual.
martras
@Kc smoke – If the problem is developing pitching, then the solution is to replace the coaches. If the problem is drafting, then it’s replacing the scouts or the GM or both.
Going to the World Series 2 years in a row isn’t a fluke.
Kc smoke
They need to replace all scouts and coaches because none that were part of the world series appearances are with the team anymore. They got better jobs with different teams and all of their replacements have been bad for too long. Gms that draft bad in other sports all get fired within 5 years and royals should clean house on scouts and the gm.
deweybelongsinthehall
When was the last article solely on the Royals? I forgot they were in the league…
El Chupacabra
Ummm…try yesterday at 6:41?
deweybelongsinthehall
Oops. I guess I just read by it…
vaderzim
Trade for Juan Soto
RoyalsFanAmongWolves
He doesn’t pitch.
Touch 'em all Joe
Perfect – that allows them 2 more years of Jordan Lyles.
Gambit1193
The Yankees can trade you 1 specific player that’ll fill majority of that salary
walls17
30 million goes quick… that’s probably one or two 2 win players, one big signing, or five replacement-level players at the end of the day,
Simm
30m in this market can get you two slightly used Lynn and Gibson.
10 years ago this would be news.
mlb fan
Add a middling prospect and 30M can get you a slightly used, out of warranty, “As is” Giancarlo Stanton.
Beff Jagwell
They should use that money on new front office personnel. Wouldn’t hurt to sell the team to someone willing to build a contender either.
ClevelandSteelEngines
Vinnie P is ‘healthy’ but aren’t shoulder surgery recoveries marked by sapped power? Tatis jr. came back after his last season, which was much lower than his previous power, regardless of the roids. Doesn’t this mean projections should be lower on Vinnie P than usual?
mlbnyyfan
30 million to spend nice. Trade for Stanton. LoL
stymeedone
You were actually projecting him to do something?
S_man_2014
The Royals aren’t close to competing. Their better off using that money and hopefully adding 30+ mill each season for the next 10 years and trying to re-sign Bobby Witt Jr..
mlb fan
“Trying to re-sign Bobby Witt jr.”…Until the Royals draft and develop SIGNIFICANTLY better, there’s no real point of signing ANY player to a fat long term contract. What good is one decent player, on a team that finishes last every year in a weak, highly winnable Central division?
JoeBrady
Perez has gone from a top-tier trade chip to worthless while the Royals were focusing on trying to win 65 games. Him and Merrifield would’ve notched a couple of top-50 types and maybe a couple of top-100 types.
MShowerhead
They aren’t close to contention so they should spend on rentals who could net them prospects at the trade deadline
RandorBierd
I love JJ Piccolo.
Tom the ray fan
Halfway to Ohtani! Nice.
RunDMC
KC at the Winter Meetings: youtube.com/watch?v=zuhLspTtJiE.
“1 rib.” — Classic.
RoyalsFanAmongWolves
Halfway to Ohtani for what, two months? As much as I would love to have ohtani, he won’t be able to pitch until 2025. Royals need pitching now
steelerbravenation
Sign Grichuk
Sign Renfroe
Sign Caratini
Sign Skubal
Trade for Marco Gonzalez
Trade Salvy to Marlins for Cabrera
O’Malley
Not a chance Miami trades Cabrera for Salvador Perez
kcmark
What if the Royals include Mikel Garcia?
vtadave
Pretty sure they can’t just sign Skubal
GarryHarris
Tarik Skubal is not a free agent until 2027.
stymeedone
Are you sure HARRIS didn’t non tender Skubal over some disagreement? He likes to do that.
rond-2
Waiting for word from Grienke!?! Move on, Zach had a farewell tour last season.
JoeBrady
Apparently the Cincy fans are upset that the Reds aren’t spending $20M or so on Votto’s farewell party.
Heinouanus
Only the fans who dont understand that paying a 40 year old bench player the money that could be spent on starting pitching is a bad idea
Heinouanus
30 million? Somebody get the good paper plates
wvsteve
Good for royals fans . That’s a decent amount to spend for a small market team
Rsox
Seems like they may be the opitome of “all dressed up with nowhere to go”
BigFred
$30 million? That’s half an Ohtani.
siddfinch1079
Ooooh! What to do with all that money! Are they trying to coax Gil Meche out of retirement?