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2021 Amateur Draft

Pirates Agree To Overslot Deal With Third Round Pick Bubba Chandler

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The Pirates have agreed to sign third round draft choice Bubba Chandler to a $3MM contract, reports Jason Mackey of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette (Twitter link). The deal is pending a physical. That shatters the $870.7K slot value associated with the #72 selection.

Of course, the main reason Chandler fell to 72nd overall was the high bonus required to dissuade him from a two-sport commitment (baseball and football) to Clemson University. Each of Baseball America, Keith Law of the Athletic, and Kiley McDaniel of ESPN slotted Chandler among the top 25 prospects in their pre-draft rankings. That suggests he was generally seen as a mid-late first round talent, and his bonus is commensurate with that status.

A two-way player during his Georgia high school career, Chandler is expected to focus on pitching full-time in pro ball. The righty draws praise for his athleticism, mid-90’s fastball and promising curveball, with McDaniel suggesting he has mid-rotation upside.

The Pirates’ ability to get overslot deals done with Chandler and Anthony Solometo (along with potential significant agreements for still-unsigned Lonnie White Jr. and Owen Kellington) reflects Pittsburgh’s overarching draft strategy. The Pirates cut an underslot agreement with first overall pick Henry Davis, allowing them to leverage their league-high bonus pool into likely agreements with a handful of well-regarded prep prospects on the draft’s second day.

Reds Sign Compensatory Pick Jay Allen

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The Reds announced yesterday they’d come to terms with Jay Allen, selected with the compensatory pick for losing a qualified free agent (Trevor Bauer) last offseason. Allen received a $2.4MM signing bonus, reports Jim Callis of MLB.com (Twitter link). That’s a touch above the $2.3655MM slot value that comes with the #30 selection.

Allen landed between 25th and 40th on the pre-draft rankings of each of Baseball America, Kiley McDaniel of ESPN, and Keith Law of the Athletic. A center fielder from a Florida high school, Allen’s generally expected to contribute on both sides of the ball. He’s athletic enough to have a chance to stick in center, with advanced bat-to-ball skills and some physical projection on a 6’3″, 190 pound frame.

The Reds signed Allen away from his commitment to the University of Florida. The 18-year-old outfielder was one of three Day One picks for Cincinnati. The team has yet to finalize agreements with first rounder Matt McLain (an infielder from UCLA) or Competitive Balance Round A selection Matheu Nelson (a catcher from Florida State).

Draft Signings: 7/20/21

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Today’s notable signings of Day Two draftees:

  • The Reds have signed second-rounder Andrew Abbott to a $1.3MM deal, reports Carlos Collazo of Baseball America (Twitter link). That’s just a bit below the slot value that accompanies the 53rd overall pick. Abbott, a senior left-hander from the University of Virginia, gets good life on his low-mid 90’s fastball and missed plenty of bats in one of college baseball’s top conferences. Abbott’s 162 strikeouts this season trailed only top ten draftees Jack Leiter and Kumar Rocker in Division I baseball.
  • The Rangers have agreed to a $1MM deal with third-rounder Cameron Cauley, reports Jon Heyman of MLB Network (Twitter link). That’s a bit north of the $857.4K slot value associated with the 73rd selection. A high school shortstop from Texas, the right-handed hitting Cauley was ranked #84 on Baseball America’s pre-draft rankings. BA writes that the Texas Tech commit is a good athlete with advanced bat-to-ball skills but limited power projection.
  • The Cardinals have signed Competitive Balance Round B selection Ryan Holgate for $875K, reports Jonathan Mayo of MLB.com (Twitter link). That’s a bit below the slot value that comes with the #70 selection. A power-hitting corner outfielder from the University of Arizona, Holgate checked in at #107 on BA’s rankings.
  • The Padres inked Competitive Balance Round B selection Robert Gasser for $884.2K, reports Jim Callis of MLB.com (Twitter link). That’s full slot value for the #71 overall pick. A left-handed pitcher from the University of Houston, Gasser checked in at #63 on BA’s rankings. He attracted attention from evaluators after experiencing a velocity spike into the mid-90’s this year to accompany a solid slider.
  • The Braves went well overslot to sign seventh-rounder A.J. Smith-Shawver. The righty from a Texas high school received a $997.5K bonus, reports Callis. That’s nearly $800K above slot to convince him to pass on a two-sport commitment (baseball and football) to Texas Tech. Smith-Shawver landed at #318 in BA’s rankings, drawing praise for a mid-90’s fastball and solid curveball.

