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Archives for January 2012

Barry Larkin Elected To Hall Of Fame

By Tim Dierkes | January 9, 2012 at 2:00pm CDT

Shortstop Barry Larkin was elected to baseball's Hall of Fame today with 86% of the vote, announced the Baseball Writers Association of America.  Larkin is the lone inductee of 2012.

Larkin played his entire 19-season career with the Reds, with a .295/.371/.444 line and 198 home runs across 9,057 plate appearances.  He won the NL MVP in 1995, made a dozen All-Star appearances, and won three Gold Gloves.  FanGraphs pegs his career Wins Above Replacement at 70.6.

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Cincinnati Reds

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Latest On Norichika Aoki

By Tim Dierkes | January 9, 2012 at 1:45pm CDT

Norichika Aoki's workout for the Brewers yesterday in Phoenix lasted 75 minutes, reports Nikkan Sports as translated by NPB Tracker's Patrick Newman.  GM Doug Melvin, manager Ron Roenicke, and owner Mark Attanasio were among those present, writes Tom Haudricourt of the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel.  "It was a good workout. He's probably the kind of player you'd expect, coming from Japan," said Melvin.

The Brewers have until 4pm central time on January 17th to sign Aoki, or else the Yakult Swallows must refund the $2.5MM posting fee.  The Brewers are still deciding whether to make an offer.  The Brewers conducted a physical exam for Aoki this morning to buy themselves some time, reports MLB.com's Adam McCalvy.

Aoki, a 30-year-old outfielder, hit .292/.358/.360 for the Swallows this year and would assume a bench role for Milwaukee.

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Milwaukee Brewers Norichika Aoki

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Cubs Close To Deal With Paul Maholm

By Tim Dierkes | January 9, 2012 at 11:26am CDT

11:26am: The Cubs are close on Maholm, tweets Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports.

10:59am: The Cubs and free agent lefty Paul Maholm are trying to work out an agreement, tweets Bruce Levine of ESPNChicago.  Maholm has been linked to several other suitors this offseason, but most have since added starters.

The Cubs' current projected rotation has Matt Garza, Ryan Dempster, Chris Volstad, Travis Wood, and Randy Wells, perhaps with Andy Sonnanstine and Casey Coleman in the mix for the fifth starter job.  In theory, signing Maholm could give the Cubs the depth to move Garza, even if Maholm is more of a back-end guy.

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Chicago Cubs Paul Maholm

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Blue Jays Sign Darren Oliver

By Mike Axisa | January 9, 2012 at 10:51am CDT

10:51am: Oliver is guaranteed a total of $4.5MM, MLBTR's Tim Dierkes has learned.  He'll earn a $4MM salary in 2012 and the 2013 option has a $500K buyout.

9:43am: Blue Jays GM Alex Anthopoulos made his biggest free agent signing in two-plus years at the helm, inking lefty reliever Darren Oliver to a one-year, $4MM deal.  The contract includes a $3MM club option for 2013, announced the team.  Oliver is represented by Jeff Frye.

Oliver

Oliver, 41, was a modified Type B free agent per the new collective bargaining agreement, meaning the Rangers will receive a supplemental first round draft pick as compensation (tentatively #51 overall). The Jays will not forfeit a pick. Oliver pitched to a 2.40 ERA in 112 1/3 innings for Texas the last two years, holding lefty batters to a .212/.250/.306 line during that time.  The Blue Jays have added Sergio Santos, Jason Frasor, and Oliver to their bullpen this offseason.

The Rangers and Angels expressed some interest in Oliver this offseason. The market for free agent lefty relievers is dwindling, with Mike Gonzalez and Arthur Rhodes representing the best of the remaining bunch.

T.R. Sullivan and Jon Heyman broke the story.  Tim Dierkes contributed to this post.  Photo courtesy of Icon SMI.

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Toronto Blue Jays Transactions Darren Oliver

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Kuroda To Remain In MLB For 2012

By Tim Dierkes | January 9, 2012 at 10:49am CDT

Hiroki Kuroda has informed the Hiroshima Carp he intends to pitch in the Major Leagues again in 2012, according to the Jiji Press and other Japanese outlets, as translated by Patrick Newman of NPB Tracker.  Newman adds that "Masatoshi Kimura of the Chugoku Shimbun reports that Kuroda is expected to decide on a destination within the next couple of days."

A few days ago, Jon Heyman of CBS Sports tweeted that Kuroda sought a one-year deal in the $13-14MM range.  The Yankees and Red Sox are among the possibilities, but both AL East superpowers seem gunshy of his asking price.

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Uncategorized Hiroki Kuroda

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Rangers Offering “Dice-K Money” To Darvish

By Tim Dierkes | January 9, 2012 at 10:31am CDT

The Rangers are offering "Dice-K money" to Yu Darvish, sources tell Jon Heyman of CBS Sports, and there's no evidence a deal is close.  Daisuke Matsuzaka received a six-year, $52MM deal from the Red Sox about five years ago.  Heyman says it's not clear whether the Rangers' offer to Darvish is for five or six years.  The deadline to work out a deal is January 18th at 4pm central time.  The Rangers won the exclusive right to negotiate with Darvish for $51,703,411, which would be returned to them from the Nippon Ham Fighters if they fail to reach an agreement with Darvish.

In October, I polled five agents and one team executive and most predicted a five or six-year deal in the $72-75MM range for Darvish.

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Texas Rangers Yu Darvish

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Blue Jays Designate Mark Teahen For Assignment

By Tim Dierkes | January 9, 2012 at 9:42am CDT

The Blue Jays designated third baseman Mark Teahen for assignment to open a 40-man roster spot for Darren Oliver, announced the team.