Padres Sign Second Round Pick James Wood To Overslot Deal

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The Padres have signed second round draft pick James Wood to a $2.6MM signing bonus, reports Jeff Sanders of the San Diego Union-Tribune. That’s well north of the $1.1027MM slot value associated with the #62 overall selection.

In fact, Wood’s bonus comes in higher than that of first rounder Jackson Merrill, who inked a $1.8MM deal last night. A lefty-hitting outfielder from a Florida academy, Wood is seen as one of the more high-variance prospects in this year’s class. Baseball America slotted Wood the #35 prospect in their pre-draft rankings, pointing to his elite raw power and surprising athleticism for his size (listed at 6’6″, 230) in lauding his upside. BA notes there’s plenty of trepidation about Wood’s swing-and-miss tendencies, though, and he was rated lower on the rankings of Kiley McDaniel of ESPN (51st) and Keith Law of the Athletic (outside the top 101).

San Diego’s placing a substantial bet on Wood’s physical gifts. The overslot bonus will buy him away from his commitment to Mississippi State University.

Braves Sign First Round Pick Ryan Cusick

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The Braves have agreed to terms with first round pick Ryan Cusick on a $2.7MM signing bonus, reports Jim Callis of MLB.com (Twitter link). That’s very slightly below the $2.8313MM slot value associated with the 24th overall pick.

Each of Baseball America, Kiley McDaniel of ESPN and Keith Law of the Athletic slotted Cusick among the top 40 talents in this year’s class. Law was most bullish of that group, placing Cusick 12th and pointing to his high-90’s fastball as the driver of a potential high-end arsenal. He also flashes a quality curveball, but there are concerns about his changeup and inconsistent strike-throwing.

Cusick spent three years at Wake Forest, pitching to a 5.01 ERA across 158 innings with the Demon Deacons. The righty struck out a lofty 28.7% of opposing hitters in his college career, but he also issued free passes at an alarming 11% clip.

White Sox Sign First Round Pick Colson Montgomery

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The White Sox announced they’ve come to terms on a $3.027MM deal with first rounder Colson Montgomery. That matches the slot value associated with the 22nd overall selection.

Montgomery’s spot on pre-draft prospect rankings was variable. Kiley McDaniel of ESPN slotted the left-handed hitting infielder 13th, while Baseball America had him 34th and Keith Law of the Athletic placed him 56th. There’s some question marks about Montgomery’s age — at 19, he’s a bit old for a prep draftee — but he has plenty of power projection and a good chance to stick on the infield, likely at third base.

An Indiana product, Mongtomery had been committed to Indiana University. The White Sox will sway him from that commitment and add a high-upside young player to a farm system that has been thinned out a bit as Chicago’s top talents have graduated to the major leagues.

Rays Sign First-Round Pick Carson Williams

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The Rays announced they’ve come to terms with first-round draft choice Carson Williams. An infielder from a California high school, Williams will receive a $2.3475MM signing bonus, reports Jim Callis of MLB.com (Twitter link). That’s a touch below the $2.4939MM slot value that accompanies the 28th overall selection.

A UC-Berkeley commit, Williams drew some disparate opinions from public evaluators. While Baseball America and FanGraphs each slotted the right-handed hitting shortstop among their top 40 prospects pre-draft, Keith Law of the Athletic placed him 101st. Williams has a chance to be a power-hitting shortstop, but it seems there’s some divisiveness regarding the consistency of his hit tool.

Tampa Bay has now wrapped up deals with both of their Day One picks. The Rays signed Competitive Balance Round A selection Cooper Kinney last night.

Dodgers Sign First-Round Pick Maddux Bruns

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The Dodgers have agreed to terms with first-round draft pick Maddux Bruns, reports Jonathan Mayo of MLB.com (Twitter link). The high school southpaw will receive a $2.2MM signing bonus that lands a bit shy of the $2.4246MM slot value that accompanies the 29th overall pick. Bruns had been committed to Mississippi State University. He’ll forego an opportunity to join the reigning college national champions and instead sign on with the defending World Series winners.