The Jays acquired Teahen from the White Sox as part of a salary dump, and they'll be assuming the $5.5MM left on his contract for 2012.  The 30-year-old hit .200/.273/.300 in 177 plate appearances last year, playing the infield and outfield corners.

Teahen was a big component of the 2004 trade that sent Carlos Beltran to the Astros.  He couldn't sustain a strong partial season in 2006 for the Royals, and was traded to the White Sox in November of '09.  A few months later the Sox signed him to a surprising three-year, $14MM extension.

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Toronto Blue Jays Transactions Mark Teahen

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Position Analysis For The 2013 Free Agent Class

By Tim Dierkes | January 9, 2012 at 8:58am CDT

Plenty has been written about the potential starting pitching depth of the 2013 free agent class, which could include Matt Cain, Cole Hamels, Zack Greinke, Anibal Sanchez, Brandon McCarthy, and more.  But how does next offseason's free agent market look for position players?

Catcher

This could be the deepest free agent catching class in a long time.  Yadier Molina will set the market, while Chris Iannetta, Russell Martin, Miguel Montero, Mike Napoli, A.J. Pierzynski, and Yorvit Torrealba join him.  It's rare to find offense at catcher, but there is plenty in this group.  Napoli and Molina seem most likely to be extended prior to reaching the open market.

First basemen

Napoli and Lance Berkman head up the group, with second tier guys like Aubrey Huff, Adam LaRoche, Carlos Lee, and James Loney also in the mix.  They'll be joined by Casey Kotchman, Carlos Pena, and Derrek Lee if they sign one-year deals.  Overall, there's a case to be made for a non-contender to sign Prince Fielder if they're looking forward to this group.

Second basemen

Howie Kendrick signed an extension over the weekend.  If Brandon Phillips follows suit and obvious options are picked up on Robinson Cano and Ian Kinsler, the best available might be Kelly Johnson, Maicer Izturis, and Freddy Sanchez. 

Shortstops

Erick Aybar is the best option, but the Angels could extend him too.  Stephen Drew could get a big contract with a healthy season, while Marco Scutaro and Alex Gonzalez will be looking for everyday jobs.

Third basemen

The third base market may be bleak once again.  David Wright could be a free agent after the 2012 season if he's traded before it ends and chooses to void a 2013 option, or if the Mets simply decline the $16MM option.  Kevin Youkilis' $13MM option will probably be exercised.  Additionally, Scott Rolen and Placido Polanco are likely free agents.

Left fielders

Josh Hamilton is the big name.  His contract will depend heavily on his 2012 season.  Delmon Young will have age on his side at 27 years old.  Several others who are currently penciled in at center or right field will be options in left.

Center fielders

Hamilton can play some center, but this is a deep group with Michael Bourn, B.J. Upton, Shane Victorino, Melky Cabrera, Marlon Byrd, Grady Sizemore, and Angel Pagan. 

Right fielders

Andre Ethier, Carlos Quentin, and Nick Swisher will be seeking big paydays.  Ichiro Suzuki and Torii Hunter will represent the old guard.

Designated hitters

David Ortiz will again be the best available; we'll see if he gets the equivalent of an arbitration offer from the Red Sox.  Edwin Encarnacion could be interesting, while Bobby Abreu and Travis Hafner will be fighting for regular work. 

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2013 MLB Free Agents

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Rockies May Not Have Budget Space For Millwood

By Tim Dierkes | January 9, 2012 at 7:50am CDT

The Rockies offered Kevin Millwood a guaranteed $1MM prior to acquiring Kevin Slowey at the Winter Meetings, reports Troy E. Renck of the Denver Post.  The Millwood offer included approximately $1MM more in incentives, but the 37-year-old righty sought $3MM guaranteed.  With Slowey having agreed to a $2.75MM salary, Renck says the Rockies have little room in the budget for Millwood.

The Rockies have not ruled out Millwood, but their budget for veteran starting pitching depth doesn't seem to have much flexibility.  It'd be surprising to see Millwood score $3MM guaranteed on the strength of nine big league starts, but he does have baseball's toughest agent in Scott Boras.

The Rockies are not currently pursuing a reunion with free agent lefty Jeff Francis, writes Renck.  As of right now, all projected members of the Rockies' 2012 rotation are under 30.

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Colorado Rockies Jeff Francis Kevin Millwood

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Remaining Free Agent Groundballers

By Dan Mennella | January 8, 2012 at 11:50pm CDT

With Aaron Cook and his 57% career groundball rate now off the free agent market, it's a good time to have a look at some available hurlers who have a habit of keeping the ball on the infield.

There's no official distinction for what makes one a groundballer, of course, but the average MLB pitcher induces grounders about 44% of the time. So, we're looking at guys who clock in above that rate for their career and who logged at least 100 innings in 2011.

  1. Paul Maholm – 52.3%. He's not spectacular by any stretch but is reliable and should find a home as someone's No. 4 or 5 starter. 
  2. Joel Pineiro – 49.2%. His 60.5% rate as a Cardinal in 2009 looks like an outlier, but whoever signs him will hope he can recapture that form.
  3. Hiroki Kuroda – 48.6%. His career average would be higher were it not for a big dip in 2011 – down to 43.2%. Is that noise, or a change in profile for an aging pitcher who's battled injuries?
  4. Roy Oswalt – 47.3%. He hovered around 50% during his prime but seems to have settled in close to league average the past couple years. I wonder if his back troubles have been a factor.

As you can see, most of the extreme groundballers (50% or more) are off the market. Edwin Jackson, the prize of the remaining class, has had some pretty notable swings in groundball rate from year to year, which is Edwin Jackson in a nutshell.

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2012 MLB Free Agents

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