Most public evaluators pegged Bruns as an early-mid second round talent, so it’s not a huge surprise he landed a bit underslot despite being part of a demographic (prep pitching) that often demands above-slot bonuses. Each of Baseball America, Keith Law of the Athletic, and Eric Longenhagen and Kevin Goldstein of FanGraphs placed Bruns between 45th and 60th on their pre-draft rankings.

The Alabama native has among the best raw stuff in the class, with a mid-high 90’s fastball and a high-spin power curveball. But his delivery has a bit of violence that concerns some evaluators, with his control less consistent than that of many of the class’s other top arms. Los Angeles will now get an opportunity to add a high-upside pitcher to the system while saving a bit of bonus pool space to distribute to their Day Two selections.

Brewers Sign Top Two Draft Picks

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The Brewers announced agreements with their top two picks from this year’s draft: Sal Frelick and Tyler Black. Frelick’s bonus landed at an even $4MM, reports Jim Callis of MLB.com, while Black’s deal came in at $2.2022MM (Twitter links).

The fifteenth overall pick, with which Frelick was selected, came with a $3.8858MM slot value. The former Boston College outfielder lands a bit overslot. Frelick was seen as one of the top college position players in the class. He draws praise for his hit tool from the left-handed batter’s box and athleticism. A high-end runner, Frelick moved to center field from the corner outfield for the Eagles this season and flashed potential plus defensive ability at the position.

Listed at 5’9″, Frelick isn’t expected to hit for a ton of power. But his combination of bat-to-ball skills, baserunning and defensive ability placed him among the top ten talents in the class, in the estimation of each of Baseball America, Keith Law of the Athletic, and Eric Longenhagen and Kevin Goldstein of FanGraphs. Over three seasons in one of college baseball’s best conferences (the ACC), Frelick hit .345/.435/.521.

While Frelick’s bonus came in a bit above slot, Black’s deal lands right at the value associated with the #33 overall pick. A second baseman from Wright State University, the lefty-hitting Black posted an absurd .353/.468/.612 line over three seasons with the Raiders. That production is no doubt inflated by the subpar pitching he often faced in the Horizon League, but most evaluators remain convicted in his hitting ability. He landed among the top 35 prospects in the pre-draft rankings at the Athletic and FanGraphs based on his advanced hit tool and exceptional feel for the strike zone.

Pirates Sign Anthony Solometo

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9:51am: MLB.com’s Jim Callis tweets that Solometo’s bonus is $2.8MM, so he took home a bit more than $800K over slot.

9:44am: The Pirates announced this morning that they’ve signed left-hander Anthony Solometo, who was their second-round pick in the 2021 amateur draft. The team unsurprisingly didn’t include bonus details, but Solometo’s No. 37 slot comes with a $1.999MM value.

Solometo, 18, was ranked as one of the top high school arms in this year’s draft but slipped to the second round. As such, signing Solometo away from his commitment to North Carolina may require the Bucs to go over that $2MM slot value. They’ll have the resources to do just that after top pick Henry Davis’ signing bonus checked in roughly $1.9MM under slot, however.

Heading into the draft Solometo was ranked 17th on MLB.com’s list of draft prospects, 20th at The Athletic, 28th at Baseball America, 34th at FanGraphs and 35th at ESPN. He earns praise for a fastball that’s reached 94-95 mph — though it currently sits lower than that — and a slider that grades out as a potential plus offering as well. MLB.com and FanGraphs note that Solometo’s delivery draws comparisons to that of Madison Bumgarner.

Solometo was the second of four highly touted players the Pirates secured at the top of their draft class. While Davis was at least a moderate surprise with the top overall pick — he was expected to go somewhere in the top five or so picks regardless — that selection might’ve helped the Bucs save enough to go over slot on their next three picks. Each of Solometo, Lonnie White Jr. and Bubba Chandler were high school players with first- or second-round potential, and Pittsburgh has drawn a good bit of praise for maneuvering to land that trio and Davis with the team’s top four selections.

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